Handicappers' Race Results
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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 0 $9.70  
BAQ-2   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.90  
BAQ-3   Win (1/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 14 1 0 $8.10  
BAQ-4   Win (11/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00 16 1 0 $6.00  
BAQ-5   Win (1/11/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.40  
BAQ-6   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 8 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 1.40
BAQ-7   Win (10/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.80  
BAQ-8   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.00  
BAQ-9   Win (9/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:111 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLOUD FOREST 5 2 3½ 31 2nk 1nk 1½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 3.85  
4  EGYPT 1 4 1nk 11 1nk 2nk 2½ (de horacio)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 31.75  
9  TREBLE CLEF 4 3 51¾ 52¼ 43 43 31¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 7.40  
8  NEW YORK STRONG 3 1 2nk 21 32 32½ 43 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 62% 0.60 0.25  
6  SCAT TU TAP 2 5 41½ 42 56 56½ 57½ (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 7% 12.90 16.90  
SCR  TRIUMPHANT ROAD               (barker edw)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
SCR  TORIGO               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.50    
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY               (gutierr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
SCR  JAMESTOWN               (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  WILD GUESS               (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
SCR  GROWTH CAPITAL               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JACKIE THE JOKER 6 4 42 41½   12 12¼ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 2.95  
1  MERAVIGLIOSO 1 1 31 31½   22 22¼ (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 8% 11.20 1.70 P
3  QUEEN ARELLA 3 2 2½ 21   42½ 35½ (ferraro anth)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 43% 1.30 4.30 S
2  MISS DOMINA 2 3 1½ 11   32 46¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 26% 2.80 6.00  
5  DIVA BANKER 5 6 66 65¾   55½ 59¼ (begg james)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 9.40  
4  ALPINE QUEEN 4 5 55½ 55½   67 613¼ (schettino do)RIVERA R 118 5.00 5.70  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 118 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  FACTUALLY CORRECT 9 1 3½ 3½   11 14¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 3.05  
1  ICY FLAVOR 1 4 1nk 1nk   21 24¼ (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 49% 1.10 3.60 P
11  THANK YOU JON 7 9 55½ 41½   32½ 37¼ (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 ★ 4.10 S
9  EMPIRE SKY 6 7 87¼ 74   55 47¾ (crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 24% 3.30 3.10  
8  DREAMPOINT 5 5 75¾ 53   65¼ 58½ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 20.00 60.25  
5  COURAGEOOUS OH LA 3 3 2nk 2nk   42½ 69¼ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
13  BLAME IT ON DADDY 8 8 1010¾ 109½   99¼ 79¼ (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 16.90  
2  KREESA 2 6 45 63½   78¼ 811¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 6% 15.20 30.25  
16  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 10 2 65¾ 85   88¾ 912 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 7.30  
7  THE COBBLER 4 10 99¼ 97   1010¼ 1014½ (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 30.00 77.50  
SCR  IMAGE OF QUALITY               (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
SCR  ORTUS               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00    
SCR  SANDRONE               (bond harold )RIVERA R 118 8.00    
SCR  SINFUL DANCER               (figueroa davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:11 1:234   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  MOST OF ALL 5 2 31 2½ 12½ 17 110¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 2.00  
3  MAGIC EIGHT BALL 1 3 1½ 1½ 22½ 27 210¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 3.60  
11  PAST TENSE 3 5 410 48½ 48½ 310½ 311½ (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 32% 2.20 2.35 S
4  TRUE MYTH 2 1 2½ 32½ 37½ 414½ 424 (terranova p)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 2.75  
12  NOT TONIGHT JOE 4 4 511 516½ 518½ 524½ 533¼ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 23% 3.30 10.90  
SCR  JUST JULES               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  KATHERINE THOMAS               (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  KING'S DAUGHTER               (duarte j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
SCR  LUCEVAN LA STELLE               (albertrani t)RIVERA R 114 20.00    
SCR  STYLE POINTS               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
SCR  DAY AWAY               (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
SCR  WAY TO BE MARIE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
SCR  CHANNEL LOOP               (clement christo)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SCR  BELLE GAMBE (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SCR  DANCING DEAN               (mott i)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:221 :46 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUN AND WIND 3 4 1½ 2½   11½ 11¾ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 2.20  
