Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-6   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00  8 $3.40 $1.40 70%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:111 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLOUD FOREST 5 2 3½ 31 2nk 1nk 1½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 3.85  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MEADOWSWEET by SMART STRIKE)
EGYPT 1 4 1nk 11 1nk 2nk 2½ (de horac)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 31.75  
  (by TIZNOW out of PHAROAH'S PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
TREBLE CLEF 4 3 5 5 43 43 3 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 7.40  
  (by ARROGATE out of UNO DUO by MACHO UNO)
NEW YORK STRONG 3 1 2nk 21 32 3 43 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 62% 0.60 0.25  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FASHION WEEK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCAT TU TAP 2 5 4 42 56 5 5 (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 7% 12.90 16.90  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
SCR  TRIUMPHANT ROAD               (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FOXYSOX by FOXHOUND)
SCR  TORIGO               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.50    
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT out of ENJOYABLE by HOLY BULL)
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY               (gutie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  JAMESTOWN               (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of OKEEHEELEE by DANSILI (GB))
SCR  WILD GUESS               (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of CONQUEST by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  GROWTH CAPITAL               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ROOM SERVICE by MORE THAN READY)
 
BAQ-2   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE THE JOKER 6 4 42 4   12 1 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 2.95  
MERAVIGLIOSO 1 1 31 3   22 2 (abreu fernand)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 8% 11.20 1.70 P
QUEEN ARELLA 3 2 2½ 21   4 3 (ferraro an)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 43% 1.30 4.30 S
MISS DOMINA 2 3 1½ 11   32 4 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 26% 2.80 6.00  
DIVA BANKER 5 6 66 6   5 5 (begg jam)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 9.40  
ALPINE QUEEN 4 5 5 5   67 613¼ (schettino )RIVERA R 118 5.00 5.70  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 118 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  FACTUALLY CORRECT 9 1 3½ 3½   11 1 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 3.05  
ICY FLAVOR 1 4 1nk 1nk   21 2 (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 49% 1.10 3.60 P
11  THANK YOU JON 7 9 5 4   3 3 (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 4.10 S
EMPIRE SKY 6 7 8 74   55 4 (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 24% 3.30 3.10  
DREAMPOINT 5 5 7 53   6 5 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 20.00 60.25  
COURAGEOOUS OH LA 3 3 2nk 2nk   4 6 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
13  BLAME IT ON DADDY 8 8 1010¾ 10   9 7 (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 16.90  
KREESA 2 6 45 6   7 811¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 6% 15.20 30.25  
16  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 10 2 6 85   8 912 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 7.30  
THE COBBLER 4 10 9 97   1010¼ 1014½ (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 30.00 77.50  
SCR  IMAGE OF QUALITY               (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE               (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
SCR  ORTUS               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00    
SCR  SANDRONE               (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
SCR  SINFUL DANCER               (figueroa da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:11 1:234   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  MOST OF ALL 5 2 31 2½ 1 17 110¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 2.00  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INDULGENT by BERNARDINI)
MAGIC EIGHT BALL 1 3 1½ 1½ 2 27 210¼ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 3.60  
  (by UPSTART out of PREDICTRESS by VICAR)
11  PAST TENSE 3 5 410 4 4 310½ 311½ (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 32% 2.20 2.35 S
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of RETRO by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TRUE MYTH 2 1 2½ 3 3 414½ 424 (terranova john)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 2.75  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CAN'T EXPLAIN by NOT FOR LOVE)
12  NOT TONIGHT JOE 4 4 511 516½ 518½ 524½ 533¼ (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 23% 3.30 10.90  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ARONIA by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  JUST JULES               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FULLY LIVING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  KATHERINE THOMAS               (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CAROLINE THOMAS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  KING'S DAUGHTER               (duarte)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ACQUANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  LUCEVAN LA STELLE               (albertrani)RIVERA R 114 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of LOOK AT ME by FAIR AMERICAN)
SCR  STYLE POINTS               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MYSTICAL STAR by TRANSWORLD)
SCR  DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of SHEMDA by DUTCH ART)
SCR  DAY AWAY               (contessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of DAY IS DONE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  WAY TO BE MARIE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WOMAN OF THE WORLD by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  CHANNEL LOOP               (clement chris)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of HANTALOOP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  BELLE GAMBE (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of UNAIDED (GB) by DANSILI (GB))
SCR  DANCING DEAN               (mott william)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DEAN HENRY by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
