The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Belterra Park
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (4/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $56.60 $56.60 50.60
BTP-2   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
BTP-3   Win (8/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $15.80 -6.00
BTP-4   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 2.60
BTP-5   Win (4/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $19.60 -8.00
BTP-6   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $11.00 -4.00
BTP-7   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $16.60 -4.00
BTP-8   Win (11/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $13.40 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/21/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
1:361         1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY 7 6 67 5 3½ 1nk 1¼ (helmbrecht wi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00 8% 12.10 27.30 W
CARIBBEAN NIGHT 2 2 7 7 5¾ 2nk 2¼ (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 2.50 35% 1.80 0.70 P
WICKED INTENT 6 7 57 6 6 31 31 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 122 6.00 13.80  
COMMANDERS PALACE 5 5 32 3 4¾ 42 4(alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50 29% 2.40 1.90  
BLUE NEITH 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 55(watkins m)FELIX E 122 6.00 11.10  
HAPPYKIYAY 3 3 45 44 7 65 6(jurado luis)MOJICA JR 122 8.00 12.90  
GRAN CHEMIN 4 4 21 2nk 2nk 7712 (cline rober)CORREA L 122 12.00 21.00  
SCR  INNER HARBOR               (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 4.50    
SCR  POINT OF INFINITY               (bright derrick)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
SCR  TRICK HAT               (engler jeff)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00    
 
BTP-2   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
:24 :483 1:143 1:281   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG DEMAND 5 3 36 3 2nk 11(nance jonathan)COLON H 124 2.50 22% 3.50 0.70 W
EXPLOSIVE SKIES 1 1 58 4 3 32(patrick gary)MCKEE J 121 3.50 10% 9.50 2.90 P
PONDERED 3 5 2 2 1nk 23(caramori caio)MCENTEE GRACE 121 3.00 41% 1.40 5.80 S
MACI'S GEMSTONE 2 6 613 613 510 410 414¼ (short thomas)LAGUNES GABRIEL 116 5.00 5.30  
UNCOMMON GRACE 6 2 4 510 610¼ 514 530¼ (minnock g)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00 15.10  
MAE BEE RIGHT 4 4 1 1 48 614 632¾ (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 6.00 34.90  
 
BTP-3   09/21/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:563         :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM FEISTY 1 2 2 2   1½ 12 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 6.90  
MISS HIGH N MIGHTY 2 3 3 3   322 (ramirez car)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00 9.30  
AUGURI 6 1 1 1   2½ 3(cline rober)CORREA L 120 4.00 1.40  
KINGMAKING (GB) 4 4 4 46   44 4(baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 16% 5.40 2.10  
CASINO ANNIE 3 6 67 58   56 56 (brafford c)MURGIA A 120 6.00 6.50  
PROVOLONE 5 5 55 611   68 6(fernandez kelly)CANUTO THIAGO 124 6.00 23% 3.40 10.80  
FELLA'S SISTER 7 7 712 716½   714 7(kendall elise)MCKEE J 120 8.00 24% 3.10 16.40  
SCR  WRITTEN CONSENT               (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50    
 
BTP-4   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:25 :491 1:141 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPPY HOUR 3 1 11 11 14 13 1(adams l)HESS SARA 119 2.50 20% 4.10 2.30 W
PARKER 4 3 44 4 46 23 2(melancon paul)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 1.50  
WHEREWEGOIN 2 4 21 21 24 338 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 3.00 1.70  
BRODYTHEOXMAN 5 2 3 3 35 44(lopez a)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50 26% 2.80 9.00  
SAVING MAMA 1 5 59 59 512 511½ 518¼ (morelos mate)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 8.00 13.70  
SCR  AGENT COOPER               (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.50    
 
BTP-5   09/21/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE IT UP 1 1 12 1 12 111 (shifflett cheryl)MCKEE J 120 5.00 8.80  
PRESSLY'S HOPE 4 4 22 2 22 221 (oliver victoria)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20 P
HONEY BOURBON 5 3 8 79 78 63(ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 2.00 18% 4.60 3.30 S
PRINCESS NINA 3 2 4 3 3 44(andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 44% 1.30 1.80  
CELESTIAL SPIN 6 7 78 58 56 555 (criste)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00 23.40  
ALMADRINA (GB) 2 5 3 47 4 36(west w)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00 9% 10.40 3.60  
10  NORTHERN ALLIANCE 7 6 67 68 68 710½ 714¾ (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 8.00 25.60  
11  SHESMYBROKER 8 8 55 811 813 816½ 821½ (crumley jevon)HESS SARA 115 15.00 16.10  
SCR  AND I KNOW               (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 10.00    
SCR  SENTIMENTALJOURNEY               (west ethan )CORREA L 120 12.00    
SCR  TRAUMARAMA               (patrick gary)MOJICA JR 120 4.00    
 
BTP-6   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
1:143         1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'RE A DANDY 5 2 21 2nk   1½ 1½ (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50 4.50  
AWESOME VALOR 2 3 11 1nk   2½ 2½ (adams l)COLON H 122 3.00 25% 3.00 1.20 P
OPTIMIZME 1 4 32 44   335 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 1.60 1.40  
MAXIMUM JOY 3 5 54 5   510½ 414¾ (butcher james)BUSH V 122 4.00 16.30  
LUCKY CAT TOO 4 1 4 33   4517 (royal madelyn)MURGIA A 122 5.00 39% 1.50 6.60  
 
BTP-7   09/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
:231 :474       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE TEMPTATION 2 3 3 43   1nk 1½ (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 119 6.00 7.30  
MAN'S CHOICE 4 5 54 55   2nk 2½ (zielinski richard)MCKEE J 119 3.00 41% 1.50 0.90 P
WHISKEY HELPS 1 4 4 33   33(salcedo ramon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00 5.60  
CONSTITUTION COAL 3 2 1 1   44 4(chain pearl)REYES R 119 3.50 2.90  
SHOWTIME BOY 5 1 2 2   55(zielinski richa)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00 22% 3.50 4.80  
SCR  MR. BALI               (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.50    
 
BTP-8   09/21/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
1:41         1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WHERE'D THE DAY GO 7 7 11 1 1 11 1(rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 4.00 5.70  
LORD REVELSTOKE 3 4 4 2 2 21 2(corrigan jim)MOJICA JR 120 3.50 11% 8.10 2.90 P
11  NOBLE PURSUIT 8 8 7 7 66 43(morey e)FELIX E 120 2.50 65% 0.50 0.80 S
CACAHUETE 1 3 21 3 3 34(coyle verno)CORREA L 120 8.00 13.40  
10  ENGLISH CLASSIC 6 6 8 87 87 75(alessi james)HESS SARA 115 30.00 37.30  
HOLIDAY DANCER 4 1 31 4 5 55 6(march william)BUSH V 120 30.00 26.80  
ERIC THE SALESMAN 2 2 5 5 77 678 (calcano a)REYES R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
HONEST TO GOODNESS 5 5 6 6 4 8814 (ramirez car)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 20.00 51.60  
SCR  BAKENEKO               (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 4.00    
SCR  GENERAL DIRECTION               (conto kevin)MCKEE J 120 5.00    
SCR  SON OF GRACE               (hughes w)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS               (hernandez javier)REYES FRANK 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.