Handicappers' Race Results
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-6   WIN (1/10/7/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $17.04 $7.04 70%
    DD (9/4/2)-(1/10/7/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  9-10 $21.47 $6.47 43%
CD-8   EXA (9/10/3/5)-(9/10/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-5 $26.42 $2.42 10%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SCRUPULOUS 2 6 42 32   3½ 12½ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 47% 1.10 1.31 W
7  END OF INNOCENCE 7 3 2½ 2½   2nk 22½ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5.84  
3  WHATTA WORLD 3 2 1½ 1½   1nk 34½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 24% 3.20 3.48 S
5  INTERCEPTION 5 1 31½ 43   44 49¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00 22.62  
1  BETTE DAVIS 1 9 96½ 89   56 512 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 21.66  
9  NO VIOLENCE 9 7 74 78½   88½ 618 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 8% 12.10 4.12  
4  LOVEYA LOVEYA MORE 4 5 62½ 66½   66½ 718¾ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.48  
6  HUSH IT HONEY 6 4 52 54   77 820 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 32.98  
8  SUMMER DANCE 8 8 84½ 910   910½ 922¼ (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 30.45  
 
CD-2   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113 1:244   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ASTRONOMICO 5 1 11 11½ 13 13½ 12½ (gutierrez)TORRES A 119 2.00 44% 1.30 1.33 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of GREEN WATERS by ARCH)
1  WAUHATCHIE 1 2 84¾ 74¼ 76¼ 35½ 22½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00 42.87  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of NEVER TOOMANY GEMS by GEMOLOGIST)
6  TIZ MY HERO 6 6 53 42½ 23 23½ 32½ (vance d)LANERIE J 119 5.00 8% 11.00 7.13 S
  (by BERNARDINI out of TIZ MY LADY by TIZNOW)
8  MONEYSHOT 7 7 31½ 32½ 34 47 412¼ (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 4.20  
  (by FROSTED out of COOL BEANS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  HOPE JOE'S RIGHT 3 8 74¾ 84½ 65¾ 69 513½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 7.59  
  (by KLIMT out of TIZJET by TIZNOW)
4  SKYPASS 4 4 21 21½ 44 57½ 614 (gorham robert )MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 26% 2.80 5.51  
  (by SKY MESA out of K'S BAR BEE by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
9  LEAD FOOT 8 5 41½ 62¾ 54¼ 710 717½ (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.03  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LILY'S GIRL by MARIA'S MON)
2  DON'T STOP 2 3 63¼ 52¾ 89¼ 817 835¾ (simms jr)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 28.94  
  (by ACCELERATE out of STOP AND STARE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  SPIN THE BOULEVARD               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of OCEAN BOULEVARD by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
CD-3   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY LANDY 1 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 1¾ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 5% 18.30 7.87 DQ↓9
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHECKERED PAST by PASS CATCHER)
2  FLOORED 2 8 41½ 41½   32½ 2¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 32.30  
  (by CURLIN out of BAFFLED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  WEST OMAHA 5 5 85 85¼   65 3¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 3.92  
  (by WEST COAST out of BIRTHDAY BASH by SWING AND MISS)
10  MUGEN 9 1 3½ 3½   2nk 41¼ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60 2.13 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PAOLA QUEEN by FLATTER)
8  CLASS ACT 7 10 98 98¼   75½ 53¼ (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
  (by STREET SENSE out of MISS DRAKE by AFLEET ALEX)
4  AUSTIN TRAFFIC 4 7 63 73¼   43½ 65 (mott i)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 46.20  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of TAITTINGER ROSE by MENIFEE)
9  FUNDAMENTALLY 8 9 52 52½   86 710½ (brown cha)TORRES A 119 5.00 25% 3.00 4.68  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of IMPRINT by QUALITY ROAD)
6  CONTROLLED TEMPER 6 2 2½ 2nk   54 810¾ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 27% 2.60 3.05  
  (by COLLECTED out of MOON MEETING TOO by MALIBU MOON)
11  LITTLE MISS PRISS 10 4 73½ 63   98 917½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00 30.11  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MISSISSIPPI QUEEN by DIXIELAND BAND)
3  BABE IN THE WOODS 3 6 10100 10100   10100 10100 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 42.81  
  (by KANTHAROS out of SLANT OF LIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  CORKAGE FEE               (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 114 20.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of HASSLER by WAR FRONT)
 
