The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 0 $9.70 -4.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.90 -6.00
BAQ-3   Win (1/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 14 1 0 $8.10 -8.00
BAQ-4   Win (11/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00 16 1 0 $6.00 -4.00
BAQ-5   Win (1/11/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.40 -8.00
BAQ-6   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 8 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 1.40
BAQ-7   Win (10/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.80 -6.00
BAQ-8   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.00 -6.00
BAQ-9   Win (9/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:232 :464 1:111 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLOUD FOREST 5 2 3½ 31 2nk 1nk 1½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 3.85  
EGYPT 1 4 1nk 11 1nk 2nk 2½ (de horacio)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 31.75  
TREBLE CLEF 4 3 5 5 43 43 3(mott i)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 7.40  
NEW YORK STRONG 3 1 2nk 21 32 343 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 62% 0.60 0.25  
SCAT TU TAP 2 5 4 42 56 55(abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 7% 12.90 16.90  
SCR  TRIUMPHANT ROAD               (barker edw)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
SCR  TORIGO               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.50    
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY               (gutierr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
SCR  JAMESTOWN               (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  WILD GUESS               (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
SCR  GROWTH CAPITAL               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
:221 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE THE JOKER 6 4 42 4   12 1(quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 2.95  
MERAVIGLIOSO 1 1 31 3   22 2(abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 8% 11.20 1.70 P
QUEEN ARELLA 3 2 2½ 21   43(ferraro anth)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 43% 1.30 4.30 S
MISS DOMINA 2 3 1½ 11   32 4(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 26% 2.80 6.00  
DIVA BANKER 5 6 66 6   55(begg james)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 9.40  
ALPINE QUEEN 4 5 5 5   67 613¼ (schettino do)RIVERA R 118 5.00 5.70  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 118 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
:214 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  FACTUALLY CORRECT 9 1 3½ 3½   11 1(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 3.05  
ICY FLAVOR 1 4 1nk 1nk   21 2(kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 49% 1.10 3.60 P
11  THANK YOU JON 7 9 5 4   33(summers chad)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 4.10 S
EMPIRE SKY 6 7 8 74   55 4(crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 24% 3.30 3.10  
DREAMPOINT 5 5 7 53   65(sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 20.00 60.25  
COURAGEOOUS OH LA 3 3 2nk 2nk   46(dixon k)ALVARADO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
13  BLAME IT ON DADDY 8 8 1010¾ 10   97(albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 16.90  
KREESA 2 6 45 6   7811¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 6% 15.20 30.25  
16  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 10 2 6 85   8912 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 7.30  
THE COBBLER 4 10 9 97   1010¼ 1014½ (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 30.00 77.50  
SCR  IMAGE OF QUALITY               (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
SCR  ORTUS               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00    
SCR  SANDRONE               (bond harold )RIVERA R 118 8.00    
SCR  SINFUL DANCER               (figueroa davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/20/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:12
:231 :461 1:11 1:234   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  MOST OF ALL 5 2 31 2½ 1 17 110¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 2.00  
MAGIC EIGHT BALL 1 3 1½ 1½ 2 27 210¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 3.60  
11  PAST TENSE 3 5 410 4 4 310½ 311½ (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 32% 2.20 2.35 S
TRUE MYTH 2 1 2½ 3 3 414½ 424 (terranova p)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 2.75  
12  NOT TONIGHT JOE 4 4 511 516½ 518½ 524½ 533¼ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 23% 3.30 10.90  
SCR  JUST JULES               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  KATHERINE THOMAS               (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  KING'S DAUGHTER               (duarte j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
SCR  LUCEVAN LA STELLE               (albertrani t)RIVERA R 114 20.00    
SCR  STYLE POINTS               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
SCR  DAY AWAY               (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
SCR  WAY TO BE MARIE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
SCR  CHANNEL LOOP               (clement christo)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SCR  BELLE GAMBE (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SCR  DANCING DEAN               (mott i)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 2:44
