Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belterra Park
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (4/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-2   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-3   Win (8/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-4   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BTP-5   Win (4/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BTP-6   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BTP-7   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BTP-8   Win (11/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BTP-1   09/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POINT OF INFINITY Aug15 Jul23 Jul09 Jun08 May26 (bright derrick)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
SCR  INNER HARBOR Sep07 Aug01 Jul07 Jun01   (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 4.50    
BLUE NEITH Aug24 Jul04 Jun05 Mar18 Mar03 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 6.00    
CARIBBEAN NIGHT Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 Jan04 Dec08 (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
HAPPYKIYAY Sep08 Aug01 May18 May02 Jun07 (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 122 8.00    
GRAN CHEMIN Sep02 Aug19 Jul26 Jun24 May31 (cline rober)CORREA L 122 12.00    
COMMANDERS PALACE Sep07 Aug19 Feb16 Feb02 Jan05 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
WICKED INTENT Aug28 Aug04 Jul15 Mar15 Feb15 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 122 6.00    
SCR  TRICK HAT Sep06 Aug19 Jun10 May25 Mar15 (engler jeff)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00    
10  CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jun15 May31 (helmbrecht wi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00 8% 12.10    
 
BTP-2   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLOSIVE SKIES Aug23 Aug01 Jul07 Jun07 Apr26 (patrick gary)MCKEE J 121 3.50 10% 9.50    
MACI'S GEMSTONE Aug31 Aug17 Jul29 Jul14 Jun21 (short thomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 5.00    
PONDERED Sep05 Jul21       (caramori caio)MCENTEE GRACE 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
MAE BEE RIGHT Aug19 Jul15 Jun21     (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 6.00    
STRONG DEMAND Sep05 Aug17 Jul11 Jun21 May29 (nance jonathan)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
UNCOMMON GRACE Aug29 Jul29 Jul03     (minnock g)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00    
 
BTP-3   09/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM FEISTY Aug30 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 Jun18 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 8.00    
MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Sep03 Aug24 Aug02 Jul23 Jul06 (ramirez car)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
CASINO ANNIE Aug31 Mar19 Jan20     (brafford c)MURGIA A 120 6.00    
KINGMAKING (GB) Aug29 Jul27 Jul08 Jun29 Jun10 (baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  WRITTEN CONSENT Jul27 Jul07 Jun21 May27 May19 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50    
PROVOLONE         (fernandez kelly)CANUTO THIAGO 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
AUGURI (ARG) Aug31 Jul21 Jun01 May13 Apr29 (cline rober)CORREA L 120 4.00    
FELLA'S SISTER         (kendall elise)MCKEE J 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
 
BTP-4   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVING MAMA Sep02 Jun08 May25 Feb04 Jan18 (morelos mate)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 8.00    
WHEREWEGOIN Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jun01 Nov12 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 3.00    
SCR  AGENT COOPER Aug26 Aug17 Aug03 Jun30 May05 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.50    
CAPPY HOUR Sep02 Aug12 Aug04 Jul07 Jun21 (adams l)HESS SARA 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
PARKER Sep09 Aug30 Aug26 May30 Mar19 (melancon paul)REYES FRANK 124 4.00    
BRODYTHEOXMAN Sep02 Aug19 Aug10 Jul26 Jul01 (lopez a)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
BTP-5   09/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE IT UP Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 Jun21 May27 (shifflett cheryl)MCKEE J 120 5.00    
ALMADRINA (GB) Jul27 Jul08 Jun15 May25 May06 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  AND I KNOW Aug10 Jul01 Jun22 May27 Apr18 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 10.00    
PRINCESS NINA Aug30 Jul30 Jul09 Apr12 Mar17 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
PRESSLY'S HOPE Aug31 Jun23 Jun11 May05 Feb20 (oliver victoria)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HONEY BOURBON Sep06 Aug27 Aug01 Jul17 Jul02 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  SENTIMENTALJOURNEY Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jun24 May29 (west ethan )CORREA L 120 12.00    
CELESTIAL SPIN Sep02 Jul30 Jun04 May18 Apr27 (criste)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00    
SCR  TRAUMARAMA Aug16 Jul21 Jul01 Jun21 Oct05 (patrick gary)MOJICA JR 120 4.00    
10  NORTHERN ALLIANCE Aug23 Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 Apr02 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 8.00    
11  SHESMYBROKER Aug23 Aug12 Jul21 Jul12 Jun11 (crumley jevon)HESS SARA 115 15.00    
 
BTP-6   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMIZME Sep04 Aug11 Aug01 Jun16 Jun01 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 1.60    
AWESOME VALOR Sep08 Aug19 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 (adams l)COLON H 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
MAXIMUM JOY Sep07 Aug18 Jun22 Jun10 May11 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 122 4.00    
LUCKY CAT TOO Jul19 May31 Apr28 Apr05 Mar24 (royal madelyn)MURGIA A 122 5.00 39% 1.50    
YOU'RE A DANDY Sep08 Aug30 Aug15 Aug04 Jul21 (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50    
 
BTP-7   09/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. BALI Aug18 Jun29 Jun19 Jun01 May18 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.50    
WHISKEY HELPS Aug30 Aug17 Aug01 Jul15 Jul06 (salcedo ramon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00    
PALACE TEMPTATION Sep09 Aug09 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 119 6.00    
CONSTITUTION COAL Jul06 Jun02 May08 Mar30 Mar09 (chain pearl)REYES R 119 3.50    
MAN'S CHOICE Aug31 Jul06 Jun05 May11 Apr25 (zielinski richard)MCKEE J 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
SHOWTIME BOY Aug18 Aug09 Jul24 Jun29 May29 (zielinski richa)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
BTP-8   09/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Sep06 Aug27 Aug09 Jul08 Jun21 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 4.00    
SCR  BAKENEKO Aug30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May21 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 4.00    
CACAHUETE Sep08 Aug19 Jul21 Jul12 Jun29 (coyle verno)CORREA L 120 8.00    
ERIC THE SALESMAN Sep03 Aug24 Jul27 Jul15 Jun06 (calcano a)REYES R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LORD REVELSTOKE Sep05 Aug17 Aug05 Jul06 Jun05 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 3.50 11% 8.10    
HOLIDAY DANCER Aug23 Jul22 Jul08 Jun03 Apr29 (march william)BUSH V 120 30.00    
SCR  GENERAL DIRECTION Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 Jun26 Nov08 (conto kevin)MCKEE J 120 5.00    
HONEST TO GOODNESS Sep03 Apr16 Nov20 Nov06 Oct28 (ramirez car)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
SCR  SON OF GRACE Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 Jun25 Jun11 (hughes w)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS Sep09 Jun16 Jun07 May31 Apr27 (hernandez javier)REYES FRANK 120 12.00    
10  ENGLISH CLASSIC Sep07 Aug01 Jul19 Jul01 Jun09 (alessi james)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
11  NOBLE PURSUIT Aug16 Aug09 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (morey e)FELIX E 120 2.50 65% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.