Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1-6 $6.60 $2.60 65%
MNR-2   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    DD (1/6)-(2/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $14.60 $2.60 22%
MNR-4   EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-3 $18.20 $6.20 52%
Simulator Race results
 
MNR-1   09/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UCAPTURED AERO 1 2 11½ 16   17 13¼ (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 1.60 46% 1.20 0.30 W
6  SHES HOT TO TROT 4 3 34½ 26   27 23¼ (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 30% 2.30 4.60 P
3  SONG OF THE HEART 2 1 21½ 36   38½ 312 (cascallares n)LUGO D 123 3.00 2.90  
5  LITTLEBITOFLASH 3 5 57½ 510   413½ 415¼ (gray christop)CEDILLO MAURO 113 15.00 36.30  
7  MORE TO FOLLOW 5 4 45½ 48   515½ 515¾ (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 15.00 43.70  
SCR  GIO'S MY DAD               (reffner b)CCAMAQUE M 123 5.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY SHAY               (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 6.00    
 
MNR-2   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:122     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC 2 1 1nk 1½ 11 14 1¼ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.00 44% 1.30 2.80 W
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of SNOOZE by FORESTRY)
6  THE MONSTER IRUS 6 6 610¼ 612¾ 310 36 2¼ (cascallares n)LUGO D 115 4.50 19.30  
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
1  ZINFATUATION 1 2 2nk 2½ 21 24 36¼ (norris ste)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 1.00  
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
3  SENSE OF GOLDEN 3 3 34 38½ 410½ 413 418¾ (cascallares n)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 5.40  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
4  DERBY WIFE 4 4 44¼ 48½ 512½ 520 519¼ (reed er)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.00 15.20  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILVESTER LADY (GB) by PIVOTAL (GB))
5  LUTE'S ANGEL 5 5 54¼ 58¾ 617½ 626 624¾ (corder)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 26% 2.90 4.60  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of DISCREETLY ELUSIVE by DISCREET CAT)
7  PISTOL JERRY 7 7 717¼ 721¾ 732½ 742 741 (larue steve)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 30.00 5% 19.00 47.40  
  (by EUROEARS out of DANCE SOMEWHERE by DANCE MASTER)
 
MNR-3   09/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:221 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAGNIFICENT MADDY 2 1 11½ 11½   12 12½ (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 2.10  
1  LADY OCEAN 1 4 32 21½   22 22½ (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 1.60 38% 1.70 1.00 P
3  WEST COAST WILDCAT 3 2 21½ 34½   310 311¼ (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 3.00 8.50  
4  EVENING BIRD 4 3 42 45   411½ 413 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 6.00 31% 2.20 5.90  
6  TERRIFIC LADY 6 6 66½ 68   615 513 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 6.80  
5  FIRST TIME PLAYER 5 5 55 58   512 613½ (soto ant)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 12.00 6% 15.50 33.80  
 
MNR-4   09/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EQUAL JUSTICE 3 2 31½ 1nk   1½ 11¼ (gotera car)LEON A 123 1.60 26% 2.80 1.70 W
3  DOCTOR LEE 2 5 42½ 41   32½ 21¼ (crago t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 24% 3.20 2.80 P
6  WHISKEY SUNRISE 4 4 53½ 53   56½ 34 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 123 5.00 1.30  
8  GEMO 6 3 21 3½   44½ 45½ (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00 10.20  
1  JERSEY DIAMOND 1 1 11 2nk   2½ 55¾ (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 12.00 26.70  
7  DREAM SATURDAY 5 6 64½ 63¼   69½ 616½ (van d)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 12.00 14% 6.10 29.30  
SCR  MY MAE DAY               (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00    
SCR  SOURNOIS               (kirk sherry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
 
MNR-5   09/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INGERSOLL 1 4 1nk 11½   11 1nk (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 3.60  
2  QUANTUM THEORY 2 5 52¾ 21½   21 2nk (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00 24% 3.10 2.10 P
5  SCREAMING JEREMY 5 1 42½ 52¼   31 31½ (hebert kitty)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.50 25% 3.00 4.90 S
3  KALINBA 3 3 2nk 31½   41¼ 43¼ (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 1.60 6.90  
6  SHADY STAR 6 6 63¼ 42   54¼ 54½ (devill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 2.80  
4  VASY SAYS NYET 4 2 31 62¾   67¼ 67 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 118 10.00 23% 3.40 7.70  
 
MNR-6   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VALEROSO 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 13 14 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 3.50  
4  SOUTHERN SENSE 4 5 511½ 612 55 510½ 24 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 6.00 28% 2.60 8.00 P
5  PAT DADDY 5 2 31½ 32 31 23 34¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 120 1.60 37% 1.70 2.80 S
6  GILLIGAN 6 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 33½ 46¾ (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 8% 11.20 3.60  
1  SCORSESE 1 4 49½ 46 43 48½ 57½ (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 10.00 7.90  
2  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 2 6 615½ 510 65½ 612½ 68½ (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 2.40  
SCR  HARD N'SWEET               (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
 
MNR-7   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:111     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SWEET WILLEMINA 4 7 79½ 56 41 2½ 12 (lake s)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 2.40  
1  YANKEE DOLLAR 1 4 45 32 3½ 31 22 (vitali j)PAUCAR E 120 3.50 59% 0.70 1.50 P
5  CANDY ISLAND 5 1 21½ 21 2nk 1½ 32 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00 36.40  
8  LOVELY LISA 7 2 11½ 11 1nk 41½ 411½ (hernandez rey)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00 19.70  
3  FRAGRANT 3 5 58 68 67 58½ 513¼ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 12% 7.00 2.00  
6  DUNVEGAN DOLL 6 6 68½ 78½ 710 711 613½ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 11.10  
2  COMPLETE SURPRISE 2 3 32½ 43 53 69 715 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
SCR  QUERIDINHA LECA               (lobo paulo )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00    
 
MNR-8   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:132     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AT THE BEACH 9 4 510½ 515 36 1½ 1nk (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 120 12.00 15.50  
7  PAPA CHARLES 6 8 716 615 57½ 2½ 2nk (gotera car)LEON A 120 5.00 34% 2.00 4.90 P
9  STRAUS'S PLACE 8 6 611 411 46½ 31 33½ (si)DA FAUSTO 120 5.00 15% 5.70 3.40 S
3  POWER (BRZ) 3 7 816½ 717 712 55½ 45¾ (morzan javier)CEDILLO MAURO 115 10.00 6.70  
1  SMALL BUT FEISTY 1 2 12 13 14 41½ 511 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 118 12.00 5.80  
2  KHOPILOT 2 9 919½ 920½ 814 710½ 611¼ (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 25% 2.90 3.70  
5  RECKLESS AFFAIR 4 3 38 817½ 916 912½ 717 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.00 6.40  
6  BON DEUX 5 1 22 23 24 68½ 817½ (mcgaffic grego)DIAZ I 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
8  DUBROVNIK 7 5 48½ 310 68 811½ 920½ (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 12.90  
SCR  LOOKA LOOKA               (fiesman )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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