Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(4/2)-(2/9/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(2/9/1/5)-(7/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/9/1/5)-(7/3/5)-(8/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(8/6/3)-(1/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/3)-(8/6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/3)-(8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3)-(1/6/4)-(7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(7/6)-(2/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (7/6)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN PRINCE Aug16 Jul25 May20 May05 Apr09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  WILE E PEYOTE Aug16 Aug15 Jul10 May16 Feb19 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 12% 7.10    
3  MASTER Aug31 Aug14 Jul27 Jul10 Jun10 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 123 4.00    
4  UNCLEJACKOMO Jul27 Jul10 Jun10 May30 May13 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
5  MAKING ME CRAZY Apr25 Mar28 Mar09 Feb20 Feb08 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00    
6  SIMPLY VALID Aug15 Jul14 Jun23 Jun09 Apr21 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00    
7  MUNI MUNI SLEW Aug12 Aug03 Jul14 Jun04 Mar18 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 25% 3.10    
 
TDN-2   09/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JETTIN PEGASUS Aug21 Aug01 Jul13 Jun26 Jun12 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
2  HIGH FIRE Aug17 Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 Sep23 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Aug22 May22 May02 Apr12 Mar23 (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00    
4  PENNY SHOTS Aug17 Aug01 Jul13 Jun26 Jun01 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Aug30 Aug10 Jul14 May26 May13 (skeens jeremy)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00    
SCR  MOBIL MEISTER Aug01 Jun06 May22 May03 Dec13 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00    
7  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Aug16 Aug07 Jul22 Jun07 Apr27 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-3   09/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL TIME STRUTIN Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  DEFENDER GAL Jan06 Dec04 Nov05 Oct09   (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of LA DEFENDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  TRAMA QUEEN Aug07 Jun26 May25     (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TRICIA'S TRAMA by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
4  VIMISOFA Aug23 Aug01 Jun26 May12 Apr28 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAYMONT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  FIRST BLUE         (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00 9% 10.20    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of HERITAGE HOUSE by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  CATCHMENOW Aug23 Aug01 Sep20     (genovese richard )VELEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by TRUE MARCO out of SAINT BARBARA by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
7  SHEWEARSMYRING Aug23         (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HAPPYBIRTHDAYBABY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  MY FAITH Aug01         (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of JOSIE SUPREME by EQUALITY (GB))
9  DANCE MY WAY         (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PLEASANT DANCE by SOVEREIGN DANCER)
 
TDN-4   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOESTER May22 May06 Apr26 Feb28 Feb13 (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
2  RHYTHMIC RULER Aug26 Aug04 Jul12 Feb22 Jan12 (west m)AVILES YAN 121 3.00    
3  GARRETT Aug23 Apr12 Mar13 Feb22 Jan11 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 19% 4.40    
4  SUSIE'S KID Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 Jun24 Jun14 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
5  O CIGANO Aug23 Jul31 Jul03 Jun07 May17 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RAISE THE PURSES Aug12 Jul12 Jun10 May16 Dec29 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.00    
7  MR LOOOCH Aug12 Jul13 Jun19 Jun01 Oct03 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
TDN-5   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HEAD KID Aug26 Aug11 Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 (fernandez edward)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
2  STARS N SPACE Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 Jul04 Oct31 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00    
3  CONTROLLER Aug11 Jul22 Jun09 May11 Apr27 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 5% 17.70    
4  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Jun07 May23 Apr13 Mar21 Feb15 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
5  DANES HEART Aug30 Jul27 Jul04 Jun14 May10 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 8.00    
6  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Aug10 Aug24 Aug08 Jul28   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 31% 2.20    
7  OVERLOAD Aug30 Feb08 Oct11     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 ★    
8  OKLAHOMA JOE Aug10 Jul22 Jun27 May26 Dec30 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 115 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-6   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE TOY GUNS Aug30 Jul25 Jul04 Feb16 Dec30 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115 1.80 37% 1.70    
2  GIBBY MY CORN Dec14 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Sep12 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
3  COLOR BEARER Aug30 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 117 2.00    
4  MAMAS HOME COOKING Aug02 Jun24 Jun14 Apr29 Jul10 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 117 3.50 9% 9.50    
5  MUSIC GEM Aug30 Aug18 May31 Apr24 Apr12 (figueroa cesar )FELICIANO R 115 12.00    
6  SURROUNDER Sep04 Aug07 Jul25 Oct13 Sep12 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-7   09/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXONERATED PREZ Aug22 Jul20 Jun12 May31 May03 (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
SCR  MONTAUK COVE Aug16 Aug01 Jun24 Jun05 May09 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50    
SCR  FARM STRONG Sep03 Aug27 Aug13 Jul24 Jul04 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 119 15.00    
4  AT THE BEACH Aug17 Jul31 Jun24 Nov03 Oct24 (szczepanski)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00    
5  AULD LANGE SYNE Aug16 Aug03 Jul10 Jun14 May24 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 4.00    
6  GOLDEN TONE Sep03 Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 (rivera xavie)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
7  FISHING FOR FUN Aug22 Jul31 Jul19 Jun15 May24 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
TDN-8   09/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISON KARTER Aug16 Jul29 Jul14 Jun21 Jun08 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
2  TO WIN Jul20 Jun27 Jun02 May10 Apr12 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  SHELL FIRE Aug16 Jul24 Jul12 Jun24 Jun14 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 118 20.00    
4  SILENCE Aug12 Jul05 Jun02 May02 Apr12 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
5  FAIR AND SQUARE Aug12 Jul18 Jun24 Jun02 May05 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  RAVEN MOON Aug24 Aug16 Jul22 Jul08 Jun02 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
7  RELISH THE RIDE Aug26 Jun24 May31 May06 Dec03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.