BAQ-5   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:221 :46 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUN AND WIND 3 4 1½ 2½   1 1 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 2.20  
13  POSEIDON'S MIST 11 1 10 7   35 2 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 114 4.50 10.00  
14  MEL'S ANGEL 12 2 2½ 1½   2 3 (giddings me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 36.75  
BORNFORGREATNESS 5 8 53 43   5 4 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 24.75  
LET'S CONNECT 2 10 9 109   6 5 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 15.50  
LONE STAR WILDCAT 6 11 1215½ 1212¾   1012 6 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
10  NOTAFRAIDTOCHARGE 8 3 31 32   4 7 (rodriguez rudy)LUZZI J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
12  ALOTTA JAYS 10 6 8 8   810½ 810¾ (schettino )RIVERA R 114 10.00 36.50  
ELLA SPEED 1 9 42 54   710 912¼ (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 61% 0.60 2.25  
SONG OF SOLOMINI 4 5 63 9   1214½ 1015½ (englehar)DAVIS A 119 30.00 58.75  
REGENERATOR 7 7 7 65   911½ 1116¼ (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 25.25  
11  PRINCESS BECCA 9 12 1110½ 11   1114 1216½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 8% 12.00 5.10  
SCR  SANTAGATA               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
SCR  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW               (martin carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Knickerbocker Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:11 1:372   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIONEERING SPIRIT 2 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 1 115¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 30% 2.30 0.70 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FOUNDATION SPIRIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
COMMANDEER 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2 215¾ (toner j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 0.65  
  (by STREET BOSS out of GOZLAN by TIZNOW)
SCR  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of MOTIVATION by MUHTATHIR)
SCR  SIEGE OF BOSTON               (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 121 3.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of PEINTURE RARE by SADLER'S WELLS)
SCR  ST ANTHONY               (drysdale nei)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of AMNESIA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
SCR  WICKED FINN               (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LIMERICK by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
SCR  KING CAUSE               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of STREET MATE by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  MASTER PIECE (CHI)               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
  (by MASTERCRAFTSMAN out of TORRE LAGUNA by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
BAQ-7   10/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERLIANO 4 1 1nk 1½   11 1 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 3.40  
  (by MITOLE out of IWASREADYYESTERDAY by MORE THAN READY)
10  QUIET WISDOM 8 2 2nk 2½   21 2 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 0.80 69% 0.50 0.35 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHISPER WISDOM by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
PROPHETIC 3 4 35 34   34 3 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 6% 15.70 11.30 S
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WHISPERING ANGEL by NOW LISTEN)
BALI AMOUR 7 3 46 44   4 4 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00 47.25  
  (by BAL A BALI out of NEBRASKA by STREET CRY)
PODERE 6 8 817¼ 822¾   620 518 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 13.40  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of PRINCESS JENNY by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
THIS TIME YES 2 6 7 612¼   720 619 (jimenez jos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CITRUS BLOOM by LEMON DROP KID)
BLUE MARBLE 5 5 69 512   519½ 719 (mcburney)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 40.50  
  (by ACCELERATE out of AVENDESORA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
JEFFERSONS OCEAN 1 7 58 712¾   825 828½ (friedm)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 69.75  
  (by WEST COAST out of CARAMEAWAY by LAWYER RON)
SCR  BUMPER               (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of PROCELLOUS by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  STATE OF READINESS               (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of PRETTY COZZY by BROKEN VOW)
 
BAQ-8   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:10 1:224   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA'S GOLD 3 1 1½ 11 12 12 1 (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00 2.00  
AMEDEUS MUSIC 6 6 3½ 21 22 22 2 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 3.90  
BOYS CODE 4 5 77 710 59 4 3 (dixon li)DAVIS A 118 10.00 9.40  
BOURBON CHASE 1 4 52 43 3 37 4 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 41% 1.50 2.15  
UNCLE MARTY 2 3 64 610 713 515½ 522 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 4.20  
HERE'S WALDO 5 2 2½ 5 613 723½ 627¼ (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 54.00  
VETERANS BEACH 7 7 41 3 4 622½ 739 (ward dan)RIVERA R 117 12.00 34% 2.00 24.25  
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS               (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUN SPECIAL 3 4 32 2   12 1 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 121 2.50 39% 1.60 1.70 W
13  PARTY IS OVER 6 5 4 32   22 2 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 1.80  
LADY ASTORIA 2 6 6 58   45 3 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 14.90  
NEGRA GATA 1 2 11 1   32 4 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 24% 3.20 3.45  
11  BOSTON STRONG MAMA 5 3 5 612   611½ 512¾ (weaver george)RUIZ ELISEO 116 6.00 9% 10.10 10.20  
10  BOURBON AND HONEY 4 1 21 4   511 616¾ (devaux cher)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 10.00  
SCR  WISH LIST               (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00    
SCR  ROYAL MISCONDUCT               (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH               (reynolds p)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
SCR  KEEP IT SEXY               (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE)               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
SCR  WORDS OF PRAISE               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT               (pregman jr)USKE S 124 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.