Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-3   EXA (5/2/9/4)-(5/2/9/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-5 $37.00 $13.00 54%
    TRI (5/2/9/4)-(5/2/9/4)-(5/2/9/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00  9-5-2 $92.80 $44.80 93%
    DD (6/8/10/4)-(5/2/9/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-9 $43.80 $11.80 37%
PID-4   EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-6 $18.80 $6.80 57%
    PK3 (6/8/10/4)-(5/2/9/4)-(6/5/1) 48 $2.00 $96.00  6-9-5/7 $140.40 $44.40 46%
PID-7   WIN (12/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.40 $6.40 107%
PID-9   TRI (1/3/4/10)-(1/3/4/10)-(1/3/4/10) 24 $2.00 $48.00  1-3-4 $63.00 $15.00 31%
    SFT (1/3/4/10)-(1/3/4/10)-(1/3/4/10)-(1/3/4/10) 24 $2.00 $48.00  1-3-4-10 $148.80 $100.80 210%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   09/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY DRAGON 7 1 11 1   1 1 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 24.30  
HOT BODE 6 7 7 5   4 2 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 12% 7.10 1.10 P
CALVARY KAT 3 5 64 43   2 3 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 18% 4.50 3.90 S
DREAMFUL 2 4 21 2   3 4 (martin n)RIQUELME J 122 3.50 49% 1.00 2.80  
ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE 1 6 3 3   54 58 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 8.60  
KRISPY RICE 5 3 53 7   7 611¼ (walsh d)ALLEN D 122 5.00 8.70  
BACKSTREET GAL 4 2 4 65   67 711½ (milosevi)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 44.10  
 
PID-2   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARTERMASTER 5 9 8 8   32 1 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.00 29% 2.40 2.80 W
BIG CHICKEN MAN 3 3 11 1½   1 2 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 9.40  
WORBOTHOR 8 6 6 5   75 3 (roman ma)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 17.80  
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 6 5 7 7   8 4 (hayes l)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00 11.40  
WILD CARAMELO 4 4 21 2½   2 5 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 11% 7.80 1.90  
NICKY BEAR 1 7 55 6   53 6 (milosevic mil)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 13.20  
CHARLIE CHARLIE 7 2 3 3   43 77 (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 6.00 20% 4.00 10.40  
FUTILE 2 8 9 9   9 89 (sells rachel)AYALA J 122 15.00 29.80  
10  K'S LITTLE BILL 9 1 4 4   64 910½ (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 14% 6.00 4.20  
SCR  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR               (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 10.00    
 
PID-3   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH IN A FLASH 8 1 11 11   1 1 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 6% 16.00 2.90 W
LIFE MISSION 4 3 21 21   2 2 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 34% 1.90 3.10 P
COMMODORE BARRY 2 5 64 64   55 3 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.40 S
CREATIVE CHOICE 1 6 75 75   6 4 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 15.00 13.40  
BEAR CREEK 3 7 5 3   3 5 (hoffman mark)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
LITTLE BIG 5 2 32 4   4 6 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 5.80  
KUMAR 6 8 8 8   7 712½ (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00 39.80  
E. P. MILTON 7 4 4 5   810¾ 819 (cooney s)GALLARDO A 122 30.00 11.90  
SCR  JUST WATCH ME NOW               (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 8.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY STAR               (weaver cas)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00    
 
PID-4   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:223 :453 :571     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR 5 2 21 21   21 1 (rice adam)ORTIZ JR 116 1.60 26% 2.80 1.90 W
SURLY FURIOUS 6 1 42 42   11 2 (wismer g)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 36% 1.80 2.00 P
NIGHT TIME 2 5 6 53   42 3 (morey william)MORALES PABLO 123 5.00 2.00  
DIAMOND DUST 1 6 11 11   31 4 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 120 6.00 10% 8.60 6.40  
ZOOMBIE 4 3 53 6   6 5 (walsh d)ALLEN D 115 15.00 49.40  
SOUPER SUCCESS 3 4 32 32   5 66 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 117 8.00 14.80  
SCR  SHE'S REDNECKER               (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 114 15.00    
 
PID-5   09/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Presque Isle Mile Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:14 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODIE GOOMER 1 3 32 42 4 2½ 1½ (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 10.00 27.90  
  (by VERRAZANO out of MATH CLASS by EDDINGTON)
HE'S A MESS 3 4 21 21 2nk 3½ 2½ (miller d)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 12% 7.00 4.50 P
  (by DRAMEDY out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
FRANZ JOSEF 4 1 11 11 1nk 1½ 3½ (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60 S
  (by MSHAWISH out of SILENT EMOTION by GHAZI)
HUSH OF A STORM 6 6 4 32 31 4 4 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 5.20  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUSH NOW by FLATTER)
CARROTHERS 2 2 6 6 6 53 55 (drexler marti)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 51% 0.90 0.40  
  (by MSHAWISH out of QUEENOFPERFECTION by ARCH)
CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER 5 5 5 5 5 6 68 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 20.00 18.60  
  (by DIALED IN out of JOYCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  OCEAN POINTE               (estvanko richard)MARTINEZ W 113 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of WEST PALM BEACH by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  SARANAC (FR)               (hodsdon danie)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SARACH by ARCH)
SCR  WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST               (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 125 1.60    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
 
