Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-5   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/12/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-10 $21.20 $9.20 77%
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/12/10/6)-(4/1/12/10/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-10-4 $31.95 $13.95 78%
BTP-6   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-1-2 $11.20 $8.20 273%
BTP-7   PK3 (4/1/6)-(1/6/2)-(1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-6-1 $12.40 $3.40 38%
BTP-8   WIN (1/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $8.40 $4.40 110%
    EXA (1/10)-(1/9/8/11/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-10 $29.10 $21.10 264%
    TRI (1/10)-(1/9/8/11/10)-(1/9/8/11/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-10-9 $58.10 $46.10 384%
    DD (1/2)-(1/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00  1-1 $5.80 $1.80 45%
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(1/2)-(1/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00  6-1-1 $9.55 $3.55 59%
    PK4 (4/1/6)-(1/6/2)-(1/2)-(1/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-6-1/4-1 $47.35 $29.35 163%

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
1:35         1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTHORITARIAN 3 1 3 3 3 1½ 1 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 2.00 45% 1.20 0.05 W
DEVOTED TO YOU 4 4 11 1½ 11 2½ 2 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 14% 6.30 24.40 P
SILENT CHAOS 2 3 4 55 4 4 36 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00 60.10  
SCAT SHACK 1 2 21 2½ 21 3 4 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00 ######  
BARRISTER TOM 6 7 7 7 6 5 5 (ewing a)MOJICA JR 120 8.00 24.90  
COME SEE ABOUT IT 7 6 6 6 5 7 69 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 3.50 19% 4.30 11.10  
PERFECT PAINTING 5 8 8 8 8 8 7 (beck rowena)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 74.20  
AMENDED 8 5 5 4 7 6 810¼ (reed r)MCKEE J 120 5.00 21.10  
SCR  KICK OUT THE JAMS               (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 117 2.00    
SCR  LOUISIANIMAL               (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 116 12.00    
 
BTP-2   09/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:142     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T SHE A PISTOL 6 1 11 11   1 1¾ (hernandez)CORREA L 121 3.00 45% 1.20 1.10 W
MARKET OF STOCKS 1 5 5 4   2 2¾ (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 5.00 9.20  
COLUMN 2 6 64 6   5 3 (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 3.50 3.50  
C C'S WORLD 3 4 4 5   4 4 (melancon paul)REYES FRANK 121 4.50 10% 8.90 2.70  
SWEET TOOTSIE LU 4 2 21 21   34 5 (lopez carlo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 8.00 28.20  
COMPETITIVE FIRE 5 3 3 31   6 6 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 121 2.50 12% 7.20 7.00  
 
BTP-3   09/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:142 1:412   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT DAME 3 1 1nk 11 1 1 15 (hernandez javi)REYES R 121 2.50 11% 8.30 1.20 W
PELLETIER 1 2 4 4 2 2 25 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 121 6.00 18.50  
TAMI ANN 5 5 7 6 6 47 3 (barrett grant)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.50 7.80  
OLIVIA'S JOY 7 6 3 3 4 35 47 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 121 5.00 24.20  
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 4 4 6 7 75 68 57 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 3.00 2.10  
OFF THE CHARTS 6 7 5 5 5 58 6 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 121 4.00 38% 1.60 6.70  
SUM KINDA PRETTY 2 3 2nk 21 3 714 726¾ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 23% 3.40 7.00  
 
BTP-4   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:152 1:283   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMAHAWK KITTEN 3 3 3 5 56 31 1 (jarvis ka)CORREA L 124 5.00 2.90  
ARTEMUS EAGLE 4 4 21 2nk 1 2nk 2 (cline c)OUZTS W 124 3.50 26% 2.90 2.70 P
MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE 6 5 5 42 2 1nk 3 (mcvickers lama)REYES R 124 6.00 14% 6.20 1.40 S
CONGRATS THIS 5 7 6 31 33 44 4 (rhoden carlto)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00 9.20  
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE 1 1 11 1nk 44 5 510¾ (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 124 2.50 26% 2.90 5.90  
TORNADO BOY 7 6 7 76 7 6 612 (melancon paul)BUSH V 124 12.00 33.40  
CAPE MARCO DRIVE 2 2 4 63 6 712 717½ (lopez carlo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 8.00 38.10  
SCR  HEY RAY               (sandy s)MCKEE J 124 10.00    
 
