Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (1/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (11/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-5   Win (1/11/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00
BAQ-7   Win (10/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-8   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (9/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
BAQ-1   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JAMESTOWN Aug24 May06 Mar19 Feb04 Jan07 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  WILD GUESS Aug23 Jul28 May20 Dec03 Oct12 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
SCR  GROWTH CAPITAL Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 Apr16 Feb26 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50    
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE) Jul01 May07 Mar12     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.50    
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY Sep17 Aug26 Aug04 Jul15   (gutierr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
4  EGYPT Feb18 Feb11       (de horacio)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  TRIUMPHANT ROAD Sep04 Sep17 Aug19 Aug03   (barker edw)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
6  SCAT TU TAP Apr08 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Nov18 (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  TORIGO Sep09 Jul01 Oct02 Aug13   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
8  NEW YORK STRONG Sep17         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 62% 0.60    
9  TREBLE CLEF Sep17         (mott i)RIDER TBA 120 4.50    
10  CLOUD FOREST Sep14 Jul19 Jun17 Apr02 Aug28 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERAVIGLIOSO Sep02 Aug24 Jul27 Jun16 May20 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 8% 11.20    
2  MISS DOMINA Sep28 Aug19 Aug06 Jul19 May19 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
3  QUEEN ARELLA Oct03 Aug14 Jul12 Jun26 Sep20 (ferraro anth)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  ALPINE QUEEN Oct06 Aug20 May07 Apr06 Mar10 (schettino do)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
5  DIVA BANKER Sep28 Aug20 Aug03 Jul04 May07 (begg james)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
6  JACKIE THE JOKER Aug24 Jul23 May26 May12 Apr12 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Sep28 Aug20 Jul27 Jul04 May11 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 118 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICY FLAVOR Sep01 Nov20 Oct15 Aug19   (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 49% 1.10    
2  KREESA Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 May29 May05 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR Oct05 Aug31 Jul29 Jul20 Jun23 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
SCR  SANDRONE Jul20 May13 Apr15 Nov26 Oct30 (bond harold )RIVERA R 118 8.00    
5  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Aug26 Jul28 Apr25 Nov08 Oct30 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ORTUS Jul04 Jun09 May06 Mar17   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00    
7  THE COBBLER Aug17 Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 Jan15 (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 30.00    
8  DREAMPOINT Aug26 Jun01 May06 Jan12 Dec15 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
9  EMPIRE SKY Aug26 Jul14 Jun18 Mar17 Jan12 (crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 24% 3.30    
SCR  IMAGE OF QUALITY Aug17 Jul22       (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
11  THANK YOU JON Sep04 Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 Sep29 (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  SINFUL DANCER Apr15 Dec04 Nov13 Oct14 Oct07 (figueroa davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
13  BLAME IT ON DADDY Aug03 Jul02 Jun09 Oct30 Sep29 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
14  FACTUALLY CORRECT Aug27 Aug18 Jul04 Jun25 May29 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE Aug03 Jun09 May14 Apr13 Feb12 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
16  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES Aug03 Jul07 May19 Apr27 Mar31 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST JULES         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  STYLE POINTS         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
3  MAGIC EIGHT BALL Aug13 Jun02       (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
4  TRUE MYTH Oct05         (terranova p)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
SCR  LUCEVAN LA STELLE         (albertrani t)RIVERA R 114 20.00    
SCR  BELLE GAMBE (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SCR  DANCING DEAN Sep03         (mott i)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
SCR  CHANNEL LOOP         (clement christo)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SCR  DAY AWAY Oct01 Aug31 Aug13     (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
SCR  DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
11  PAST TENSE         (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 32% 2.20    
12  NOT TONIGHT JOE         (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  KATHERINE THOMAS Jul23         (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  KING'S DAUGHTER Sep16         (duarte j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
SCR  WAY TO BE MARIE Sep16         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
