Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (11/3/5/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-2   Win (2/4/7/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-4   Win (4/5/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (8/11/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (9/2/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-7   Win (8/9/7/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (1/2/4/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-10   Win (5/13/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   10/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME WARDEN Sep15 Jun02 May02 Feb26 Jan14 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
2  PEEK Sep03 Jul07 May14 Feb10 Dec29 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
3  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Sep15 Aug18 Aug05 Jun10 Jun18 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
4  RUNNINGFORJOY May28 Apr28       (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
5  ARCHIE THE GIZA Sep21 Aug01 May28 May04   (medina robe)TORRES A 124 6.00 12% 7.70    
6  CASHMEUP Dec31 Nov13       (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 7% 12.90    
7  DR KRINGLE Sep15 Aug24 Jul16 Jun25 Jun02 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00    
8  CAFE RACER Jun10 Jan06 Nov27     (stall m)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
9  BARNSTORMING Nov26         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50    
10  TEXAS PRIDE Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 May06 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 115 10.00    
11  J J'S JOKER Aug19 Feb18 Jan21 Dec10 Oct30 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
12  SURFACE TO AIR Sep03 Aug01 Jun30 May28 Apr28 (miller darr)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  DISSOLVED Aug26 Jul30       (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.50    
SCR  BIG SKIPPY Sep16         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
SCR  SOLOMON VANDY Sep09 Mar01 Oct15 Sep16 Aug27 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
SCR  ATLANTIC DANCER Aug24 Jul30 Jun22 May02 Mar23 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00    
 
KEE-2   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL SLIPPER         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
2  SISTER ELLA         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
3  LEMON MUFFIN         (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 8.00    
4  TWIRL AROUND         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
5  YAREE D TAT Aug02         (gilliam b)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
6  CHARLOTTESAPPROVAL Aug18         (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
7  BRIGHT LADY DAY         (jackson christo)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  LADY CHAI         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
9  LOVELAND         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHILLED         (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
11  TANYA SHOWERS         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTER WOMAN         (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
13  WESTERN GAILES         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  AUNT FANNIE         (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  BERNAR MOSA         (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
 
KEE-3   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW BEAT Mar25 Feb18       (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 41% 1.40    
2  YES DAY Aug01 Jul07 Apr15 Mar18 Jan14 (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  VOTARY Aug30 Jun29 Feb11 Jan21 Dec22 (peach chad)RODRIGUEZ A 123 10.00    
4  TWO ITEM SAVER Aug05 Sep25       (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  BANDITA Jan29         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20    
SCR  MARIAH'S APPEAL Sep04 Jul29 Jan21     (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  EIVISSA Sep12 Sep06 Jul29 Jun19 May19 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
8  H. T. XENA Feb12 Dec15 Nov17 Oct21 Aug11 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
 
KEE-4   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMORIAN Sep03 Aug08       (elliott m)DE CRUZ 122 4.00    
SCR  INTERMITTENT FAST Aug13 Jun21 May26 Apr28   (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 122 30.00    
3  OUR KEEPSAKE Sep16 Jul31       (lukas wayne)TORRES A 117 8.00    
4  DONE ENOUGH Sep10 Aug05 Jun16     (sweezey kent)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  TWIRLING QUEEN Sep14 Aug13 Jun25     (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 32% 2.20    
6  KENWICK Sep05 Aug16       (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
7  XTREME SMOKE SHOW Aug12         (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALMOND FUDGE Sep16 Jul19       (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 4.50    
9  DOROTHY CROWFOOT Aug25 Jul09       (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
 