:221 :46 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUN AND WIND 3 4 1½ 2½   11(rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 2.20  
13  POSEIDON'S MIST 11 1 10 7   35 2(david a)RUIZ ELISEO 114 4.50 10.00  
14  MEL'S ANGEL 12 2 2½ 1½   23(giddings mela)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 36.75  
BORNFORGREATNESS 5 8 53 43   54(hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 24.75  
LET'S CONNECT 2 10 9 109   65(ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 15.50  
LONE STAR WILDCAT 6 11 1215½ 1212¾   1012 6(contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
10  NOTAFRAIDTOCHARGE 8 3 31 32   47(rodriguez r)LUZZI J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
12  ALOTTA JAYS 10 6 8 8   810½ 810¾ (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 10.00 36.50  
ELLA SPEED 1 9 42 54   710 912¼ (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 61% 0.60 2.25  
SONG OF SOLOMINI 4 5 63 9   1214½ 1015½ (englehart )DAVIS A 119 30.00 58.75  
REGENERATOR 7 7 7 65   911½ 1116¼ (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 25.25  
11  PRINCESS BECCA 9 12 1110½ 11   1114 1216½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 8% 12.00 5.10  
SCR  SANTAGATA               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
SCR  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW               (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/20/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Knickerbocker Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
:24 :47 1:11 1:372   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIONEERING SPIRIT 2 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 1115¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 30% 2.30 0.70 W
COMMANDEER 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2215¾ (toner j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 0.65  
SCR  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00    
SCR  SIEGE OF BOSTON               (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 121 3.00    
SCR  ST ANTHONY               (drysdale neil)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
SCR  WICKED FINN               (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00    
SCR  KING CAUSE               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
SCR  MASTER PIECE (CHI)               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/20/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
:224 :46 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERLIANO 4 1 1nk 1½   11 1(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 3.40  
10  QUIET WISDOM 8 2 2nk 2½   21 2(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 0.80 69% 0.50 0.35 P
PROPHETIC 3 4 35 34   34 3(hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 6% 15.70 11.30 S
BALI AMOUR 7 3 46 44   44(whylie herol)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00 47.25  
PODERE 6 8 817¼ 822¾   620 518 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 13.40  
THIS TIME YES 2 6 7 612¼   720 619 (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
BLUE MARBLE 5 5 69 512   519½ 719 (mcburney p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 40.50  
JEFFERSONS OCEAN 1 7 58 712¾   825 828½ (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 69.75  
SCR  BUMPER               (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
SCR  STATE OF READINESS               (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:232 :46 1:10 1:224   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA'S GOLD 3 1 1½ 11 12 12 1(summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00 2.00  
AMEDEUS MUSIC 6 6 3½ 21 22 22 2(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 3.90  
BOYS CODE 4 5 77 710 59 43(dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 10.00 9.40  
BOURBON CHASE 1 4 52 43 3 37 4(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 41% 1.50 2.15  
UNCLE MARTY 2 3 64 610 713 515½ 522 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 4.20  
HERE'S WALDO 5 2 2½ 5 613 723½ 627¼ (lucas bonn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 54.00  
VETERANS BEACH 7 7 41 3 4 622½ 739 (ward dan)RIVERA R 117 12.00 34% 2.00 24.25  
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS               (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
:222 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUN SPECIAL 3 4 32 2   12 1(gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 121 2.50 39% 1.60 1.70 W
13  PARTY IS OVER 6 5 4 32   22 2(duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 1.80  
LADY ASTORIA 2 6 6 58   45 3(gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 14.90  
NEGRA GATA 1 2 11 1   32 4(rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 24% 3.20 3.45  
11  BOSTON STRONG MAMA 5 3 5 612   611½ 512¾ (weaver george)RUIZ ELISEO 116 6.00 9% 10.10 10.20  
10  BOURBON AND HONEY 4 1 21 4   511 616¾ (devaux cherie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 10.00  
SCR  WISH LIST               (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00    
SCR  ROYAL MISCONDUCT               (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH               (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
SCR  KEEP IT SEXY               (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE)               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
SCR  WORDS OF PRAISE               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT               (pregman jr)USKE S 124 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.