Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/5/6)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/6)-(6/5/3)-(6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(6/2/3)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(1/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/12/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/12/10/6)-(4/1/12/10/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(1/6/2)-(1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(1/2)-(1/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(1/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/10)-(1/9/8/11/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/10)-(1/9/8/11/10)-(1/9/8/11/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTHORITARIAN Sep13 Aug23 Jul27 Jul08 Jun03 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  KICK OUT THE JAMS Aug18 Aug05 Jul15 Jun10 May19 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 117 2.00    
2  SCAT SHACK Sep01 Aug15 Jul19 Jun22 Jun14 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00    
3  SILENT CHAOS Aug29 Aug01 Jul08 Jun23 May12 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
SCR  LOUISIANIMAL Aug12 Jul14 May21 Mar31 Nov03 (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 116 12.00    
5  DEVOTED TO YOU Aug24 Jul20 Jun24 Jun03 Apr08 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 14% 6.30    
6  PERFECT PAINTING Jul27 Jun24 May31 Mar25 Mar04 (beck rowena)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BARRISTER TOM Aug31 Aug17 Jul06 Jun17 Sep14 (ewing a)MOJICA JR 120 8.00    
8  COME SEE ABOUT IT Aug29 Jul19 Jun24 May17 Mar14 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
9  AMENDED Aug29 Jul27 Jun09 May18 Mar31 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 5.00    
 
BTP-2   09/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKET OF STOCKS Sep08 Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 Jun10 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 5.00    
2  COLUMN Sep07 Aug12 Jul19 Jun22 May27 (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 3.50    
3  C C'S WORLD Sep08 Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 Jun15 (melancon paul)REYES FRANK 121 4.50 10% 8.90    
4  SWEET TOOTSIE LU Sep08 Aug19 Jul24 Jul09 Jun11 (lopez carlo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 8.00    
5  COMPETITIVE FIRE Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 Jun24 May25 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 121 2.50 12% 7.20    
6  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Jul05 Jun10 May05 Apr26 Mar17 (hernandez)CORREA L 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
BTP-3   09/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PELLETIER Sep02 Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 121 6.00    
2  SUM KINDA PRETTY Sep09 Aug30 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  HOT DAME Aug20 Aug05 Jul13 Jun21 Jun08 (hernandez javi)REYES R 121 2.50 11% 8.30    
4  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Sep02 Aug05 Jul23 Jul13 Jun30 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 3.00    
5  TAMI ANN Aug15 Aug02 Jun30 May26 Apr21 (barrett grant)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.50    
6  OFF THE CHARTS Aug30 Aug05 Jul27 Jun21 May26 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
7  OLIVIA'S JOY Sep03 Aug10 Jul26 Jun10 May20 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 121 5.00    
 
BTP-4   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Sep02 Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 May28 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Sep07 Aug26 Aug15 Jul29 May19 (lopez carlo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 8.00    
3  TOMAHAWK KITTEN Sep02 Aug18 Aug01 Jul13 Jul01 (jarvis ka)CORREA L 124 5.00    
4  ARTEMUS EAGLE Sep08 Aug19 Aug07 Jul21 Jun09 (cline c)OUZTS W 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  CONGRATS THIS Sep08 Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 Jun09 (rhoden carlto)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00    
6  MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul19 Jul05 (mcvickers lama)REYES R 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  HEY RAY Sep01 Jul26 Jun22 May19 Apr27 (sandy s)MCKEE J 124 10.00    
8  TORNADO BOY Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (melancon paul)BUSH V 124 12.00    
 
