The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Charles Town
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $7.60 -4.00
    Exacta (4/2)-(4/2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-4 2 0 $6.70 -6.00
    Trifecta (4/2)-(4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-4-3 3 0 $13.00 -12.00
CT-2   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $6.80 -6.00
    Exacta (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-6 2 0 $15.30 -6.00
    Trifecta (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-6-3 3 0 $169.20 -6.00
    Daily Double (4/2)-(4/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-1 2 0 $40.60 -12.00
CT-3   Win (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
    Exacta (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-2 2 1 $9.30 $9.30 -2.70
    Trifecta (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 7-2-1 3 1 $42.30 $42.30 18.30
    Daily Double (4/5/7)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-7 2 0 $16.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (4/2)-(4/5/7)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-1-7 3 0 $49.00 -24.00
CT-4   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -1.80
    Exacta (7/3)-(7/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 7-2 2 0 $2.10 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 7-2-3 3 0 $3.10 0.00
    Daily Double (3/2/7/1)-(7/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 7-7 2 1 $6.80 $6.80 -9.20
    Pick Three (4/5/7)-(3/2/7/1)-(7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-7-7 3 0 $13.00 -24.00
CT-5   Win (7/1/2/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $11.40 -10.00
    Exacta (7/1/2/5/6)-(7/1/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 9-1 2 0 $23.10 -20.00
    Trifecta (7/1/2/5/6)-(7/1/2/5/6)-(7/1/2/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 9-1-8 3 0 $414.10 -60.00
    Daily Double (7/3)-(7/1/2/5/6) 10 $2.00 $20.00 7-9 2 0 $20.80 -20.00
    Pick Three (3/2/7/1)-(7/3)-(7/1/2/5/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 7-7-9 3 0 $26.00 -40.00
CT-6   Win (9/5/4/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -5.00
    Exacta (9/5/4/1/6)-(9/5/4/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 9-5 2 1 $9.90 $9.90 -10.10
    Trifecta (9/5/4/1/6)-(9/5/4/1/6)-(9/5/4/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 9-5-8 3 0 $31.30 -60.00
    Daily Double (7/1/2/5/6)-(9/5/4/1/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00 9-9 2 0 $34.60 -50.00
    Pick Three (7/3)-(7/1/2/5/6)-(9/5/4/1/6) 50 $1.00 $50.00 7-9-9 3 0 $26.60 -50.00
CT-7   Win (4/5/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $21.80 -10.00
    Exacta (4/5/3/7/6)-(4/5/3/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 8-9 2 0 $60.50 -20.00
    Trifecta (4/5/3/7/6)-(4/5/3/7/6)-(4/5/3/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 8-9-7 3 0 $458.50 -60.00
    Daily Double (9/5/4/1/6)-(4/5/3/7/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00 9-8 2 0 $67.00 -50.00
    Pick Three (7/1/2/5/6)-(9/5/4/1/6)-(4/5/3/7/6) 125 $1.00 $125.00 9-9-8 3 0 $147.10 -125.00
CT-8   Win (8/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $24.20 -8.00
    Exacta (8/7/2/1)-(8/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-7 2 0 $50.30 -12.00
    Trifecta (8/7/2/1)-(8/7/2/1)-(8/7/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 3-7-2 3 0 $625.50 -24.00
    Daily Double (4/5/3/7/6)-(8/7/2/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 8-3 2 0 $285.20 -40.00
    Pick Three (9/5/4/1/6)-(4/5/3/7/6)-(8/7/2/1) 100 $1.00 $100.00 9-8-3 3 0 $362.70 -100.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:233 :48 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S S SPARTAN ENERGY 6 6 7 67   52 11 (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.50 2.80  
HAZEDNCONFUSED 4 7 45 31   1½ 21 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 1.20 69% 0.50 0.50 P
IN JUBALATION 3 3 34 42   2½ 34 (curtis larr)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 8.00  
SIENTE EL AMOR 7 5 21 21   31 46 (wilhelm tabit)ESQUILIN J 122 10.00 25.60  
JEFFERSON SECURITY 2 1 55 53   65(grams tim)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 24.40  
BEAR'S ESTATE 1 2 11 11   41 68 (knoblauch-perez m)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 10.10  
BOBBYS CASE LOAD 5 4 69 78   7710½ (pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 112 30.00 42.90  
 
CT-2   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
:234 :48 1:14     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVEIRS MINUTE 1 2 11 11   15 17 (hess g)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 2.40  
MISS WAVE 5 5 53 4   25 27 (hillegass alexandra)CULLUM W 120 3.50 4.00  
DENALI D'ORO 2 1 21 5   511 314½ (schlicht erika)LARROSA G 120 15.00 20.10  
SECRET CASTLE 4 3 42 31   39 414½ (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 24% 3.20 2.80  
JAMESTOWN ROAD 3 4 32 21   49 515¼ (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 45% 1.20 1.90  
CASTLE OF CAYLEE 6 6 6 6   615 617½ (rideout a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
SCR  GRACE ELIZABETH               (runco c)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50    
SCR  OCEAN LILLY               (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
 
