Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(5/6/1)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(1/6/5)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(3/4/1)-(6/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/1/3)-(6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(6/2)-(5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(5/1)-(4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALENDULA Aug02 Jun12 May22 Apr05 Mar19 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50    
2  OPULENT WAYS Aug02 Jun14 May29 Oct11 Oct03 (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  MARIANNA QUEEN Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 May31 Apr18 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
4  MANHATTAN LADY Jul26 Jun18 May09 Jan12 Dec27 (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
5  FLYING BUSINESS Jul26 Jun14 May29 May02 Mar13 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
6  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Aug02 Jun12 May28 May09 Apr10 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 119 6.00 8% 10.90    
7  GRAY ROYALITY Jul17 Jun24 May22 May10 Apr06 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-2   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Jul18 Jun26 Jun10 May25 May03 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 14% 6.00    
2  EVIL MATTERS Aug01 Jul15 Jun13     (gorham rober)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
3  KRISTIN Jul18 Jun19 Jun10 May30 Oct25 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 3.00    
4  SWAMP WITCH HADDY Jul12 Jun10 May30 Jul18 Jun25 (syed riaz)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 15.00    
5  SAUNTER Aug04 Jul18 Jun19 May30 May02 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  IMA SURE BET Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 Jun19 Jun07 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.00 22% 3.50    
7  DIMPLED Aug09 Jul10 Dec08 Nov23   (tucker jim)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
 
TDN-3   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY EUGENE Jul27 Jun24 May20 Apr21 Mar25 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 119 1.60 53% 0.90    
2  LONE BOY Aug10 Jun27 Jun10 May09 Feb01 (bo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
3  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Jul27 Jul10 Jun15 May29 May16 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 4.00    
4  K KID Jul31 Jul06 Jun24 Jun02 May08 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
5  WETZEL Aug12 Jul27 Jun27 Jun02 May05 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 6.00 7% 12.80    
6  TIER ONE Jul27 Jul06 Jun09 Jun01 May11 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 117 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
TDN-4   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Aug01 Jul10 Jun14 Jun07 May25 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00 11% 8.00    
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Aug01 Jul03 Jun20 May25 May11 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 5.00    
3  CANDYMONIUM Aug01 Jul03 Jun20 May25 May03 (skerrett jeffre)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  MAGIC PALACE Aug01 Jun29 Jun03 May05 Apr21 (forster t)RIVERA R 121 1.80 22% 3.60    
5  SURPRISED GEM Aug14 May10 Apr09 Apr02 Mar22 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
6  ALSANAH Aug01 Jun21 May26 May10 Apr11 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00    
7  MY D'VALENTINE Aug08 Jul26 Jul13 Nov09 Oct31 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEWEARSMYRING         (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HAPPYBIRTHDAYBABY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  LA KADENZA Aug01         (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of HOT GIRL by K ONE KING)
3  FULL TIME STRUTIN Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 May25 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 7% 13.40    
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  CATCHMENOW Aug01 Sep20       (genovese richard )VELEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by TRUE MARCO out of SAINT BARBARA by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
5  VIMISOFA Aug01 Jun26 May12 Apr28 Mar08 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAYMONT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  COROMANDEL Aug01 Jun10 May25 May11 Apr30 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by TEKTON out of WOOD ROSE by TIZNOW)
 
TDN-6   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL LASS Aug10 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 Jun01 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 ★    
2  CRIMSON LEGION Aug01 Jul03 Jun14 Nov08 Sep26 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WELLOILEDCAT Aug01 Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 May16 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00    
4  LADY ITCH Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
5  MANDOLIN BREEZE Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 May31 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50    
6  RATATAT Aug01 Jul03 Jun19 May31 Sep21 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 1.80 66% 0.50    
 
TDN-7   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GARRETT Apr12 Mar13 Feb22 Jan11 Dec12 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Aug07 Jul23 Jul10 Jun01 May17 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 2.50    
3  VENETIAN DREAM Aug14 Sep12 Aug29 Aug18 Aug04 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
4  O CIGANO Jul31 Jul03 Jun07 May17 May03 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
5  SUSIE'S KID Aug03 Jul13 Jun24 Jun14 Jun01 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  RUMBLE STRIP RON Aug02 Jul13 Jul04 Jun10 May09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00    
 
TDN-8   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWELVE MINUS ONE Aug07 Jul25 Jul10 Jun19 May25 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  LEFTLANEOUTLAW         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of BELLE'S CACHET by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
3  EL BURRITO Feb22 Jan14 Dec17     (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SCARLETT O'MARA by ESKENDEREYA)
4  FALK Jul11 May29 Apr21 Mar15 Feb01 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 62% 0.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of INVITATION by VINDICATION)
5  SECOND LIEUTENANT Jul31 Dec09       (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of SAVANNAH HARBOR by GRUB)
6  STREET TRAFFIC Jul31 Jul17 Jun27 Jun20 May23 (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 6.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  MOTOWN COLLECTION Jul31 Feb14 Dec30 Dec07 Nov16 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 12% 7.40    
  (by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.