CD-4   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:141 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AIN'T BROKE 5 7 63 62½ 63½ 31½ 1hd (calhoun w)TORRES A 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.56 W
8  THESTRAL 7 5 42½ 41½ 31½ 1nk 2hd (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 4.92  
2  SANDRA D 2 2 11 1½ 11 2nk 32 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 14.27  
1  SUCH SOUNDS 1 1 31½ 31½ 42 43 45½ (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 5.74  
4  MYTOWN MYRULES 4 3 21 2½ 21 64½ 511¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 41% 1.50 2.99  
3  SAD CAFE 3 6 52½ 52 52½ 53½ 613½ (drury jr)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 6.15  
7  STEEL RACER 6 4 74 73 73½ 712½ 725 (medina rob)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 19.02  
SCR  I FEEL THE NEED               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
 
CD-5   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:113     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GIN GIN 9 2 11 1nk   1nk 12¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 53% 0.90 1.26 W
  (by HIGHTAIL out of BEFORE YOU KNOW IT by HARD SPUN)
12  CARARRA 12 1 21 2nk   2nk 22¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 10.73  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SEACRETTINA by SEA OF SECRETS)
6  AMERICA'S VOW 6 3 31 41½   32 32¼ (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 30.63  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CLOUDY VOW by BROKEN VOW)
4  PERFECT SHOT 4 7 73 62¾   44 46¾ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 26% 2.90 4.99  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MEISTER LEGEND by BODEMEISTER)
8  FLIGHT TO PARIS 8 12 105½ 84¼   65¾ 59¼ (arnold ge)TORRES A 119 8.00 ★ 8.68  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FLY TO THE STARS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  PLATINUM MINIT 11 4 41½ 52½   55½ 69½ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 12.17  
  (by GIVEMEAMINIT out of PLATINUM LADY by IRON RULER (IRE))
2  DAZZLIN' DICTATOR 2 11 125¾ 118¼   98¾ 711¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.71  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HOLLIDAZZLE by TIZNOW)
7  NANDINA 7 8 95 95¼   87¾ 811¼ (medina ro)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 64.59  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SPINNERET by MINER'S MARK)
10  MONTCLAIR ROAD 10 5 52 3½   76¼ 912¾ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 12.69  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DOTHRAKI QUEEN by PURE PRIZE)
3  AMY Z 3 6 62½ 74¼   109¾ 1014 (von don)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 ★ 14.93  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OVERLY INDULGENT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
5  MAGIC GATHERING 5 9 84½ 106¾   1110¾ 1115¾ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 11.02  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GLEANING by HARD SPUN)
1  MISS HARMONIC 1 10 115¾ 128¾   1213¾ 1219¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 119 15.00 35.60  
  (by NYQUIST out of SPEED SEEKER by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
 
