Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-4   WIN (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $12.00 $4.00 50%
PEN-5   EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $13.60 $1.60 13%
    DD (6/4/7/3)-(1/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-1 $34.20 $10.20 43%
PEN-6   WIN (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (5/6/8)-(5/6/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-6 $12.60 $0.60 5%
    DD (1/2/6)-(5/6/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-5 $31.40 $13.40 74%
    PK3 (6/4/7/3)-(1/2/6)-(5/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-1-5 $39.00 $21.00 117%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   09/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:133 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA 4 5 53½ 52½ 31 2nk 1¼ (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 4.50 5.50  
2  ICANDOTHAT 2 8 87 64½ 51¾ 1nk 2¼ (mcdermott)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 11% 8.00 1.80 P
6  TWIST OF FAITH 6 3 32 31½ 41½ 33½ 37½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 13% 6.90 2.40 S
5  UPTOWNJACOB BROWN 5 9 109 96¾ 72 54¾ 47½ (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 23.80  
1  FIFTH ELEMENT 1 7 98½ 108¼ 84 66¼ 59¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00 16.80  
7  HENDERSON 7 4 21½ 2½ 1nk 43¾ 612 (rubley ke)RODRIGUEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
10  TERRIBLEIGH 10 2 42½ 41½ 61¾ 710¼ 717 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 4.60  
9  FAST FREEZE KAZ 9 1 11½ 1½ 2nk 811¼ 821¼ (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 6% 15.10 23.00  
8  VALENTIN C 8 10 75½ 76 98 913¼ 923½ (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00 36.30  
3  GOOD FORTUNE 3 6 65 86½ 1011½ 1020¾ 1037¼ (beattie tod)INIRIO J 122 12.00 34.40  
SCR  TIO TONY               (preciado gua)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  TWO MINUTES APART               (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 122 2.50    
 
PEN-2   09/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :45       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHEERS FOR KITTEN 2 3 1½ 1nk   11 11¾ (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★ 5.60  
10  COURT AND SPARK 7 5 63½ 54   54 21¾ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 56% 0.80 1.00 P
7  GRAB THE GOLD 4 1 2½ 2nk   21 32 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 12% 7.50 3.90 S
8  EDWARD MADDEN 5 2 52½ 43½   43½ 44¾ (houghton th)INIRIO J 118 50.00 5% 19.00 53.60  
6  FED CHAIR 3 4 42½ 76   66 55¾ (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 7.90  
9  FLASHINTHENIGHT 6 6 32 32   33½ 66½ (salvaggio jr)CORA D 124 6.00 9.30  
12  UNCLE ANDREW 8 7 74 64½   76½ 79¼ (lawrence )HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 7.40  
4  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 1 8 88 810   89½ 810¾ (borges israel)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 20.00 80.20  
SCR  DRAMATIZED               (bouchard lesly)CORREA JULIO 118 15.00    
SCR  NITRO TIME               (comi w)AGUILAR M 124 2.50    
SCR  SPOOKY ONE               (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE REMI               (smith lawren)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 30.00    
 
PEN-3   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN 2 6 77 64½   31 11½ (moreno ti)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 7.70  
8  MR. PETE 6 3 52 42   41½ 21½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 54% 0.80 1.90 P
10  AGAINST THE ODDS 7 4 31 3½   2½ 31¾ (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 27.10  
5  I SEE THE STARS 4 1 2½ 1½   1½ 42½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 11% 7.70 4.00  
4  U U STAR 3 7 42 53   64½ 57¼ (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00 7.20  
6  COFFEE WITH ALEX 5 2 1½ 2½   53 68 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 9% 9.70 1.70  
1  VIOLENT PASS 1 5 63 76½   77½ 710¼ (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 10.00 30.70  
SCR  CACTUS JACK               (russo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY               (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 5.00    
SCR  MINISTER QUINN               (machado antonio)MENA E 122 12.00    
 
PEN-4   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:452 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAGIC SPIN 6 1 1½ 1½   12 13 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 26% 2.90 5.00 W
2  HEADS OR TAILS 2 4 41½ 43½   33 23 (mancilla ca)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00 6.10  
8  NICE WEATHER 8 2 2½ 2½   22 34½ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 6.00 4.00  
4  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 4 3 31½ 32½   43 44¾ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 24% 3.20 2.40  
1  BEYOND THE BEND 1 7 810½ 811½   67½ 55¼ (george bryan )TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 39.30  
7  YES SIR ROBERT 7 6 52½ 54½   78 610¼ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 20% 3.90 2.90  
3  ANNAMATED MOON 3 5 63 64½   57 712¾ (smith thoma)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 6% 16.40 11.10  
5  ZILLION 5 8 73½ 76½   811 818½ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 18.00  
 
PEN-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUTTON BREEZE 1 1 11 12   14 14 (patterson kevi)TORRES JOMAR 115 3.00 66% 0.50 1.60 W
2  WASABI BOY 2 5 32½ 33½   34 24 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 2.50 9% 10.50 2.10 P
4  GRAND MACALLAN 4 3 21 22   24 35½ (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 118 3.50 3.90  
5  DORSODURO 5 2 42½ 43½   46 48 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 10.10  
7  TRIPLE TITOS 7 7 69½ 68½   68 58 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 5.00 7.60  
3  MIZZEN MONEY 3 4 53½ 55½   56½ 69 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 8.00 21.90  
6  MONEYONTHELINE 6 6 711½ 711   711 715¼ (cooper st)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
 
PEN-6   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:121 1:383   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HI HEELED WARRIOR 4 2 33½ 33½ 21½ 11 12¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 28% 2.60 2.60 W
6  DESI'S REWARD 5 3 11½ 11½ 11½ 21 22¼ (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 2.50 26% 2.90 0.80 P
2  SHEA D SECRET 1 6 68½ 67½ 45½ 47 38¾ (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 118 4.00 5.80  
8  BABKA 7 4 21½ 21½ 33 37 410¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 20% 4.00 5.90  
4  ESTA CHUCK 3 7 712½ 712½ 611 613 516¾ (jacavone john)TUNON JORDANO 115 20.00 66.20  
7  CHAMPAGNE SISTER 6 5 45½ 46½ 58 512 617¼ (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 11.80  
3  LIL H 2 1 56 57 712 719 723½ (cifarelli f)INIRIO J 120 20.00 ######  
SCR  LA COSTA               (russo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
 
PEN-7   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MILLBANK MAN 5 3 43 33   2½ 12¼ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 4.50  
3  KAZ MUNNINGS 3 4 32 2nk   1½ 22¼ (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 39% 1.60 2.60 P
10  SUMMER ASH 8 7 810 66½   56½ 35¼ (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 20% 4.00 1.50 S
4  WICKED IRISHMAN 4 8 66 54½   45½ 47½ (wolfe j)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 8% 12.30 7.70  
2  NOTORIOUS REY 2 5 54½ 77½   69 511½ (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 30.00 64.40  
1  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 1 6 77½ 89   710 612½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 30.00 95.00  
8  HE IS BAD 7 1 11½ 1nk   33½ 713¾ (beattie san)INIRIO J 122 4.50 10% 8.60 4.10  
7  LUCKY LEWIS 6 2 21½ 44   811 816½ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 20.00 30.60  
SCR  LUCKILY LEYTON               (castillo mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 8.00    
SCR  SPELLED WELL               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.