The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
PID-2   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
PID-3   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $26.00 -4.00
PID-4   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $9.00 -4.00
PID-5   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -1.80
PID-6   Win (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
PID-7   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
PID-8   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/05/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:214 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S. MUFFIN 1 3 1 12   11¼ (russell br)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 42% 1.40 1.10 W
CHAOS THEORY 3 4 4 32   22¼ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 31% 2.20 1.30 P
GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 2 1 2 4   332 (walsh d)WALKER M 122 3.00 3.10  
UNCLE EARL 4 2 3 22   43 4(brownfield)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 10.30  
SCR  NICK THE CARDSHARK               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
 
PID-2   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
:244 :494 1:143 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRETARY OF WAR 5 5 43 31 41 2nk 11 (cowans wil)GALLARDO A 121 1.60 58% 0.70 1.30 W
DIAMONDHARD STONE 3 4 3 4 3½ 421 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 121 6.00 1.70  
TWIST OF FAITH 1 1 2 21 2½ 31 32 (graci a)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 15% 5.80 2.80 S
BRADY 4 2 54 5 5 54(valdez moise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.50 9.80  
COMMANDING 2 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 54 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 10.00 15.50  
SCR  STRATEGYFORYOU               (clarke dylan)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00    
 
PID-3   10/05/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
:254 :501 1:141 1:382   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIC LUCK 3 1 1 1 1½ 11¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 5.00 12.00  
SUN DADDY 5 4 2 2 2½ 22¼ (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.00 P
COMEDIC TIMING 1 2 33 4 4 32 3(rojas edua)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 1.30  
YADI 4 5 55 54 52 44(carr-rozantz cat)ALLEN D 122 4.00 13.80  
MR MATUSCHEK 2 3 4 3 31 55 511½ (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 25% 3.00 6.20  
SCR  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL               (rojas ed)SMITH DANIEL 112 10.00    
 
PID-4   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:21
:244 :493 1:133 1:254   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECORD TIME 3 3 1nk 1nk 11 11(stidham michael)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 3.50  
RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW 1 2 4 4 21 22(stidham mi)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 3.50  
MADURAI 4 4 31 31 4 44 3(beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 39% 1.50 1.50 S
BAYTOWN BRUISER 2 1 2nk 2nk 3 34 4(wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 120 4.50 8.20  
EXPRESS STAR 5 5 5 5 5 5510½ (miller d)WALES GARY 120 5.00 17% 4.90 2.90  
SCR  HOLD MY BEER BRO               (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
 
PID-5   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
:25 :483 1:122 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANKEE DOLLAR 2 4 11 11 11 13 18 (vitali mar)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 69% 0.40 0.10 W
BALI KUTA 3 3 21 21 21 23 28 (brion keri)SPIETH S 122 4.00 7% 12.90 8.80 P
HAPPY BEE 1 1 3 3 3 33(markgraf david)WALKER M 122 5.00 10.80  
PEACE SEEKER 4 2 4 4 4 4415½ (bernardini p)LEON A 122 3.00 10.10  
SCR  MACHINA               (banach d)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
SCR  SMOOTH PEBBLE               (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
SCR  WILD DELIGHT               (rogers michae)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
 
PID-6   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:24 :47 1:111 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL POPPY 7 3 25 2 2 1nk 13 (kintz matthew)ALLEN D 119 2.50 14% 6.30 3.60 W
KNIGHT LEGEND 3 1 4 4 4 31 23 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 0.70 P
SANTO 5 6 3 3 3 433 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 10.00  
MORNING MARCH 4 2 15 1 1 2nk 4(gordon-w)SMITH DANIEL 112 15.00 71.40  
SACHMO 1 5 7 711 7 75(salvaggio )MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 60% 0.70 5.50  
HANFORD 6 7 69 69 66 66(bennett juanita)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 23.20  
WILLIE WANDO 2 4 5 5 5 53 7(markgraf david)WALKER M 119 4.50 8.60  
SCR  SHY DA RUNNER               (girten tim)GALLARDO A 121 4.00    
 
PID-7   10/05/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
:242 :483 1:13 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE TIMES 1 3 1½ 1nk 1½ 11 1(gargan dan)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 43% 1.30 0.60 W
ANOINT 5 6 6 3 4 31 2(brion keri)SPIETH S 122 6.00 8% 12.00 8.70 P
TOOLCAT 3 2 3½ 4 3 21 3(potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 22% 3.50 2.10 S
AZTEC PRINCESS 6 5 5 5 5 42 4(hamm timoth)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 9.50  
CASCADE PARK 2 1 43 6 63 654 (estvanko richard)ALLEN D 122 6.00 22.60  
SIDESWIPED 4 4 2½ 2nk 2½ 566 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 119 10.00 22.70  
 
PID-8   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:221 :451 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSH'S HONOR 3 4 22 1nk   11 1¼ (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 119 2.50 35% 1.90 0.80 W
GOVERNOR ATWOOD 5 2 4 5   62¼ (russell randal)AYALA J 122 3.00 6% 16.30 4.50 P
VOORHEES 1 6 66 6   53(hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 119 3.50 7.50  
BOSS HOLIDAY 2 5 3 31   34(albright a)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00 31% 2.30 11.50  
BLAME B B 6 3 5 4   42 5(weaver cassondra)STANLEY O 124 4.50 3.50  
SPIRITED DEBATE 4 1 12 2nk   21 6(fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 16.10  
SCR  KRUSIN ROCKET               (martin n)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.