Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-4   EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-8 $8.80 $2.80 47%
TDN-5   EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-3 $7.20 $5.20 260%
    PK3 (6/8/5)-(8/3/5)-(4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00  8-3-4 $31.80 $13.80 77%
TDN-6   EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-2 $2.70 $0.70 35%
    PK3 (8/3/5)-(4/3)-(1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4-1 $14.40 $2.40 20%
TDN-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $7.40 $3.40 85%
    PK3 (4/3)-(1/2)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  4-1-2 $13.90 $5.90 74%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CONSIDER ME 2 5 1nk 21   1nk 11¾ (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 48% 1.10 0.70 W
3  UNCAPTURED LYON 3 4 2nk 11   2nk 21¾ (rini anthony)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 8.70  
5  KILLER BEE 5 8 811¼ 711½   55½ 32 (szczepansk)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00 10% 9.10 10.80 S
9  MINDSHIP Q 8 1 33½ 32½   32 44 (londono odin)HALDAR J 121 3.00 21% 3.80 4.20  
1  PRIVATE CONNIE 1 6 45 47½   44½ 54 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
4  DOMI 4 7 56½ 58   67 66 (mahan joseph )TOLEDO S 115 15.00 43.40  
6  KRAZY HAWK 6 2 711 813   79½ 79¾ (cady khalil)BOWEN ROCCO 119 20.00 75.20  
7  I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 7 3 67 611½   811½ 811¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 117 3.50 5.80  
SCR  DRINKSONTHEBEACH               (londono j)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
 
TDN-2   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:151     1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROMANCE IN HABANA 2 1 13 12½ 13½ 13½ 1¼ (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 24% 3.10 0.50 W
5  HEART OF THE BEAST 5 6 67 54 23½ 23½ 2¼ (mckanas j)DIAZ I 119 2.00 37% 1.70 2.20 P
1  DUDE'S MIST DATE 1 4 34 22½ 37 38 37¾ (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.00 11.50  
6  LA KADENZA 6 3 55½ 44 410 412½ 419¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 15.70  
4  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL 4 5 45 64½ 621 521½ 529¼ (guciardo rob)KEISER CHELSEY 123 4.50 15% 5.90 10.70  
3  MI CANCION 3 2 23 33 520 621½ 636 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 25.20  
 
TDN-3   09/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:011     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TV TIZ GORGEOUS 6 1 21½ 22   21½ 1½ (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 14% 6.20 2.10 W
2  FAITHFUL SOLUTION 2 5 44 55   32 2½ (skerrett jeff)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.00 2.20  
3  MISS MARY JEAN 3 2 11½ 12   11½ 31¼ (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 110 12.00 15.20  
4  THE KID'S PRAYER 4 4 32 33   43½ 42¼ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 15.00 1.40  
5  HAUGHTY PRAISE 5 6 54 44   56½ 56½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 6.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
1  HEART OF RUBY 1 3 67½ 613   616½ 622½ (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 5.00 20.70  
SCR  FRIENDLY MERGER               (syed riaz)VELEZ J 119 20.00    
SCR  ROARING GINGER               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 62% 0.60    
 
TDN-4   09/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL 3 1 12 12   12 13¼ (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 118 2.00 32% 2.10 2.20 W
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of BOSSY GIRL by STREET BOSS)
8  TIERNEY 6 2 32 22   22 23¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 43% 1.30 1.90 P
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
1  MAYBETHEONE 1 4 22 32   32½ 35¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.50 2.90  
  (by ONE SIDED out of MAYBEMAYBENOT by PHILADREAM)
4  VICTORIA COMMAND 4 3 49 410½   48½ 47¾ (huffman candace )AVILES YAN 118 8.00 12.30  
  (by FORT LARNED out of VICTORIA MIA by MASTER COMMAND)
2  HISTORYINTHEMAKING 2 5 59½ 513   512½ 512½ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00 3.50  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MAKING HISTORY by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  PITY PURCHASE 5 6 612½ 613½   615 617¾ (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 26.60  
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MILWAUKEE QUEEN by MILWAUKEE BREW)
SCR  ANGIE'S DEAR ONE               (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 15.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  QUICK RENDEZVOUS               (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 5.00    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
TDN-5   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IZZY'S MONSTER 4 3 33 52 3½ 3.2 11½ (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 117 1.60 37% 1.70 0.70 W
3  ROWDY DAISY 3 2 22 2½ 2½ 2nk 21½ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 16% 5.30 6.10 P
1  PURDY PUMKIN 1 1 12 1½ 1½ 1nk 31½ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 3.10  
5  VILLAREGGIA 5 5 53¼ 42 54 54¼ 49½ (ginter j)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 8.00  
2  CONTESSINA 2 4 43 31½ 43 43¼ 512½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 116 2.50 4.90  
 
TDN-6   09/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD BOY BOOGIE 1 1 12 12   14 16¼ (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 64% 0.60 0.30 W
2  ROUGE TU RICHES 2 4 22 22   24 26¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 7% 13.50 4.60 P
3  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 3 2 54¾ 56½   39 311¼ (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 4.90  
6  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 5 5 34½ 36   49½ 414 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ R 119 8.00 16.50  
5  MARQUITOS M 4 3 44½ 46½   511 521¾ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 12.40  
SCR  MATTAWAN               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
 
TDN-7   09/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :461 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RIKIO 2 4 43 43½   41¼ 12½ (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 121 8.00 24% 3.10 2.70 W
6  C J ALL THE WAY 5 2 31½ 31½   31 22½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 2.30  
5  AWESOME ENOUGH 4 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 32¾ (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 4.40  
3  TOYI 3 5 56 56   55¼ 48 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 121 6.00 9.40  
1  WARHORSE WEST 1 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 58¾ (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 27% 2.70 1.70  
SCR  RIVZONAROLL               (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00    
 
TDN-8   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PISTOL PACKIN BOS 4 1 21 21   1nk 11 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 4.10  
6  RATATAT 6 2 32 41¼   31 21 (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 2.50 21% 3.70 2.20 P
3  DANES LAST SONG 3 3 11 11   2nk 31¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 115 3.50 14% 6.10 6.00 S
2  OUR LAST SONG 2 4 42 31   41¼ 42¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 44% 1.30 0.90  
1  MANDOLIN BREEZE 1 5 66 65¾   56¼ 58¼ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 115 6.00 21.30  
5  C MORE PRIDE 5 6 53 53¼   66¼ 610¾ (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00 45.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.