Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-8   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAMBITI Aug24 Aug02 Jun27 Jun10 May31 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 18% 4.60    
TIGER TRAIL Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 May09 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 21% 3.90    
JACK BE FAST Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun07 May24 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00    
OHIO EAGLE Aug21 Aug03 Jun26 Jun07 May22 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
TIDE RISING Aug14 Jul18 Jun20 May23 May08 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
NEBULOSA Aug03 Jun13 May16 May09 Apr26 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
BABA LOOEY Aug15 Jul18 Jun07 May25 May08 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
TDN-2   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRAITOR AMONGST US May20 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
THE MAN CAN Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 May24 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
WORTHY OPPONENT Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Jun10 Jun01 (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
SPIN DOCTOR Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun10 (londono j)HALDAR J 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Aug14 Jul18 Nov12 Oct14 Sep14 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
OLE WATASHI Aug21 Nov12 Oct11 Sep22 Sep07 (schuster robin)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00    
CLASSIC MO Aug03 Jun20 May31 May15 Mar23 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
SHOW SLIDING HOME Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 Jun06 Apr26 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00    
 
TDN-3   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT FOR FUN Aug21 Aug03 Jul17 Jun07 May17 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
DANZA MAGIC Aug03 Jul13 Jun26 May24 Apr10 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
SCR  LADY FORTUNE Jun26 Mar15 Feb13 Jan24 Dec19 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
KETTLE KISS Aug10 Jun30 May31 May06 Nov15 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.50    
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Jul17 Jun30 Jun02 May10 Dec03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 8.00 12% 7.70    
DEW IT WITH STYLE Aug10 Aug01 Jul19 Jul03 May06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 56% 0.80    
WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Aug01 Jun15 May25 Jan17 Dec30 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOSSY LADY Aug16 Aug01 Jul06 May17 Apr27 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMISSIONER D         (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00    
ANGIE'S DEAR ONE         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Aug14 Jul24       (genovese ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 20.00    
MAYBETHEONE Aug14 Jul24       (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
AUTHORITARIAN GIRL Aug14         (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 118 5.00    
TIERNEY         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00    
VICTORIA COMMAND         (huffman m)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
MIZ KEETA Aug14         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50 53% 0.90    
OH GLORIOUS DAY         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 10.00    
10  LUCKY STUFF         (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00    
 
TDN-5   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE CHLOE Aug08 Jul27 Jul29 Jul13 Jun09 (skeens jeremy)MARCANO Y 123 2.50 8% 11.90    
TYRONA Aug10 Jul03 Jun20 Jun07 May04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
CHAI TEA Aug10 Jun21 Jun04 May19 Apr21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
DATTTSAFANCYFOX Aug10 Jul13 Jun20 May22 Apr11 (suarez ja)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00 8% 11.40    
ROSE KNOWS Aug07 Jul20 Jun21 Jan28 Jan09 (skerrett jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
DARK HONEY Nov07 Jun18 Jun04 Apr15 Mar25 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTO COPY Feb01 Dec21 Oct24 Sep29 Sep13 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
KEEPING SCORE Aug12 Jul12 Jun10 May09 Apr26 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
ZAKARIA Aug09 Jul13 May06 Apr26 Mar28 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
SERENDIPITOUS Aug14 Jun21 Jun01 May17 Apr26 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
STUNT MAN Jul13 Jun24 May17 Apr26 Mar28 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 2.00 13% 6.50    
CONDEMNATION Aug09 Jul18 Jul06 Jun10 Feb01 (morales m)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-7   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNCHATTHELIZARD Aug10 Jul10 Jun06 May08 Mar02 (overholt paul )TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00    
SAMMY AND SHORTY Dec30 Oct29 Sep23 Aug13 Jul11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 74% 0.40    
THANKSDAD Aug07 Jul12 May24 May03 Mar22 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SURROUNDER Aug07 Jul25 Oct13 Sep12 Aug19 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
IMA BELIEVER Aug17 Jul12 Jun20 May24 Jan17 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
TWINSPIREDJOEY Aug07 Jul12 Jun07 May24 May03 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00    
PRIMITIVO Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 Jun06 Apr27 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 115 3.50    
 
TDN-8   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Aug03 Jun05 May15 Apr25 Apr10 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50    
PENNY'S TREASURE Aug12 Jul25 Jul06 Jun01 May15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
HERE COMES DOLLY Jul24 Jun24 Jun01 May15 Dec30 (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
DENIABLE Jul27 Oct10       (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 110 2.50 51% 1.00    
QUEENIE ROSE Jul24 Jul04 Jan23 Dec29 Dec08 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.50    
MARGARITA CINCO Aug03 Jul24 Jul04 May24 May06 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
STEALTH MODE Aug03 Jul04 Jun05 May25 Apr25 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 18% 4.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.