Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/3)-(5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/1/3)-(3/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(3/2/6)-(6/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/2/5)-(3/6/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/5)-(2/1/6)-(6/10/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(6/10/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/10/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/8/9)-(6/10/8/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/8/9)-(6/10/8/9/4)-(6/10/8/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEN ON YOU Aug09 May19 Apr29 Apr21 Mar04 (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 115 3.50    
2  HARD LIGHTING Aug04 Jul13 Apr21 Jan25 Jan14 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
3  TOMAHAWK KITTEN Aug01 Jul13 Jul01 Mar24 Feb22 (jarvis kathy)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00    
4  RUBINSTEIN Jul22 Jul01 Jun07 May19 Apr29 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  MR CLINE Jul19 Jun15 May30 May08 Mar30 (cline rob)CORREA L 122 2.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Jul13 Jun08 May27 May13 Apr29 (howard d)REYES R 120 6.00    
 
BTP-2   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRASSROOTS Aug04 Jul14 Jul01 Jun09 May27 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  MR JOKE Aug02 Apr20       (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00    
3  JACK THE BIRD Jul20 Jul03 Jun22 May24 May09 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  BACON Aug04 Jun09 May20 Mar24 Feb10 (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50    
5  THE BIG NAUGHTY Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 May31   (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 4.00    
SCR  UTOPIAN TREASURE Aug09 Jul06 Jun17 Jun08 May27 (morelos mateo)COLON H 120 4.50    
 
BTP-3   08/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BALI Jun29 Jun19 Jun01 May18 May05 (evans mic)CORREA L 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  FACTUM'S STAR Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 118 4.50    
3  GRAY DAY Jul22 Jul13 Jun29 May26 May11 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  MUSIC GEM May31 Apr24 Apr12 Mar29 Mar06 (figueroa cesar)REYES R 118 6.00    
5  BUCKEYE PRINCESS Aug24         (drury jr)MCKEE J 113 1.60 43% 1.30    
6  SHOWTIME BOY Aug09 Jul24 Jun29 May29 May11 (zielinski ric)PANAIJO JORGE 118 6.00    
 
BTP-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYALLY FLUSHED Jul12 Jun23       (short tr)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 5.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
2  INMYDREAMS Aug03 Jul12 Jun10 May29   (corrigan jim)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of WINTER EVENING by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  BROGUE         (cowans william)COLON H 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by CONNECT out of EYES CHEEKS SMILE by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  ONORE Jul29 Jun23       (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
5  HEARTFELT KARTER Jul12         (short thomas)MOJICA JR 119 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HEARTFELT by CONGRATS)
6  REVENGE TOUR Jul29 Jul12 Jun22     (short travis)MARCANO Y 114 3.00 11% 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
BTP-5   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUM JOY Jun22 Jun10 May11 Oct26 Sep16 (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 3.50    
2  ABIGAIL G Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 Jun10 (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  TAYA ALLDAYA Jul18 Jun27 May31 May16 May06 (bland greg)COLON H 118 4.00    
4  SISTER JUSTICE Aug04 Jun17 Jun10 Nov21 Nov08 (thompson da)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00    
5  THREE POINT KUZ Aug01 Jun22 Jun03 Sep06 Aug16 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GRANADICA Jul19 Jul06 May20 May04 Feb20 (sandy s)MCKEE J 122 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
BTP-6   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK OUT THE JAMS Aug05 Jul15 Jun10 May19 Mar15 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 119 2.50    
2  CALLMEMARTHAJANE Jun16 Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 Dec30 (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 115 4.00    
3  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 Aug16 Jul15 (peach chadwi)MARCANO Y 121 5.00 59% 0.70    
4  MISS MOON PIE Jul27 Jul14 Jun21 May28 May06 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 117 8.00    
5  GOODNESS SAKES Aug06 May11 Apr27 Oct10 Sep23 (gorham robert)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  QUERIDINHA LECA Jul19 Mar02 Dec28 Dec11 Oct31 (lobo h)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50 9% 9.90    
7  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Jul19 May26 Apr05 Feb20 Oct13 (reed r)MCKEE J 115 4.50 9% 10.60    
8  COMMANDANDCONTROL Jun16 May31 May06 Apr23 Jan14 (corrigan jim)OUZTS W 115 6.00    
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) Jul08 Jul01 May27 May12 Apr21 (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 10.00    
 
BTP-7   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROJAN TALE Jul25 Jun24 Jun02 May05 Feb16 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  BRILLIANT JOURNEY Jul06 Jun02 May18 Nov07 Sep29 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  CHIEF BUCKEYE Jul08 May17 Jun03 May06   (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 4.00    
4  DASH OF FIRE Aug11 Nov30 Nov15 Oct31 Oct13 (chain pearl)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
SCR  SIMON SAYS Jun24 May17 Dec29 Nov29 Sep16 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 4.50    
6  HIP HIP HOORAY Jul10 Jun02 May15 Apr04 Mar13 (gorham ro)CORREA L 120 4.50 11% 7.80    
 
BTP-8   08/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERO CLICK Aug01 May26 May06 Apr18 Mar18 (norris mike)MARCANO Y 112 15.00    
2  CORIMA Jul07 Jun22 May17 May02 Nov21 (jurado luis)COLON H 122 30.00    
SCR  WILMORE Aug04 Jul26 Jun24 Jun08 May02 (begley greg)CANUTO THIAGO 122 30.00    
4  RECOGNIZE ME Jul29 Feb02 Sep28     (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 3.50 ★    
5  FLORIS Jun24 May18 May26 May03 Apr10 (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00    
6  GET CLEAR Aug04 Aug18 Jul19 Jul01 May26 (sands shane)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  HAPPYKIYAY Aug01 May18 May02 Jun07 May16 (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 122 20.00    
8  LUCKY SHORE Aug04 Jul26 Jul07 Mar18 Mar02 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 10.00 9% 9.60    
9  SYLLABUS Jul26 Jun24 Jun08 May03 Apr08 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  SPLIT DECISION Jul26 Jul06 Jun08 Mar02 Jan06 (ewing ann)MCKEE J 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
11  SHE'S A KEEPER Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 Jun10 May11 (esquivel )CORREA L 122 2.50    
SCR  EXACTLY WENDY Jul26 Jun11 Feb25 Jan28 Dec10 (reed r)MCKEE J 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.