BTP-5   09/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:561         :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSAFACTJACK 6 2 1 1   1 1¾ (cahill f)BUSH V 120 10.00 5% 19.00 2.90 W
10  HUNTERTOWN 9 3 5 3   3 2¾ (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 117 5.00 6.10 P
EXPROMPT (FR) 4 11 8 9   67 32 (campbell joel)FELIX E 120 2.50 45% 1.20 2.10 S
FORT LOWELL 3 9 9 8   78 4 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 10.00 14.20  
11  WHAT A RUSH 10 1 2 2   2 5 (cline c)OUZTS W 120 8.00 28.00  
12  BERN N ASH 11 7 7 7   89 6 (dunn stephen )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 4.10  
FLYING HOUDINI 5 10 6 6   5 7 (scott anthony)LEBRON VICTOR 120 20.00 22.50  
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 1 8 33 4   46 87 (morey e)MCKEE J 120 4.00 31% 2.30 10.90  
TALKSCHEAP 2 5 43 5   910 9 (alessi ja)CORREA L 119 15.00 22.80  
MORE CHANCES 7 4 1010¼ 1010¼   1012 1010 (roque elis)MOJICA JR 120 30.00 51.70  
FIXITWITHFORWARD 8 6 1111¼ 1111¾   1113 1111 (cook david )MIRANDA ROGELIO 117 12.00 48.40  
SCR  SMOKEY LEE               (cundiff waylon)ELLIOTT JANE 120 6.00    
 
BTP-6   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:143 1:274   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF ROSES 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 (esquivel jesus)COLON H 119 3.50 15% 5.80 2.30 W
MY FAVORITE UNCLE 1 6 5 5 48 4 2 (galindo-to)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 2.50 47% 1.10 1.20 P
COMMANDER COMPTON 2 3 4 4 58 3 34 (kordenbrock)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00 10% 8.70 6.80 S
EL MIC TIESUN 3 4 711 714 614 69 414 (scott l)MURGIA A 122 8.00 40.50  
FRADY 4 5 2 2 2 2 515½ (adams nan)CORREA L 119 3.00 3.70  
BELL CURVE 7 2 3 3 3 5 618¼ (bates l)BUSH V 119 12.00 60.80  
DISCOUNT DENNIS 5 7 6 613½ 719½ 717 731½ (wittek karyn)OUZTS W 122 5.00 8.80  
 
BTP-7   09/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:141 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISON KARTER 1 1 2 2 2nk 12 1 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 2.00 70% 0.40 0.30 W
ICE BLAST 5 6 65 54 33 37 2 (villa francisc)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.00 2.80  
HENDRIX 6 3 1 1 1nk 22 3 (alvarez nery)ARAGON ROLANDO 116 8.00 22.00  
BASTIEN LE BROWN 3 4 33 6 6 612½ 413¼ (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 25.80  
TWO COOKIE RULE 2 2 54 33 4 48 514¾ (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 120 5.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
CAROM 4 5 44 43 5 511 615½ (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 10.10  
SCR  KEEN ON YOU               (cundiff w)CORREA L 120 10.00    
 
BTP-8   09/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
1:38         1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THALBERG 1 2 5 5 5 11 12 (cowans william )REYES FRANK 116 4.50 73% 0.40 3.20 W
10  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) 8 10 7 7 65 6 22 (manning j)MURGIA A 121 20.00 5% 19.00 9.20 P
THE POINT ROAD 7 9 10 4 4 4 32 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 3.30 S
THE RED FOX 4 4 2½ 3 21 31 4 (meah m)MCENTEE GRACE 121 8.00 10.60  
BIALYSTOCK 6 6 1½ 1 11 21 5 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 2.80  
12  TROY BOY 10 7 3 2 31 52 6 (coomer philip)CANUTO THIAGO 124 15.00 59.50  
MR YETTIE 5 5 8 10 10 10 7 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 12.00 25.40  
RAGING WHIRLWIND 3 1 9 8 8 7 8 (chain pearl)REYES R 124 30.00 21.70  
BACON 2 3 6 6 7 86 9 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 121 3.50 8.80  
11  GOOD SOUL 9 8 4 9 9 97 1010 (lucas wayne)COLON H 121 6.00 8.40  
SCR  BIG BOULDER               (danner kelsey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.50    
SCR  HABITUS (GB)               (shifflet)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 20.00    
SCR  MIGHTY RIOT               (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00    
SCR  RAMBLIN CHROME               (perez jua)CORREA L 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.