Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - June 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-4   WIN (4/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/3)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-8   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   06/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST AND FINAL May23 Aug14 Aug02 Jul11 Jun07 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
2  EL GUERO May23         (humber joseph)MUNOZ LARRY 118 6.00 9% 10.10    
3  QUICK RELOAD Dec11 Dec02 Nov13 Oct21   (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
4  PRINCE FOR A DAY May23 Nov20 Oct30 Oct02 Sep18 (must)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  MISS D'S PRIDE Oct04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 (albu ken)BYNOE DESEAN 115 3.00    
 
FE-2   06/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOZY KAT Oct10 Oct04 Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00    
2  SNELL FLICKA May23 Jul17 Jul05 May31   (bl)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 4.50 44% 1.30    
3  MS. P'S BELLA May23 Apr30 Nov03 Oct10 Sep27 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
4  ERRATIQUE May30 Apr22 Dec10 Nov26 Nov03 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 122 3.00 10% 8.90    
5  WESTLODGE INTRIGUE May23 May09 May01 Mar29 Mar13 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50    
6  MORE SAVVY May23 May14 Apr22 Dec01 Oct17 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
FE-3   06/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAFTY CONQUEST May14 May07 Apr04 Mar28 Mar09 (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 115 3.50    
2  BIG TIME LOUIE May23 Nov26 Oct28 Sep27 Sep12 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 1.80    
3  RED MAPLE May30 Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 Sep13 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHAKOO MAKOO May23 Nov10 Oct17 Oct04 Aug23 (alders)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 49% 1.10    
5  MONEY MATTERS May30 May07 Apr30 Oct24 Sep27 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
FE-4   06/13/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYOND MY DREAMS May23 Apr04 Mar20 Feb13 Feb01 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 13% 6.50    
2  WILLIAM BOY Oct03 Sep18 Jul25 May21 Apr23 (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50    
3  DOCTOR UPTOWN Nov03 Oct16 Sep12 Aug09 Jul29 (robillard jo)CHEYNE A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEN LOMOND May23 May07 Dec10 Nov18 Oct28 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 49% 1.10    
5  ONE PUNCH CHARLIE Jun02 May07 Apr23 Dec11 Dec02 (leblanc wa)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 2.50    
6  SAVVY'S SISTER Jun06 May23 Nov04 Oct01 Sep13 (loescher pa)WENC C 115 5.00    
7  A I INITIATIVE Mar22 Dec06 Nov27 Nov13 Oct25 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 15.00 15% 5.80    
 
FE-5   06/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE May30 Nov11 Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 8.00    
2  GLITTER MOUNTAIN May30 Oct24 Oct17 Oct04 Aug30 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 11% 8.10    
3  BE THE CHANGE Nov12 Oct24 Oct17 Oct11 Sep27 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00    
4  DIMMI QUANDO May05 Apr16 Mar26 Mar04 Jan25 (cathcart ste)CHEYNE A 122 4.00    
5  STRIKING MOON Apr19 Mar23 Mar16 Feb17 Jan11 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
6  CRYPTIC CREED Oct24 Oct17 Oct11 Oct01 Sep18 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
FE-6   06/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEADING WEST May23 Mar18 Feb24 Jan22 Dec18 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of NAPLES DREAM by UNCLE MO)
2  SHES HOT TO TROT         (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 115 3.50    
  (by JU JITSU JAX out of BLANCHE THE FLIRT by SHARP HUMOR)
3  GETTING AHEAD May25 Nov17 Oct29     (mitche)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 58% 0.70    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of ANOTHER CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
4  LEA'S SUNSHINE         (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of LEA'S MOON by PERIGEE MOON)
5  LIGHTNING MARIE Sep12         (rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 120 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of CAL GAL by GENTLEMEN (ARG))
6  BEA MAJESTIC G G May23 Oct11       (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 118 10.00    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of MAJESTIC LORI by GOLD FEVER)
 
FE-7   06/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMETIMENEXTYEAR May30 Mar31 Mar10 Feb15 Jan20 (mileni nick)CRAWFORD J 118 5.00    
2  ORIGINAL ME Dec08 Nov24 Nov04 Oct22 Sep22 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLEEKA Sep27 Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 Aug01 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
4  SHE AINT NO JOKE Apr30 Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  ROAD MAP May30 Nov10 Oct17 Sep18 Sep05 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00    
6  ONE LAST FLING May30 Mar31 Mar10 Feb15 Nov16 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 3.00 57% 0.80    
7  ONLY BELIEVE May30 Nov03 Oct17 Oct11 Oct03 (corbett brian)DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00    
 
FE-8   06/13/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNARUMMA May23 Apr05 Feb20 Jan12 Dec21 (buttig)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUBBLES AND BABIES by A.P. INDY)
SCR  BLAME THE TOLL Apr12 Mar08 Feb09 Jan22 Dec22 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.80    
  (by BLAME out of TOLL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  SECRET SUNSHINE May27 May07 Dec09 Oct29 Sep17 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMIS GIZMO out of MAY SUNSHINE by VAN NISTELROOY)
4  MISS SCHILLER May30 May13 Dec01 Nov18 Nov10 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of FANTASTIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
5  BELLE FEMME May30 Sep20 Aug29 Jul19 Jul05 (williams n)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 15.00    
  (by HYPER out of MOUNTAIN ASTOR by AFTER MARKET)
6  MENAGERIE May23 Nov19 Oct08 Sep22 Aug27 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 15.00 9% 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of HOLY FLAME by PULPIT)
7  CHARMING AFFAIR May23         (gilifo)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of MAGICAL AFFAIR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  BRIENNE OF TARTH May30 Mar01 Feb08 Jan01 Dec08 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BLUE VENUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.