Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(4/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(4/3/7)-(2/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(2/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(2/3/5)-(4/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(4/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(4/1/2)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(3/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(3/4/1)-(2/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/7/6)-(6/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(6/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(6/1/3)-(3/1/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/1/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRUIT Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 Jul18   (mckinley mar)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00    
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
2  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Sep15         (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 121 1.40 68% 0.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of BLUE HEN HOCKEY by NOBLE'S PROMISE)
3  CHANGE THE HOUR Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 ★    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of CHANGE THE RATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  JUANSEN Sep19 Sep04       (miller henry )WALKER M 121 4.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of DIAMONDS FOR LEAH by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  MAC'S CAT Sep19         (russell randall)WALES GARY 121 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHABBY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
6  RECKLESS JONES Sep19 Aug29 Feb10 Jan25   (miller d)ALLEN D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of QUEEN OFTHE CASTLE by DONERAILE COURT)
 
PID-2   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERLIN'S SONG Sep05 Jul14 May16 Mar18 Feb24 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50    
2  PRESS SNOOZE Jul24 Apr23 Mar26 Feb03 Aug31 (martin william)ALLEN D 124 5.00    
3  GAGE HAS A GRAY Sep26 Sep04 Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
4  BIG CHICKEN MAN Sep26 Sep18 Aug14 Jul12 Jun20 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 2.50 49% 1.10    
5  POLLOCK Sep26 Aug29 Dec17 Oct25 Oct11 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00    
SCR  BEAR CREEK Sep27 Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 Jul05 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 124 3.00    
7  UNBRIDLEDSELECTION Sep27 Sep05 Aug16 Jul26 Jul03 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00 10% 9.10    
 
PID-3   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAST BUNNY Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul12 Jun19 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 119 3.50    
2  VALIANT VICTORIA Oct03 Sep19 Aug23 Aug10 Jul25 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 119 1.80 64% 0.60    
3  TEAM FEISTY Sep21 Aug30 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 10.00 7% 13.70    
4  WARRIOR'S MISS Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 Jul24 Jun22 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 2.50    
5  FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Sep19 Aug29 Aug04 Jul14 Jun02 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  IRISH VICTORY (IRE) Sep24 Sep04 May29 Apr07 Mar24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 4.50    
 
PID-4   10/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEBASI Sep11 Aug29 Aug01 Jul19 Oct13 (grace john)AYALA J 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
2  DEVIOUS MO Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jun14 May22 (williams omani)STANLEY O 124 3.00 11% 8.40    
3  CHIC N WILBUR Sep28 Sep12 Aug23 Aug10 Jul26 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 6.00    
4  EXTRA MEDIUM Sep11 Aug08 Jul26 Jul10 Jun14 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 48% 1.10    
5  BOOMIN GOOSE Oct02 Sep10 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
6  FUEL THE BERN Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 Jul19 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 124 1.80    
 
PID-5   10/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHANCY PHILLY Sep20 Aug29 Aug01 Jul24 Jul13 (stites w)STANLEY O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  FOLK HERO Sep28 Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 Jul17 (gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122 4.00    
3  ANIPPE Sep26 Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 Jun19 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
4  MIDNIGHT FROST Sep26 Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 Jul08 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 10% 8.70    
5  BECKON Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 Aug10 Jul27 (synnefia)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
6  MERINO WOOL Sep19 Sep05 Aug21 Aug01 Jul25 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00    
 
PID-6   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOUSEBUILDER Sep21 Aug22 Jul12 Jun05 Mar15 (bernardini jay )LEON A 119 12.00    
2  GIACOMETTI Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 Aug10 Jul18 (girten tim)WALKER M 121 1.60 41% 1.40    
3  LEONARD'S LEGACY Sep25 Aug30 Aug15 Jun14 May30 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
4  SHOOT YOUR CUFFS Sep21 Oct20 Sep27 Sep20 Sep06 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
5  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Sep14 Jul20 Jun24 Feb11 Jan14 (corrigan)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
6  SPINNING MUSICIAN Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jun21 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 6% 15.40    
7  GOLDEN SODA Sep06 Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 Jun05 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
PID-7   10/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAWLESS BOURBON Sep18 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 Jul18 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  DR. HYDE Sep07 Aug31 Jul22 Jul11 Jun26 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 119 12.00    
3  GREG'S HONOR Sep18 Sep02 Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
4  CREATIVE CHOICE Oct02 Sep18 Aug23 Jul31 Jul18 (allen lisa)WALKER M 122 15.00    
5  LONG RAP SHEET Sep12 Aug23 Aug15 Jul25 Jul07 (urieta johann)TUNON JORDANO 119 12.00    
6  HEY PADRE Sep18 Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 Oct20 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 39% 1.50    
7  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Sep26 Sep06 Aug28 Aug07 Jul25 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
8  CONDITION ONE Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jun21 May31 (stites w)STANLEY O 122 4.50    
 
PID-8   10/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ TACT TOE Sep18 Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 Jul13 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 26% 2.90    
2  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND Sep27 Sep12 Aug28 Aug07 Jul31 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 121 10.00    
3  GRAEL Sep21 Sep07 Aug12 Jul14 Jun23 (hendriks richard)MARTINEZ W 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SCIENCE TO WIN Sep28 Sep13 Aug02 Jun05 May17 (herringt)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
SCR  SHOSHA Sep13 Aug22 Jul16 Jun19 May30 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 122 8.00    
6  GLORIOUS TRIBUTE Sep26 Sep06 May28 May19 Apr30 (amaya joan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
7  DREAM ASTRAY Aug06 Jul08 Jun17 Sep30 Sep10 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 15.00    
8  DAD'S LIL SPARK Sep12 Sep06 Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 (rice kevin)DELGADO DAVID 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
9  JUST PRAISE Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 (guciardo john)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.