Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/1)-(3/9/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/1)-(3/9/2/1)-(3/9/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/9/1)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/1)-(4/5/3/2)-(5/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/2)-(5/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(2/6/3/1)-(2/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/1)-(2/7/6)-(2/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(2/6/4)-(3/8/1/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(3/8/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Aug16 Jul08 Jun15 May25 May08 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY BROTHER CAM Aug07 Jul18 Jun14 May22 May02 (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00 ★    
3  FLIPPING FISH Aug21 Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 Jun05 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 53% 0.90    
4  LEXATOGA Aug16 Jul26 Jun21 Jan18 Dec27 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
5  PATIO PARTY Aug07 Jul18 Jun14 May22 May02 (galloway khadeem)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
6  LAUDA SPEED Aug16 Jul12 Jun24 Jun05 May08 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
7  VENETIAN DREAM Aug23 Aug14 Sep12 Aug29 Aug18 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  AUGER Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 Jun15 Jun01 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
9  ROYAL DRAGOON Aug02 Jul24 Jul05 May23 Apr15 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
 
TDN-2   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VECCHI Aug15 Jul26 Jun20     (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 6.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
2  SEEKING FREEDOM         (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
3  AFTER SUNRISE Aug15 Jul27 Jun20     (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 118 2.50 12% 7.60    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
4  RED CHILI PEPPER Aug15 Jul26 Jun30 Jun20 Jun03 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOSSY by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
5  ROLL ON BIG O Aug15 Jul26       (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.50 15% 5.80    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  SIGNORE NINO         (radosevich just)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
7  UNLIMITED LUCK Aug15         (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of UNLIMITED UPSIDE by SHACKLEFORD)
8  TAHLEQUAH JOE Jul26 Jun20       (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 8.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
 
TDN-3   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL BEACH Jul27 Jun19 May31 May15 Mar29 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
2  BACKSPLASH Aug21 Jul27 Jul10 Jun01 May22 (mahan jose)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
3  COURTLY Aug15 Jul27 Jul10 Jun21 Nov03 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  ANNMARIA Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 May22 Jan09 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
5  PRINCESS HALIME Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 May31 May22 (yoder d)RIVERA R 119 2.00 31% 2.30    
6  KINGSTON TIME Jul11 Jun13 May31 Apr27 Dec28 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-4   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS. DEBBIE ALAN         (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MRS. DEBBIE M by WAR CHANT)
2  WOMAN'S DREAM         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by ENTICED out of RELIABLE EMA by SMARTY JONES)
3  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Aug15 Jul13 Jun05     (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.50 9% 10.60    
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  HONEY BEE GOOD Jul13         (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 12.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of BROADWAY ANNIEROSE by STALWART)
5  BIG FACTS         (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BILLBOARD HIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  SNOWBIRD Aug15         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00 34% 2.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
7  BLIZZARD Aug15         (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 118 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of THEDAMEWANTSTOWIN by GULCH)
SCR  CURLIN PEARLS Aug15         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
TDN-5   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Aug24 Aug03 Jul24 Jul10 Jun13 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 6.00    
2  DEBDURITE Aug16 Jul27 Jul18 Apr15 Apr03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
3  IT'S FATE Aug16 Jul15 Jun24 May06 Apr26 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
SCR  ST. LUKES Aug17 Jul24 Oct24 Oct11   (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00    
5  ALGORIX Aug16 Jul24 Jul03 Jun14 May16 (bracho j)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
6  ROSAS WAY Aug16 Jul10 May28 May17 May06 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.50 8% 11.90    
7  LAZARUS PROJECT Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 13% 6.40    
 
TDN-6   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JODHPUR Aug15 Jul06       (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 12.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LIL EGYPT by WAR CHANT)
2  SHADOWY Aug12 Aug02 Jul22 Jun03   (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 1.80 57% 0.70    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
3  ONE STEP ASIDE Aug15         (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
4  MOBIL MISSION Aug15         (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 6.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  ILIKETHAT         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of SWEET MARGI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
6  STRIKING LAD         (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 10.00 8% 12.30    
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
7  RIVERS OF DENIRO Aug15 Jul26 Jul06     (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 20.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
8  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE Aug17         (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00    
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
 
TDN-7   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE EMPIRE Jul11 May25 Dec08 Oct05 Aug24 (reust mega)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00    
2  MISS EASY Jul13 Jun20 May31 Nov01 Oct13 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 2.00 50% 1.00    
3  GRACIE DANCE Aug08 Jul26 Jul03 Jun10 May25 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50    
4  COROMANDEL Aug23 Aug01 Jun10 May25 May11 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 11% 8.10    
5  HONORABLE WOMAN Aug01 Jun17       (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 117 1.80    
6  CHARLOTTES WAY Aug08 Jul26 May23 Apr15 Mar24 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 13% 6.70    
 
TDN-8   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEXITEXAFORNIA Aug11 Jul12 Jun08     (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
2  CUSSIN N FUSSIN Aug10         (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 118 4.50    
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
3  LUCKY COUGAR         (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of ANOTHER COUGAR by WITH DISTINCTION)
4  DIXIE MAN         (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DIXIE BABE by DIXIE UNION)
5  CROWNED JEWEL         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRIDE'S GOLD by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
6  SKYPASS         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of K'S BAR BEE by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
SCR  INCITATUSWAY May07 May01       (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 118 6.00    
  (by DESTIN out of HAPPY RETREAT by FEEL THE POWER)
8  EL BAMBINO         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by CONNECT out of REZISTER by DEPUTY MINISTER)
9  QADIRA         (urieta johann)BRACHO A 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.