Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Tuesday - June 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-2   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $12.20 $6.20 103%
FE-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.30 $2.30 38%
    DD (2/6/4)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-4 $25.10 $16.10 179%
FE-4   WIN (4/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $21.55 $9.55 80%
FE-8   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.10 $2.10 26%

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   06/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:131     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK RELOAD 3 3 11 12   1 1 (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 4.70  
BEST AND FINAL 1 5 31 44   2 2 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 36% 1.70 2.45 P
MISS D'S PRIDE 5 2 42 34   3 3 (albu ken)BYNOE DESEAN 115 3.00 7.05  
PRINCE FOR A DAY 4 1 21 22   4 411½ (must)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.00 33% 2.10 0.70  
EL GUERO 2 4 59 514   5100 5100 (humber joseph)MUNOZ LARRY 118 6.00 9% 10.10 26.55  
 
FE-2   06/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNELL FLICKA 2 1 11 11   11 1 (bl)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 4.50 44% 1.30 5.10 W
KOZY KAT 1 3 4 31   21 2 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00 9.15  
MORE SAVVY 6 5 5 5   32 3 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 19% 4.30 1.75 S
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 5 4 3 21   42 4 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 10.80  
MS. P'S BELLA 3 6 65 6   6 5 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 7.20  
ERRATIQUE 4 2 21 4   53 6 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 122 3.00 10% 8.90 1.60  
 
FE-3   06/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:214 :45       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKOO MAKOO 4 2 13 13   1 1¼ (alders)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 49% 1.10 3.15 W
CRAFTY CONQUEST 1 1 23 23   2 2¼ (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 115 3.50 4.15  
BIG TIME LOUIE 2 4 45 3   3 31 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 1.80 6.10  
MONEY MATTERS 5 5 5 4   43 41 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 23% 3.30 0.65  
RED MAPLE 3 3 3 5   5 511¾ (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 29.30  
 
FE-4   06/13/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:153     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR UPTOWN 3 2 5 4   2nk 1nk (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40 W
ONE PUNCH CHARLIE 5 1 1nk 3   1nk 2nk (leblanc wa)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 2.50 3.10  
A I INITIATIVE 7 7 6 64   5 3 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 15.00 15% 5.80 13.15 S
WILLIAM BOY 2 5 4 53   42 4 (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 3.35  
BEYOND MY DREAMS 1 4 7 74   6 5 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 13% 6.50 7.60  
BEN LOMOND 4 3 31 1½   31 6 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 49% 1.10 2.50  
SAVVY'S SISTER 6 6 2nk 2½   7 712¼ (loescher pa)WENC C 115 5.00 11.40  
 
FE-5   06/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKING MOON 5 1 21 1½   1 1 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 122 1.60 38% 1.60 0.05 W
BE THE CHANGE 3 3 11 2½   2 2 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 16.80  
DIMMI QUANDO 4 4 6 48   3 311½ (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 29.65  
GLITTER MOUNTAIN 2 5 4 58   59 419½ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 11% 8.10 14.85  
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 1 6 31 3   4 521 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 8.00 22.55  
CRYPTIC CREED 6 2 55 611½   612 629½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 27% 2.70 13.05  
 
FE-6   06/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:23 :472       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETTING AHEAD 3 1 11 11   1nk 1 (mitche)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 58% 0.70 0.90 W
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of ANOTHER CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
HEADING WEST 1 2 21 21   2nk 2 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.50 18% 4.50 1.30 P
  (by KLIMT out of NAPLES DREAM by UNCLE MO)
BEA MAJESTIC G G 6 6 5 54   32 3 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 13.60  
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of MAJESTIC LORI by GOLD FEVER)
SHES HOT TO TROT 2 3 3 3   43 4 (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 115 3.50 9.90  
  (by JU JITSU JAX out of BLANCHE THE FLIRT by SHARP HUMOR)
LEA'S SUNSHINE 4 5 68 610   6 512¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
  (by OLD FORESTER out of LEA'S MOON by PERIGEE MOON)
LIGHTNING MARIE 5 4 42 4   5 615 (rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 120 6.00 17.50  
  (by FED BIZ out of CAL GAL by GENTLEMEN (ARG))
 
FE-7   06/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE LAST FLING 5 1 1 13   1 1 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 3.00 57% 0.80 1.05 W
ONLY BELIEVE 6 2 3 36   35 2 (corbett brian)DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00 6.55  
SHE AINT NO JOKE 4 3 2 23   2 311½ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 13% 6.50 2.80 S
FLEEKA 3 6 5 5   46 415¾ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 11.05  
ORIGINAL ME 2 4 6 612   6 517 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
SAMETIMENEXTYEAR 1 5 4 46   5 621¼ (mileni nick)CRAWFORD J 118 5.00 6.20  
SCR  ROAD MAP               (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00    
 
FE-8   06/13/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:16     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SCHILLER 3 5 6 6   21 1½ (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 40% 1.50 4.05 W
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of FANTASTIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
BRIENNE OF TARTH 7 7 32 2½   11 2½ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 2.35  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BLUE VENUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MENAGERIE 5 4 5 3   31 3 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 15.00 9% 10.00 11.90 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of HOLY FLAME by PULPIT)
DONNARUMMA 1 1 22 4   4 4 (buttig)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 3.55  
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUBBLES AND BABIES by A.P. INDY)
SECRET SUNSHINE 2 3 7 5   64 5 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.15  
  (by AMIS GIZMO out of MAY SUNSHINE by VAN NISTELROOY)
CHARMING AFFAIR 6 6 12 1½   53 6 (gilifo)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 27% 2.70 3.75  
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of MAGICAL AFFAIR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BELLE FEMME 4 2 43 77   720 7100 (williams n)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 15.00 62.70  
  (by HYPER out of MOUNTAIN ASTOR by AFTER MARKET)
SCR  BLAME THE TOLL               (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.80    
  (by BLAME out of TOLL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.