Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $6.50 $0.50 8%
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6-1 $15.10 $9.10 152%
TDN-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $11.00 $7.00 175%
TDN-5   PK3 (6/4)-(5/2)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5-1 $18.40 $6.40 53%
TDN-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-5 $5.50 $3.50 175%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  IRISH UNITY 2 4 1nk 1nk   12 1½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 12% 7.30 1.60 W
6  BREEZY MONEY 6 2 3.2 2nk   22 2½ (vecchio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 31% 2.20 1.30 P
1  SHADOW TRACER 1 3 4¾ 31½   33½ 34¼ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 33% 2.00 3.40 S
3  WAR NOVEL 3 5 2nk 41¾   45½ 46¾ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 17.00  
5  VALHALLA AIR BASE 5 1 65¾ 66¼   56 57¼ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 28.00  
4  LAZARUS PROJECT 4 6 52¼ 54¾   67½ 610¼ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 7.70  
 
TDN-2   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:151     1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ANGEL'S DESTINY 2 5 33 33½ 1nk 14½ 17½ (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00 1.80  
3  TWELVE SHARP 3 2 21½ 21½ 3.2 24½ 27½ (alamo a)JIMENEZ S 119 8.00 13% 6.50 8.30 P
4  DUDE'S MIST DATE 4 4 45 57 44¼ 36½ 38 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 4.50  
5  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL 5 3 55 45½ 56¼ 511 414¼ (guciardo rob)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 46% 1.20 3.10  
1  LIFENHOWULIVIT 1 1 11½ 11½ 2nk 49 515 (canegata james)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60 1.90  
 
TDN-3   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LEWD 4 4 43½ 2½ 1nk 13 17 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 23% 3.30 4.50 W
1  CONTESSINA 1 5 32½ 41½ 32 34½ 27 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 3.40  
2  ROWDY DAISY 2 2 11 1½ 2nk 23 37¾ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 3.80  
3  PURDY PUMKIN 3 3 21 3½ 42¼ 45½ 48¾ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5.10  
6  TIME FOR CUPID 5 1 56 55 55¼ 510 519¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 34% 2.00 1.20  
SCR  MAY BEAU               (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
 
TDN-4   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CAROL'S ROYALTY 5 1 1½ 11   14 11¾ (romero jose )ROSARIO L 119 1.80 68% 0.50 1.00 W
3  LITTLE BIRD FLASH 3 2 2½ 21   24 21¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 1.40  
4  SWEET BELEN 4 5 42 32   37½ 35¾ (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 5.80  
1  COURTED 1 4 54½ 55   511½ 47½ (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 14.70  
2  ISLAND WINTER 2 3 31½ 43   49½ 510½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.50 5% 19.00 9.30  
 
TDN-5   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO EFFECT 1 3 1nk 1½   11 12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 16% 5.10 1.00 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
5  THELMA LUCILLE 5 2 31 41½   21 22 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 3.90  
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
2  SNAZZY 2 4 41¼ 31½   31½ 32¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 52% 0.90 1.90 S
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MY UPTOWN GAL by CITY ZIP)
3  VAMONOS PIACENTE 3 6 65¾ 64½   53½ 43¾ (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50 7.10  
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
4  ONE RICH KITTEN 4 5 52¾ 52½   43½ 55¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 21.50  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MZ. STINKIN' RICH by COWBOY CAL)
6  Z B READY 6 1 2nk 2½   65 611 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 29.60  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
 
TDN-6   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :463 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUSHING BETTY 1 4 1½ 1½   1½ 1½ (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 56% 0.80 1.80 W
5  SWEET QUEEN BEE 5 1 2½ 2½   2½ 2½ (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 13% 6.70 2.10 P
3  CEVICHE 3 2 32 42½   33 34¾ (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 51.00  
2  ALARM CLOCK 2 5 42 32   43 45¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 1.00  
4  SIERRA DIAMOND 4 3 53½ 54   54½ 58½ (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 5.00 23.10  
 
TDN-7   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FABULOUS CLOWN 3 6 65 44   24 11¾ (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 6.00 4.10  
5  HITCH CITY 4 1 11½ 12   14 21¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 29% 2.40 3.20 P
6  HOSANNA 5 2 21½ 22   34½ 35½ (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 29% 2.40 1.30 S
3  MAYBE FRANKY 2 4 53½ 65½   59½ 48¼ (adams l)HESS SARA 114 6.00 8.30  
2  WEEKENDING 1 5 32½ 33½   45½ 59 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 14% 6.00 3.40  
7  WAR MOON 6 3 42½ 54½   612½ 617¼ (doering mark)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 32.00  
SCR  CHILLVILLE               (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
 
TDN-8   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  C MORE PRIDE 3 5 45 52   41¾ 1½ (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 6.60  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MOREREADYTHANEVER by MORE THAN READY)
5  POLLY PRISSY PANTS 4 1 55¼ 3½   3.2 2½ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 36% 1.80 0.70 P
  (by VERTIFORMER out of LADY YELLOW TAIL by ARCH)
1  MY TWO JAKES 1 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 3¾ (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 3.30  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 2 4 33½ 1nk   2nk 41¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5.30  
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  NICKATYE 5 3 1nk 41½   57¾ 520 (tucker jim)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 26% 2.90 6.80  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HOLLYWOOD RECKLESS by TIZNOW)
SCR  CANELA FINA               (dubie k)PILARES P 119 2.50    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.