BTP-5   09/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Aug05 Jun02 Oct29 Sep21 Aug31 (morey e)MCKEE J 120 4.00 31% 2.30    
2  TALKSCHEAP Sep06 Mar10 Feb22 Jan11 Dec22 (alessi ja)CORREA L 119 15.00    
3  FORT LOWELL Apr13 Feb24 Jan13 Dec02 Oct26 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 10.00    
4  EXPROMPT (FR) Aug23 Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 Jul10 (campbell joel)FELIX E 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  FLYING HOUDINI Sep07 Aug11 Jul26 Jul13 Jun17 (scott anthony)LEBRON VICTOR 120 20.00    
6  THATSAFACTJACK Aug10 May27 Apr23 Feb22 Jan20 (cahill f)BUSH V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MORE CHANCES Sep02 Aug03 Apr22 Apr06 Mar16 (roque elis)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
8  FIXITWITHFORWARD Sep02 Aug20 Jul07 May26 Apr08 (cook david )MIRANDA ROGELIO 117 12.00    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE Sep02 Aug11 Jul16 May31 Apr19 (cundiff waylon)ELLIOTT JANE 120 6.00    
10  HUNTERTOWN Aug30 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 May13 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 117 5.00 ★    
11  WHAT A RUSH Jul29 Sep06 Jul22 Jun03 Apr13 (cline c)OUZTS W 120 8.00    
12  BERN N ASH Aug30 Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 Nov22 (dunn stephen )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-6   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FAVORITE UNCLE Aug31 Aug20 Jul21 Jul09 May29 (galindo-to)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  COMMANDER COMPTON Sep02 Nov10 Oct02 Sep03 Aug12 (kordenbrock)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
3  EL MIC TIESUN Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 Jun17 Jun02 (scott l)MURGIA A 122 8.00    
4  FRADY Aug31 Jul20 Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 (adams nan)CORREA L 119 3.00    
5  DISCOUNT DENNIS Aug16 Aug03 Jun15 May19 Aug02 (wittek karyn)OUZTS W 122 5.00    
6  PRINCE OF ROSES Aug12 Aug03 Jun14 May11 Apr26 (esquivel jesus)COLON H 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
7  BELL CURVE Aug03 Jul07 Jun23 May27 Apr28 (bates l)BUSH V 119 12.00    
 
BTP-7   09/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISON KARTER Sep13 Aug16 Jul29 Jul14 Jun21 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 2.00 70% 0.40    
2  TWO COOKIE RULE Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun13 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  BASTIEN LE BROWN Sep02 Aug12 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
SCR  KEEN ON YOU Sep10 Aug18 Aug09 May19 Apr29 (cundiff w)CORREA L 120 10.00    
5  CAROM Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 Jul08 Jun21 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 ★    
6  ICE BLAST Aug30 Aug23 Jul26 Jun22 Jun04 (villa francisc)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.00    
7  HENDRIX Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 May20 May06 (alvarez nery)ARAGON ROLANDO 116 8.00    
 
BTP-8   09/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THALBERG Aug31 Dec22       (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 116 4.50 73% 0.40    
2  BACON Aug31 Aug04 Jun09 May20 Mar24 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 121 3.50    
SCR  MIGHTY RIOT Aug16 Jan26 Jan05 Oct26 Oct03 (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00    
4  RAGING WHIRLWIND Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jun30 May31 (chain pearl)REYES R 124 30.00    
SCR  RAMBLIN CHROME Jul22 Jul01 Jun23 Jun07 May20 (perez jua)CORREA L 121 12.00    
6  THE RED FOX Sep01 Jun09 Sep01     (meah m)MCENTEE GRACE 121 8.00    
7  MR YETTIE Aug16 Jul23 May09     (reed r)MCKEE J 124 12.00    
8  BIALYSTOCK Aug02 Jun12 May23 Apr28 Apr14 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 ★    
9  THE POINT ROAD Aug31 Aug15 Aug03 Jul06 Jun17 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 ★    
10  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 May31 (manning j)MURGIA A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  GOOD SOUL Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 Jun30 Jun09 (lucas wayne)COLON H 121 6.00 ★    
12  TROY BOY Sep09 Aug16 Aug03 Jun23 Jun07 (coomer philip)CANUTO THIAGO 124 15.00    
SCR  HABITUS (GB) Sep09 Aug02 Jun30 May20 Apr01 (shifflet)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 20.00    
SCR  BIG BOULDER Sep02 Jul03 Jun04 May19   (danner kelsey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.