Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 6.60
TDN-2   Win (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $10.20  
TDN-3   Win (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $7.00  
TDN-4   Win (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
TDN-5   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.00 $2.00  
TDN-6   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.60  
TDN-7   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $22.20  
TDN-8   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAMBITI 1 7 64 3½   2½ 1nk (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 18% 4.60 5.30 W
TIGER TRAIL 2 5 2 4¾   4¾ 2nk (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 21% 3.90 4.50 P
BABA LOOEY 7 1 32 2½   1½ 3¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.50 19% 4.40 3.30 S
OHIO EAGLE 4 3 4 5   5 4 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 3.90  
NEBULOSA 6 2 1 1½   3½ 5 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 2.70  
JACK BE FAST 3 4 5 7   6 6 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 6.30  
TIDE RISING 5 6 74 6   7 710 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 8.00 22.90  
 
TDN-2   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHY OPPONENT 2 5 2nk 1nk   14 1 (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 4.10  
SPIN DOCTOR 3 7 710¼ 68   5 2 (londono j)HALDAR J 121 3.50 35% 1.90 3.30 P
SHOW SLIDING HOME 7 1 5 4   35 3 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 6.10  
THE MAN CAN 1 6 34 34   45 47 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00 29.80  
OLE WATASHI 5 3 6 710½   69 511 (schuster robin)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00 39.30  
NOTHINLASTSFOREVER 4 4 4 5   7 611¾ (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 58.10  
CLASSIC MO 6 2 1nk 2nk   24 712½ (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 39% 1.60 0.70  
SCR  TRAITOR AMONGST US               (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
 
TDN-3   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KETTLE KISS 3 5 4 21   1nk 1 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 2.50  
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 4 3 2 31   2nk 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 8.00 12% 7.70 1.80 P
DANZA MAGIC 2 7 610 6   6 3 (yoder d)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 6.00  
BOSSY LADY 7 1 3 4   4 45 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 15.00 17.40  
DEW IT WITH STYLE 5 2 1 11   3 5 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 56% 0.80 4.80  
OUT FOR FUN 1 6 54 5   5 6 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 6 4 710½ 710   711¾ 717¼ (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 28.40  
SCR  LADY FORTUNE               (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
 
TDN-4   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZ KEETA 8 2 2 3   2½ 12 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50 53% 0.90 2.50 W
AUTHORITARIAN GIRL 5 1 1 1   1½ 22 (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 118 5.00 6.80 P
TIERNEY 6 6 44 4   4 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00 2.90 S
MAYBETHEONE 4 7 3 2   3 4 (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 3.00 21% 3.70 3.60  
OH GLORIOUS DAY 9 5 55 5   56 5 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 10.00 34.90  
VICTORIA COMMAND 7 4 9 911   67 6 (huffman m)RIVERA R 118 15.00 10.70  
COMMISSIONER D 1 8 7 79   79 712¼ (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00 8.30  
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 3 9 8 8   810 813 (genovese ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 20.00 48.40  
ANGIE'S DEAR ONE 2 10 1011¾ 1014   911 915 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 10.00 5% 19.00 40.20  
10  LUCKY STUFF 10 3 6 68   1013½ 1020¼ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00 11.20  
 
TDN-5   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE CHLOE 1 3 1nk 1   14 14 (skeens jeremy)MARCANO Y 123 2.50 8% 11.90   W
TYRONA 2 4 2nk 2   24 24 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
CHAI TEA 3 5 53 34   35 35 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 49% 1.00   S
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 4 6 65 5   4 4 (suarez ja)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00 8% 11.40    
ROSE KNOWS 5 2 3½ 4   510½ 515 (skerrett jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
DARK HONEY 6 1 42 6   611 615½ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAKARIA 3 3 11 14   1 1 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 2.30  
CRYPTO COPY 1 6 5 4   3 2 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 29% 2.40 3.60 P
CONDEMNATION 6 1 31 24   2 3 (morales m)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 24% 3.20 1.00 S
KEEPING SCORE 2 5 63 57   57 45 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 22.80  
STUNT MAN 5 2 21 3   47 5 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 2.00 13% 6.50 5.50  
SERENDIPITOUS 4 4 42 68   6 610¼ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 42.60  
 
TDN-7   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNCHATTHELIZARD 1 5 11 12   11 1hd (overholt paul )TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00 10.10  
SURROUNDER 4 7 53 22   21 2hd (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.50 16.90  
SAMMY AND SHORTY 2 4 3 5   3 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 74% 0.40 0.40 S
PRIMITIVO 7 1 4 6   4 4 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 115 3.50 3.40  
IMA BELIEVER 5 3 6 4   58 510¼ (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 45.70  
TWINSPIREDJOEY 6 2 21 33   68 614¼ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 6.40  
THANKSDAD 3 6 7 7   712 720 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 48.40  
 
TDN-8   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALTH MODE 7 1 2nk 12   12 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 18% 4.70 0.30 W
DENIABLE 4 5 4 34   22 2 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 110 2.50 51% 1.00 4.50 P
DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 1 7 7 7   46 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50 9.30  
HERE COMES DOLLY 3 4 5 5   36 4 (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 115 10.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
PENNY'S TREASURE 2 6 6 67   57 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00 19.40  
QUEENIE ROSE 5 3 32 4   78 613½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.50 9.80  
MARGARITA CINCO 6 2 1nk 22   6 714¾ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 36.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.