PID-6   09/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:253 :504 1:142 1:383   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENEVIEVE'S Z VA 2 1 11 11 11 11 1½ (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 12.00 9.60  
TOOLCAT 6 2 21 21 21 21 2½ (potts g)MORALES PABLO 124 4.50 14% 6.00 3.00 P
ENSEMBLE (IRE) 3 6 3 3 31 31 3¾ (walsh br)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 1.00 DH
PEACE SEEKER 4 4 6 74 7 5 3¾ (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 8.20 DH
SIDESWIPED 7 3 42 4 5 4 5 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 113 20.00 56.90  
ANOINT 5 5 5 63 42 6 6 (brion keri)ZAYAS J 122 6.00 30% 2.30 6.70  
MALDIVES MODEL 1 7 75 5 6 7 722¾ (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 33% 2.00 8.20  
SCR  CASCADE PARK               (estvanko richard)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
SCR  LINE DANCER               (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00    
 
PID-7   09/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Presque Isle Downs Masters Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:091     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCOMPLISHED GIRL 4 1 11 1½   1 1¾ (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 114 5.00 7% 13.90 5.20 W
  (by STREET BOSS out of DAZZLE by SLEWACIDE)
MIDNIGHT STROLL 1 6 6 64   3 2¾ (terranova john)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 4.30  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MIDNIGHT MAGIC by CAHILL ROAD)
MARISSA'S LADY 2 4 21 32   4 3¾ (morey william)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 17% 4.80 3.10 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of MARISSA'S JOY by CEE'S TIZZY)
12  LOYALTY 7 3 31 2½   2 4 (carroll josi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 2.50 51% 1.00 0.80  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SLEW'S QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
JILL JITTERBUG 5 2 42 5   55 5 (walsh ry)GALLARDO A 116 10.00 20.80  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
SWEET AMY 3 5 53 42   6 611 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 118 30.00 69.40  
  (by UPSTART out of TRISHA by FOREST CAMP)
11  NAPA CANDY 6 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (oliver victori)ALLEN D 118 15.00 34.20  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CALISTOGA by CLAIM)
SCR  ADALINE JULIA               (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 15.00    
  (by OXBOW out of DAEDAL by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  CANCEL THIS               (stidham )MARTINEZ A 118 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CATCH MY FANCY by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  HIDEKI               (walsh d)ALLEN D 118 30.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of I'AM TOORIFIC by TETON FOREST)
SCR  OPENING BUZZ               (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of OPEN MIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  ROSES FOR DEBRA               (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 125 1.40    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ESSENTIAL ROSE by BERNARDINI)
 
PID-8   09/18/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:111 1:364   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES 5 4 6 7 6 1½ 1 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 2.20  
HEY PADRE 1 3 2nk 22 2 32 2 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 18% 4.60 2.40 P
STARSHIP EMPIRE 6 5 1nk 12 1 2½ 3 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 52% 0.90 3.10 S
E MINOR 3 1 5 5 4 4 4 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 8.30  
TIZ TACT TOE 7 6 7 6 78 7 5 (rice adam)ZAYAS J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
VAN 2 2 31 4 5 5 6 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 12.00 19.70  
CARLOUN (IRE) 4 7 4 33 33 66 713½ (brion ke)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 11.00  
SCR  SAKETUMI               (dowling william)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
 
PID-9   09/18/2023 6600ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:36
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:121 1:382   2:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAWLESS BOURBON 1 23 2 24 1nk 1 1½ (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 31% 2.20 1.20 W
GREG'S HONOR 2 47 415 48 31 2 2½ (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 10.00 28% 2.50 6.40 P
COUNTY COURT 3 5 617 5 5 33 3 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 8% 11.00 3.90 S
10  ON THE COUCH 8 6 516½ 6 6 43 4 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
JEN'S SONG 4 7 719 711½ 7 5 57 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 15.00 55.30  
SNAKERATTLEANDROLL 7 36 312½ 3 4 76 613½ (rojas e)STANLEY O 122 12.00 52.80  
FIRE'S FINALE 5 13 1 14 2nk 65 716 (torelli st)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50 12.50  
ATTORNEY TIM 6 810 821½ 815½ 8 89 817½ (fletcher)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 10.80  
SCR  FLIGHT TO PARADISE               (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY HARRY               (pappada michae)ALLEN D 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.