Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/5/7)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(3/2/7/1)-(7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/1)-(7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/1)-(7/3)-(7/1/2/5/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/3)-(7/1/2/5/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(7/1/2/5/6)-(9/5/4/1/6) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/1/2/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/5/6)-(7/1/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/5/6)-(7/1/2/5/6)-(7/1/2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/2/5/6)-(9/5/4/1/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/5/6)-(9/5/4/1/6)-(4/5/3/7/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-6   WIN (9/5/4/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/1/6)-(9/5/4/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/1/6)-(9/5/4/1/6)-(9/5/4/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/4/1/6)-(4/5/3/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4/1/6)-(4/5/3/7/6)-(8/7/2/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (4/5/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/7/6)-(4/5/3/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/7/6)-(4/5/3/7/6)-(4/5/3/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/3/7/6)-(8/7/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/1)-(8/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/1)-(8/7/2/1)-(8/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR'S ESTATE Jul08 Jun20 May20 Mar10 Feb02 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 ★    
2  JEFFERSON SECURITY May20 Apr22 Apr06 Mar02 Jan11 (grams t)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  IN JUBALATION Aug03 Apr22 Jan07 Sep22 Apr27 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
4  HAZEDNCONFUSED Jun16 May25 Apr27 Mar18 Feb15 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 1.20 69% 0.50    
5  BOBBYS CASE LOAD Jul06 Jun01 May13 Mar24 Mar10 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 112 30.00    
6  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Aug03 Jul07 Jun16 May26 May06 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.50 ★    
7  SIENTE EL AMOR Aug03 Jun22 May26 Apr06 Mar10 (wilhelm tabitha)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
 
CT-2   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVEIRS MINUTE Aug03 Jul20 Jun16 May20 Apr06 (hess jacob)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
SCR  GRACE ELIZABETH Jul18 Jul03 May25 Apr13 Jan07 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50    
3  DENALI D'ORO Jun30 May11 Apr08 Mar11 Dec07 (schlicht erika)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
4  JAMESTOWN ROAD Jul20 Jun17 May28 Apr13 Feb24 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  SECRET CASTLE Aug10 Jul28 Jun17 May25 Apr13 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
6  MISS WAVE Jul01 May25 Apr13 Feb24 Feb01 (hillegass alexandr)CULLUM W 120 3.50    
7  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Aug03 Jul01 May25 May06 Apr13 (rideout)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OCEAN LILLY Aug12 Jul22 Jun11 Apr15 Jan19 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
 
CT-3   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS HALO Jul28 Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 Jun24 (craig lewis)ESQUILIN J 122 8.00 9% 9.70    
2  DEREKA'S BLUFF Jul28 Jun30 May26 Apr21 Apr07 (venham d)BATISTA C 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
3  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS May11 Apr20 Mar24 Mar04 Feb24 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 3.50 36% 1.70    
4  GOLDEN SALLY Jul20 Jul13 Jun30 May11 Mar24 (boggs j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 15.00    
5  AMELIA'S DREAM Jul28 Jun30 May25 Apr29 Mar17 (jones e)CULLUM W 118 6.00    
6  HOOK THE CHAIN Mar24 Feb24 Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 (greaves verno)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
7  APPEALING ROAD Jul13 Jun30 Jun09 May26 May11 (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.80 15% 5.80    
 
