Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(5/3)-(6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(6/4)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(5/2)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/1/6)-(1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(1/5)-(6/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(6/5/2)-(5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW TRACER Jul26 Jun21 Jun07 May08 Apr25 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  IRISH UNITY Jul10 Jun05 May16 May02 Mar27 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 12% 7.30    
3  WAR NOVEL Aug03 Jul11 May30 May23 May08 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
4  LAZARUS PROJECT Aug16 Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 Jun13 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
5  VALHALLA AIR BASE Jul24 Jun27 Jun01 May15 Apr27 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
6  BREEZY MONEY Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jun21 Jun05 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
TDN-2   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFENHOWULIVIT Aug07 Jun24 May27 May03 Apr05 (canegata james)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60    
2  ANGEL'S DESTINY Aug09 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00    
3  TWELVE SHARP Aug07 Jun18 May18 May11 Apr05 (alamo a)JIMENEZ S 119 8.00 13% 6.50    
4  DUDE'S MIST DATE Aug07 Jul18 Jun26 Jan09 Dec22 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50    
5  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL Aug07 Jul12 Jan01 Jan08   (guciardo rob)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
TDN-3   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTESSINA Aug08 Jul13 Jun20 Nov21 Nov07 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50    
2  ROWDY DAISY Aug07 Jul20 Jul11 May25 May04 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.50    
3  PURDY PUMKIN Aug10 Feb14 Jan28 Jan09 Dec15 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
4  LEWD Aug07 Jul20 Jun21 Jun06 May30 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  MAY BEAU Aug14 Jul20 Jul03 Jun21 Jun12 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
6  TIME FOR CUPID Aug14 Jul20 Jul03 Jun10 May23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
TDN-4   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURTED Jul26 Jul17 Jun27 Jun06 May28 (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
2  ISLAND WINTER Jul24 Jun12 Oct03 Sep14 Aug23 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Jul10 Mar14 Feb20 Jan24 Jan10 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 2.50    
4  SWEET BELEN Jul26 Jun20 Jun04 May23 Apr30 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
5  CAROL'S ROYALTY Aug16 Jul17 Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 119 1.80 68% 0.50    
 
TDN-5   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO EFFECT Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun24 May31 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
2  SNAZZY Aug09 Jul19       (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MY UPTOWN GAL by CITY ZIP)
3  VAMONOS PIACENTE Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 Feb20 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50    
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
4  ONE RICH KITTEN Aug09 Jul19       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MZ. STINKIN' RICH by COWBOY CAL)
5  THELMA LUCILLE Aug09 Jul25 Jul05 Jun10 Jan16 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 3.50    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
6  Z B READY Aug09 Jun19       (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
 
TDN-6   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUSHING BETTY Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 May30 May15 (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
2  ALARM CLOCK Jun22 Apr13 Mar25 Feb10 Jan21 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
3  CEVICHE Aug02 Jul25 May30 May09 Mar15 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00    
4  SIERRA DIAMOND Aug17 Jul25 Jul03 May30 Apr24 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
5  SWEET QUEEN BEE Aug08 Jun13 May22 May09 Mar15 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
TDN-7   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHILLVILLE Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jun01 May06 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
2  WEEKENDING Aug09 Jul05 Jun05 Apr06 Mar27 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 14% 6.00    
3  MAYBE FRANKY Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 Jun07 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 6.00    
4  FABULOUS CLOWN Aug10 Aug02 Jun12 May06 Apr24 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00    
5  HITCH CITY Aug15 Jun26 Apr27 Sep28 Sep12 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
6  HOSANNA Jul26 Jun26 Jun13 Apr27 Dec03 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  WAR MOON Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb07 Jan24 (doering mark)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO JAKES Aug09 Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 Jun10 (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Aug09 Jul05 Jun19 May31   (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  CANELA FINA Aug26 Aug09 Jun30 Jun19 Jun01 (dubie k)PILARES P 119 2.50    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
4  C MORE PRIDE Aug09 Jul05 Jun01     (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MOREREADYTHANEVER by MORE THAN READY)
5  POLLY PRISSY PANTS Aug09 Jul05 Jun19 May31 Sep29 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of LADY YELLOW TAIL by ARCH)
6  NICKATYE Dec06 Nov23       (tucker jim)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 26% 2.90    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HOLLYWOOD RECKLESS by TIZNOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.