16  MOST OF ALL Sep03 Aug20       (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLA SPEED Aug15         (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 61% 0.60    
2  LET'S CONNECT         (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 ★    
3  SUN AND WIND Sep15 Aug24 Jul19 Jun23   (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
4  SONG OF SOLOMINI Oct01         (englehart )DAVIS A 119 30.00    
SCR  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW Oct12 Jul26       (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
6  BORNFORGREATNESS Sep15 Aug13       (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
7  LONE STAR WILDCAT         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  REGENERATOR Sep01 Jul27       (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
SCR  SANTAGATA         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
10  NOTAFRAIDTOCHARGE Sep03         (rodriguez r)LUZZI J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  PRINCESS BECCA         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 8% 12.00    
12  ALOTTA JAYS Aug02         (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 10.00    
13  POSEIDON'S MIST Oct01 Sep01 Jul27     (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 114 4.50    
14  MEL'S ANGEL Oct10 Jul26       (giddings mela)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Knickerbocker Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WICKED FINN Sep04 Aug11 Jul14 May24 Apr22 (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00    
SCR  KING CAUSE Sep03 Aug06 Jun24 May06 Mar25 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
3  COMMANDEER Sep16 Aug03 Jun17 Apr20 Jul30 (toner j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
SCR  ST ANTHONY Sep04 Jul28 Jul04 May11 Dec03 (drysdale neil)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
SCR  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) Sep09 Aug12 Jun10 May06 Oct08 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00    
SCR  MASTER PIECE (CHI) Aug12 Jul04 Apr01 Mar04 Jan28 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
SCR  SIEGE OF BOSTON Sep03 Aug06 Jun18 May05 Mar25 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 121 3.00    
8  PIONEERING SPIRIT Oct07 Sep04 Aug26 Jul27 Jun24 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-7   10/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFFERSONS OCEAN Oct05         (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
2  THIS TIME YES         (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  PROPHETIC         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 6% 15.70    
4  PERLIANO Sep21 Aug11 Jul07     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 ★    
5  BLUE MARBLE Oct05         (mcburney p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
6  PODERE         (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  BUMPER         (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
8  BALI AMOUR Sep18 Sep05 Aug22 Jul27 Jul07 (whylie herol)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
SCR  STATE OF READINESS Sep04         (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
10  QUIET WISDOM Sep14 Aug12       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 0.80 69% 0.50    
 
BAQ-8   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON CHASE Sep17 Aug18 Jul21 May11 Apr01 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS Sep24 Aug27 Jul28 May29 Dec17 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
3  UNCLE MARTY Sep24 Aug30 May05 Apr07 Nov13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
4  MAMA'S GOLD Oct07 Sep14 Aug17 May28 Apr27 (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00    
5  BOYS CODE Sep24 Aug31 Aug16 Jul22 Jul10 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 10.00    
6  HERE'S WALDO Sep24 Sep14 Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  AMEDEUS MUSIC Sep24 Aug01 Jul08 May29 May13 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
8  VETERANS BEACH Aug26 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (ward dan)RIVERA R 117 12.00 34% 2.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KEEP IT SEXY Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 Jun03 May13 (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
2  NEGRA GATA Oct06 Aug23 Aug06 Jul06 Jun03 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  WISH LIST Sep16         (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00    
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE) Aug23 Nov04 Sep14     (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
SCR  ROYAL MISCONDUCT         (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
6  LADY ASTORIA         (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00    
SCR  WORDS OF PRAISE Sep13 Aug28 Aug01 Jun23 May20 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT Sep03 Jul01 May14 Aug20 Jul23 (pregman jr)USKE S 124 50.00    
9  SPUN SPECIAL Aug18 Jul08 Jun10 May13 Nov04 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
10  BOURBON AND HONEY Aug25 Jul19       (devaux cherie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00    
11  BOSTON STRONG MAMA Aug27 Jul08       (weaver george)RUIZ ELISEO 116 6.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Jul23 Jun24 May13 Oct09 Sep03 (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
13  PARTY IS OVER Sep30 Sep03 Aug18 Jul08 May27 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.