Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $28.80 $28.80 22.80
TDN-2   Win (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $17.80 $17.80 9.80
TDN-3   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-4   Win (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $48.80  
TDN-5   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $8.40  
TDN-6   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.10 $2.10  
TDN-7   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $15.00  
TDN-8   Win (3/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:13     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOE TAPPIN LUKE 1 2 42 5 4 5 1hd (sweeting )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.40 W
ROYAL DRAGOON 8 7 79 7 6 42 2hd (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.00 25% 2.90 2.10 P
MY BROTHER CAM 2 5 32 32 3 31 3 (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00 5.30 S
PATIO PARTY 5 3 1 11 1nk 11 4 (galloway khadeem)RIVERA R 119 6.00 9.30  
FLIPPING FISH 3 4 2 21 2nk 21 53 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 53% 0.90 1.40  
LAUDA SPEED 6 1 53 4 5 6 6 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 7.40  
LEXATOGA 4 8 810½ 8 8 7 711¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 20.00 56.10  
VENETIAN DREAM 7 6 64 64 7 8 811½ (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 26.90  
SCR  AUGER               (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
 
TDN-2   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL ON BIG O 5 3 1½ 1½   1½ 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.50 15% 5.80 7.90 W
RED CHILI PEPPER 4 5 2½ 2½   2½ 2 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.00 53% 0.90 0.30 P
AFTER SUNRISE 3 6 6 65   68 39 (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 118 2.50 12% 7.60 7.80 S
TAHLEQUAH JOE 8 1 5 41   35 410¼ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 118 8.00 17.50  
VECCHI 1 2 3½ 52   47 512¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 6.00 24.20  
SEEKING FREEDOM 2 8 7 77   710½ 613¾ (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 118 12.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
SIGNORE NINO 6 4 4 31   5 713¾ (radosevich justin)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 10.40  
UNLIMITED LUCK 7 7 813¼ 824   836½ 847¼ (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00 36.60  
 
TDN-3   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:132     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS HALIME 5 2 41 21 2½ 12 13 (yoder d)RIVERA R 119 2.00 31% 2.30 0.50 W
KINGSTON TIME 6 4 5 5 41 22 23 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 6.90  
BACKSPLASH 2 5 6 65 6 54 3 (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 18.90  
SPECIAL BEACH 1 3 1½ 31 31 4 45 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 17% 5.00 4.90  
COURTLY 3 1 3½ 4 5 65 5 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 20% 4.00 5.60  
ANNMARIA 4 6 2½ 11 1½ 32 6 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 11.70  
 
TDN-4   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:002     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTMAKESHERSWEET 3 3 1 11   1½ 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.50 9% 10.60 2.70 DQ↓5
BIG FACTS 5 2 2 21   3 2 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 10.00 23.40  
SNOWBIRD 6 4 6 612½   6 314½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00 34% 2.00 7.10 P
BLIZZARD 7 1 5 510   5 420½ (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 118 15.00 31.80  
MS. DEBBIE ALAN 1 7 719½ 725½   715¾ 533¼ (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
HONEY BEE GOOD 4 5 4 49   4 6100 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 12.00 21.80  
WOMAN'S DREAM 2 6 32 32   2½ 7100 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 2.00 36% 1.80 0.50  
SCR  CURLIN PEARLS               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00    
 
TDN-5   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S FATE 3 4 3 3½ 11 1½ 1¼ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 3.20  
LAZARUS PROJECT 6 6 6 5 31 2½ 2¼ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 13% 6.40 2.50 P
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 1 1 11 1nk 21 3½ 3 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 6.00 6.80  
ALGORIX 4 3 4 42 54 5 4 (bracho jr)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 25.10  
DEBDURITE 2 2 21 2nk 42 43 5 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.00 50% 1.00 1.60  
ROSAS WAY 5 5 5 6 6 66 6 (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.50 8% 11.90 5.50  
SCR  ST. LUKES               (trevino g)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-6   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 :593     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOWY 2 3 1 1   16 113¼ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 1.80 57% 0.70 0.05 W
JUSTA LITTLE MOORE 7 1 32 3   26 213¼ (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00 6.80  
ONE STEP ASIDE 3 5 4 4   36 314½ (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.00 15% 5.80 12.90 S
MOBIL MISSION 4 6 7 6   612¾ 417¼ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 6.00 38.50  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 6 2 2 2   49 518 (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 20.00 ######  
JODHPUR 1 7 5 5   5 619¼ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 12.00 35.40  
STRIKING LAD 5 4 6 7   717¼ 733 (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 10.00 8% 12.30 32.60  
SCR  ILIKETHAT               (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.00    
 
TDN-7   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACIE DANCE 3 3 2nk 22   1½ 1¼ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 6.50  
MISS EASY 2 5 5 43   3 2¼ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 2.00 50% 1.00 3.60 P
CHARLOTTES WAY 6 1 1nk 12   2½ 3 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 13% 6.70 14.20 S
COROMANDEL 4 2 3 5   55 4 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 11% 8.10 10.40  
LITTLE EMPIRE 1 4 4 6   6 5 (reust megan)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00 24.10  
HONORABLE WOMAN 5 6 6 33   43 67 (acevedo israel)CEDILLO MAURO 117 1.80 0.40  
 
TDN-8   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:232 :474 :594     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY COUGAR 3 7 5 43   1½ 12 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 3.00 32% 2.20 2.10 W
SKYPASS 6 1 3.2 32   3 22 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00 10.60  
EL BAMBINO 7 4 2nk 1½   2½ 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 3.50 25% 3.10 1.70 S
MEXITEXAFORNIA 1 2 4 55   4 4 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00 10% 8.60 5.40  
CROWNED JEWEL 5 5 1nk 2½   5 511 (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 8.50  
CUSSIN N FUSSIN 2 6 7 78   610 614¼ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 118 4.50 5.80  
DIXIE MAN 4 8 6 67   715 727¼ (flores is)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00 46.00  
QADIRA 8 3 8 816   815½ 836¼ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 115 15.00 5% 19.00 62.80  
SCR  INCITATUSWAY               (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.