Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $12.60 $6.60 110%
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $30.90 $24.90 415%
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2-7 $250.10 $244.10 4068%
TDN-4   WIN (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (8/4/2)-(8/4/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-5 $20.20 $8.20 68%
    TRI (8/4/2)-(8/4/6/5/2)-(8/4/6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00  8-5-6 $78.00 $42.00 117%
    SFT (8/4/2)-(8/4/6/5/2)-(8/4/6/5/2)-(8/4/6/5/2) 72 $0.10 $7.20  8-5-6-4 $19.72 $12.52 174%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAMBITI 1 7 64 3½   2½ 1nk (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 18% 4.60 5.30 W
TIGER TRAIL 2 5 2 4¾   4¾ 2nk (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 21% 3.90 4.50 P
BABA LOOEY 7 1 32 2½   1½ 3¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.50 19% 4.40 3.30 S
OHIO EAGLE 4 3 4 5   5 4 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 3.90  
NEBULOSA 6 2 1 1½   3½ 5 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 2.70  
JACK BE FAST 3 4 5 7   6 6 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 6.30  
TIDE RISING 5 6 74 6   7 710 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 8.00 22.90  
 
TDN-2   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHY OPPONENT 2 5 2nk 1nk   14 1 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 4.10  
SPIN DOCTOR 3 7 710¼ 68   5 2 (londono odin)HALDAR J 121 3.50 35% 1.90 3.30 P
SHOW SLIDING HOME 7 1 5 4   35 3 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 6.10  
THE MAN CAN 1 6 34 34   45 47 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00 29.80  
OLE WATASHI 5 3 6 710½   69 511 (schuster rob)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00 39.30  
NOTHINLASTSFOREVER 4 4 4 5   7 611¾ (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 58.10  
CLASSIC MO 6 2 1nk 2nk   24 712½ (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 39% 1.60 0.70  
SCR  TRAITOR AMONGST US               (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
 
TDN-3   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KETTLE KISS 3 5 4 21   1nk 1 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 2.50  
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 4 3 2 31   2nk 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 8.00 12% 7.70 1.80 P
DANZA MAGIC 2 7 610 6   6 3 (yoder d)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 6.00  
BOSSY LADY 7 1 3 4   4 45 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 15.00 17.40  
DEW IT WITH STYLE 5 2 1 11   3 5 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 56% 0.80 4.80  
OUT FOR FUN 1 6 54 5   5 6 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 6 4 710½ 710   711¾ 717¼ (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 28.40  
SCR  LADY FORTUNE               (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
 
TDN-4   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZ KEETA 8 2 2 3   2½ 12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50 53% 0.90 2.50 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
AUTHORITARIAN GIRL 5 1 1 1   1½ 22 (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 118 5.00 6.80 P
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of BOSSY GIRL by STREET BOSS)
TIERNEY 6 6 44 4   4 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00 2.90 S
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
MAYBETHEONE 4 7 3 2   3 4 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 3.00 21% 3.70 3.60  
  (by ONE SIDED out of MAYBEMAYBENOT by PHILADREAM)
OH GLORIOUS DAY 9 5 55 5   56 5 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 10.00 34.90  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
VICTORIA COMMAND 7 4 9 911   67 6 (huffman candace )RIVERA R 118 15.00 10.70  
  (by FORT LARNED out of VICTORIA MIA by MASTER COMMAND)
COMMISSIONER D 1 8 7 79   79 712¼ (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00 8.30  
  (by MOBIL out of ANGEL FALLS by KINGMAMBO)
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 3 9 8 8   810 813 (genovese r)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 20.00 48.40  
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
ANGIE'S DEAR ONE 2 10 1011¾ 1014   911 915 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 10.00 5% 19.00 40.20  
  (by ONE SIDED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  LUCKY STUFF 10 3 6 68   1013½ 1020¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00 11.20  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
 
TDN-5   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE CHLOE 1 3 1nk 1   14 14 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 123 2.50 8% 11.90   W
TYRONA 2 4 2nk 2   24 24 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
CHAI TEA 3 5 53 34   35 35 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 49% 1.00   S
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 4 6 65 5   4 4 (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00 8% 11.40    
ROSE KNOWS 5 2 3½ 4   510½ 515 (skerrett jeffre)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
DARK HONEY 6 1 42 6   611 615½ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAKARIA 3 3 11 14   1 1 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 2.30  
CRYPTO COPY 1 6 5 4   3 2 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 29% 2.40 3.60 P
CONDEMNATION 6 1 31 24   2 3 (morales m)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 24% 3.20 1.00 S
KEEPING SCORE 2 5 63 57   57 45 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 22.80  
STUNT MAN 5 2 21 3   47 5 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 2.00 13% 6.50 5.50  
SERENDIPITOUS 4 4 42 68   6 610¼ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 42.60  
 
TDN-7   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNCHATTHELIZARD 1 5 11 12   11 1hd (overholt pau)TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00 10.10  
SURROUNDER 4 7 53 22   21 2hd (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.50 16.90  
SAMMY AND SHORTY 2 4 3 5   3 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 74% 0.40 0.40 S
PRIMITIVO 7 1 4 6   4 4 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 3.50 3.40  
IMA BELIEVER 5 3 6 4   58 510¼ (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 45.70  
TWINSPIREDJOEY 6 2 21 33   68 614¼ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 6.40  
THANKSDAD 3 6 7 7   712 720 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 48.40  
 
TDN-8   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALTH MODE 7 1 2nk 12   12 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 18% 4.70 0.30 W
DENIABLE 4 5 4 34   22 2 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 110 2.50 51% 1.00 4.50 P
DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 1 7 7 7   46 3 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50 9.30  
HERE COMES DOLLY 3 4 5 5   36 4 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 115 10.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
PENNY'S TREASURE 2 6 6 67   57 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00 19.40  
QUEENIE ROSE 5 3 32 4   78 613½ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.50 9.80  
MARGARITA CINCO 6 2 1nk 22   6 714¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 36.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.