Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (5/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (6/9/10/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-4   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (9/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (1/10/7/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (13/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (9/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTE DAVIS         (tomlinson michae)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00    
2  SCRUPULOUS Aug19         (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  WHATTA WORLD Aug20 Jul01 Jun15 Apr26   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  LOVEYA LOVEYA MORE         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  INTERCEPTION         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
6  HUSH IT HONEY         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
7  END OF INNOCENCE Aug02 Jun16       (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
8  SUMMER DANCE Aug12         (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
9  NO VIOLENCE         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 8% 12.10    
 
CD-2   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAUHATCHIE         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
2  DON'T STOP         (simms jr)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
3  HOPE JOE'S RIGHT         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
4  SKYPASS Sep05         (gorham m)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
5  ASTRONOMICO Aug12 Jul20 Jun24 Jun04   (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  TIZ MY HERO Jul15 Jun24 Jun04     (vance d)LANERIE J 119 5.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  SPIN THE BOULEVARD         (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 8.00    
8  MONEYSHOT Aug05         (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00    
9  LEAD FOOT Aug13 Jul21 Jul01     (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-3   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY LANDY Aug01         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 5% 18.30    
2  FLOORED Aug18         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
3  BABE IN THE WOODS Aug26         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
4  AUSTIN TRAFFIC         (mott i)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
5  WEST OMAHA         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
6  CONTROLLED TEMPER Aug18         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  CORKAGE FEE         (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 114 20.00    
8  CLASS ACT         (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  FUNDAMENTALLY Aug05         (brown chad )TORRES A 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
10  MUGEN Jul30         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
11  LITTLE MISS PRISS Jul31         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
 
CD-4   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUCH SOUNDS Jul26 May18 Apr28 Mar23 Feb25 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00    
2  SANDRA D Aug05 Jul08 Jun13 Apr23 Mar25 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 8.00    
3  SAD CAFE Aug16 Jul08       (drury jr)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MYTOWN MYRULES Apr14 Mar11 Feb12 Jan12   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  I FEEL THE NEED Jul22 Jun16 Apr28 Apr15 Mar30 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
6  AIN'T BROKE Aug18 Jul22 Jun25 Jun02 Apr27 (calhoun wil)TORRES A 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  STEEL RACER Jul23 Jun29 Jun11 Sep29   (medina rober)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
8  THESTRAL Aug16 Jul20 Feb08 Jan13 Nov17 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
CD-5   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS HARMONIC         (forster t)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
2  DAZZLIN' DICTATOR         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  AMY Z         (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 ★    
4  PERFECT SHOT         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
5  MAGIC GATHERING         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00    
6  AMERICA'S VOW Aug06         (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
7  NANDINA         (medina robe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
8  FLIGHT TO PARIS         (arnold geor)TORRES A 119 8.00 ★    
9  GIN GIN Aug08         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
10  MONTCLAIR ROAD         (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
11  PLATINUM MINIT Aug20         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
12  CARARRA Aug26         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
 
CD-6   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE Jul22 May05 Feb18 Jan07   (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  ERVADEAN Aug01 Jun24 May27 May05 Mar25 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
3  PISTOL Aug26 Jul15 May14 Apr22 Mar24 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 5% 17.90    
4  TEN RINGS Mar09 Feb08 Dec29 Aug07 Jul03 (engler jeff)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
5  IN COLOR Jun24 May12 Mar31 Mar05 Dec21 (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
6  SECRET STATEMENT May05 Apr07 Mar02 Dec31 Nov24 (baker james)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
7  CANCEL THIS Aug14 Jul15 Jun18 May25 Nov27 (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 9% 10.30    
8  LITTLE MOMBO Jul19 Jun18 Jun12 May26 Apr07 (bauer philip)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 7% 13.30    
9  VARMLANDER Feb25 Jan22 Dec15     (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
10  HIGH CLASS Aug26 Jul09 Nov23 Oct30 Sep25 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
11  THE GREAT MAYBE Nov26 Oct02 Aug28     (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
12  NEED SOME MONEY Aug16 Jul13 Jun01 May20 Apr28 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE MUSIC Jun29         (spicer t)LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BIG NEWS Aug28 Jul30 Jul01     (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
2  SANTOS DUMONT Aug05 Jun30 May27 Jul04 Jun04 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DECISION MAKER Aug20 Jun11 May03 Mar26 Mar04 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 ★    
4  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT Aug20 Jul15 Nov13 Oct20 Sep28 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00    
5  PROMISE KEEPER Jul08 Jun11 May06 Aug20 May13 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
SCR  PROTONIC POWER Aug16 Jul26 Jun15 May21 Apr16 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 30.00    
7  GASOLINE Feb19 Jan05 Dec02 Sep29 Aug28 (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 ★    
8  GROUP EIGHTEEN Aug12 Jul21 Jun22 May19 Apr19 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
9  MASQUEPARADE Aug06 Jul08 Jun03 May06 Aug04 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
10  KING'S OVATION Aug12 Jul23 Jun11 May18 Apr23 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00    
11  GALT Aug03 May28 Apr29 Mar12 Jun03 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  ROMAN CENTURIAN Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jun22 Jun04 (hamilton sarah)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00    
13  SPEED BIAS Aug18 Jul21 Jul01 May19 Apr22 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
CD-8   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAHALAT Aug19         (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00    
2  DESERT WOLF Aug28 Nov26 Oct30 Oct01 Sep03 (castillo richar)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00    
3  MO FIGHT Aug26 Jul02       (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 9% 9.70    
4  SHOWDOWN KING Jul30         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 12.00    
5  SPIELMAN Aug19 Nov26 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  HERO'S MEDAL Aug11 Jul14 Jun25 May02 Mar26 (stall m)TORRES A 115 8.00    
SCR  BUBBA CAN DANCE Aug08 Jan22 Dec31     (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
8  SINGLE DOT YAHT Jul16 Jun11 Sep21     (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
9  CONCERTED Aug05 Jun04 Jun05     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
10  CREATE TROUBLE Jul21 Jun11 Oct30 Sep17   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  MO SCAT         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
12  ARCHIE THE GIZA Aug01 May28 May04     (medina robe)TORRES A 124 15.00    
SCR  PERFECT UPSTART May11 Mar10 Jan13 Nov16 Sep21 (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.