Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1-4 $8.60 $4.60 115%
PID-2   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    DD (1/4)-(6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1-6 $14.80 $6.80 85%
PID-5   EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5-6 $6.20 $2.20 55%
PID-6   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-3 $19.60 $7.60 63%
PID-7   EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $19.40 $7.40 62%
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5-3 $47.20 $35.20 293%
    DD (1/8/3)-(1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-1 $19.80 $1.80 10%
PID-8   EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-6 $13.60 $1.60 13%
    PK4 (5/6)-(1/8/3)-(1/3/5)-(3/2/6) 54 $2.00 $108  ALL-8-1-3/4 $110.80 $2.80 3%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:214 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  S. MUFFIN 1 3 12½ 12   11½ 1¼ (russell )GALLARDO A 122 2.50 42% 1.40 1.10 W
4  CHAOS THEORY 3 4 43½ 32   21½ 2¼ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 31% 2.20 1.30 P
3  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 2 1 22½ 42½   32½ 32 (walsh d)WALKER M 122 3.00 3.10  
5  UNCLE EARL 4 2 32½ 22   43 42½ (brownfie)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 10.30  
SCR  NICK THE CARDSHARK               (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
 
PID-2   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:143 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SECRETARY OF WAR 5 5 43 31 41 2nk 11 (cowans w)GALLARDO A 121 1.60 58% 0.70 1.30 W
4  DIAMONDHARD STONE 3 4 32½ 41½ 3½ 41¼ 21 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 121 6.00 1.70  
2  TWIST OF FAITH 1 1 21½ 21 2½ 31 32 (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 15% 5.80 2.80 S
5  BRADY 4 2 54 52½ 53½ 53¼ 42¾ (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.50 9.80  
3  COMMANDING 2 3 11½ 11 1½ 1nk 54 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 10.00 15.50  
SCR  STRATEGYFORYOU               (clarke dylan)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00    
 
PID-3   10/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:254 :501 1:141 1:382   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EPIC LUCK 3 1 12½ 11½ 1½ 11½ 1¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 5.00 12.00  
6  SUN DADDY 5 4 22½ 21½ 2½ 21½ 2¼ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.00 P
1  COMEDIC TIMING 1 2 33 43½ 41½ 32 32¼ (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 1.30  
5  YADI 4 5 55 54 52 43½ 45¼ (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 4.00 13.80  
3  MR MATUSCHEK 2 3 43½ 32½ 31 55 511½ (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 25% 3.00 6.20  
SCR  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL               (rojas )SMITH DANIEL 112 10.00    
 
PID-4   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:133 1:254   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RECORD TIME 3 3 1nk 1nk 11 11½ 13¾ (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 3.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DIVA'S RULE by ROMAN RULER)
2  RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW 1 2 41¼ 41¼ 21 21½ 23¾ (stidham )GALLARDO A 120 4.00 3.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SWEET CONGRATS by CONGRATS)
5  MADURAI 4 4 31 31 43½ 44 38¼ (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 39% 1.50 1.50 S
  (by ARROGATE out of KORTOBA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  BAYTOWN BRUISER 2 1 2nk 2nk 31½ 34 48¼ (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 120 4.50 8.20  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHES TRICKEY by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  EXPRESS STAR 5 5 52¼ 51¾ 53½ 55½ 510½ (miller d)WALES GARY 120 5.00 17% 4.90 2.90  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of STARSHIP ESPRESSO by TALE OF EKATI)
SCR  HOLD MY BEER BRO               (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of QUALITY SILVER by EUROSILVER)
 
PID-5   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:122 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  YANKEE DOLLAR 2 4 11 11 11 13 18 (vitali m)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 69% 0.40 0.10 W
6  BALI KUTA 3 3 21 21 21 23 28 (brion keri)SPIETH S 122 4.00 7% 12.90 8.80 P
1  HAPPY BEE 1 1 31½ 31½ 32½ 34½ 39¼ (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 5.00 10.80  
7  PEACE SEEKER 4 2 42½ 42½ 43½ 47½ 415½ (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 3.00 10.10  
SCR  MACHINA               (banach darwin)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
SCR  SMOOTH PEBBLE               (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
SCR  WILD DELIGHT               (rogers mich)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
 
PID-6   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:111 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COLONEL POPPY 7 3 25 24½ 22½ 1nk 13 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 2.50 14% 6.30 3.60 W
3  KNIGHT LEGEND 3 1 46½ 47½ 44½ 31 23 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 0.70 P
6  SANTO 5 6 36½ 36½ 33½ 41½ 33 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 10.00  
4  MORNING MARCH 4 2 15 14½ 12½ 2nk 44¾ (gordon)SMITH DANIEL 112 15.00 71.40  
1  SACHMO 1 5 79½ 711 76¼ 73¾ 55½ (salvaggi)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 60% 0.70 5.50  
7  HANFORD 6 7 69 69 66 63¼ 66¾ (bennett juanita)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 23.20  
2  WILLIE WANDO 2 4 57½ 57½ 54½ 53 77½ (markgraf davi)WALKER M 119 4.50 8.60  
SCR  SHY DA RUNNER               (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 4.00    
 
PID-7   10/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:13 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE TIMES 1 3 1½ 1nk 1½ 11 11¼ (gargan d)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 43% 1.30 0.60 W
5  ANOINT 5 6 64¼ 31½ 41½ 31 21¼ (brion keri)SPIETH S 122 6.00 8% 12.00 8.70 P
3  TOOLCAT 3 2 3½ 41¾ 31½ 21 31¼ (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 22% 3.50 2.10 S
6  AZTEC PRINCESS 6 5 53¼ 53¼ 52½ 42 43¼ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 9.50  
2  CASCADE PARK 2 1 43 63¼ 63 62¾ 54 (estvanko richa)ALLEN D 122 6.00 22.60  
4  SIDESWIPED 4 4 2½ 2nk 2½ 52½ 66 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 119 10.00 22.70  
 
PID-8   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JOSH'S HONOR 3 4 22 1nk   11 1¼ (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 119 2.50 35% 1.90 0.80 W
6  GOVERNOR ATWOOD 5 2 43½ 52¼   63½ 2¼ (russell rand)AYALA J 122 3.00 6% 16.30 4.50 P
1  VOORHEES 1 6 66 64¼   52½ 31¼ (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 119 3.50 7.50  
2  BOSS HOLIDAY 2 5 32½ 31   31½ 41½ (albright)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00 31% 2.30 11.50  
7  BLAME B B 6 3 53½ 41¼   42 53½ (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 124 4.50 3.50  
5  SPIRITED DEBATE 4 1 12 2nk   21 65½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 16.10  
SCR  KRUSIN ROCKET               (martin william)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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