Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/2)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(6/3)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(5/6)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(5/6)-(1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(1/8/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(1/8/3)-(1/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/3)-(1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3)-(1/3/5)-(3/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(3/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  S. MUFFIN Aug17 Jul21 Jun02 May19 Jun26 (russell )GALLARDO A 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  NICK THE CARDSHARK Aug30 Aug08 Jul17 Jun21 Jun06 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
3  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) Sep12 Aug10 Aug02 Jul17 Jun05 (walsh d)WALKER M 122 3.00    
4  CHAOS THEORY Sep12 May27 Apr09 Mar12 Jan22 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
5  UNCLE EARL Aug09 Jul12 Jun15 May20 Mar31 (brownfie)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
 
PID-2   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRATEGYFORYOU Sep25 Sep04 Jul30 Jun04 May19 (clarke dylan)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00    
2  TWIST OF FAITH Sep20 Sep01 Jul19 Jul06 Jun17 (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 15% 5.80    
3  COMMANDING Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Aug08 Feb02 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 10.00    
4  DIAMONDHARD STONE Sep27 Aug22 Aug16 Jul24 Jul11 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 121 6.00    
5  BRADY Sep04 Jul12 Sep18     (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.50    
6  SECRETARY OF WAR Sep06 Dec03 Oct07 Aug19 Aug04 (cowans w)GALLARDO A 121 1.60 58% 0.70    
 
PID-3   10/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMEDIC TIMING Sep22 Sep10 Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 124 3.00    
SCR  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Sep18 Aug28 Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 (rojas )SMITH DANIEL 112 10.00    
3  MR MATUSCHEK Sep15 Aug26 Jul27 Jan14 Dec10 (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  EPIC LUCK Sep07 Sep01 Aug07 Jul19 Jun21 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 5.00    
5  YADI Sep21 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 4.00    
6  SUN DADDY Sep05 Aug28 Aug02 Jun12 Mar15 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
PID-4   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLD MY BEER BRO Sep15         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of QUALITY SILVER by EUROSILVER)
2  RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW         (stidham )GALLARDO A 120 4.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SWEET CONGRATS by CONGRATS)
3  BAYTOWN BRUISER Sep20         (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 120 4.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHES TRICKEY by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  RECORD TIME         (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DIVA'S RULE by ROMAN RULER)
5  MADURAI Sep12         (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 39% 1.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of KORTOBA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  EXPRESS STAR Sep20 Sep04 Aug07     (miller d)WALES GARY 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of STARSHIP ESPRESSO by TALE OF EKATI)
 
PID-5   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY BEE Sep25 Aug14 Jul11 Jun20 May31 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 5.00    
SCR  SMOOTH PEBBLE Aug12 Jun15 Mar11 Jan14 Oct29 (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
SCR  WILD DELIGHT Sep11 Aug16 Jul24 Jun21 Jul20 (rogers mich)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
SCR  MACHINA Aug18 Aug03 Jul09 Jun22 May19 (banach darwin)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
5  YANKEE DOLLAR Sep20 Aug06 Jul27 Jun21 May31 (vitali m)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 69% 0.40    
6  BALI KUTA Sep09 Aug31 Jul27 Jun21 May27 (brion keri)SPIETH S 122 4.00 7% 12.90    
7  PEACE SEEKER Sep18 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 Jun11 (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 3.00    
 
PID-6   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACHMO Sep15 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jul07 (salvaggi)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
2  WILLIE WANDO Sep25 Sep13 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 119 4.50    
3  KNIGHT LEGEND Aug28 Aug08 Dec09 Nov17 Sep19 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MORNING MARCH Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Jul20 Jul10 (gordon)SMITH DANIEL 112 15.00    
SCR  SHY DA RUNNER Sep25 Sep05 Aug07 Jul24 Jun16 (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 4.00    
6  SANTO Sep01 Aug09 Jul07 Jun15 May18 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
7  HANFORD Aug23 Jul26 Jun29 May26 Nov04 (bennett juanita)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
8  COLONEL POPPY Sep13 Aug29 Aug07 Jul10 Jun27 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
PID-7   10/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE TIMES Aug12 Jun03 Mar26 Feb12 Dec04 (gargan d)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
2  CASCADE PARK Aug14 Jul08 May09 Mar02 Dec22 (estvanko richa)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
3  TOOLCAT Sep18 Aug23 Jul19 Jun20 May30 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  SIDESWIPED Sep18 Aug18 Jul27 Jul05 Jun10 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 119 10.00    
5  ANOINT Sep18 Jul11 Jun20 May24 Jan27 (brion keri)SPIETH S 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
6  AZTEC PRINCESS Sep06 Aug21 Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50    
 
PID-8   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOORHEES Sep04 Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 119 3.50    
2  BOSS HOLIDAY Aug30 Aug06 Jul14 Jun23 May21 (albright)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00 31% 2.30    
3  JOSH'S HONOR Sep19 Aug15 Aug01 Jul10 Jun07 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  KRUSIN ROCKET Sep25 Aug21 Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
5  SPIRITED DEBATE Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
6  GOVERNOR ATWOOD Sep25 Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 3.00 6% 16.30    
7  BLAME B B Sep21 Aug02 Jul12 Jun16 May29 (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 124 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.