Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (6/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-2   Win (10/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-4   Win (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-5   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (3/10/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   09/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTH ELEMENT Sep01 Aug23 Jun29 May26 Mar08 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00    
ICANDOTHAT Sep01 Aug23 Jul14 Jun18 Jun02 (mcdermott s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 11% 8.00    
GOOD FORTUNE Jul28 Jul12 Nov13 Sep27   (beattie todd )INIRIO J 122 12.00    
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Aug30 Aug05 Jul03 Jun14 May29 (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 4.50    
UPTOWNJACOB BROWN Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jun29 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00    
TWIST OF FAITH Sep01 Jul19 Jul06 Jun17 Jul10 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 13% 6.90    
HENDERSON Sep01 Aug23 May31 Mar04 Nov05 (rubley kell)RODRIGUEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
VALENTIN C Sep07 Aug25 Aug12 Jun30 Aug30 (moreno-barban le)CORREA JULIO 124 8.00    
FAST FREEZE KAZ         (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 6% 15.10    
10  TERRIBLEIGH Sep01         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  TIO TONY Aug04 Jul01 Jun09 Apr29 Apr06 (preciado guada)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  TWO MINUTES APART Aug23 Aug11 Jul15 Aug14 Jul23 (crook-demasi kathl)JUAREZ NIK 122 2.50    
 
PEN-2   09/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE REMI Sep16 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 Jul09 (smith lawrence)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 30.00    
SCR  DRAMATIZED Sep02 Jul27 Jul07 Jun20 May22 (bouchard leslye)CORREA JULIO 118 15.00    
SCR  NITRO TIME Sep15 Aug23 Aug11 Jun19 Mar30 (comi w)AGUILAR M 124 2.50    
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 Jul15 Jun28 (borges israel)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 20.00    
CHEERS FOR KITTEN Sep07 Aug11 Aug03 Jun28 May28 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
FED CHAIR Sep08 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jul07 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
GRAB THE GOLD Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul12 Jun21 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
EDWARD MADDEN Sep07 Aug23 Aug03 Jun30 Jun01 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
FLASHINTHENIGHT Sep07 Aug23 Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 (salvaggio jr)CORA D 124 6.00    
10  COURT AND SPARK Aug30 Jul03 Jun05 May15 Sep21 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  SPOOKY ONE Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 Jul06 Jun28 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
12  UNCLE ANDREW Sep01 Aug20 Jul15 Jun05 May23 (lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
 
PEN-3   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT PASS Aug30 Aug04 Jul12 Jun21 May28 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
SCR  CACTUS JACK Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 Mar25 (russo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Aug25 Aug04 Jul24 Jun28 Jun14 (moreno tito)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
U U STAR Aug30 Aug04 Jun28 Jun06 May10 (perez ruperto)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00    
I SEE THE STARS Jul20 Jun30 May17 Apr28 Mar30 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 11% 7.70    
COFFEE WITH ALEX Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 May01 Apr05 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Sep07 Aug02 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 5.00    
MR. PETE Aug25 Jul20 Jul12 Jun15 May27 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 54% 0.80    
SCR  MINISTER QUINN Sep06 Aug27 Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 (machado antonio)MENA E 122 12.00    
10  AGAINST THE ODDS Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jun28 Jun20 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND THE BEND Aug25 Aug08 Jul20 Jun30 Jun09 (george a)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
HEADS OR TAILS Sep03 Jul08 May29 Apr16 Mar05 (mancilla carl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00    
ANNAMATED MOON Aug30 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 May18 (smith thomas )CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 6% 16.40    
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Aug02 Jul07 Jun15 May18 Apr28 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
ZILLION Aug23 Jul03 May31 May10 Apr19 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
MAGIC SPIN Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun09 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
YES SIR ROBERT Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May17 Apr20 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
NICE WEATHER Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 6.00    
 
PEN-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON BREEZE Aug21 Jul17 Jun27 Apr30 Apr21 (patterson kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 66% 0.50    
WASABI BOY Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 Jun11 May14 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 2.50 9% 10.50    
MIZZEN MONEY Aug30 Jun09 May18 Apr28 Mar30 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 8.00    
GRAND MACALLAN Aug03 Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr26 (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 118 3.50    
DORSODURO Sep03 Aug18 Jul02 Jun17 May28 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
MONEYONTHELINE Sep06 Jan13 Oct28 Oct07 Sep08 (cooper stac)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRIPLE TITOS Aug30 Aug10 Aug03 Jul14 Jun30 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 5.00    
 
PEN-6   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA COSTA Aug19 Jul23 Apr21 Mar31 Mar22 (russo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
SHEA D SECRET Aug30 Aug06 Jul08 Jun10 May18 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 118 4.00    
LIL H Sep08 Aug10 Jul13 Jun01 May04 (cifarelli fra)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
ESTA CHUCK Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 (jacavone j)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00    
HI HEELED WARRIOR Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 Jul12 Jun02 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
DESI'S REWARD Sep14 Aug30 Aug10 Jul28 Jul07 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
CHAMPAGNE SISTER Aug30 Aug18 Jul23 Jun24 May27 (fields kevin)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00    
BABKA Aug30 Aug09 Jul28 Jul13 Jun15 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
PEN-7   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun02 May17 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 30.00    
NOTORIOUS REY Sep06 Aug04 Jul06 Jun20 May19 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 30.00    
KAZ MUNNINGS Sep06 Jul06 Jun21 May10 Apr19 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
WICKED IRISHMAN Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 (wolfe jr)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  SPELLED WELL Aug24 Jul14 Jun30 May06 Apr19 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
MILLBANK MAN Aug30 Aug09 Jul13 May19 Apr28 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
LUCKY LEWIS Sep06 Aug24 Apr21 Mar24 Mar09 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 20.00    
HE IS BAD Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22   (beattie sande)INIRIO J 122 4.50 10% 8.60    
SCR  LUCKILY LEYTON Sep06 Aug04 Jul15 Jun22 May19 (castillo miche)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 8.00    
10  SUMMER ASH Sep06 Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 May17 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.