Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4 $26.20 $14.20 118%
PID-2   EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-5 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-2 $21.20 $9.20 77%
PID-3   DD (2/5)-(5/2/8/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00  2-2 $21.40 $5.40 34%
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/5)-(5/2/8/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00  6-1/2-2 $60.00 $12.00 25%
PID-4   TRI (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00  4-1-5 $167.80 $119.80 250%
PID-5   EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4 $48.80 $36.80 307%
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4-3 $84.20 $72.20 602%
PID-7   EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $15.60 $3.60 30%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:22 :444 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHAMPION BY DESIGN 6 1 55 45   2nk 1½ (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 6.00 15% 5.70 4.00 W
4  QUARTERMASTER 4 6 69 69   41¼ 2½ (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 2.00 45% 1.20 2.50 P
5  SAMURAI LEGACY 5 2 1nk 11   1nk 32½ (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 2.00  
3  NOTACATBUTACARD 3 3 43 58   51¼ 42½ (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 8.00 6% 17.00 4.70  
1  FED CHAIR 1 5 2nk 21   31 53½ (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 4.00 7.60  
2  JUST WATCH ME NOW 2 4 32 35   63¼ 67½ (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 4.50 8.60  
 
PID-2   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:13 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VARIABLE COST (GB) 1 2 1½ 11 11 2½ 1¾ (sisterson jac)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80 66% 0.50 0.30 W
  (by KINGMAN out of DAWN OF HOPE by MASTERCRAFTSMAN (IRE))
5  REACTIVE 4 5 43½ 43 33 1½ 2¾ (harty eo)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 11% 7.70 5.40 P
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 3 3 31½ 33 21 3½ 34 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 52.20  
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PRINCESS SARIAH by SUN KING)
6  DISASTER RECOVERY 5 1 2½ 21 43 47½ 417½ (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00 3.40  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PRINCESS NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  HUMBLE JOE 2 4 57½ 515 515 517½ 527½ (white f)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 25.60  
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of ROYALLY SWEET by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
SCR  QAADER               (donjuan sergio)MONTERREY R 124 3.00    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of REDINHA by DANSILI (GB))
 
PID-3   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ORPHAN EXCHANGE 2 1 1nk 1nk   12 11½ (russell )MARTINEZ A 121 3.50 10% 8.80 2.70 W
8  RIA FORMOSA 8 7 86½ 56½   42¼ 21½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.50 10% 9.40 3.10 P
5  CASTLE BORN 5 3 33 34   32 32 (duffy se)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 56% 0.80 1.20 S
6  REAL MIKEY 6 4 44 45½   54¼ 46½ (lusk r)ALENCAR WALBER 114 5.00 6.40  
3  AFTER NOON KISSES 3 2 2nk 2nk   22 56¾ (spanabel r)WALES GARY 121 12.00 21.40  
1  DERBY DAY GOLD 1 5 54¼ 67½   68¼ 613¾ (martin william)ALLEN D 124 12.00 37.70  
4  IT'S A FOX 4 8 76¼ 89¾   713¼ 719½ (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 6.00 41.00  
7  MADISON COUNTY 7 6 64¼ 79½   813¼ 819¾ (harige)SMITH DANIEL 111 15.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
 
PID-4   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SOUL OF THE BEAST 3 1 11 12½   13 12½ (brooks geral)AYALA J 121 2.00 58% 0.70 0.90 W
1  I'M HEADING EAST 1 7 75¼ 75¾   55 22½ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 8% 11.80 5.60 P
5  LORI'S EYES 4 4 21 22½   23 33 (martin william)ALLEN D 124 8.00 5% 19.00 15.60 S
6  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN 5 3 42 32½   34 44½ (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 20.00 8.60  
2  LISA MARIE 2 2 31 44½   44 55¾ (potts g)WALKER M 122 4.50 6% 16.90 11.40  
8  FLOAT AWAY 7 5 52¼ 54¾   65¼ 65¾ (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 3.60  
7  MISS GETTY UP 6 6 65¼ 65¾   78¼ 77¼ (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 16.60  
9  HOP TO A DECISION 8 8 811¼ 817¾   823¼ 826½ (harige)SMITH DANIEL 109 30.00 28.70  
SCR  AFTER ALPHA               (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 112 30.00    
 
PID-5   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:113 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VACCINA 6 2 16 16 16 14 13 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 38% 1.60 1.50 W
4  NATURE TRAIL 4 1 26 26 36 24 23 (judd cassand)AYALA J 122 4.00 14% 6.10 17.50 P
3  FLASHY TOO 3 5 37 38 26 34 33 (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 1.60 28% 2.60 0.60 S
1  STRAIGHT MADNESS 1 4 510 410 47 45 46½ (wilson ariane)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 15.70  
5  SAILOR'S SALUTE 5 3 410 511 511 510 515 (carr-rozantz )WALKER M 122 8.00 19.40  
2  LAUGH IT OFF 2 6 616 623 626 625 630¾ (gotera car)LEON A 122 10.00 38.00  
 
PID-6   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:242 :47 1:111 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT 3 2 23 26 26 1nk 15 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 47% 1.10 1.60 W
1  UNICORN SALLY 1 5 47 412 412 43¼ 25 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 3.00 6.40  
6  LUNAR ICE 6 6 712 717¼ 512 54¼ 35 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 8% 10.80 3.10 S
2  TIZ PROMISING RVF 2 7 69 613¼ 613 65¼ 48¾ (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 52.80  
7  BABY DRAGON 7 1 35 312 310 33 59 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 5.20  
5  STARSHIP MACYS 5 3 13 16 16 2nk 69½ (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 8.00 11% 7.90 5.70  
4  MOLISE 4 4 57 512¼ 715 76¼ 714½ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 7.20  
 
PID-7   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:231 :462 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOT BODE 4 4 52¾ 51¾   31½ 1nk (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 38% 1.60 0.80 W
5  BOWTOTHEQUEEN 5 5 31½ 3.2   2nk 2nk (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 20% 4.00 4.60 P
1  SHORTY MAC 1 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 3½ (rogers ronald)WALKER M 124 4.50 9.30  
3  QUARTERFLASH 3 6 65¾ 63¾   62¾ 41½ (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 10.70  
2  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE 2 3 41¾ 41¾   42½ 53 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 8.00 27.30  
6  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 6 1 1nk 2nk   52¾ 64¼ (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 19% 4.40 2.80  
SCR  DON DIVA               (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
 
PID-8   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:254 :511 1:153 1:394   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX 2 2 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 ★ 4.90  
3  STRONG HEADED 3 3 21 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 35% 1.80 0.60 P
6  AULT 6 1 42 51¼ 31½ 32 33 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 44% 1.30 2.70 S
5  FARAT 5 5 85¼ 83½ 85¼ 85¼ 44½ (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
9  C THE KING 8 4 73¼ 62¼ 52¾ 53¼ 55¼ (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 20.00 60.40  
4  PURPLE SHIRT 4 6 31 41¼ 63¾ 64¼ 66½ (harige)SMITH DANIEL 112 30.00 79.90  
7  INCLUSIVE 7 7 63¼ 31 41¾ 43 76¾ (boyer jr)STANLEY O 122 4.50 18.90  
1  NICKY BEAR 1 8 53 73¼ 74¼ 74¼ 86¾ (milosevic milan)SPIETH S 122 10.00 23.00  
SCR  LEAVE 'EM LOADED               (girten tim)AYALA J 122 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE               (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.