CT-3   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
:24 :491 1:151     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPEALING ROAD 7 7 31 1nk   15 18 (gazzier kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.80 15% 5.80 1.30 W
DEREKA'S BLUFF 2 3 6 4   25 28 (venham d)BATISTA C 122 3.00 15% 5.60 5.30 P
PRINCESS HALO 1 4 4 6   43(craig e)ESQUILIN J 122 8.00 9% 9.70 12.40 S
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS 3 1 1½ 2nk   35 4(meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 122 3.50 36% 1.70 3.40  
GOLDEN SALLY 4 2 2½ 31   511¼ 519¼ (boggs joanna)CECIL Y 116 15.00 16.60  
AMELIA'S DREAM 5 5 52 52   612¼ 622¼ (jones e)CULLUM W 118 6.00 3.90  
HOOK THE CHAIN 6 6 7 7   716¾ 724¼ (greaves vernon)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 12.40  
 
CT-4   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
:243 :492 1:14     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERO'S MAN 4 3 11 11   11(sigler g)LARROSA G 120 2.50 50% 1.00 0.10 W
BUFF'S EYE VIEW 1 1 21 21   22(walters dav)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 4.80  
GOLDEN APPEAL 2 2 31 32   33(craig lew)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00 15% 5.60 8.80 S
SARGENT KOBE 3 4 4 4   411½ 414½ (lane j)CULLUM W 120 6.00 14.60  
SCR  COMMAND THE CAT               (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00    
SCR  THUNDERINREADYRICK               (bass w)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 12.00    
SCR  WINDSOR'S TRACKER               (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
 
CT-5   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
:234 :482 1:143     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINAS CONNECTION 9 8 64 2½   11(locklear )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 4.70  
NORLANDER 1 1 11 1½   22(runco c)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50 20% 4.00 2.00 P
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME 8 9 76 5   3311¼ (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 15.00 58.60  
FLOOR IT 3 2 53 8   611½ 411¼ (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 5.00  
WAVE ACTION 7 7 8 6   711¾ 512 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 40% 1.50 1.50  
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS 6 5 42 3   511½ 614 (shanley timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 33.20  
KLIMT O'MATIC 4 3 3 4   410½ 719¾ (viands r)CULLUM W 120 15.00 32.20  
AGAIN WE MEET 2 6 917½ 913¼   917¾ 822¾ (sewell lenwor)ESQUILIN J 120 15.00 9% 9.90 44.90  
MIMS SECOND CHANCE 5 4 21 7   813¾ 923½ (rideout anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 8.00 8% 11.70 25.30  
 
CT-6   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
:234 :48 1:14     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL HER 9 7 34 1nk   11(runco c)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.00 62% 0.60 1.50 W
LADRO DI FICHI 5 5 55 4   22(rideout anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 8% 12.00 5.30 P
ARROWWOOD 8 6 66 63   436 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 6.20  
JUBA'S HOUSE 3 3 23 2nk   34(boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00 12.90  
VILLAREGGIA 7 8 911¼ 9   612 5(ginter ra)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 32.70  
BONNIE BLUETOOTH 2 1 8 8   914½ 612¼ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 14.60  
A LITTLE BIT CRAZY 4 9 7 75   813½ 713¾ (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 5% 17.30 3.70  
SKYFLY 1 2 45 5   510½ 814 (locklear james)CECIL Y 122 15.00 5% 19.00 51.50  
CHURCH KEY 6 4 13 31   713 917¼ (harrison gl)BOCACHICA J 110 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
 
CT-7   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
:232 :473 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA BABY 8 7 7 31   11 1(keller christoph)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 9.90  
MARINA GRANDE 9 8 1½ 11   21 2(figgins l)PELTROCHE F 116 6.00 7.20  
SLEWING 7 6 9 6   36 36 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 28.30 S
NO DENYING DENIS 6 4 4 21   46 4(sigler g)LARROSA G 116 15.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
LONG LEGS LOUISE 1 10 1012¼ 1010¼   810½ 510½ (lewis r)ACOSTA D 120 30.00 72.70  
LOVE OF GRACE 3 2 5 9   7611¼ (collins tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 36.10  
TRUE FLIRT 2 1 2½ 5   5712¼ (farrior antho)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 3.40  
10  HERETODAYGONMANANA 10 9 8 8   1013½ 814½ (boggs joa)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 79.30  
KEEP ON SPURRIN 5 5 3 4   6914¾ (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 6% 14.70 5.30  
TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL 4 3 6 7   912½ 1019 (beattie tod)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 61% 0.60 1.00  
SCR  FOXY SISTA               (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 0.60    
 
CT-8   08/19/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
:222 :464       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AT THE HALF 3 4 5     32 1¼ (davis russell)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 11.10  
MAKE IT A DOUBLE 6 2 3     42¼ (king yolonda)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 3.50 23% 3.40 5.00 P
SUPER WILDCAT 2 3 1½     12 3(pennella m)CECIL Y 122 20.00 5% 19.00 17.60 S
SCARLET TANAGER 4 5 4     54(spriggs tos)BOCACHICA J 110 15.00 5.10  
LOST ANCHOR 8 1 2½     22 5(collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 2.70  
WOODSONG'S CASTLE 5 7 816     611¾ 6(shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 34.00  
MISS BETTE LUTE 7 6 715     813¼ 7(jackson l)CULLUM W 122 1.40 51% 1.00 1.30  
ONEPRETTYTHING 1 8 612½     712¾ 89 (smith osb)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 41.90  
SCR  MISS WILD               (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.