Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-7   EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3 $16.60 $4.60 38%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ZAMBONI WARRIOR 2 4 42½ 41¼   31½ 1½ (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 121 1.40 68% 0.50 0.90 W
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of BLUE HEN HOCKEY by NOBLE'S PROMISE)
3  CHANGE THE HOUR 3 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 2½ (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 ★ 1.10 P
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of CHANGE THE RATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  JUANSEN 4 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 34¼ (miller henry )WALKER M 121 4.50 15.70  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of DIAMONDS FOR LEAH by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  MAC'S CAT 5 5 53 51¾   42½ 44½ (russell randall)WALES GARY 121 6.00 8.10  
  (by GORMLEY out of SHABBY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
6  RECKLESS JONES 6 1 32 3.2   53 56 (miller d)ALLEN D 121 8.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of QUEEN OFTHE CASTLE by DONERAILE COURT)
1  GRUIT 1 6 610 65¼   66½ 612¾ (mckinley mar)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00 52.00  
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
 
PID-2   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:232 :462 :583     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERLIN'S SONG 1 6 63¼ 53   41 11¼ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 0.90  
4  BIG CHICKEN MAN 4 1 11 1½   1½ 21¼ (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 2.50 49% 1.10 2.30 P
3  GAGE HAS A GRAY 3 4 21 2½   31 32¼ (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 5.00 11% 7.80 16.20 S
2  PRESS SNOOZE 2 5 52¼ 42   2½ 42¼ (martin william)ALLEN D 124 5.00 4.90  
7  UNBRIDLEDSELECTION 6 2 42 64   53½ 56 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00 10% 9.10 6.00  
5  POLLOCK 5 3 31 31½   64 69¼ (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00 32.70  
SCR  BEAR CREEK               (hoffman )GALLARDO A 124 3.00    
 
PID-3   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VALIANT VICTORIA 2 1 11 1½   12½ 12¾ (fennessy john)WALES GARY 119 1.80 64% 0.60 0.40 W
1  BEAST BUNNY 1 5 42½ 52½   32½ 22¾ (markgraf davi)WALKER M 119 3.50 5.40  
4  WARRIOR'S MISS 4 6 65 64   63¾ 34½ (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 6.60  
5  FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD 5 4 52½ 41½   52¾ 46 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
3  TEAM FEISTY 3 3 21 31   22½ 59 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 10.00 7% 13.70 29.70  
6  IRISH VICTORY (IRE) 6 2 31½ 2½   42¾ 611¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 4.50 7.80  
 
PID-4   10/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:232 :452 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FUEL THE BERN 6 1 21 2½   1½ 1¼ (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 124 1.80 1.00  
4  EXTRA MEDIUM 4 5 53½ 42½   52½ 2¼ (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 48% 1.10 11.00 P
3  CHIC N WILBUR 3 4 31½ 32   42½ 3¼ (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 6.00 5.10  
5  BOOMIN GOOSE 5 2 43 53½   32 42¼ (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 8.60  
1  LEBASI 1 6 65 64   64 53¾ (grace john)AYALA J 122 3.50 11% 8.10 4.20  
2  DEVIOUS MO 2 3 11 1½   2½ 64½ (williams omani)STANLEY O 124 3.00 11% 8.40 4.50  
 
PID-5   10/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:124 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ANIPPE 3 4 11 11 1½ 11½ 11 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 2.50 55% 0.80 1.70 W
6  MERINO WOOL 6 6 53½ 53 42 52½ 21 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 1.30  
5  BECKON 5 3 32 42 31½ 42 31½ (synnefia)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 28.60  
2  FOLK HERO 2 1 42 32 52½ 31½ 43 (gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122 4.00 6.90  
4  MIDNIGHT FROST 4 2 21 21 2½ 21½ 55 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 10% 8.70 3.60  
1  PHANCY PHILLY 1 5 65 65 64½ 65½ 67 (stites w)STANLEY O 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
 
PID-6   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:22 :452 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA 5 6 32½ 31   11½ 11 (corrigan)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 2.60  
1  HOUSEBUILDER 1 5 54½ 52¼   42 21 (bernardini jay )LEON A 119 12.00 7.50  
3  LEONARD'S LEGACY 3 2 21 2nk   21½ 34¼ (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 9.00  
7  GOLDEN SODA 7 3 42½ 41¼   53 44½ (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 4.50 28% 2.50 7.90  
4  SHOOT YOUR CUFFS 4 1 65½ 63¼   64½ 57¼ (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 17.30  
2  GIACOMETTI 2 4 11 1nk   32 68¼ (girten tim)WALKER M 121 1.60 41% 1.40 1.20  
6  SPINNING MUSICIAN 6 7 79½ 75¾   77½ 710¾ (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 6% 15.40 9.20  
 
PID-7   10/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HEY PADRE 5 4 44 32 1nk 11½ 12½ (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 39% 1.50 1.60 W
3  GREG'S HONOR 2 5 55½ 53½ 53 31½ 22½ (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 8.00 7% 12.60 4.00 P
7  ROUND OF APPLAUSE 6 7 79½ 79¼ 74¾ 43 34¼ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 11.30  
5  LONG RAP SHEET 4 3 33 42 31½ 21½ 44¾ (urieta johann)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 12.00 32.90  
8  CONDITION ONE 7 6 65½ 63¾ 63¼ 64¼ 511 (stites w)STANLEY O 122 4.50 18.20  
1  FLAWLESS BOURBON 1 2 11 11 2nk 53¼ 614¼ (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 33% 2.00 1.10  
4  CREATIVE CHOICE 3 1 21 21 42 75¼ 715 (allen lisa)WALKER M 122 15.00 55.70  
SCR  DR. HYDE               (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 119 12.00    
 
PID-8   10/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:123 1:371   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DREAM ASTRAY 5 2 1½ 1½ 11½ 12½ 16 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 2.30  
1  TIZ TACT TOE 1 4 54½ 55 53½ 33½ 26 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 26% 2.90 1.40 P
2  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND 2 1 33½ 34 31½ 22½ 38¼ (ruberto loui)AYALA J 121 10.00 22.00  
3  GRAEL 3 3 44½ 44 42½ 44½ 410 (hendriks richard)MARTINEZ W 122 2.00 26% 2.80 2.50  
6  GLORIOUS TRIBUTE 4 7 66 66 64 54½ 511 (amaya joan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 12.60  
8  DAD'S LIL SPARK 6 5 2½ 2½ 21½ 65 612¾ (rice kevin)DELGADO DAVID 121 4.00 20% 4.10 12.60  
9  JUST PRAISE 7 6 76½ 76½ 74¼ 76½ 715 (guciardo john)STANLEY O 122 20.00 51.30  
SCR  SCIENCE TO WIN               (herringt)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
SCR  SHOSHA               (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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