Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (11/3/5/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $16.16 $16.16 6.16
KEE-2   Win (2/4/9/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $8.86  
KEE-3   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $5.12 $5.12 1.12
KEE-4   Win (4/5/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $27.48 $27.48 19.48
KEE-5   Win (8/11/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.80  
KEE-6   Win (9/2/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $10.12 $10.12 0.12
KEE-7   Win (8/9/7/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $14.04  
KEE-8   Win (1/2/4/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $13.30  
KEE-9   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $10.16  
KEE-10   Win (9/5/13/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.40  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:114 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  J J'S JOKER 11 1 42½ 53½ 52½ 21½ 1½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 27% 2.70 7.08 W
2  PEEK 2 3 1½ 1½ 11 11½ 2½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 11.53  
1  GAME WARDEN 1 2 53 42½ 42 32 32½ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 2.81  
4  RUNNINGFORJOY 4 9 75½ 64 63½ 53 42¾ (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 32.76  
5  ARCHIE THE GIZA 5 7 96½ 87 85½ 64½ 54¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 124 6.00 12% 7.70 7.14  
8  CAFE RACER 8 4 2½ 2½ 31 43 65 (stall m)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 14.89  
9  BARNSTORMING 9 5 31 31½ 21 76½ 711¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 2.85  
6  CASHMEUP 6 8 65 75½ 74 87½ 811½ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 7% 12.90 14.48  
10  TEXAS PRIDE 10 12 1214½ 1213½ 1114 1113¾ 913 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 115 10.00 48.59  
3  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 3 6 86½ 1110 1214¼ 1013½ 1013½ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 16% 5.20 12.51  
12  SURFACE TO AIR 12 10 108 99 97½ 911 1114 (miller darr)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 6% 16.30 22.83  
7  DR KRINGLE 7 11 119½ 1010 108 1214¾ 1217¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00 19.25  
SCR  ATLANTIC DANCER               (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00    
SCR  BIG SKIPPY               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
SCR  DISSOLVED               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.50    
SCR  SOLOMON VANDY               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
 
KEE-2   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL SLIPPER 1 2 12½ 13   14 14¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 3.43  
9  LOVELAND 9 3 22½ 23   24 24¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.58 P
11  TANYA SHOWERS 11 7 87¼ 66½   57½ 39 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.23 S
10  CHILLED 10 6 65 34½   36½ 410¾ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5.64  
6  CHARLOTTESAPPROVAL 6 4 97¾ 109¼   69 510¾ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 7.05  
4  TWIRL AROUND 4 11 77 88   710½ 612½ (foley greg)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 25% 3.00 3.10  
2  SISTER ELLA 2 5 44½ 55½   47 713½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 26% 2.80 15.66  
3  LEMON MUFFIN 3 12 108¼ 1110¼   811 814¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 8.00 26.50  
8  LADY CHAI 8 10 118¾ 99   911 915½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 8.65  
7  BRIGHT LADY DAY 7 8 55 78   1012½ 1019¼ (jackson christo)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00 5% 19.00 69.37  
13  WESTERN GAILES 12 1 33 45   1113½ 1124¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 10.46  
5  YAREE D TAT 5 9 129¼ 1213¾   1216 1224½ (gilliam b)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00 70.59  
SCR  AUNT FANNIE               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  BERNAR MOSA               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTER WOMAN               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:231 :463       1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TWO ITEM SAVER 3 3 42 42   15 113½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 22% 3.50 1.56 W
2  YES DAY 2 2 32 31   25 213½ (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 6.30  
1  NEW BEAT 1 1 1½ 11   37½ 315 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 41% 1.40 1.11 S
8  H. T. XENA 4 4 2½ 21   410½ 416¾ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 4.20  
SCR  BANDITA               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20    
SCR  EIVISSA               (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
SCR  MARIAH'S APPEAL               (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  VOTARY               (peach chad)RODRIGUEZ A 123 10.00    
 
