The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
PID-2   Win (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
PID-3   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
PID-4   Win (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
PID-5   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
PID-6   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $7.80 -4.00
PID-7   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $12.40 -6.00
PID-8   Win (10/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
:23 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREYDIS 6 3 1½ 11   11(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 1.80 37% 1.70 1.30 W
OPHELIAS DREAM 2 4 5 5   42 2(wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 120 5.00 17% 4.70 2.80 P
SHE'S GOT RHYTHM 3 7 2½ 21   233 (russell randall)WALES GARY 120 6.00 16.70  
GEARED UP 4 5 66 6   64(potts g)MORALES PABLO 124 3.00 16% 5.30 2.60  
CEREAL I D 5 2 42 42   32 55 (miller d)AYALA J 124 10.00 36.30  
HOPE SHE COMES 7 1 3 31   565 (morrell r)ALLEN D 120 4.00 6.60  
ASHERAH'S RUN 1 6 7 7   710 714¾ (mckinley m)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00 52.20  
 
PID-2   09/26/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
:241 :473 1:12 1:381   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUND OF APPLAUSE 1 4 5 513 311 21½ (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.50 30% 2.40 1.00 W
CONRADO 5 1 1 112 110½ 12½ (vitali mar)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00 1.60  
NIP OF BOURBON 2 3 48 412½ 411 35 3(gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00 12.30  
JUST PRAISE 7 7 711 717 613¼ 5410 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 14.40  
GLORIOUS TRIBUTE 4 6 38 312½ 210½ 45 510¾ (maver mario)LUGO D 122 4.50 47% 1.10 6.70  
GRAVE DANGER 3 2 2 212 511¼ 6615¼ (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 15.00  
BRYTON'S D J 6 5 6 616 715¼ 714¼ 730½ (herrington an)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 62.40  
SCR  BAD LITTLE BEAST               (winters michel)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00    
SCR  PUNX               (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
 
PID-3   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
:24 :47 1:12 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL 6 6 6 69 4 31½ (beattie m)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 46% 1.20 1.80 W
MOONSHINE DREAMER 2 3 2 2 2nk 1½ 2½ (delong ben)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 2.10  
LADY YELLEN 5 2 45 48 5 2½ 32 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 4.30  
CONSTITUTIONALRAGE 1 5 5 5 6 44(bryant l)LUGO D 122 6.00 9.50  
LOLA FLO 4 1 1 1 1nk 55(ginter raymond)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 20.00 9% 10.10 8.00  
SIGN AND SEAL 3 4 3 3 3 64 612½ (hamm timot)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 11% 7.80 6.10  
SCR  IZZY'S MONSTER               (rivelli la)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
SCR  VACCINA               (judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50    
 
PID-4   09/26/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
:213 :444 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARETH 4 5 64 32   1nk 1(brooks gerald )BARBOSA JEIRON 124 2.50 43% 1.30 0.60 W
SOUTH SEA 7 6 7 5   31 2(rojas edua)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 26% 2.80 3.30 P
BIG CHICKEN MAN 6 3 1 12   2nk 3(russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 5.00 8.50  
LONTANI 1 4 2 22   44(valdez moise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 4.50 6% 16.90 11.40  
POLLOCK 5 7 54 6   657 (guciardo john)ALENCAR WALBER 124 10.00 55.00  
HEATHER'S GOLD 3 2 43 7   76(rogers m)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 34.10  
KING ECLIPTICAL 2 1 3 43   52 711¾ (stites w)AYALA J 124 12.00 7.10  
SCR  BEAR CREEK               (hoffman mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
 
PID-5   09/26/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
:241 :473 1:114 1:373   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTECTTHEWITNESS 1 3 2 2 2 2nk 1(rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 21% 3.90 1.00 W
SUMMER AT THE SPA 5 4 4 33 4 31 2(lake scott)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 6.30  
UNICORN SALLY 3 6 65 65 64 43(ferraro ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50 4.50  
ANIPPE 2 1 1 1 1 1nk 4(markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 3.00 34% 2.00 6.10  
MIDNIGHT FROST 4 2 3 4 32 55(rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 14% 6.20 8.70  
SALLY'S MUSTANG 6 5 54 5 53 667 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00 8.70  
LADY LANA 7 7 7 7 76 7711½ (vitali marcus )BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00 15.90  
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF               (valdez moise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
 
PID-6   09/26/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:234 :473 1:112 1:361   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUNDED 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 1¼ (hamm timothy)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.00 2.90  
MASON MANIA 3 6 3 31 31 31 2¼ (girten tim)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.00 2.40  
VELOCE 2 3 4 42 4 2½ 3(bowersock maria)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.50 S
BARNEGAT LIGHT 6 4 56 53 5 52 44 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00 8.50  
MAXIMUM IMPACT 5 5 6 6 6 65(ginter raymond )ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00 23.50  
DR. STEVE 4 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 42 6(beattie to)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 70% 0.40 1.10  
SCR  PEMAQUID PETE               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.00    
 
PID-7   09/26/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Fitz Dixon, Jr. Memorial Juven Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 5:42
:221 :443 1:084     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S FIRE 5 1 13 1½   11 1(rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 116 3.00 5.20  
GOTTS GOT IT 6 2 3 31   21 2(potts g)WALKER M 121 3.50 11% 7.80 2.60 P
SWEET SODDY J 1 5 44 4   43(ginter raymond)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00 11% 8.50 14.50 S
GOING UP 4 3 23 2½   31 45 (potts g)ALLEN D 123 1.80 56% 0.80 2.50  
UNCLE KENNY 3 4 66 64   55(potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 12.00 37.10  
BANNEKER 2 6 5 53   6616¾ (sisterson jack)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 1.50  
SCR  CATIRE VIZCAYA               (avila juan)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
 
PID-8   09/26/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
:224 :454 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SOUL OF THE BEAST 10 1 1 11   11(brooks gerald )AYALA J 120 2.50 52% 0.90 0.70 W
ITALIAN TWIN 2 5 5 42   52(martin n)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90 P
WREAKING HAVOC 8 4 4 31   23(kintz matthew)SPIETH S 118 3.50 24% 3.20 5.80 S
ORGANZA 7 8 88 9   84(herrington an)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00 31.70  
READY SHE IS 5 7 7 7   75(cheeks jo)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 5.00 5.00  
STORMIN MELLY 9 9 9 8   66(markgraf david)WALKER M 118 10.00 19.60  
ABUNDANT STORY 4 3 2 21   37(sharp j)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 52.50  
SAINT FOXY 3 6 65 6   486 (brooks gerald )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00 21.70  
NOT SHY 1 10 1010½ 107   9913¾ (herrington a)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 58.40  
CONNECTING FLIGHT 6 2 32 5   1010¼ 1017¾ (davis scoote)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.00 8.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.