Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belterra Park
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $13.80 $7.80 130%
BTP-5   TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-2-5 $13.70 $10.70 357%
BTP-7   EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $11.30 $5.30 88%
Simulator Race results
 
BTP-1   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:254 :492 1:134 1:262   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MR CLINE 5 4 2nk 2nk 2½ 12 12½ (cline rob)CORREA L 122 2.50 11% 7.90 1.20 W
1  KEEN ON YOU 1 1 32 32 31½ 32 22½ (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 115 3.50 3.60  
4  RUBINSTEIN 4 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 22 37¼ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 4.50 5% 19.00 8.30 S
3  TOMAHAWK KITTEN 3 2 43 46½ 47 47 410¾ (jarvis kathy)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00 5.40  
2  HARD LIGHTING 2 5 55½ 57 57 57¼ 512½ (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 3.00 60% 0.70 2.20  
SCR  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED               (howard d)REYES R 120 6.00    
 
BTP-2   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:142 1:281   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRASSROOTS 1 3 2½ 2nk 32 1nk 12½ (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 120 3.50 33% 2.00 0.20 W
2  MR JOKE 2 2 1½ 1nk 11 2nk 22½ (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00 7.50  
3  JACK THE BIRD 3 1 31½ 31 21 3.2 37½ (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 5.00 31% 2.20 3.60 S
5  THE BIG NAUGHTY 4 4 48½ 411 410 48¼ 415¼ (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 4.00 8.50  
SCR  BACON               (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50    
SCR  UTOPIAN TREASURE               (morelos mateo)COLON H 120 4.50    
 
BTP-3   08/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:223 :46       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BUCKEYE PRINCESS 5 3 21 1½   13 14 (drury jr)MCKEE J 113 1.60 43% 1.30 0.30 W
1  MR. BALI 1 4 45 44½   44 24 (evans mic)CORREA L 118 3.50 19% 4.20 5.00 P
6  SHOWTIME BOY 6 1 11 2½   23 37¼ (zielinski ric)PANAIJO JORGE 118 6.00 17.30  
3  GRAY DAY 3 6 65¼ 65   55 47½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 3.00 17% 4.80 6.40  
2  FACTUM'S STAR 2 2 32½ 32½   34 57¾ (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 118 4.50 13.40  
4  MUSIC GEM 4 5 55 54½   67 69 (figueroa cesar)REYES R 118 6.00 33.10  
 
BTP-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:15 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BROGUE 3 3 32 21½ 32 11½ 12½ (cowans william)COLON H 119 3.50 42% 1.40 5.90 W
  (by CONNECT out of EYES CHEEKS SMILE by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  ONORE 4 4 54 53½ 44½ 43½ 22½ (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00 0.90  
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
6  REVENGE TOUR 6 2 11½ 11½ 21 32½ 35 (short travis)MARCANO Y 114 3.00 11% 8.00 5.00 S
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
1  ROYALLY FLUSHED 1 5 43 32½ 11 21½ 45 (short tr)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 5.00 23.80  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
2  INMYDREAMS 2 1 21½ 42½ 55½ 55 56½ (corrigan jim)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.50 17% 4.80 2.10  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of WINTER EVENING by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  HEARTFELT KARTER 5 6 65 64 69 612 620½ (short thomas)MOJICA JR 119 8.00 29.90  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HEARTFELT by CONGRATS)
 
BTP-5   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:232 :472 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GRANADICA 5 1 2nk 1nk   11½ 11¼ (sandy s)MCKEE J 122 2.00 57% 0.80 0.10 W
2  ABIGAIL G 2 4 31 31½   21½ 21¼ (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 14% 6.40 10.50 P
5  THREE POINT KUZ 4 3 42 43   44 34½ (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 25.40 S
1  MAXIMUM JOY 1 5 1nk 2nk   33 47¼ (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 3.50 4.90  
4  SISTER JUSTICE 3 2 53 56   59 510 (thompson da)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00 24.00  
SCR  TAYA ALLDAYA               (bland greg)MARCANO Y 118 4.00    
 
BTP-6   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:112 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COMMANDANDCONTROL 8 6 62¾ 43½ 33½ 2½ 12 (corrigan jim)OUZTS W 115 6.00 13.70  
1  KICK OUT THE JAMS 1 8 85¾ 55½ 43½ 32 22 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 119 2.50 2.20  
3  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER 3 1 1nk 11 11½ 1½ 32¼ (peach chadwi)MARCANO Y 121 5.00 59% 0.70 2.70 S
6  QUERIDINHA LECA 6 7 73¾ 87 67 54 42½ (lobo h)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50 9% 9.90 2.20  
2  CALLMEMARTHAJANE 2 2 31½ 32 55 65½ 511½ (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 115 4.00 7.80  
4  MISS MOON PIE 4 3 2nk 21 21½ 44 613½ (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 117 8.00 15.60  
5  GOODNESS SAKES 5 4 52¾ 66½ 713 713½ 719¼ (gorham robert)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 12.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
7  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR 7 5 41¾ 76½ 818½ 821½ 828½ (reed r)MCKEE J 115 4.50 9% 10.60 17.40  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 10.00    
 
BTP-7   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROJAN TALE 1 4 21½ 21   12 14 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 118 3.00 27% 2.70 0.70 W
2  BRILLIANT JOURNEY 2 1 11½ 11   22 24 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.00 33% 2.00 6.20 P
3  CHIEF BUCKEYE 3 5 45 46½   44½ 34¼ (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 4.00 4.80  
6  HIP HIP HOORAY 5 3 31½ 33   33½ 46 (gorham ro)CORREA L 120 4.50 11% 7.80 2.40  
4  DASH OF FIRE 4 2 55½ 56½   57 512 (chain pearl)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00 29.40  
SCR  SIMON SAYS               (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 4.50    
 
BTP-8   08/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:124 1:253   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RECOGNIZE ME 3 9 85¾ 86¾ 77 41¼ 11½ (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 3.50 ★ 3.50  
10  SPLIT DECISION 8 7 96¾ 98¼ 87¼ 61¾ 21½ (ewing ann)MCKEE J 122 5.00 17% 4.90 4.20 P
9  SYLLABUS 7 3 64 74¾ 66 51¾ 32 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 30.00 5% 19.00 11.00 S
5  FLORIS 4 5 42½ 62¾ 42 31 44 (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 6.30  
8  LUCKY SHORE 6 4 52½ 3½ 32 21 54¾ (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 10.00 9% 9.60 9.30  
11  SHE'S A KEEPER 9 8 74¼ 4¾ 11 11 66¼ (esquivel )CORREA L 122 2.50 3.20  
6  GET CLEAR 5 6 32 52¼ 54½ 73¼ 76¾ (sands shane)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 49% 1.10 4.00  
1  ZERO CLICK 1 1 11 1½ 21 88¼ 814¼ (norris mike)MARCANO Y 112 15.00 21.00  
2  CORIMA 2 2 21 2½ 97¼ 910¼ 914¾ (jurado luis)COLON H 122 30.00 48.20  
SCR  EXACTLY WENDY               (reed r)MCKEE J 122 8.00    
SCR  HAPPYKIYAY               (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 122 20.00    
SCR  WILMORE               (begley greg)CANUTO THIAGO 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.