Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
PID-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
PID-3   Win (5/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
PID-4   Win (4/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
PID-5   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
PID-6   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
PID-7   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
PID-8   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $11.80  

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:22 :444 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 6 1 55 45   2nk 1½ (brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 6.00 15% 5.70 4.00 W
QUARTERMASTER 4 6 69 69   4 2½ (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 2.00 45% 1.20 2.50 P
SAMURAI LEGACY 5 2 1nk 11   1nk 3 (markgraf david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 2.00  
NOTACATBUTACARD 3 3 43 58   5 4 (hoffman ma)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 6% 17.00 4.70  
FED CHAIR 1 5 2nk 21   31 5 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 4.00 7.60  
JUST WATCH ME NOW 2 4 32 35   6 6 (markgraf david)WALKER M 122 4.50 8.60  
 
PID-2   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:13 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VARIABLE COST (GB) 1 2 1½ 11 11 2½ 1¾ (sisterson jack)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80 66% 0.50 0.30 W
REACTIVE 4 5 4 43 33 1½ 2¾ (harty eoin)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 11% 7.70 5.40 P
IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 3 3 3 33 21 3½ 34 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 52.20  
DISASTER RECOVERY 5 1 2½ 21 43 4 417½ (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00 3.40  
HUMBLE JOE 2 4 5 515 515 517½ 527½ (white f)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 25.60  
SCR  QAADER               (donjuan sergio)MONTERREY R 124 3.00    
 
PID-3   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORPHAN EXCHANGE 2 1 1nk 1nk   12 1 (russell ra)MARTINEZ A 121 3.50 10% 8.80 2.70 W
RIA FORMOSA 8 7 8 5   4 2 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.50 10% 9.40 3.10 P
CASTLE BORN 5 3 33 34   32 32 (duffy sean)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 56% 0.80 1.20 S
REAL MIKEY 6 4 44 4   5 4 (lusk r)ALENCAR WALBER 114 5.00 6.40  
AFTER NOON KISSES 3 2 2nk 2nk   22 5 (spanabel r)WALES GARY 121 12.00 21.40  
DERBY DAY GOLD 1 5 5 6   6 613¾ (martin n)ALLEN D 124 12.00 37.70  
IT'S A FOX 4 8 7 8   713¼ 719½ (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 6.00 41.00  
MADISON COUNTY 7 6 6 7   813¼ 819¾ (harigeor)SMITH DANIEL 111 15.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
 
PID-4   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL OF THE BEAST 3 1 11 1   13 1 (brooks gerald )AYALA J 121 2.00 58% 0.70 0.90 W
I'M HEADING EAST 1 7 7 7   55 2 (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 8% 11.80 5.60 P
LORI'S EYES 4 4 21 2   23 33 (martin n)ALLEN D 124 8.00 5% 19.00 15.60 S
SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN 5 3 42 3   34 4 (bowersock )GALLARDO A 122 20.00 8.60  
LISA MARIE 2 2 31 4   44 5 (potts g)WALKER M 122 4.50 6% 16.90 11.40  
FLOAT AWAY 7 5 5 5   6 6 (bourke john)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 3.60  
MISS GETTY UP 6 6 6 6   7 7 (girten tim)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 16.60  
HOP TO A DECISION 8 8 811¼ 817¾   823¼ 826½ (harigeor)SMITH DANIEL 109 30.00 28.70  
SCR  AFTER ALPHA               (huertas nirka)BERRIOS C 112 30.00    
 
PID-5   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:113 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VACCINA 6 2 16 16 16 14 13 (judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 38% 1.60 1.50 W
NATURE TRAIL 4 1 26 26 36 24 23 (judd cassandra)AYALA J 122 4.00 14% 6.10 17.50 P
FLASHY TOO 3 5 37 38 26 34 33 (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 1.60 28% 2.60 0.60 S
STRAIGHT MADNESS 1 4 510 410 47 45 4 (wilson b)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 15.70  
SAILOR'S SALUTE 5 3 410 511 511 510 515 (carr-rozantz ca)WALKER M 122 8.00 19.40  
LAUGH IT OFF 2 6 616 623 626 625 630¾ (gotera carlo)LEON A 122 10.00 38.00  
 
PID-6   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:242 :47 1:111 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLOTTE THE BRIT 3 2 23 26 26 1nk 15 (rojas edua)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 47% 1.10 1.60 W
UNICORN SALLY 1 5 47 412 412 4 25 (brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 3.00 6.40  
LUNAR ICE 6 6 712 717¼ 512 5 35 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 8% 10.80 3.10 S
TIZ PROMISING RVF 2 7 69 613¼ 613 6 4 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 52.80  
BABY DRAGON 7 1 35 312 310 33 59 (russell ra)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 5.20  
STARSHIP MACYS 5 3 13 16 16 2nk 6 (markgraf david)WALKER M 122 8.00 11% 7.90 5.70  
MOLISE 4 4 57 512¼ 715 7 714½ (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 7.20  
 
PID-7   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:231 :462 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT BODE 4 4 5 5   3 1nk (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 38% 1.60 0.80 W
BOWTOTHEQUEEN 5 5 3 3.2   2nk 2nk (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 20% 4.00 4.60 P
SHORTY MAC 1 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 3½ (rogers w)WALKER M 124 4.50 9.30  
QUARTERFLASH 3 6 6 6   6 4 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 10.70  
ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE 2 3 4 4   4 53 (brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 8.00 27.30  
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 6 1 1nk 2nk   5 6 (beattie m)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 19% 4.40 2.80  
SCR  DON DIVA               (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
 
PID-8   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:254 :511 1:153 1:394   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICKS ON SIXTY SIX 2 2 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk (russell randall)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 4.90  
STRONG HEADED 3 3 21 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk (girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 35% 1.80 0.60 P
AULT 6 1 42 5 3 32 33 (martin william )MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 44% 1.30 2.70 S
FARAT 5 5 8 8 8 8 4 (markgraf david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
C THE KING 8 4 7 6 5 5 5 (depasquale kimb)WALKER M 122 20.00 60.40  
PURPLE SHIRT 4 6 31 4 6 6 6 (harigeor)SMITH DANIEL 112 30.00 79.90  
INCLUSIVE 7 7 6 31 4 43 7 (boyer jr)STANLEY O 122 4.50 18.90  
NICKY BEAR 1 8 53 7 7 7 8 (milosevic milan)SPIETH S 122 10.00 23.00  
SCR  LEAVE 'EM LOADED               (girten tim)AYALA J 122 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE               (rodriguez )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.