Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.62 $4.62  
CD-2   Win (5/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.66 $4.66  
CD-3   Win (6/9/10/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $66.60  
CD-4   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.12 $5.12  
CD-5   Win (9/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $4.52 $4.52  
CD-6   Win (1/10/7/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $17.04 $17.04 7.04
CD-7   Win (13/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $12.82  
CD-8   Win (9/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.54 $5.54  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SCRUPULOUS 2 6 42 32   3½ 12½ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 47% 1.10 1.31 W
7  END OF INNOCENCE 7 3 2½ 2½   2nk 22½ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5.84  
3  WHATTA WORLD 3 2 1½ 1½   1nk 34½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 24% 3.20 3.48 S
5  INTERCEPTION 5 1 31½ 43   44 49¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00 22.62  
1  BETTE DAVIS 1 9 96½ 89   56 512 (tomlinson michae)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 21.66  
9  NO VIOLENCE 9 7 74 78½   88½ 618 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 8% 12.10 4.12  
4  LOVEYA LOVEYA MORE 4 5 62½ 66½   66½ 718¾ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.48  
6  HUSH IT HONEY 6 4 52 54   77 820 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 32.98  
8  SUMMER DANCE 8 8 84½ 910   910½ 922¼ (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 30.45  
 
CD-2   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113 1:244   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ASTRONOMICO 5 1 11 11½ 13 13½ 12½ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 2.00 44% 1.30 1.33 W
1  WAUHATCHIE 1 2 84¾ 74¼ 76¼ 35½ 22½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00 42.87  
6  TIZ MY HERO 6 6 53 42½ 23 23½ 32½ (vance d)LANERIE J 119 5.00 8% 11.00 7.13 S
8  MONEYSHOT 7 7 31½ 32½ 34 47 412¼ (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 4.20  
3  HOPE JOE'S RIGHT 3 8 74¾ 84½ 65¾ 69 513½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 7.59  
4  SKYPASS 4 4 21 21½ 44 57½ 614 (gorham m)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 26% 2.80 5.51  
9  LEAD FOOT 8 5 41½ 62¾ 54¼ 710 717½ (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.03  
2  DON'T STOP 2 3 63¼ 52¾ 89¼ 817 835¾ (simms jr)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 28.94  
SCR  SPIN THE BOULEVARD               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 8.00    
 
CD-3   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY LANDY 1 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 1¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 5% 18.30 7.87 DQ↓9
2  FLOORED 2 8 41½ 41½   32½ 2¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 32.30  
5  WEST OMAHA 5 5 85 85¼   65 3¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 3.92  
10  MUGEN 9 1 3½ 3½   2nk 41¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60 2.13 S
8  CLASS ACT 7 10 98 98¼   75½ 53¼ (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
4  AUSTIN TRAFFIC 4 7 63 73¼   43½ 65 (mott i)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 46.20  
9  FUNDAMENTALLY 8 9 52 52½   86 710½ (brown chad )TORRES A 119 5.00 25% 3.00 4.68  
6  CONTROLLED TEMPER 6 2 2½ 2nk   54 810¾ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 27% 2.60 3.05  
11  LITTLE MISS PRISS 10 4 73½ 63   98 917½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00 30.11  
3  BABE IN THE WOODS 3 6 10100 10100   10100 10100 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 42.81  
SCR  CORKAGE FEE               (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 114 20.00    
 
CD-4   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:141 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AIN'T BROKE 5 7 63 62½ 63½ 31½ 1hd (calhoun wil)TORRES A 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.56 W
8  THESTRAL 7 5 42½ 41½ 31½ 1nk 2hd (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 4.92  
2  SANDRA D 2 2 11 1½ 11 2nk 32 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 14.27  
1  SUCH SOUNDS 1 1 31½ 31½ 42 43 45½ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 5.74  
4  MYTOWN MYRULES 4 3 21 2½ 21 64½ 511¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 41% 1.50 2.99  
3  SAD CAFE 3 6 52½ 52 52½ 53½ 613½ (drury jr)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 6.15  
7  STEEL RACER 6 4 74 73 73½ 712½ 725 (medina rober)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 19.02  
SCR  I FEEL THE NEED               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
 
