The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $11.80 -4.00
    Exacta (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 6-4 2 0 $28.00 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 6-4-1 3 0 $91.60 0.00
TDN-2   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
    Exacta (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1 2 0 $22.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1-2 3 0 $46.20 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/1)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-4 2 0 $32.60 -6.00
TDN-3   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 7.40
    Exacta (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 3-1 2 0 $14.00 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 3-1-5 3 0 $34.50 0.00
    Pick Three (3/1)-(2/5/4)-(5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-4-3 3 0 $314.50 -12.00
TDN-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -0.60
    Exacta (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 1-3 2 0 $6.60 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 1-3-6 3 0 $11.30 0.00
    Pick Three (2/5/4)-(5/3)-(1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-3-1 3 1 $52.40 $52.40 40.40
    Pick Three (2/5/4)-(5/3)-(1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-3-4 3 0 $18.80 -12.00
TDN-5   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
    Exacta (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1 2 0 $7.10 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1-4 3 0 $45.50 -6.00
    Pick Three (5/3)-(1/5)-(2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-1-2 3 1 $12.10 $12.10 0.10
    Pick Three (5/3)-(1/5)-(2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-4-2 3 0 $6.00 -12.00
TDN-6   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $13.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4 2 0 $9.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4-5 3 0 $47.50 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/5)-(2/6/4)-(1/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 1-2-2 3 0 $22.30 -18.00
TDN-7   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $16.40 $16.40 10.40
    Exacta (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-6 2 1 $26.60 $26.60 20.60
    Trifecta (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-6-2 3 0 $59.60 -6.00
    Pick Three (2/6/4)-(1/4/6)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 2-2-1 3 0 $103.90 -27.00
TDN-8   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
    Exacta (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 4-6 2 0 $9.00 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 4-6-5 3 0 $18.60 0.00
    Daily Double (6/1/4)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4 2 1 $26.20 $26.20 20.20
    Pick Three (1/4/6)-(6/1/4)-(5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 2-1-4 3 0 $185.10 -18.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:23 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL PACKIN BOS 5 1 1 12   13 12 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 4.00 4.90  
CHLOES ANGEL 4 5 3 22   23 22 (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 7.40  
DOUBLE EDGED 1 2 2 32   333 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 30% 2.30 1.30 S
SARAH JANE 2 4 5 43   447 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 8.00 3.30  
LARSA 3 3 44 55   5512½ (doering mark)TOLEDO S 123 2.00 47% 1.10 2.60  
SCR  ST PATTY'S SONG               (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
:233 :474 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAUGHTY PRAISE 4 1 21 2nk   1½ 1(tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 2.00 19% 4.10 4.10 W
HOLLYS SUPER STAR 1 3 11 1nk   2½ 2(radosevich justin)RIVERA R 123 15.00 1.70  
MOST ADORABLE 2 4 31 3   32 3(rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80 28% 2.50 1.70 S
SEE YA SISTA 3 5 5 57   54(tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 6.00 36.30  
EXTRA CRAFTY 5 6 63 45   46 511 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 3.00 25% 3.00 3.30  
BOOKMASTER 6 2 42 6   611 617½ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 20.50  
 
TDN-3   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
:221 :453 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY BALL 3 2 31 2nk   11 1(urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 30% 2.30 4.70 W
POWERFUL PHIL 1 4 4 4   33 2(jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5.40  
GALACTIC 4 1 11 1nk   21 33 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 33% 2.00 0.30 S
MUTINY 2 3 21 3   43 43 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 2.50 5.40  
SCR  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH               (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
 
TDN-4   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:231 :471 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARHORSE WEST 1 4 1½ 1½   11(rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50 41% 1.40 0.70 W
MARSICO 2 2 2½ 2½   22(atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 5.30  
DON'T CROSS JACK 4 1 3 3   34 3(tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 3.50 1.70  
NAPA DUDE 5 5 56 5   56 47 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 117 5.00 11.00  
ARMOR PIERCING 3 3 4 4   44 58 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 115 10.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
SCR  KILLER BEE               (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
SCR  MISTERCHILLIWILLI               (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
TDN-5   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
:223 :46 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MON CAMO 2 3 1½ 12   11(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 55% 0.80 0.30 W
KHALFANI 1 4 2½ 22   22(trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 13.80  
TUFF ATTACK 4 1 3 33   37 3(canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 26.70 S
KOSCIUSZKO 6 6 4 4   4410¼ (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 20% 4.00 3.00  
CALL WEST 5 2 67 5   5513 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 2.50 8.20  
DOMI 3 5 57 610½   613½ 619½ (mahan p)TOLEDO S 115 12.00 50.10  
 
TDN-6   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:224 :47 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE TOY GUNS 4 2 3 3.2   1½ 1(tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 115 3.00 28% 2.60 0.10 DQ↓2
OVERLOAD 2 5 1nk 2nk   2½ 2(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 5.50  
JOHN PHILIP 5 1 611¾ 510¼   47 3(dacosta jason)DIAZ I 115 5.00 28.70  
COLOR BEARER 1 4 2nk 1nk   31 4(skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 1.80 32% 2.10 6.60  
MUSIC GEM 3 6 511½ 613¼   610½ 512 (figueroa cesar)TAPARA BRANDON 115 6.00 52.60  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 6 3 49 4   58 612¼ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 115 15.00 17% 4.80 20.00  
 
TDN-7   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:242 :483 1:142     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANES HEART 1 1 13 13 1 14 1(vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.50 19% 4.20 7.20 W
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 6 5 56 5 4 37 2(davis scooter)GONZALEZ A 115 1.60 43% 1.30 0.80 P
CHILTEPIN 2 2 23 3 3 24 3(huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 2.00 2.00  
INDY CARR 4 4 4 4 5 511 411¾ (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 115 15.00 9% 9.70 5.50  
PLAYING BALL 5 6 6 612 610¼ 612½ 512½ (suarez javier)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 17.50  
MARCH MAGIC 3 3 3 23 2 411 617 (brown glenro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 32.20  
 
TDN-8   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
:24 1:112         1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED WARRIOR 3 4 1 11 1nk 11(feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 19% 4.30 1.20 W
OUTLIER 5 2 3 3 3½ 22(ginter jr)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 6.10  
BEER CHASER 4 3 2 21 2nk 33(puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 48% 1.10 2.00 S
BOURBON WISDOM 2 5 56 44 5 57 4(sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 6.70  
SHY GUY 1 1 4 54 4 45(sauer j)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 4.60  
SCR  AYE AYE SIR               (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.