Handicappers' Racing Form

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Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-2   Win (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-3   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-4   Win (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-5   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-6   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PID-7   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-8   Win (10/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PID-1   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHERAH'S RUN Sep06         (mckinley r)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
OPHELIAS DREAM         (wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 120 5.00 17% 4.70    
SHE'S GOT RHYTHM Sep06         (russell randall)WALES GARY 120 6.00    
GEARED UP Sep06 Aug10 Jul18 May22 Sep29 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
CEREAL I D Sep06 Aug29 Aug15 Jul11 Jun19 (miller d)AYALA J 124 10.00    
FREYDIS Aug24 Feb23 Jan20 Dec21 Nov30 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
HOPE SHE COMES Sep06 Aug25 Jul26 Jun12 May22 (morrell r)ALLEN D 120 4.00    
 
PID-2   09/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUND OF APPLAUSE Sep06 Aug28 Aug07 Jul25 Jun07 (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
NIP OF BOURBON Sep06 Mar18 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
GRAVE DANGER Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 Jul03 (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
SCR  PUNX Sep13 Sep04 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
GLORIOUS TRIBUTE Sep06 May28 May19 Apr30 Apr16 (maver mario)LUGO D 122 4.50 47% 1.10    
CONRADO Aug28 Aug15 Jul17 Jun07 Mar27 (vitali mar)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00    
SCR  BAD LITTLE BEAST Sep04 Aug17 Jul19 Jul03 Jun05 (winters michel)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00    
BRYTON'S D J Sep10 Aug28 Aug08 Jul10 Jun26 (herrington an)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUST PRAISE Sep06 Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 May13 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
 
PID-3   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTIONALRAGE Sep11 Aug28 Aug04 Jul12 Aug13 (bryant donald)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00    
MOONSHINE DREAMER Aug22 Jul25 Jun10 May12 Sep20 (delong ben)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00    
SIGN AND SEAL Aug28 Jul04 Jun14 Apr26 Apr01 (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 122 10.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  VACCINA Sep12 Aug30 Aug01 Jun20 May29 (judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50    
LOLA FLO Sep06 Aug12 Jun22 May18 Jul02 (ginter raymond)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 20.00 9% 10.10    
LADY YELLEN Sep19 Aug28 Aug10 Aug01 Jul04 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL Sep08 Aug19 Jun02 Aug18 Jun24 (beattie m)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  IZZY'S MONSTER Sep21 Aug02 Jul09 Jun22 May25 (rivelli la)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
 
PID-4   09/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONTANI Sep04 Jun20 Jun05 May15 Jan05 (valdez moise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 4.50 6% 16.90    
SCR  BEAR CREEK Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 (hoffman mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
KING ECLIPTICAL Aug30 Aug23 Aug14 Jul26 Jul10 (stites w)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
HEATHER'S GOLD Sep10 Aug29 Aug14 Jul12 Jun20 (rogers m)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00    
JARETH Aug29 Aug14 Jul26 Jul12 Jun20 (brooks gerald )BARBOSA JEIRON 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
POLLOCK Aug29 Dec17 Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 (guciardo john)ALENCAR WALBER 124 10.00    
BIG CHICKEN MAN Sep18 Aug14 Jul12 Jun20 May24 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 5.00    
SOUTH SEA Sep04 Aug22 Aug16 Jul24 Jun14 (rojas edua)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
PID-5   09/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTECTTHEWITNESS Sep06 Aug21 Aug01 Jul17 Jun20 (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF Sep25 Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 Jul19 (valdez moise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
ANIPPE Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 Jun19 May29 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
UNICORN SALLY Sep11 Aug09 Jul04 Jul26 Jul12 (ferraro ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50    
MIDNIGHT FROST Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 Jul08 Jun22 (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
SUMMER AT THE SPA Sep04 Aug24 Aug12 Jul29 Jul11 (lake scott)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
SALLY'S MUSTANG Sep13 Aug09 Jul25 Jul10 Jun13 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00    
LADY LANA Aug30 Jul17 Jun14 May31 Apr24 (vitali marcus )BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   09/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUNDED Aug22 Jul25 Jun07 Oct17 Sep13 (hamm timothy)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.00    
VELOCE Sep09 Aug18 Jul27 Jun17 May12 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MASON MANIA Sep12 Aug02 Jun11 May05 Apr06 (girten tim)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.00    
DR. STEVE Aug18 Jun28 Jun01 Apr20 Mar22 (beattie to)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 70% 0.40    
SCR  PEMAQUID PETE Sep05 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 Jun05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.00    
MAXIMUM IMPACT Sep03 Jul14 May26 Apr21 Jan20 (ginter raymond )ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
BARNEGAT LIGHT Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 May30 May05 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00    
 
PID-7   09/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fitz Dixon, Jr. Memorial Juven Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CATIRE VIZCAYA Aug26 Jul20       (avila juan)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
SWEET SODDY J Sep02 Aug10       (ginter raymond)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00 11% 8.50    
BANNEKER Sep05         (sisterson jack)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
UNCLE KENNY Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 May31   (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 12.00    
GOING UP Aug05 Jul16 May31     (potts g)ALLEN D 123 1.80 56% 0.80    
SHE'S FIRE Sep16 Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 Jun12 (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 116 3.00    
GOTTS GOT IT Aug16 Jun14 May26     (potts g)WALKER M 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
 
PID-8   09/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT SHY Aug23 Aug08 Jul16 Dec11 Nov28 (herrington call)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 20.00    
ITALIAN TWIN Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 Aug10 Jul28 (martin n)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT FOXY Aug25 Aug16 Aug08 Jul26 Jul04 (brooks gerald )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00    
ABUNDANT STORY Aug29 Aug11 Jul24     (sharp j)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
READY SHE IS Aug30 Aug10 Jul26 Jul03 Jun21 (cheeks jo)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 5.00    
CONNECTING FLIGHT Aug25 Aug10 Jun17 May13 Apr23 (davis scoote)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.00    
ORGANZA Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 (herrington an)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
WREAKING HAVOC Aug28 Aug10 Apr29 Apr14 Mar16 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
STORMIN MELLY Aug30 Aug07 Jul26 Jun26 May29 (markgraf david)WALKER M 118 10.00    
10  SOUL OF THE BEAST Sep12 Aug15       (brooks gerald )AYALA J 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.