Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-2   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(1/4/5)-(4/3/7) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(4/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(1/3/2)-(7/2/9/6) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(7/2/9/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/2/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/9/6)-(7/2/9/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/9/6)-(7/2/9/6)-(7/2/9/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   09/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UCAPTURED AERO Apr23 Feb20       (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 1.60 46% 1.20    
SCR  RUNAWAY SHAY         (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 6.00    
3  SONG OF THE HEART Apr26 Apr12 Mar19 Feb25 Feb08 (cascallares n)LUGO D 123 3.00    
SCR  GIO'S MY DAD Sep12 Aug09 Jul26 Jul18 Jul04 (reffner b)CCAMAQUE M 123 5.00    
5  LITTLEBITOFLASH Jul05 Jun10 Apr25     (gray christop)CEDILLO MAURO 113 15.00    
6  SHES HOT TO TROT Sep12 Aug28 Jun13     (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 30% 2.30    
7  MORE TO FOLLOW Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 Jul09 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 15.00    
 
MNR-2   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZINFATUATION Sep06 Aug07 Jul22 Jun26 Jun04 (norris ste)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
2  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC Apr13 Feb20 Dec05 Nov02 Sep13 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of SNOOZE by FORESTRY)
3  SENSE OF GOLDEN Sep01 Aug19       (cascallares n)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
4  DERBY WIFE Jul25 Mar21       (reed er)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILVESTER LADY (GB) by PIVOTAL (GB))
5  LUTE'S ANGEL Sep06 Aug23 Dec29 Dec08 Sep28 (corder)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of DISCREETLY ELUSIVE by DISCREET CAT)
6  THE MONSTER IRUS Aug11 Aug02 Jul20 Jul01 Apr05 (cascallares n)LUGO D 115 4.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
7  PISTOL JERRY Aug23         (larue steve)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of DANCE SOMEWHERE by DANCE MASTER)
 
MNR-3   09/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY OCEAN Sep05 Aug21 Mar26 Mar01 Dec09 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 1.60 38% 1.70    
2  MAGNIFICENT MADDY Aug29 Jul12 Jun13 May28 May02 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 2.50    
3  WEST COAST WILDCAT Aug08 Jul29 Jul15 Jun10 Apr16 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 3.00    
4  EVENING BIRD Jun20 Jun05 May22     (si)DA FAUSTO 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
5  FIRST TIME PLAYER Sep13 Aug28 Aug22 Jul26 Nov01 (soto ant)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 12.00 6% 15.50    
6  TERRIFIC LADY Jul23 Jun11 May08 Mar27 Mar13 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
 
MNR-4   09/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY DIAMOND Aug28 Jul10 Jun26 May28 Dec04 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 12.00    
SCR  SOURNOIS Sep10 Aug22 Jul31 Jun26 Jun03 (kirk sherry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
3  DOCTOR LEE Aug02 Jul23 Jun26 Nov22 Oct30 (crago t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  EQUAL JUSTICE Aug27 Jul07 Jun06 May06 Feb23 (gotera car)LEON A 123 1.60 26% 2.80    
SCR  MY MAE DAY Aug22 Jul18 Jun20 May15 May03 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00    
6  WHISKEY SUNRISE Sep06 Aug29 Aug08 Jul31 Jul18 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 123 5.00    
7  DREAM SATURDAY Jul23 Nov07 Jun12 May02 Apr04 (van d)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 12.00 14% 6.10    
8  GEMO Aug22 Jun26 Jun13 May28 May09 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00    
 
MNR-5   09/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INGERSOLL Sep04 Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun19 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
2  QUANTUM THEORY Aug29 Jul16 Jul10 Jun05 Apr02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
3  KALINBA Aug25 Jul21 Jul14 Jul01 May06 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 1.60    
4  VASY SAYS NYET Sep04 Aug20 Aug02 Jul16 Jul02 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 118 10.00 23% 3.40    
5  SCREAMING JEREMY Sep06 Aug13 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 (hebert kitty)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  SHADY STAR Sep04 Aug04 Jul15 May05 Apr01 (devill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50    
 
MNR-6   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORSESE Sep10 Aug23 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 10.00    
2  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Aug29 Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00    
3  VALEROSO Aug29 Aug15 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
4  SOUTHERN SENSE Sep05 Aug14 Jul31 Jun27 Jun13 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
5  PAT DADDY Aug31 Aug17 Jul20 Jun26 Jun10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
6  GILLIGAN Sep13 Aug29 Aug12 Jul21 Jul06 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 8% 11.20    
SCR  HARD N'SWEET Sep05 Aug13 Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
 
MNR-7   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE DOLLAR Aug06 Jul27 Jun21 May31 Mar26 (vitali j)PAUCAR E 120 3.50 59% 0.70    
2  COMPLETE SURPRISE Aug12 Jul08 Jun10 May05 Aug06 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  FRAGRANT Aug06 Jul06 May29 May08 Dec11 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
4  SWEET WILLEMINA Sep04 Aug29 Jul18 Jul01 May27 (lake s)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
5  CANDY ISLAND Sep06 Aug15 Jul19 Jun24 May15 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00    
6  DUNVEGAN DOLL Sep06 Aug15 Jun19 May09 Apr26 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
SCR  QUERIDINHA LECA Aug18 Jul19 Mar02 Dec28 Dec11 (lobo paulo )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00    
8  LOVELY LISA Aug06 Jun26 Jun14 May04 Mar07 (hernandez rey)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00    
 
MNR-8   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALL BUT FEISTY Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 118 12.00    
2  KHOPILOT Aug28 Aug15 Jul23 Jul10 May30 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 25% 2.90    
3  POWER (BRZ) Sep07 Aug24 Aug16 Aug03 Jul05 (morzan javier)CEDILLO MAURO 115 10.00    
SCR  LOOKA LOOKA Sep06 Aug15 Aug06 Jun26 Jun11 (fiesman )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 30.00    
5  RECKLESS AFFAIR Sep03 Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.00    
6  BON DEUX Sep06 Aug15 Jul30 Jul11 Jun24 (mcgaffic gregory)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PAPA CHARLES Sep06 Aug13 Jul31 Jul19 Jun27 (gotera car)LEON A 120 5.00 34% 2.00    
8  DUBROVNIK Sep06 Aug14 Jun09 May20 May13 (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
9  STRAUS'S PLACE Aug28 Aug22 Mar11 Feb14 Feb04 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
10  AT THE BEACH Sep13 Aug17 Jul31 Jun24 Nov03 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.