CD-6   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:214 :452 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HIGH CLASS 10 5 3½ 1nk   11½ 1¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 118 4.00 19% 4.20 7.52 W
11  THE GREAT MAYBE 11 6 2½ 3½   21½ 2¼ (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 3.87  
1  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE 1 9 72¼ 52¼   33 3¾ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 32% 2.10 2.57 S
2  ERVADEAN 2 8 61¾ 42   44½ 43¼ (stewart da)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 16.43  
3  PISTOL 3 2 41 63¼   54½ 53¼ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 5% 17.90 7.85  
8  LITTLE MOMBO 8 4 1½ 2nk   65 65¾ (bauer phil)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 7% 13.30 8.04  
6  SECRET STATEMENT 6 7 82¼ 85¼   77 76¼ (baker jam)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 12.94  
7  CANCEL THIS 7 3 51½ 74¾   87¼ 87¼ (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 9% 10.30 12.98  
5  IN COLOR 5 10 93¼ 96¼   99¼ 99¾ (d'amato phili)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 16.38  
4  TEN RINGS 4 11 115¾ 108¾   1011¾ 1013½ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 121 20.00 44.32  
12  NEED SOME MONEY 12 1 104¼ 119¾   1112¾ 1114½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 10.51  
9  VARMLANDER 9 12 128¼ 1216¼   1222¾ 1235¾ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 49.22  
SCR  LAKESIDE MUSIC               (spicer james )LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:112 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GASOLINE 6 4 42 52½ 31½ 31 1¼ (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 ★ 5.41  
3  DECISION MAKER 3 11 108¼ 105¾ 86¼ 52 2¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 ★ 11.83 P
2  SANTOS DUMONT 2 3 11 11 11½ 11 3¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 17.09 S
13  SPEED BIAS 11 9 52¼ 32 42 41½ 4¾ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 53% 0.90 1.66  
4  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 4 2 32 42 21½ 21 51¾ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 15.72  
9  MASQUEPARADE 8 10 85¾ 94¾ 62¾ 62¼ 65 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 25% 3.00 8.42  
1  MR. BIG NEWS 1 1 118¾ 116¾ 108¼ 95¾ 76½ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00 38.02  
11  GALT 10 8 62¼ 63½ 98¼ 106 87½ (lobo paul)TORRES A 122 6.00 9.47  
10  KING'S OVATION 9 5 21 21 52¼ 74¼ 97¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 8.05  
8  GROUP EIGHTEEN 7 6 74¼ 84¾ 74¾ 84¼ 108 (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 37.81  
5  PROMISE KEEPER 5 7 96¼ 74½ 1110¼ 118 1111½ (stewart dall)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 6.99  
SCR  PROTONIC POWER               (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 30.00    
SCR  ROMAN CENTURIAN               (hamilton sara)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00    
 
CD-8   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:102 1:223   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MO FIGHT 2 1 32½ 42 4¾ 12½ 16¼ (casse no)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 9% 9.70 1.77 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of CAT FIGHT by FIT TO FIGHT)
5  SPIELMAN 4 9 98¼ 97½ 63¼ 22½ 26¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 6.38 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of SASSY IMAGE by BROKEN VOW)
8  SINGLE DOT YAHT 6 4 74¼ 85 52¼ 44 38¾ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 6.61  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ROTE by TIZNOW)
6  HERO'S MEDAL 5 8 85¼ 63½ 73¾ 75½ 412 (stall albert)TORRES A 115 8.00 6.45  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAGICAL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
12  ARCHIE THE GIZA 9 7 53 52½ 1nk 33½ 513 (medina ro)TORRES A 124 15.00 31.08  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
9  CONCERTED 7 5 21 21½ 3½ 54½ 614¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 48% 1.10 4.74  
  (by HARD SPUN out of COLLECTIVE by CHARISMATIC)
4  SHOWDOWN KING 3 3 42½ 32 2nk 64½ 715 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 12.00 10.21  
  (by MINESHAFT out of B ROCKETT by AFTER MARKET)
2  DESERT WOLF 1 2 64 74 97¼ 810½ 821 (castillo rich)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 39.14  
  (by PROTONICO out of BE PROUD by PROUD CITIZEN)
10  CREATE TROUBLE 8 6 11 11½ 84¼ 913½ 931¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 15% 5.80 6.55  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NO CURFEW by UNACCOUNTED FOR)
SCR  BUBBA CAN DANCE               (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of OF ONE HEART by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  MO SCAT               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of GIADA VEGAS by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  PERFECT UPSTART               (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  SAHALAT               (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DASHING DEBBY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.