Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $10.20 $4.20 70%
TDN-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $11.40 $7.40 185%
TDN-4   PK3 (2/5/4)-(5/3)-(1/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-3-1 $52.40 $34.40 191%
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(5/3)-(1/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-3-4 $18.80 $0.80 4%
TDN-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $16.40 $10.40 173%
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $26.60 $20.60 343%
TDN-8   DD (6/1/4)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $26.20 $20.20 337%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PISTOL PACKIN BOS 5 1 11½ 12   13 12 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 4.00 4.90  
4  CHLOES ANGEL 4 5 31½ 22   23 22 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 7.40  
1  DOUBLE EDGED 1 2 21½ 32   33½ 33 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 30% 2.30 1.30 S
2  SARAH JANE 2 4 54¼ 43   45½ 47 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 8.00 3.30  
3  LARSA 3 3 44 55   59½ 512½ (doering mark)TOLEDO S 123 2.00 47% 1.10 2.60  
SCR  ST PATTY'S SONG               (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HAUGHTY PRAISE 4 1 21 2nk   1½ 13¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 2.00 19% 4.10 4.10 W
1  HOLLYS SUPER STAR 1 3 11 1nk   2½ 23¾ (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 123 15.00 1.70  
2  MOST ADORABLE 2 4 31 32½   32 33¾ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80 28% 2.50 1.70 S
3  SEE YA SISTA 3 5 52½ 57   57½ 48¾ (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 6.00 36.30  
5  EXTRA CRAFTY 5 6 63 45   46 511 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 3.00 25% 3.00 3.30  
6  BOOKMASTER 6 2 42 68½   611 617½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 20.50  
 
TDN-3   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PLAY BALL 3 2 31 2nk   11 11¾ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 30% 2.30 4.70 W
1  POWERFUL PHIL 1 4 44½ 43½   33 21¾ (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5.40  
5  GALACTIC 4 1 11 1nk   21 33 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 33% 2.00 0.30 S
2  MUTINY 2 3 21 31½   43 43 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 2.50 5.40  
SCR  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH               (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
 
TDN-4   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARHORSE WEST 1 4 1½ 1½   12½ 12½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50 41% 1.40 0.70 W
3  MARSICO 2 2 2½ 2½   22½ 22½ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 5.30  
6  DON'T CROSS JACK 4 1 33½ 31½   34 33¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 3.50 1.70  
7  NAPA DUDE 5 5 56 54½   56 47 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 117 5.00 11.00  
5  ARMOR PIERCING 3 3 44½ 42½   44 58 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 115 10.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
SCR  KILLER BEE               (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
SCR  MISTERCHILLIWILLI               (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
TDN-5   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MON CAMO 2 3 1½ 12   14½ 16¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 55% 0.80 0.30 W
1  KHALFANI 1 4 2½ 22   24½ 26¾ (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 13.80  
4  TUFF ATTACK 4 1 31½ 33   37 39¾ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 26.70 S
6  KOSCIUSZKO 6 6 45½ 46½   47½ 410¼ (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 20% 4.00 3.00  
5  CALL WEST 5 2 67 59½   59½ 513 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 2.50 8.20  
3  DOMI 3 5 57 610½   613½ 619½ (mahan joseph )TOLEDO S 115 12.00 50.10  
 
TDN-6   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LITTLE TOY GUNS 4 2 31½ 3.2   1½ 14¼ (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115 3.00 28% 2.60 0.10 DQ↓2
2  OVERLOAD 2 5 1nk 2nk   2½ 24¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 5.50  
5  JOHN PHILIP 5 1 611¾ 510¼   47 35¼ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 115 5.00 28.70  
1  COLOR BEARER 1 4 2nk 1nk   31 45¾ (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 1.80 32% 2.10 6.60  
3  MUSIC GEM 3 6 511½ 613¼   610½ 512 (figueroa ces)TAPARA BRANDON 115 6.00 52.60  
6  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 6 3 49 47¼   58 612¼ (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 115 15.00 17% 4.80 20.00  
 
TDN-7   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:142     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANES HEART 1 1 13 13 13½ 14 16½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.50 19% 4.20 7.20 W
6  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 6 5 56 59½ 47½ 37 26½ (davis scooter)GONZALEZ A 115 1.60 43% 1.30 0.80 P
2  CHILTEPIN 2 2 23 36½ 33½ 24 37½ (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 2.00 2.00  
4  INDY CARR 4 4 44½ 49½ 57¾ 511 411¾ (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115 15.00 9% 9.70 5.50  
5  PLAYING BALL 5 6 68½ 612 610¼ 612½ 512½ (suarez javi)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 17.50  
3  MARCH MAGIC 3 3 33½ 23 23½ 411 617 (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 32.20  
 
TDN-8   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 1:112         1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WICKED WARRIOR 3 4 12½ 11 1nk 11½ 12¼ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 19% 4.30 1.20 W
6  OUTLIER 5 2 33½ 31½ 3½ 21½ 22¼ (ginter j)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 6.10  
5  BEER CHASER 4 3 22½ 21 2nk 31½ 35¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 48% 1.10 2.00 S
2  BOURBON WISDOM 2 5 56 44 55¾ 57 48½ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 6.70  
1  SHY GUY 1 1 45½ 54 45½ 45½ 58¾ (sauer j)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 4.60  
SCR  AYE AYE SIR               (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.