The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (11/6/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $13.00 -10.00
PEN-2   Win (10/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $13.20 -6.00
PEN-3   Win (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $17.40 -6.00
PEN-4   Win (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 4.00
PEN-5   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
PEN-6   Win (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
PEN-7   Win (3/10/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $11.00 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   09/20/2023 5610ft TURF YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:232 :481 1:133 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA 4 5 5 5 31 2nk 1¼ (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 4.50 5.50  
ICANDOTHAT 2 8 87 6 5 1nk 2¼ (mcdermott s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 11% 8.00 1.80 P
TWIST OF FAITH 6 3 32 3 4 33(graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 13% 6.90 2.40 S
UPTOWNJACOB BROWN 5 9 109 9 72 54(sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 23.80  
FIFTH ELEMENT 1 7 9 10 84 65(kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00 16.80  
HENDERSON 7 4 2 2½ 1nk 4612 (rubley kell)RODRIGUEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
10  TERRIBLEIGH 10 2 4 4 6 710¼ 717 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 4.60  
FAST FREEZE KAZ 9 1 1 1½ 2nk 811¼ 821¼ (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 6% 15.10 23.00  
VALENTIN C 8 10 7 76 98 913¼ 923½ (moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00 36.30  
GOOD FORTUNE 3 6 65 8 1011½ 1020¾ 1037¼ (beattie todd )INIRIO J 122 12.00 34.40  
SCR  TIO TONY               (preciado guada)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  TWO MINUTES APART               (crook-demasi kathl)JUAREZ NIK 122 2.50    
 
PEN-2   09/20/2023 3300ft TURF YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:222 :45       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEERS FOR KITTEN 2 3 1½ 1nk   11 1(farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 5.60  
10  COURT AND SPARK 7 5 6 54   54 2(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 56% 0.80 1.00 P
GRAB THE GOLD 4 1 2½ 2nk   21 32 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 12% 7.50 3.90 S
EDWARD MADDEN 5 2 5 4   44(houghton thom)INIRIO J 118 50.00 5% 19.00 53.60  
FED CHAIR 3 4 4 76   66 5(moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 7.90  
FLASHINTHENIGHT 6 6 32 32   36(salvaggio jr)CORA D 124 6.00 9.30  
12  UNCLE ANDREW 8 7 74 6   77(lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 7.40  
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 1 8 88 810   8810¾ (borges israel)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 20.00 80.20  
SCR  DRAMATIZED               (bouchard leslye)CORREA JULIO 118 15.00    
SCR  NITRO TIME               (comi w)AGUILAR M 124 2.50    
SCR  SPOOKY ONE               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE REMI               (smith lawrence)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 30.00    
 
PEN-3   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:222 :451 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUTTHEGLASSDOWN 2 6 77 6   31 1(moreno tito)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 7.70  
MR. PETE 6 3 52 42   42(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 54% 0.80 1.90 P
10  AGAINST THE ODDS 7 4 31 3½   2½ 3(zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 27.10  
I SEE THE STARS 4 1 2½ 1½   1½ 4(graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 11% 7.70 4.00  
U U STAR 3 7 42 53   65(perez ruperto )HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00 7.20  
COFFEE WITH ALEX 5 2 1½ 2½   53 68 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 9% 9.70 1.70  
VIOLENT PASS 1 5 63 7   7710¼ (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 120 10.00 30.70  
SCR  CACTUS JACK               (russo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY               (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 5.00    
SCR  MINISTER QUINN               (machado antonio)MENA E 122 12.00    
 
PEN-4   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:452 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC SPIN 6 1 1½ 1½   12 13 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 26% 2.90 5.00 W
HEADS OR TAILS 2 4 4 4   33 23 (mancilla carl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00 6.10  
NICE WEATHER 8 2 2½ 2½   22 3(ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 6.00 4.00  
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 4 3 3 3   43 4(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 24% 3.20 2.40  
BEYOND THE BEND 1 7 810½ 811½   65(george a)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 39.30  
YES SIR ROBERT 7 6 5 5   78 610¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 20% 3.90 2.90  
ANNAMATED MOON 3 5 63 6   57 712¾ (smith thomas )CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 6% 16.40 11.10  
ZILLION 5 8 7 7   811 818½ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 18.00  
 
PEN-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:22 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON BREEZE 1 1 11 12   14 14 (patterson kevin)TORRES JOMAR 115 3.00 66% 0.50 1.60 W
WASABI BOY 2 5 3 3   34 24 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 2.50 9% 10.50 2.10 P
GRAND MACALLAN 4 3 21 22   24 3(barboza j)CONNER TYLER 118 3.50 3.90  
DORSODURO 5 2 4 4   46 48 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 10.10  
TRIPLE TITOS 7 7 6 6   68 58 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 5.00 7.60  
MIZZEN MONEY 3 4 5 5   569 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 8.00 21.90  
MONEYONTHELINE 6 6 711½ 711   711 715¼ (cooper stac)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
 
PEN-6   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
:231 :47 1:121 1:383   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HI HEELED WARRIOR 4 2 3 3 2 11 1(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 28% 2.60 2.60 W
DESI'S REWARD 5 3 1 1 1 21 2(bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 2.50 26% 2.90 0.80 P
SHEA D SECRET 1 6 6 6 4 47 3(maymo j)BEATO INOEL 118 4.00 5.80  
BABKA 7 4 2 2 33 37 410¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 20% 4.00 5.90  
ESTA CHUCK 3 7 712½ 712½ 611 613 516¾ (jacavone j)TUNON JORDANO 115 20.00 66.20  
CHAMPAGNE SISTER 6 5 4 4 58 512 617¼ (fields kevin)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 11.80  
LIL H 2 1 56 57 712 719 723½ (cifarelli fra)INIRIO J 120 20.00 ######  
SCR  LA COSTA               (russo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
 
PEN-7   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:22 :452 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILLBANK MAN 5 3 43 33   2½ 1(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 4.50  
KAZ MUNNINGS 3 4 32 2nk   1½ 2(synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 39% 1.60 2.60 P
10  SUMMER ASH 8 7 810 6   53(lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 20% 4.00 1.50 S
WICKED IRISHMAN 4 8 66 5   44(wolfe jr)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 8% 12.30 7.70  
NOTORIOUS REY 2 5 5 7   69 511½ (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 30.00 64.40  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 1 6 7 89   710 612½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 30.00 95.00  
HE IS BAD 7 1 1 1nk   3713¾ (beattie sande)INIRIO J 122 4.50 10% 8.60 4.10  
LUCKY LEWIS 6 2 2 44   811 816½ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 20.00 30.60  
SCR  LUCKILY LEYTON               (castillo miche)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 8.00    
SCR  SPELLED WELL               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.