Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - September 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
TDN-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
TDN-3   Win (2/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
TDN-4   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $14.20  
TDN-5   Win (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-6   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-7   Win (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $7.40  
TDN-8   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNI MUNI SLEW 7 3 35 3.2   2½ 12 (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 25% 3.10 3.10 W
SIMPLY VALID 6 2 21 1nk   1½ 22 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 10.30  
WILE E PEYOTE 2 5 46 4   33 3 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 12% 7.10 4.30 S
MAKING ME CRAZY 5 4 69 6   44 4 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 22.00  
AMERICAN PRINCE 1 6 5 5   5 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 40% 1.50 0.70  
UNCLEJACKOMO 4 7 713 7   6 614¼ (faulkner rodne)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 6.00 22.10  
MASTER 3 1 11 2nk   78 720 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 123 4.00 17.30  
 
TDN-2   09/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:151     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH FIRE 2 3 3 4 4¾ 11 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 30% 2.30 1.10 W
PENNY SHOTS 4 4 4 31 3½ 31 2 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 30% 2.30 1.90 P
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 3 2 1½ 1nk 1½ 21 3 (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 11.50  
JETTIN PEGASUS 1 5 5 5 5¾ 42 4 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 6.40  
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 5 1 2½ 2nk 2½ 5 5 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 3.90  
SCR  MOBIL MEISTER               (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00    
SCR  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE               (skeens jeremy)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00    
 
TDN-3   09/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :472 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL TIME STRUTIN 1 3 11 1   1½ 1 (gonz)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 19% 4.30 1.80 W
DEFENDER GAL 2 4 43 4   3 2 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 26% 2.90 2.80 P
FIRST BLUE 5 7 6 6   2½ 3 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00 9% 10.20 5.80 S
DANCE MY WAY 8 6 7 7   43 4 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 25% 3.00 3.00  
CATCHMENOW 6 5 5 5   5 510 (genovese l)VELEZ J 119 15.00 30.70  
VIMISOFA 4 1 3 2   6 614¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 5.40  
TRAMA QUEEN 3 2 21 3   7 718¼ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 12.00 33.50  
SHEWEARSMYRING 7 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
SCR  MY FAITH               (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 20.00    
 
TDN-4   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHYTHMIC RULER 1 4 1½ 11   1 1 (west m)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 6.10  
MR LOOOCH 6 1 32 21   2 2 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 51% 1.00 0.20 P
SUSIE'S KID 3 6 6 4   35 3 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 11.10  
RAISE THE PURSES 5 5 55 67   610 4 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.00 10.20  
O CIGANO 4 3 2½ 33   4 510¼ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
GARRETT 2 2 4 5   5 611 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 19% 4.40 22.10  
SCR  MOESTER               (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKLAHOMA JOE 8 2 2nk 1   14 1 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 115 4.50 37% 1.70 1.40 W
RED HEAD KID 1 8 4 43   34 2 (fernandez edward)RIVERA R 121 4.00 8.60  
DANES HEART 5 4 1nk 3   24 3 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 8.00 26.10  
CONTROLLER 3 6 6 68   5 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 5% 17.70 8.10  
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 6 1 3.2 2   4 5 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 31% 2.20 2.40  
OVERLOAD 7 3 7 7   68 6 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 8.70  
STARS N SPACE 2 7 5 5   7 715½ (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 7.20  
LIL RICKYS JEWEL 4 5 85 812   815½ 822½ (cline c)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 20.00  
 
TDN-6   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURROUNDER 6 1 3.2 1½   14 1 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.00 28% 2.60 1.40 W
MAMAS HOME COOKING 4 3 4 4   24 2 (cline c)ROSARIO L 117 3.50 9% 9.50 5.00 P
COLOR BEARER 3 2 2nk 3   34 310½ (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 117 2.00 7.80  
GIBBY MY CORN 2 5 5 58   5 415 (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 33.40  
LITTLE TOY GUNS 1 4 1nk 2½   45 516 (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 115 1.80 37% 1.70 1.10  
MUSIC GEM 5 6 6 613   613½ 623¼ (figueroa j)FELICIANO R 115 12.00 31.60  
 
TDN-7   09/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:142     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AULD LANGE SYNE 3 2 1 1 11 1 1½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 4.00 2.70  
EXONERATED PREZ 1 1 5 36 3 2 2½ (genovese l)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 10.60  
GOLDEN TONE 4 5 42 5 43 4 33 (rivera xavier )BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.30 S
FISHING FOR FUN 5 3 3 2 21 3 4 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 3.50 46% 1.20 2.40  
AT THE BEACH 2 4 2 46 57 5 523 (szczepanski e)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 5.90  
SCR  FARM STRONG               (rivera xavi)HERNANDEZ H 119 15.00    
SCR  MONTAUK COVE               (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50    
 
TDN-8   09/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:131     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIR AND SQUARE 5 1 1 1 11 12 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.50 25% 3.00 0.30 W
SILENCE 4 5 58 45 32 3 2 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 8.90  
RAISON KARTER 1 2 2 2 21 22 33 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 123 4.50 22% 3.50 4.30 S
SHELL FIRE 3 4 47 6 6 5 4 (castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 118 20.00 65.50  
TO WIN 2 6 6 55 53 6 5 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 121 3.00 27% 2.70 7.70  
RELISH THE RIDE 6 3 3 3 42 45 6 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 21.20  
SCR  RAVEN MOON               (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.