Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/3/6)-(2/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/7/4)-(2/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(2/6/4)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/1/5)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(6/1/4)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEOMBRUNO Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun15 May29 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
2  KING OF THE RING Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 Apr15 Apr03 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
3  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Aug03 Jul24 Jul10 Jun13 May16 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 2.50    
4  SAY HEY KID Aug03 Jul03 Jun24 Jun01 May17 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 5.00    
5  GILES Aug03 Jul10 Jun24 May24 May06 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
6  FU ROO Aug09 Jul18 Dec12 Nov22 Oct31 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAVITE Aug07 Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 May29 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00    
2  LADY GIULIANA Aug08 Jul20 Jul11 Jun20 May25 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 115 6.00    
3  JUMP INTO SANITY Aug03 Jul18 Jun10 May25 Jan09 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 117 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  PASSINGTHEMISTERY Aug03 Jul26 Nov27 Nov07 Aug03 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 115 8.00    
5  CONSTITUTIONALIST Aug01 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May13 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  UNESCORTED Aug03 Jul03 Jun10 May20 May06 (urieta jo)HERNANDEZ H 115 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
TDN-3   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEVER DREAM Aug08 Jul12 Jun21     (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
2  INSACIABLE PRINCE Aug08 Jul17 Jun19 Jun06 May23 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 57% 0.80    
3  ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR Jul31 Oct05 Sep21 Jul25 Jun29 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 15.00    
4  ACESKINGSANQUEENS Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  EL BANDIDO Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27   (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.00    
SCR  LOCKDOWN LOVER Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Mar29 Aug03 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.50    
7  ALTAIR Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 Jun02 Feb26 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 13% 6.90    
 
TDN-4   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECEITFUL Jul19 Mar22 Feb12 Jan08 Dec07 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 10.00    
2  CITY OF CLOUDS Jul26 Jun21 Jun06 May17 Apr21 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  TIMESATAPPIN Aug06 Jul24 Jul05 Jun24 Jun05 (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 3.50    
4  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jul26 Jul05 Jun05 Apr26 Apr08 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 8% 11.90    
5  O ROMEO Jul31 Jul11 May29 May11 Apr23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 4.50    
6  CONNECT ME Jul12 Jun19 May25 May15 Apr26 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 115 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-5   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Jul27 Jul04 May31 Apr12 Mar14 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
2  YOU'RE OUT Aug14 Jul31 Jul06 Jun02 Aug18 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 12% 7.20    
3  VEGAS PLAYER Aug11 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May25 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  RED COMET Aug14 Jul31 Jul13 Jul05 Jun24 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 8.00 11% 7.90    
5  AFLEET O ME Aug10 Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 May20 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50    
6  OXBOW'S RIDE Aug10 Jul10 Jun20 May20 May08 (patton luke)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 20.00    
SCR  GIBBY MY CORN Dec14 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Sep12 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
8  KETTLE KING Jul10 Jun20 Dec01 Oct10 Sep22 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARFAIT Jul22 Jun15 May12 Apr12 Oct29 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
2  LINE DANCER Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 May12 Oct10 (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 5.00    
3  DIAMONDS N DEW Jul25 Jun15 May25 May10 Apr27 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 Jun01 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 10.00    
5  LA ROSA Jul19 Jul07 May25 Feb15 Jan17 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.80 16% 5.20    
6  RIPLEY EFFECT Aug07 Jul11 Jun14 May20 May05 (jackson jam)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00    
 
TDN-7   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GIRL Jun30 Jun22 May31 May06 Apr06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  VILLAGE CAT Jul18 Jun14 May11 Apr25   (jackson r)RIVERA R 117 3.00    
3  CHILLVILLE Aug10 Jul27 Jun01 May06 Sep26 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00    
4  EXPRESS FASHION Aug10 May06 Apr05 Mar20 Dec30 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00 6% 16.50    
5  KERRI'S MIRACLE Aug10 Jul27 Jun27 May25 Apr27 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
6  IN TROUBLED WATERS Aug10 Aug02 Jun27 Jun02 Dec30 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 4.50 41% 1.40    
7  KISS VALENTINA Aug10 Jul27 Jul03 Jun14 May23 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 117 6.00    
8  LOFTY COWTOWN Aug01 Jul05 Aug31 Aug15   (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00    
 
TDN-8   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE IN A FLASH Aug09 Jun19 Jun01 Apr13 Jan28 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
2  ANIMO ROBERTO Aug10 Jul22 Jun27 May31 May23 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 115 15.00    
3  RAVEN MOON Aug16 Jul22 Jul08 Jun02 Oct29 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 15% 5.90    
4  BEAT THE DEALER Aug07 Jul13 Jun14 May24 Apr29 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 13% 6.50    
5  NAMBITI Aug02 Jun27 Jun10 May31 May09 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
6  INTO GOLD Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May23 May08 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.