Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TDN-2   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $5.60  
TDN-3   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 7.00
TDN-4   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-5   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-6   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
TDN-7   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $10.20  
TDN-8   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $15.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH UNITY 2 4 1nk 1nk   12 1½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 12% 7.30 1.60 W
BREEZY MONEY 6 2 3.2 2nk   22 2½ (vecchio c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 31% 2.20 1.30 P
SHADOW TRACER 1 3 4¾ 3   3 3 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 33% 2.00 3.40 S
WAR NOVEL 3 5 2nk 4   4 4 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 17.00  
VALHALLA AIR BASE 5 1 6 6   56 5 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 28.00  
LAZARUS PROJECT 4 6 5 5   6 610¼ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 7.70  
 
TDN-2   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:151     1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S DESTINY 2 5 33 3 1nk 1 1 (flores israel)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00 1.80  
TWELVE SHARP 3 2 2 2 3.2 2 2 (alamo a)JIMENEZ S 119 8.00 13% 6.50 8.30 P
DUDE'S MIST DATE 4 4 45 57 4 3 38 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 4.50  
BAD AND BEAUTIFUL 5 3 55 4 5 511 414¼ (guciardo rober)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 46% 1.20 3.10  
LIFENHOWULIVIT 1 1 1 1 2nk 49 515 (canegata james)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60 1.90  
 
TDN-3   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEWD 4 4 4 2½ 1nk 13 17 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 23% 3.30 4.50 W
CONTESSINA 1 5 3 4 32 3 27 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 3.40  
ROWDY DAISY 2 2 11 1½ 2nk 23 3 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 3.80  
PURDY PUMKIN 3 3 21 3½ 4 4 4 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5.10  
TIME FOR CUPID 5 1 56 55 5 510 519¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 34% 2.00 1.20  
SCR  MAY BEAU               (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
 
TDN-4   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROL'S ROYALTY 5 1 1½ 11   14 1 (romero a)ROSARIO L 119 1.80 68% 0.50 1.00 W
LITTLE BIRD FLASH 3 2 2½ 21   24 2 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 1.40  
SWEET BELEN 4 5 42 32   3 3 (murillo-)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 5.80  
COURTED 1 4 5 55   511½ 4 (langley j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 14.70  
ISLAND WINTER 2 3 3 43   4 510½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.50 5% 19.00 9.30  
 
TDN-5   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALO EFFECT 1 3 1nk 1½   11 12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 16% 5.10 1.00 W
THELMA LUCILLE 5 2 31 4   21 22 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 3.90  
SNAZZY 2 4 4 3   3 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 52% 0.90 1.90 S
VAMONOS PIACENTE 3 6 6 6   5 4 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50 7.10  
ONE RICH KITTEN 4 5 5 5   4 5 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 21.50  
Z B READY 6 1 2nk 2½   65 611 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 29.60  
 
TDN-6   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :463 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUSHING BETTY 1 4 1½ 1½   1½ 1½ (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 56% 0.80 1.80 W
SWEET QUEEN BEE 5 1 2½ 2½   2½ 2½ (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 13% 6.70 2.10 P
CEVICHE 3 2 32 4   33 3 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 51.00  
ALARM CLOCK 2 5 42 32   43 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 1.00  
SIERRA DIAMOND 4 3 5 54   5 5 (casalinova tina)DIAZ I 119 5.00 23.10  
 
TDN-7   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABULOUS CLOWN 3 6 65 44   24 1 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 6.00 4.10  
HITCH CITY 4 1 1 12   14 2 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 29% 2.40 3.20 P
HOSANNA 5 2 2 22   3 3 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 29% 2.40 1.30 S
MAYBE FRANKY 2 4 5 6   5 4 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 6.00 8.30  
WEEKENDING 1 5 3 3   4 59 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 14% 6.00 3.40  
WAR MOON 6 3 4 5   612½ 617¼ (doering mark)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 32.00  
SCR  CHILLVILLE               (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
 
TDN-8   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C MORE PRIDE 3 5 45 52   4 1½ (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 6.60  
POLLY PRISSY PANTS 4 1 5 3½   3.2 2½ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 36% 1.80 0.70 P
MY TWO JAKES 1 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 3¾ (gonzalez d)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 3.30  
HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 2 4 3 1nk   2nk 4 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5.30  
NICKATYE 5 3 1nk 4   5 520 (tucker jim)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 26% 2.90 6.80  
SCR  CANELA FINA               (dubie kat)PILARES P 119 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.