Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-4   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $9.50 $3.50 58%
TDN-6   EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $9.70 $3.70 62%
TDN-8   EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6 $7.10 $1.10 18%
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6-4 $22.70 $16.70 278%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:133     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SAY HEY KID 4 6 55 43½ 1nk 13 12 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 8.30  
5  GILES 5 4 66 67½ 52¾ 23 22 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 11% 7.80 5.30 P
3  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 3 5 31 2½ 3.2 34½ 39½ (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 2.50 3.70  
2  KING OF THE RING 2 2 1nk 1½ 2nk 44½ 413¼ (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 24% 3.20 1.10  
1  LEOMBRUNO 1 3 2nk 31½ 42¾ 57½ 521¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 33% 2.10 3.60  
6  FU ROO 6 1 44 56 66¼ 612 624 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 12.10  
 
TDN-2   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAVITE 1 6 32 33   31½ 1½ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 7.50  
2  LADY GIULIANA 2 3 21 22   21 2½ (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 115 6.00 3.10  
3  JUMP INTO SANITY 3 4 43 44   44½ 34¼ (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 117 2.50 24% 3.10 5.80 S
6  UNESCORTED 6 1 53½ 55   56 45¼ (urieta jo)HERNANDEZ H 115 3.50 22% 3.50 2.00  
4  PASSINGTHEMISTERY 4 2 11 12   11 55¼ (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 115 8.00 7.20  
5  CONSTITUTIONALIST 5 5 65 65   66 67¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.00 29% 2.40 2.70  
 
TDN-3   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEVER DREAM 1 3 31½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 12.00 7.40  
7  ALTAIR 6 4 21 3.2   1nk 2nk (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 13% 6.90 2.20 P
2  INSACIABLE PRINCE 2 5 54 4¾   31½ 3½ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 57% 0.80 0.90 S
5  EL BANDIDO 5 1 42 55¼   54½ 46 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.00 4.20  
3  ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR 3 2 11 1nk   43½ 59½ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 15.00 17.90  
4  ACESKINGSANQUEENS 4 6 610 66¾   66½ 69¾ (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
SCR  LOCKDOWN LOVER               (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.50    
 
TDN-4   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:123     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 4 3 34 33 2nk 11½ 13¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 8% 11.90 3.40 W
2  CITY OF CLOUDS 2 4 45 43 42½ 21½ 23¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 2.00 48% 1.10 1.40 P
1  DECEITFUL 1 2 21 22½ 1nk 31½ 35¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 10.00 2.90  
3  TIMESATAPPIN 3 5 55½ 55 56½ 57 48½ (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 3.50 5.50  
5  O ROMEO 5 1 11 12½ 32 45½ 513¾ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 4.50 10.10  
6  CONNECT ME 6 6 613½ 614 612½ 613 618½ (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 115 2.50 22% 3.60 9.30  
 
TDN-5   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:004     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RED COMET 4 3 12 11½   11½ 13¼ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 8.00 11% 7.90 0.50 W
5  AFLEET O ME 5 4 52¾ 21½   21½ 23¼ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 5.20  
8  KETTLE KING 7 2 65¼ 54   32 34½ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 11.20  
2  YOU'RE OUT 2 6 32 43   53½ 47¾ (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 12% 7.20 4.40  
3  VEGAS PLAYER 3 7 42¼ 32   42 58¼ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 3.00 35% 1.90 16.10  
1  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 1 5 76¾ 77   66½ 610 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 15.80  
6  OXBOW'S RIDE 6 1 22 65½   76¾ 712 (patton luke)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 20.00 35.20  
SCR  GIBBY MY CORN               (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:14     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DIAMONDS N DEW 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 1nk 1nk (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 3.00 39% 1.60 1.10 W
5  LA ROSA 5 4 2½ 21 2½ 2nk 2nk (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.80 16% 5.20 3.30 P
2  LINE DANCER 2 2 54 52¼ 32 31½ 32½ (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 5.00 3.40  
6  RIPLEY EFFECT 6 5 32½ 32 42 43 43½ (jackson jam)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 13.30  
1  PARFAIT 1 3 43 42 52¼ 56 58¼ (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 17% 4.80 5.40  
4  MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) 4 6 65½ 66¼ 65¼ 68 611 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 10.00 12.30  
 
TDN-7   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LOFTY COWTOWN 7 6 42½ 21   12 14 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 2.00  
4  EXPRESS FASHION 3 7 77 53½   33½ 24 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00 6% 16.50 6.60 P
6  IN TROUBLED WATERS 5 5 64 43   43½ 36 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 4.50 41% 1.40 1.10 S
7  KISS VALENTINA 6 1 2½ 11   22 48 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 117 6.00 12.90  
3  CHILLVILLE 2 4 53 77½   610 513 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 61.70  
1  GO GIRL 1 2 31½ 66   710¼ 613¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 24% 3.20 4.80  
5  KERRI'S MIRACLE 4 3 1½ 31½   58 715½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 23.60  
SCR  VILLAGE CAT               (jackson r)RIVERA R 117 3.00    
 
TDN-8   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:122     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RAVEN MOON 3 6 42½ 42½ 32 1nk 14¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 15% 5.90 1.90 W
6  INTO GOLD 6 5 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 24¼ (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 1.80 47% 1.10 1.20 P
4  BEAT THE DEALER 4 2 32 2½ 2nk 3½ 35 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 13% 6.50 9.60 S
1  GONE IN A FLASH 1 3 54 54½ 42½ 43½ 47¾ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 2.80  
5  NAMBITI 5 1 21 31 52¾ 57½ 512¼ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 19.60  
2  ANIMO ROBERTO 2 4 65 68½ 67¼ 616½ 630¼ (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 115 15.00 25.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.