Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Tuesday - May 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $9.90 $3.90 65%
FE-2   DD (6/5/2)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-5 $15.30 $3.30 28%
FE-7   WIN (5/8/7/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $12.90 $2.90 29%
    EXA (5/8/7/4/10)-(5/8/7/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-4 $29.75 $9.75 49%
    TRI (5/8/7/4/10)-(5/8/7/4/10)-(5/8/7/4/10) 60 $0.20 $12.00  7-4-5 $18.52 $6.52 54%
    DD (1/2/4)-(5/8/7/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-7 $31.15 $16.15 108%
FE-8   WIN (9/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $9.70 $1.70 21%
    DD (5/8/7/4/10)-(9/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-8 $55.25 $35.25 176%

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:23 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 5 2 53 4   2½ 1 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 4.00 15% 5.70 3.95 W
WORKIN OUT 4 1 31 2nk   1½ 2 (gilifo)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 0.45  
MOBILIZER 3 5 2½ 3.2   3 3 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00 8.45  
FOREST SELECTION 2 3 1½ 1nk   43 410 (robillard)SEECHARAN A 120 3.50 9% 10.20 5.00  
ETHNIC SOUL 1 4 4 5   54 511¾ (williams n)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 12.00 20.00  
SCR  SEVEN IS A BREEZE               (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
FE-2   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:23 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTIE MY BOY 4 5 41 1   1 1 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 58% 0.70 2.80 W
BRADY O'BRADY 3 4 6 57   4 2 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 10.85  
GLITTER MOUNTAIN 2 2 1½ 3   3 36 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
SUMMER RETREAT 1 6 3½ 46   5 4 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 20% 4.00 1.00  
UNION COLONEL 5 3 2½ 2   2 5 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 5% 19.00 23.85  
DIAMONDBACK 6 1 5 68   6 615½ (crete pierre)CHEYNE A 122 4.00 8.15  
SCR  KOZY KAT               (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 112 6.00    
 
FE-3   05/30/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:124     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMMINS 3 2 3 3   11 1 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 1.80 33% 2.00 1.30 W
BREACH OF TRUST 2 3 2nk 2nk   21 2 (drexle)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 2.50 45% 1.20 0.75 P
RUBY ROAD 4 4 4 4   45 37 (ma)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 12.00 15.55  
FIRST ROUND 1 1 1nk 1nk   3 49 (humber jos)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 108 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
BROADWAY RUCKUS 5 5 5 510½   58 514¼ (robillard jul)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00 12.10  
SCR  D'LUCCI BOY               (dunham)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50    
SCR  JOE CHROME               (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 113 5.00    
 
FE-4   05/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPERBACK HERO 6 5 32 21   1 1 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 15% 5.80 1.90 W
RADCLIFFE 4 2 1½ 11   2 2 (robillard jos)GOBAY WILBERT 120 12.00 13.95  
SUPER BREW 3 6 6 66   5 310 (four)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 5.00 8.10  
BIG BAD BEAST 2 4 5 54   46 410 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 53% 0.90 2.25  
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 5 1 2½ 3   35 511¾ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
BOCELLI (IRE) 7 7 712¼ 712   7 612½ (keen howar)FRANCIS G 120 6.00 5% 18.00 19.60  
RAYO COLORADO 1 3 42 4   6 717½ (agostino r)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 110 4.50 16.30  
 
FE-5   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACENZA 5 1 3½ 1nk   11 1 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 2.95  
REIGN BY REIN 8 3 5 42   21 2 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00 3.55  
IS THERE A FOREST 1 5 1nk 31   4 3 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 4.00 18% 4.50 3.90 S
BORN TO BE GOOD 3 7 6 66   5 4 (cathcart ste)CHEYNE A 122 5.00 11.95  
DOODLE DANDY 4 8 812¼ 812½   7 55 (hoad lindse)WENC C 122 15.00 84.70  
REMEMBEROLDTYMES 2 4 2nk 2nk   31 6 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 46% 1.20 3.25  
ERRATIQUE 7 2 41 5   6 7 (dixon patrick)MORENO OMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.35  
BELLA NINA 6 6 7 7   8 8 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 12% 7.50 7.85  
 
FE-6   05/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:223 :452       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALACRITOUS 2 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (buttigieg kevi)BYNOE DESEAN 115 4.00 28% 2.50 1.65 W
MONEY MATTERS 6 4 3½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 10.00 2.35  
LETTING LOOSE 3 5 6 6   3 33 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 2.20  
TORPEDO MAX 4 6 5 5   56 413¾ (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
MARTEN RIVER 1 2 1nk 32   45 518 (loescher pau)CHEYNE A 120 2.00 45% 1.20 6.05  
RED MAPLE 5 3 41 4   6 622¾ (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 41.30  
SCR  SUPER GARNER               (dunham)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
 
FE-7   05/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:222 :46       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK TAFFY 6 5 5 2   2 1¾ (crete pierre)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 10% 8.90 5.45 W
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of CARAMEL CRUNCH by REBELLION (GB))
MISS SCHILLER 3 7 67 6   5 2¾ (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of FANTASTIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
BRIENNE OF TARTH 2 8 7 7   43 3¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 2.05 DH
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BLUE VENUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TANGERINE TWIST 4 1 33 3   33 3¾ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 53% 0.90 8.65 S
  (by RELOAD out of SNAPALICIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  MY SONG AND MELODY 9 4 1 1   1 5 (davis richar)CHEYNE A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 29.40  
  (by KATZ MY SONG out of MELODY POMEROY by POMEROY)
OUR STORMY SOPHIA 8 3 4 5   87 6 (shirle)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 12.00  
  (by GET STORMY out of HURRICANE ISABEL by UNBRIDLED JET)
BELLE FEMME 5 6 810½ 8   7 7 (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 20.00 77.20  
  (by HYPER out of MOUNTAIN ASTOR by AFTER MARKET)
LOKI'S LIGHTNING 7 2 2 4   65 86 (chudobiak )KING MARIE 118 3.50 13% 6.70 1.95  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
WICKEN CENTS 1 9 914½ 912¾   9 99 (bennett micha)DAVID MICHAEL 120 20.00 54.95  
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of CENT T MINT by I CAN'T BELIEVE)
SCR  LOTS OF LEGACIES               (bennett )BUCHANAN Z 120 15.00    
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of BEWITCHING LADY by SCAT DADDY)
 
FE-8   05/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:224 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENNIESFROMABOVE 7 1 21 1nk   11 1 (steer tom)MAILHOT P 120 15.00 5% 19.00 3.85 W
SHES ASTYLISH KATZ 8 2 4 31   21 2 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50 39% 1.60 1.45 P
ONE LAST FLING 3 6 3 4   32 3 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 3.00 3.35  
SAMETIMENEXTYEAR 2 7 7 7   54 4 (mileni nick)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 34.45  
ROAD MAP 4 3 53 6   75 5 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 4.35  
ONLY BELIEVE 5 5 6 5   64 6 (corbett brian)DAVID MICHAEL 120 20.00 20.85  
VERMONT HOLIDAY 6 4 11 2nk   4 7 (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 113 4.00 14.15  
LUNATICA 1 8 812½ 816¾   811 815½ (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 120 12.00 34% 1.90 23.30  
SCR  VERI UNIFIED               (ryan j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.