Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $18.60  
TDN-2   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $17.00  
TDN-3   Win (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $16.80  
TDN-4   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
TDN-5   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-6   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-7   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $6.00  
TDN-8   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:133     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY HEY KID 4 6 55 4 1nk 13 12 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 8.30  
GILES 5 4 66 6 5 23 22 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 11% 7.80 5.30 P
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 3 5 31 2½ 3.2 3 3 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 2.50 3.70  
KING OF THE RING 2 2 1nk 1½ 2nk 4 413¼ (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 24% 3.20 1.10  
LEOMBRUNO 1 3 2nk 3 4 5 521¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 33% 2.10 3.60  
FU ROO 6 1 44 56 6 612 624 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 12.10  
 
TDN-2   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAVITE 1 6 32 33   3 1½ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 7.50  
LADY GIULIANA 2 3 21 22   21 2½ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 115 6.00 3.10  
JUMP INTO SANITY 3 4 43 44   4 3 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 117 2.50 24% 3.10 5.80 S
UNESCORTED 6 1 5 55   56 4 (urieta joha)HERNANDEZ H 115 3.50 22% 3.50 2.00  
PASSINGTHEMISTERY 4 2 11 12   11 5 (tumblin andrew)HALDAR J 115 8.00 7.20  
CONSTITUTIONALIST 5 5 65 65   66 6 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.00 29% 2.40 2.70  
 
TDN-3   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEVER DREAM 1 3 3 2nk   2nk 1nk (rotunno r)DIAZ I 119 12.00 7.40  
ALTAIR 6 4 21 3.2   1nk 2nk (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 13% 6.90 2.20 P
INSACIABLE PRINCE 2 5 54 4¾   3 3½ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 57% 0.80 0.90 S
EL BANDIDO 5 1 42 5   5 46 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.00 4.20  
ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR 3 2 11 1nk   4 5 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 15.00 17.90  
ACESKINGSANQUEENS 4 6 610 6   6 6 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
SCR  LOCKDOWN LOVER               (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.50    
 
TDN-4   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:123     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 4 3 34 33 2nk 1 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 8% 11.90 3.40 W
CITY OF CLOUDS 2 4 45 43 4 2 2 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 2.00 48% 1.10 1.40 P
DECEITFUL 1 2 21 2 1nk 3 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 10.00 2.90  
TIMESATAPPIN 3 5 5 55 5 57 4 (loudin-smith l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 3.50 5.50  
O ROMEO 5 1 11 1 32 4 513¾ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 115 4.50 10.10  
CONNECT ME 6 6 613½ 614 612½ 613 618½ (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 115 2.50 22% 3.60 9.30  
 
TDN-5   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:004     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED COMET 4 3 12 1   1 1 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 8.00 11% 7.90 0.50 W
AFLEET O ME 5 4 5 2   2 2 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 5.20  
KETTLE KING 7 2 6 54   32 3 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 11.20  
YOU'RE OUT 2 6 32 43   5 4 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 12% 7.20 4.40  
VEGAS PLAYER 3 7 4 32   42 5 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 3.00 35% 1.90 16.10  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 1 5 7 77   6 610 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 15.80  
OXBOW'S RIDE 6 1 22 6   7 712 (patton luke)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 20.00 35.20  
SCR  GIBBY MY CORN               (trevino steph)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:14     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMONDS N DEW 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 1nk 1nk (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 3.00 39% 1.60 1.10 W
LA ROSA 5 4 2½ 21 2½ 2nk 2nk (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.80 16% 5.20 3.30 P
LINE DANCER 2 2 54 5 32 3 3 (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 5.00 3.40  
RIPLEY EFFECT 6 5 3 32 42 43 4 (jackson james)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 13.30  
PARFAIT 1 3 43 42 5 56 5 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 17% 4.80 5.40  
MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) 4 6 6 6 6 68 611 (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 119 10.00 12.30  
 
TDN-7   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOFTY COWTOWN 7 6 4 21   12 14 (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 2.00  
EXPRESS FASHION 3 7 77 5   3 24 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00 6% 16.50 6.60 P
IN TROUBLED WATERS 5 5 64 43   4 36 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 115 4.50 41% 1.40 1.10 S
KISS VALENTINA 6 1 2½ 11   22 48 (castro a)BRACHO A 117 6.00 12.90  
CHILLVILLE 2 4 53 7   610 513 (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 61.70  
GO GIRL 1 2 3 66   710¼ 613¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 24% 3.20 4.80  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 4 3 1½ 3   58 715½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 23.60  
SCR  VILLAGE CAT               (jackson r)RIVERA R 117 3.00    
 
TDN-8   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:122     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVEN MOON 3 6 4 4 32 1nk 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 15% 5.90 1.90 W
INTO GOLD 6 5 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 2 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 1.80 47% 1.10 1.20 P
BEAT THE DEALER 4 2 32 2½ 2nk 3½ 35 (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 13% 6.50 9.60 S
GONE IN A FLASH 1 3 54 5 4 4 4 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 2.80  
NAMBITI 5 1 21 31 5 5 512¼ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 19.60  
ANIMO ROBERTO 2 4 65 6 6 616½ 630¼ (tumblin andrew)HALDAR J 115 15.00 25.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.