KEE-5   10/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3 F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDENSATION Sep17 Jul16 Jun11 May05 Apr01 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
2  ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) Aug12 Jun24 May14 Jan07 Dec10 (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
SCR  MURKY Feb11 Jan26 Oct28 Sep08   (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
4  L J'S EMMA Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jun02 Apr23 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
5  BLING Sep02 Aug06 Jul07 May17 Nov04 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
6  SASSY NATURE Sep01 Jul28 Jun11 May03 Apr14 (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  GATITA SUAVE Sep03 Aug13 Aug03 Jul15 Jun16 (sanchez-salomo)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 50.00    
8  DARING DO Jul16 May28 Apr20 Mar02 Jan18 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
9  DETERMINED JESTER Sep02 Aug03 Oct09 Sep06 Aug16 (schoenthal p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00    
10  CUPIDS CRUSH Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 Jun21 May29 (robertson mc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 9% 9.90    
11  STONE SILENT Aug12 Jul13 Jun24 Apr14 Feb11 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  ZAPPLE Sep16 Aug07 May27 Mar10 Aug14 (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POUR SOME WISDOM         (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
2  BOURBON BREEZE         (mott riley)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
3  CAROLINA CANDY         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00    
4  PIN UP BETTY Sep16         (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
5  SILVERY MOON         (corrigan ji)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE Sep16         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 10% 9.10    
7  GOLD DEL MAR Sep20 Sep03 Jul23 Jun29   (bahena ismael)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  CIRCLING (IRE)         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
9  TAMMY LYNN Sep02         (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
10  C'EST CHEESE         (beckman d )SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
11  EASY STREET         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
12  BERLAINE         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
SCR  SHORE WAR Aug06         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  MAKEUP Aug26         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOIST THE GOLD Aug26 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 May06 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
2  MANNY WAH Apr08 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov05 (catalano m)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
3  SIBELIUS Jul29 Jun03 Feb11 Dec31 Nov13 (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
4  GULFSTREAM WAY Sep16 Aug04 Jul01 May26 May06 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
5  TOP GUNNER Nov13 Oct07 Sep17 Jul08 Jun04 (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  NECKER ISLAND Sep16 Jun18 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 (hartman chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  BANGO Sep16 Jul01 Jun03 May04 Jan21 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 6% 15.40    
8  NAKATOMI Jul16 May20 Apr08 Mar04 Dec26 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 54% 0.90    
9  DOCTOR OSCAR Sep09 Jul20 Jul03 May27 Apr28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
10  BAYTOWN BEAR Sep16 Sep02 Aug06 Jul19 Jun26 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 50.00    
11  VOODOO ZIP Sep13 Jul04 Jun04 May06 Apr13 (barrett a)GRAHAM J 120 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Jessamine Purse ($350K) 2 F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH WAVES Sep10 Aug06 Jul07 Jun11   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 21% 3.90    
2  TIME TO DAZZLE Sep17         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER Sep02 Aug13       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
4  CROWN IMPERIAL Sep13 Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 May31 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 18% 4.70    
5  TOUPIE (GB) Sep09 Jul01       (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  ABEYANCE Sep06 Aug02       (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
7  BELLA HAZE Sep10 Aug05 Jun30     (santamaria carlo)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 17% 4.90    
8  PHAROAH'S WINE Sep02 Jul23 Jun30     (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00    
9  APPELLATE Sep03 Jul23       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
10  BUCHU Sep23 Aug20 Jul30 Jun16   (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00    
11  ASTERNIA Sep13 Aug04       (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   10/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Darley Alcibiades Purse ($600K) 2 F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALYS BEACH Sep03 Jul30       (amoss m)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  CRAZY CAMI Aug31 Aug13 Jul19     (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
3  CANDIED Aug20         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 ★    
4  WINE ON TAP Aug20 Jul13 Jun18     (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00    
5  V V'S DREAM Sep16 Jul02 May19     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  ALPINE PRINCESS Sep03 Jul23       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
7  BRIGHTWORK Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 Apr26   (ortiz alex)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
SCR  EMERY Aug30         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
9  SHIMMERING ALLURE Sep20 Aug13 Jul16 Jun10   (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
 
KEE-10   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNY'S FIREBALL Sep03 Jul30 Jun02 May11 Feb22 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★    
2  UNDERDRESSED Sep07 Aug05 Jul08 Jun01 May03 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
3  POINT PROVEN Aug17 Jun17 Mar25 Mar02 Jan13 (cohn g)ASMUSSEN J 120 30.00    
4  SCRIPT Apr13 Feb05 Jan08 Dec03 Nov11 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
5  BEUYS (IRE) Sep07 Aug05 Mar04 Jan01   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  NO ONE TO BLAME Sep01 Aug12 Jun25     (trombetta mi)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  WAKE SURF Sep02 Jun24 May13 Dec15 Oct26 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
8  COLOSSEO Sep07 Aug28 Jul30     (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 20.00    
SCR  CHASING THE CROWN Sep07 Jul20 Jun22 Apr29 Feb25 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  GOLDEN ALCHEMIST Sep03 Feb04 Nov20 Sep29 Aug23 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
11  BULLSEYE BUN Aug31 Jul02 Jun11 May05 Apr15 (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
SCR  POINT ME BY Sep03 Jul09 May05 Apr13 Nov18 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00    
13  DRAKON Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 May28 Apr02 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WICKED FINN Sep04 Aug11 Jul14 May24 Apr22 (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Sep19 Sep14 Aug02 Jul28 Jul01 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
SCR  LUIGI'S SPIRIT Jun24 May18 Mar31 Feb18 Feb05 (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.