13  POSEIDON'S MIST 11 1 109½ 76½   35 21¾ (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 114 4.50 10.00  
14  MEL'S ANGEL 12 2 2½ 1½   21½ 34¾ (giddings mela)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 36.75  
6  BORNFORGREATNESS 5 8 53 43   57½ 46½ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 24.75  
2  LET'S CONNECT 2 10 98½ 109   69½ 58½ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 ★ 15.50  
7  LONE STAR WILDCAT 6 11 1215½ 1212¾   1012 68½ (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
10  NOTAFRAIDTOCHARGE 8 3 31 32   47½ 79¼ (rodriguez r)LUZZI J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
12  ALOTTA JAYS 10 6 84½ 87½   810½ 810¾ (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 10.00 36.50  
1  ELLA SPEED 1 9 42 54   710 912¼ (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 61% 0.60 2.25  
4  SONG OF SOLOMINI 4 5 63 97½   1214½ 1015½ (englehart )DAVIS A 119 30.00 58.75  
8  REGENERATOR 7 7 73½ 65   911½ 1116¼ (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 25.25  
11  PRINCESS BECCA 9 12 1110½ 119¼   1114 1216½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 8% 12.00 5.10  
SCR  SANTAGATA               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
SCR  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW               (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Knickerbocker Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:11 1:372   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PIONEERING SPIRIT 2 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 14½ 115¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 30% 2.30 0.70 W
3  COMMANDEER 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 24½ 215¾ (toner j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 0.65  
SCR  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00    
SCR  SIEGE OF BOSTON               (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 121 3.00    
SCR  ST ANTHONY               (drysdale neil)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
SCR  WICKED FINN               (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00    
SCR  KING CAUSE               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
SCR  MASTER PIECE (CHI)               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PERLIANO 4 1 1nk 1½   11 13¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 ★ 3.40  
10  QUIET WISDOM 8 2 2nk 2½   21 23¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 0.80 69% 0.50 0.35 P
3  PROPHETIC 3 4 35 34   34 33¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 6% 15.70 11.30 S
8  BALI AMOUR 7 3 46 44   44½ 47¼ (whylie herol)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00 47.25  
6  PODERE 6 8 817¼ 822¾   620 518 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 13.40  
2  THIS TIME YES 2 6 79¼ 612¼   720 619 (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
5  BLUE MARBLE 5 5 69 512   519½ 719 (mcburney p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 40.50  
1  JEFFERSONS OCEAN 1 7 58 712¾   825 828½ (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 69.75  
SCR  BUMPER               (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
SCR  STATE OF READINESS               (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:10 1:224   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAMA'S GOLD 3 1 1½ 11 12 12 11¾ (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00 2.00  
7  AMEDEUS MUSIC 6 6 3½ 21 22 22 21¾ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 3.90  
5  BOYS CODE 4 5 77 710 59 47½ 38½ (dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 10.00 9.40  
1  BOURBON CHASE 1 4 52 43 34½ 37 49¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 41% 1.50 2.15  
3  UNCLE MARTY 2 3 64 610 713 515½ 522 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 4.20  
6  HERE'S WALDO 5 2 2½ 53½ 613 723½ 627¼ (lucas bonn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 54.00  
8  VETERANS BEACH 7 7 41 32½ 48½ 622½ 739 (ward dan)RIVERA R 117 12.00 34% 2.00 24.25  
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS               (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SPUN SPECIAL 3 4 32 21½   12 11½ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 121 2.50 39% 1.60 1.70 W
13  PARTY IS OVER 6 5 42½ 32   22 21½ (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 1.80  
6  LADY ASTORIA 2 6 69½ 58   45 34¼ (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 14.90  
2  NEGRA GATA 1 2 11 11½   32 46½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 24% 3.20 3.45  
11  BOSTON STRONG MAMA 5 3 58½ 612   611½ 512¾ (weaver george)RUIZ ELISEO 116 6.00 9% 10.10 10.20  
10  BOURBON AND HONEY 4 1 21 44½   511 616¾ (devaux cherie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 10.00  
SCR  WISH LIST               (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00    
SCR  ROYAL MISCONDUCT               (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH               (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
SCR  KEEP IT SEXY               (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE)               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
SCR  WORDS OF PRAISE               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT               (pregman jr)USKE S 124 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.