KEE-4   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:213 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  XTREME SMOKE SHOW 6 6 54¼ 44   33½ 11½ (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.74 W
3  OUR KEEPSAKE 2 3 2nk 22   22 21½ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 117 8.00 10.91  
4  DONE ENOUGH 3 4 3.2 12   12 32¾ (sweezey kent)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 34% 2.00 2.51 S
5  TWIRLING QUEEN 4 2 43¾ 32½   44 46½ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 32% 2.20 1.94  
9  DOROTHY CROWFOOT 8 5 66¼ 56   56½ 58½ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 9% 9.60 8.04  
6  KENWICK 5 8 813¼ 812   712 611¼ (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 9.21  
1  LEMORIAN 1 1 1nk 66   610½ 718½ (elliott m)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 7.29  
8  ALMOND FUDGE 7 7 76¼ 79   814½ 831¼ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 4.50 11.36  
SCR  INTERMITTENT FAST               (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 122 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:22 :44 :552     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BLING 4 6 84 85¾   32½ 1¼ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 3.40  
6  SASSY NATURE 5 1 11 12   12 2¼ (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 11% 8.50 4.54 P
2  ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) 2 3 31 42½   22 34½ (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 12.97  
9  DETERMINED JESTER 7 8 52 54½   53½ 44½ (schoenthal p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00 13.53  
1  CONDENSATION 1 7 95 99¾   98¼ 54¾ (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 11.77  
11  STONE SILENT 9 5 21 22   63½ 65 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 22% 3.60 5.08  
8  DARING DO 6 4 41½ 32½   43 75½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50 30% 2.30 5.41  
4  L J'S EMMA 3 2 62½ 65   73¾ 86¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 3.73  
10  CUPIDS CRUSH 8 9 73 75¼   86¼ 97 (robertson mc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 9% 9.90 29.06  
SCR  GATITA SUAVE               (sanchez-salomo)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 50.00    
SCR  MURKY               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  ZAPPLE               (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOURBON BREEZE 2 3 31 62¼   41 13¼ (mott riley)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 27% 2.70 4.06 W
9  TAMMY LYNN 9 1 41 2nk   1½ 23¼ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 39% 1.60 1.07 P
4  PIN UP BETTY 4 2 2½ 1nk   2½ 34¾ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 21.88  
12  BERLAINE 12 8 63 51¾   51¼ 44¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 10.69  
10  C'EST CHEESE 10 7 51½ 3½   31 56¼ (beckman d )SANTANA JR 119 15.00 46.13  
7  GOLD DEL MAR 7 9 85¼ 84¼   74¾ 67½ (bahena ismael)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 30.00 5% 19.00 87.58  
8  CIRCLING (IRE) 8 12 117¼ 72¾   63¼ 78 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 19.17  
6  PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE 6 5 95¾ 108¾   87¾ 814¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 10% 9.10 7.34  
1  POUR SOME WISDOM 1 10 105¾ 1111¾   1010¾ 917¼ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 31.13  
11  EASY STREET 11 11 1215¼ 1214¼   1213¼ 1018½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 15.50  
3  CAROLINA CANDY 3 4 1½ 4¾   97¾ 1120¼ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 12.43  
5  SILVERY MOON 5 6 73¼ 95¾   1112¼ 1226 (corrigan ji)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 76.55  
SCR  MAKEUP               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  SHORE WAR               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
KEE-7   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOIST THE GOLD 1 9 31 3½   11½ 1¾ (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 6.02  
8  NAKATOMI 8 4 54½ 63¾   42 2¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 54% 0.90 2.58 P
7  BANGO 7 1 43 42   21½ 31 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 6% 15.40 3.38 S
6  NECKER ISLAND 6 10 108¼ 86¼   74¾ 43 (hartman chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 30.00 5% 19.00 36.66  
3  SIBELIUS 3 5 2nk 1½   31½ 56 (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5.35  
4  GULFSTREAM WAY 4 3 75¼ 76¼   87¼ 66 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 9.33  
2  MANNY WAH 2 6 65 52¼   53 76¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 120 6.00 9.79  
9  DOCTOR OSCAR 9 2 1nk 2½   63¼ 810¼ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.50 13% 6.80 6.84  
5  TOP GUNNER 5 11 96¼ 96¾   911¼ 915¼ (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 49.19  
11  VOODOO ZIP 11 8 1110¾ 1117¼   1119¼ 1026¾ (barrett a)GRAHAM J 120 30.00 97.91  
10  BAYTOWN BEAR 10 7 85¾ 109¼   1017¼ 1130¼ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 50.00 99.31  
 