CD-5   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:113     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GIN GIN 9 2 11 1nk   1nk 12¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 53% 0.90 1.26 W
12  CARARRA 12 1 21 2nk   2nk 22¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 10.73  
6  AMERICA'S VOW 6 3 31 41½   32 32¼ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 30.63  
4  PERFECT SHOT 4 7 73 62¾   44 46¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 26% 2.90 4.99  
8  FLIGHT TO PARIS 8 12 105½ 84¼   65¾ 59¼ (arnold geor)TORRES A 119 8.00 ★ 8.68  
11  PLATINUM MINIT 11 4 41½ 52½   55½ 69½ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 12.17  
2  DAZZLIN' DICTATOR 2 11 125¾ 118¼   98¾ 711¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.71  
7  NANDINA 7 8 95 95¼   87¾ 811¼ (medina robe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 64.59  
10  MONTCLAIR ROAD 10 5 52 3½   76¼ 912¾ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 12.69  
3  AMY Z 3 6 62½ 74¼   109¾ 1014 (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 ★ 14.93  
5  MAGIC GATHERING 5 9 84½ 106¾   1110¾ 1115¾ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 11.02  
1  MISS HARMONIC 1 10 115¾ 128¾   1213¾ 1219¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 119 15.00 35.60  
 
CD-6   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:214 :452 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HIGH CLASS 10 5 3½ 1nk   11½ 1¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.00 19% 4.20 7.52 W
11  THE GREAT MAYBE 11 6 2½ 3½   21½ 2¼ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 3.87  
1  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE 1 9 72¼ 52¼   33 3¾ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 32% 2.10 2.57 S
2  ERVADEAN 2 8 61¾ 42   44½ 43¼ (stewart dall)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 16.43  
3  PISTOL 3 2 41 63¼   54½ 53¼ (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 5% 17.90 7.85  
8  LITTLE MOMBO 8 4 1½ 2nk   65 65¾ (bauer philip)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 7% 13.30 8.04  
6  SECRET STATEMENT 6 7 82¼ 85¼   77 76¼ (baker james)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 12.94  
7  CANCEL THIS 7 3 51½ 74¾   87¼ 87¼ (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 9% 10.30 12.98  
5  IN COLOR 5 10 93¼ 96¼   99¼ 99¾ (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 16.38  
4  TEN RINGS 4 11 115¾ 108¾   1011¾ 1013½ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 121 20.00 44.32  
12  NEED SOME MONEY 12 1 104¼ 119¾   1112¾ 1114½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 10.51  
9  VARMLANDER 9 12 128¼ 1216¼   1222¾ 1235¾ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 49.22  
SCR  LAKESIDE MUSIC               (spicer t)LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:112 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GASOLINE 6 4 42 52½ 31½ 31 1¼ (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 ★ 5.41  
3  DECISION MAKER 3 11 108¼ 105¾ 86¼ 52 2¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 ★ 11.83 P
2  SANTOS DUMONT 2 3 11 11 11½ 11 3¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 17.09 S
13  SPEED BIAS 11 9 52¼ 32 42 41½ 4¾ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 53% 0.90 1.66  
4  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 4 2 32 42 21½ 21 51¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 15.72  
9  MASQUEPARADE 8 10 85¾ 94¾ 62¾ 62¼ 65 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 25% 3.00 8.42  
1  MR. BIG NEWS 1 1 118¾ 116¾ 108¼ 95¾ 76½ (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00 38.02  
11  GALT 10 8 62¼ 63½ 98¼ 106 87½ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 6.00 9.47  
10  KING'S OVATION 9 5 21 21 52¼ 74¼ 97¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 8.05  
8  GROUP EIGHTEEN 7 6 74¼ 84¾ 74¾ 84¼ 108 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 37.81  
5  PROMISE KEEPER 5 7 96¼ 74½ 1110¼ 118 1111½ (stewart dallas)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 6.99  
SCR  PROTONIC POWER               (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 30.00    
SCR  ROMAN CENTURIAN               (hamilton sarah)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00    
 
CD-8   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:102 1:223   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MO FIGHT 2 1 32½ 42 4¾ 12½ 16¼ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 9% 9.70 1.77 W
5  SPIELMAN 4 9 98¼ 97½ 63¼ 22½ 26¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 6.38 P
8  SINGLE DOT YAHT 6 4 74¼ 85 52¼ 44 38¾ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 6.61  
6  HERO'S MEDAL 5 8 85¼ 63½ 73¾ 75½ 412 (stall m)TORRES A 115 8.00 6.45  
12  ARCHIE THE GIZA 9 7 53 52½ 1nk 33½ 513 (medina robe)TORRES A 124 15.00 31.08  
9  CONCERTED 7 5 21 21½ 3½ 54½ 614¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 48% 1.10 4.74  
4  SHOWDOWN KING 3 3 42½ 32 2nk 64½ 715 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 12.00 10.21  
2  DESERT WOLF 1 2 64 74 97¼ 810½ 821 (castillo richar)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 39.14  
10  CREATE TROUBLE 8 6 11 11½ 84¼ 913½ 931¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 15% 5.80 6.55  
SCR  BUBBA CAN DANCE               (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
SCR  MO SCAT               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
SCR  PERFECT UPSTART               (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
SCR  SAHALAT               (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.