CT-4   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMAND THE CAT Jun16 May19 Apr15 Nov18 Oct27 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00    
2  BUFF'S EYE VIEW May13 Feb09 Jan12 Oct27 Oct08 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50    
3  GOLDEN APPEAL Jun24 Jun03 May27 May05 Apr01 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
4  SARGENT KOBE Jul27 Jun24 May27 May13 May05 (lane j)CULLUM W 120 6.00    
SCR  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Jul21 Jun22 May06 Apr20 Apr06 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
SCR  THUNDERINREADYRICK Jul21 Jun03 May13 Apr22 Apr13 (bass curtis)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 12.00    
7  HERO'S MAN Jul21 Jun16 May19 Apr29 Nov18 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
CT-5   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORLANDER Jul26 Jun28 Jun18 May08 Apr17 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  AGAIN WE MEET         (sewell lenw)ESQUILIN J 120 15.00 9% 9.90    
3  FLOOR IT Jul21 Jun16 Mar12 Feb26 Jan06 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
4  KLIMT O'MATIC Jul29 Oct07       (viands r)CULLUM W 120 15.00    
5  MIMS SECOND CHANCE Aug05 Jul27 Jul08 Jun22 May27 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 8.00 8% 11.70    
6  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Aug05 Jul29 Jul07 Jun10 May26 (shanley timo)MORALES KELVIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  WAVE ACTION Feb19 Jan21 Dec10     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 40% 1.50    
8  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Jul27 Jun30 Jun10 Apr22 Feb18 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
9  DIVINAS CONNECTION Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 Dec08 Oct26 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00    
 
CT-6   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYFLY Jun16 Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Dec10 (locklear james)CECIL Y 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Jul29 Jun16 Apr29 Apr13 Mar10 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
3  JUBA'S HOUSE Jul28 Jul01 May27 May12 Apr29 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
4  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY May18 Mar26 Jan22 Jan14 Dec03 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 5% 17.30    
5  LADRO DI FICHI Jul22 Jul06 Jun10 May29 May13 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 8% 12.00    
6  CHURCH KEY Jul14 Jul03 Jun19 May21 Apr20 (harrison )BOCACHICA J 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  VILLAREGGIA Aug02 Jul12 Jun24 Jun10 May19 (ginter )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00    
8  ARROWWOOD Aug12 Jul22 May25 Apr28 Apr06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00    
9  DIAL HER Jun16 May04 Mar25 Feb04 Jan12 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.00 62% 0.60    
 
CT-7   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG LEGS LOUISE Jul28 Nov30 Nov02 Oct13 Sep30 (lewis r)MAWING A 120 30.00    
2  TRUE FLIRT Jul28 Jul01 Jun03 May25 May18 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50    
3  LOVE OF GRACE Jul28 Jul01 Jun10 May25 Apr29 (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL Jun02 Aug18 Jun24 May28 May04 (beattie t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 61% 0.60    
5  KEEP ON SPURRIN Jul29 Jul06 Jun03 Apr29 Apr08 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 6% 14.70    
6  NO DENYING DENIS Jul28 Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr21 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SLEWING Jun30 Mar25 Jan14 Dec14 Nov11 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  JUBA BABY Jul28 Jun30 Jun02 May11 Apr29 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00    
9  MARINA GRANDE Jun30 Jun10 May18 Apr20 Aug12 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 116 6.00    
10  HERETODAYGONMANANA Jul28 Jul20 Jun16 Jun02 May05 (boggs j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
SCR  FOXY SISTA Aug03 Jul01 Jun02 May19   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 0.60    
 
CT-8   08/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEPRETTYTHING Jul22 Jul01 Jun06 May21 Apr29 (smith o)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUPER WILDCAT Jun16 May27 Apr14 Mar23 Mar01 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  AT THE HALF Jul06 Jun15 May04 Apr13 Mar16 (davis russe)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
4  SCARLET TANAGER Jun16 May25 Apr15 Mar30 Mar02 (spriggs t)BOCACHICA J 110 15.00    
SCR  MISS WILD Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
6  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Aug05 Jul14 May05 Apr28 Apr13 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
7  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Jul06 May25 May04 Oct12 Sep22 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 3.50 23% 3.40    
8  MISS BETTE LUTE Jul26 Jun14 May23 Apr25 Oct04 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 1.40 51% 1.00    
9  LOST ANCHOR Jul04 Nov30 Nov23 Oct15 Sep18 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.