KEE-8   10/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Jessamine Purse ($350K) 2 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:121 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BUCHU 10 11 97½ 96½ 115¾ 2½ 13¾ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 5.65  
8  PHAROAH'S WINE 8 4 54 64 63 52¼ 23¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00 13.87  
4  CROWN IMPERIAL 4 8 76 85 73½ 42 33¾ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 18% 4.70 8.92 S
7  BELLA HAZE 7 2 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 44 (santamaria carlo)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 17% 4.90 12.57  
3  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 3 3 119½ 117¼ 84 72¾ 54¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 41.18  
1  SMOOTH WAVES 1 7 107½ 106¾ 105½ 84¼ 66½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 21% 3.90 5.05  
9  APPELLATE 9 6 86½ 75 95 94¾ 77 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 6.56  
6  ABEYANCE 6 9 64½ 53½ 42 32 87½ (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 30.05  
2  TIME TO DAZZLE 2 1 32 31½ 31 62¼ 99¼ (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 20% 4.00 4.22  
5  TOUPIE (GB) 5 10 42½ 42½ 53 117¼ 1015¾ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 3.25  
11  ASTERNIA 11 5 21 2½ 2½ 105¾ 1118¼ (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 51.62  
 
KEE-9   10/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Darley Alcibiades Purse ($600K) 2 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:123 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CANDIED 3 4 52½ 53½ 42½ 1nk 11 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 ★ 4.08  
5  V V'S DREAM 5 5 42 32 3½ 2nk 21 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 40% 1.50 1.48 P
1  ALYS BEACH 1 2 11 11 1nk 31 36¾ (amoss m)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 16.30 S
9  SHIMMERING ALLURE 8 8 85¾ 75¼ 65 56 46¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 25.60  
7  BRIGHTWORK 7 1 21 21 2nk 43 510¼ (ortiz alex)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 38% 1.70 1.80  
2  CRAZY CAMI 2 7 32 42 53 67½ 612 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00 79.13  
6  ALPINE PRINCESS 6 3 73¾ 85¼ 88¼ 713½ 728¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 10.38  
4  WINE ON TAP 4 6 63½ 63¾ 78 817½ 838½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00 24.94  
SCR  EMERY               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
 
KEE-10   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:111 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNY'S FIREBALL 1 2 31½ 31½ 41¾ 1½ 1¼ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★ 3.20  
5  BEUYS (IRE) 5 3 65 73½ 53¼ 2½ 2¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 33% 2.00 1.73 P
6  NO ONE TO BLAME 6 9 97 95 73¾ 42½ 3¾ (trombetta mi)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.29 S
4  SCRIPT 4 1 42½ 42 84¾ 63¾ 42 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 9.49  
3  POINT PROVEN 3 8 76 63 21½ 52¾ 52¼ (cohn g)ASMUSSEN J 120 30.00 72.91  
7  WAKE SURF 7 6 86 85 96¼ 86¼ 65 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 21.33  
2  UNDERDRESSED 2 5 53 52½ 63¾ 74¾ 76 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 122 12.00 6.66  
8  COLOSSEO 8 4 1½ 1½ 11½ 3½ 87 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 20.00 24.44  
13  DRAKON 10 10 107½ 106½ 109¼ 98¼ 97½ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.14  
11  BULLSEYE BUN 9 7 2½ 2½ 31½ 1011¼ 1022¼ (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 76.17  
SCR  CHASING THE CROWN               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB)               (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ALCHEMIST               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  LUIGI'S SPIRIT               (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
SCR  POINT ME BY               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00    
SCR  WICKED FINN               (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.