Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/5)-(5/2/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5/2/8/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(5/2/8/7)-(4/1/2/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/7)-(4/1/2/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/7)-(4/1/2/5)-(6/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (4/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/5)-(6/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/5)-(6/3/4)-(3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(3/5/6)-(4/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(4/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(6/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(6/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FED CHAIR Sep20 Sep08 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00    
2  JUST WATCH ME NOW Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 4.50    
3  NOTACATBUTACARD Sep05 Aug10 Jul24 Jul05 Jun20 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 8.00 6% 17.00    
4  QUARTERMASTER Sep18 Aug17 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  SAMURAI LEGACY Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 Jul12 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50    
6  CHAMPION BY DESIGN Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 Aug08 Jul24 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
PID-2   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QAADER Aug11 Jul05 Jun07 May28 Apr27 (donjuan sergio)MONTERREY R 124 3.00    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of REDINHA by DANSILI (GB))
2  VARIABLE COST (GB) Jul28 May27 May11     (sisterson jac)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80 66% 0.50    
  (by KINGMAN out of DAWN OF HOPE by MASTERCRAFTSMAN (IRE))
3  HUMBLE JOE Sep19 Aug29 Aug07     (white f)RIQUELME J 121 10.00    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of ROYALLY SWEET by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
4  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Sep21 Aug09 Jul03 Nov05 Oct06 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PRINCESS SARIAH by SUN KING)
5  REACTIVE Sep13 Aug16 Jul25     (harty eo)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 11% 7.70    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  DISASTER RECOVERY Sep19 Aug08 Jul24 Jul12 Jun27 (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PRINCESS NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
PID-3   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY DAY GOLD Aug29         (martin william)ALLEN D 124 12.00    
2  ORPHAN EXCHANGE Sep20 Aug23 Aug10 Jul31 Jun26 (russell )MARTINEZ A 121 3.50 10% 8.80    
3  AFTER NOON KISSES Sep20 Aug15 Jul17 Jul04 Jun06 (spanabel r)WALES GARY 121 12.00    
4  IT'S A FOX Sep20         (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 6.00    
5  CASTLE BORN Sep20 Aug18 Aug11 Jul16 Jul01 (duffy se)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  REAL MIKEY Sep07 Sep01 Aug17 Jul21 Jun30 (lusk r)BRAVO MISAEL 114 5.00    
7  MADISON COUNTY Sep22 Sep06 Jul13 Jun27 Dec02 (harige)SMITH DANIEL 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  RIA FORMOSA Sep13 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul02 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.50 10% 9.40    
 
PID-4   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M HEADING EAST Sep20 Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 Jul18 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 8% 11.80    
2  LISA MARIE Sep11 Aug30 Aug14 Aug02 Jul04 (potts g)WALKER M 122 4.50 6% 16.90    
SCR  AFTER ALPHA Sep18 Aug21 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 112 30.00    
4  SOUL OF THE BEAST Sep26 Sep12 Aug15     (brooks geral)AYALA J 121 2.00 58% 0.70    
5  LORI'S EYES Sep11 Aug14 Jul01 Jun03 Apr21 (martin william)ALLEN D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Sep21 Aug18 Jul07 May11 Apr20 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 20.00    
7  MISS GETTY UP Sep21 Sep11 Aug16 Feb16 Jan26 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
8  FLOAT AWAY Sep21 Aug30 Aug14 Jul24 Jul05 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50    
9  HOP TO A DECISION Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 Jul28 Jul12 (harige)SMITH DANIEL 109 30.00    
 
PID-5   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAIGHT MADNESS Sep20 Aug30 Aug14 Jul24 Jun27 (wilson ariane)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00    
2  LAUGH IT OFF Aug21 Jul19 Jun22 May24 May19 (gotera car)LEON A 122 10.00    
3  FLASHY TOO Aug21 Jul22 Jun24 Mar11 Jan29 (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
4  NATURE TRAIL Sep06 Aug17 Jul26 Jul18 Jul03 (judd cassand)AYALA J 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
5  SAILOR'S SALUTE Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 Jul24 (carr-rozantz )WALKER M 122 8.00    
6  VACCINA Sep12 Aug30 Aug01 Jun20 May29 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
PID-6   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNICORN SALLY Sep26 Sep11 Aug09 Jul04 Jul26 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 3.00    
2  TIZ PROMISING RVF Sep25 Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 Jul19 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
3  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun27 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  MOLISE Sep06 Aug21 Aug01 Jul05 Jun12 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
5  STARSHIP MACYS Sep19 Aug01 Jul11 Jun14 May24 (markgra)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 11% 7.90    
6  LUNAR ICE Sep19 Aug21 Aug10 Jul26 Jan22 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 8% 10.80    
7  BABY DRAGON Sep18 Aug28 Aug10 Aug02 Jun12 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
 
PID-7   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORTY MAC Sep20 Aug30 Aug03 Jun16 Aug17 (rogers ronald)WALKER M 124 4.50    
2  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE Sep18 Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 8.00    
3  QUARTERFLASH Aug16 Jul24 Jul05 Jun13 May22 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
4  HOT BODE Sep18 Jul12 Feb15 Jan25 Dec29 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Sep22 Aug25 Aug03 Nov29 Nov02 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
6  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 Jun20 (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  DON DIVA Sep15 Aug04 Jul19 Jun15 Jun03 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
 
PID-8   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICKY BEAR Sep18 Aug24 Aug03 Jul08 Jun10 (milosevic milan)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
2  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX Sep21 Aug29 Aug08 Jul26 Jul19 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 ★    
3  STRONG HEADED Sep21 Aug31 Aug12 Aug04 Jul01 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  PURPLE SHIRT Sep22 Sep13 Sep01 Aug08 Jul26 (harige)SMITH DANIEL 112 30.00    
5  FARAT Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  AULT Sep12 Aug17 Jul18 Oct25 Oct13 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
7  INCLUSIVE Sep21 Aug28 Aug10 Jul26 Jul11 (boyer jr)STANLEY O 122 4.50    
SCR  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Sep21 Sep11 Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 (girten tim)AYALA J 122 10.00    
9  C THE KING Sep21 Sep11 Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Sep20 Sep02 Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.