Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-2   WIN (3/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $25.40 $17.40 218%
    EXA (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-3 $62.00 $38.00 158%
PID-4   WIN (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $12.20 $6.20 103%
    EXA (8/4/6)-(8/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-6 $104.60 $92.60 772%
PID-5   WIN (10/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $10.60 $2.60 33%
    EXA (10/2/7/8)-(10/2/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-7 $87.20 $63.20 263%
    DD (8/4/6)-(10/2/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-8 $139.60 $115.60 482%
PID-7   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $55.20 $49.20 820%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SO CLOSE SO FAR 7 2 32 2½   22 11½ (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 4.70  
9  BLOODHOUND 6 1 2nk 1½   12 21½ (potts ro)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 31% 2.20 0.70 P
1  EMPTY MY POUCH 1 3 43 31½   33 33¼ (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 120 6.00 13.50  
3  TALE OF THE DRAGON 2 6 64¼ 52½   43½ 46½ (ruberto loui)AYALA J 120 8.00 22.40  
5  SWEET TRAVELS 4 4 54 62¾   64½ 57 (trombetta michael )SPIETH S 120 10.00 18% 4.50 13.50  
4  POLIE 3 5 1nk 41½   54 612¼ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 24.00  
6  LOVE IS FOREVER 5 7 75¾ 74¼   76 713¾ (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00 22% 3.50 3.00  
SCR  DOUBLE DRIBBLE               (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
SCR  FIGHT IN THE DOG               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 117 10.00    
SCR  FREEDOM LIVES               (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 110 20.00    
 
PID-2   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:22 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LITTLE MISS MOFFAT 5 8 55¼ 53¼   1nk 12¾ (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 124 5.00 8% 10.90 11.70 W
3  JAZZ TIME GIRL 3 4 31½ 3½   2nk 22¾ (morrell r)SPIETH S 124 3.00 44% 1.30 1.20 P
1  AFTER NOON KISSES 1 7 87¼ 74¾   43 34½ (spanabel r)WALES GARY 121 6.00 16.20  
7  IRISH EMPRESS 7 3 41¾ 4¾   53½ 45½ (lucas bo)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 8.00  
2  LT. LYDIA 2 2 2nk 1nk   32 56 (ruberto louis)DELGADO DAVID 121 6.00 12.80  
6  TRAJEC HOLIDAY 6 6 65¼ 64¼   65½ 67½ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 69.10  
8  GIO'S MY DAD 8 5 76¾ 86¼   76½ 78¼ (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00 5% 19.00 25.40  
4  SHEER ALICE (GB) 4 1 1nk 2nk   87 813 (walsh d)WALKER M 124 2.50 25% 3.10 1.50  
 
PID-3   10/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:121 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LA PANDA 2 2 33½ 32 2½ 1½ 13 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 119 2.00 0.30  
7  IZZY'S MONSTER 5 3 46½ 44½ 52 42½ 23 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 121 4.00 27% 2.80 2.80 P
1  LADY YELLEN 1 1 57 54½ 31½ 32 33 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5.50  
3  CHALCOLITHIC 3 5 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 44¾ (spanabel r)WALES GARY 119 12.00 27.30  
6  SIGN AND SEAL 4 4 2½ 21 42 58 516 (hamm timothy)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 20% 3.90 28.80  
SCR  ANA L               (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00    
SCR  DREAM WARRIOR               (bourke john)STANLEY O 121 2.50    
 
PID-4   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COURT AND SPARK 4 5 54½ 51¼   1nk 11¾ (moreno-b)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 8% 10.80 5.10 W
6  CALL ME LATER 5 1 11 1nk   2nk 21¾ (grace john)AYALA J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.50 P
1  DANEFIELD 1 4 32 3.2   3½ 31¾ (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 2.50 3.30  
2  WROTE IN STONE 2 3 21 2nk   41½ 43¾ (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 2.50  
3  GRAINGER COUNTY 3 6 65 62¾   52½ 54¾ (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00 27.60  
8  ENJOY THE MUSIC 6 2 43½ 4¾   62¾ 68¼ (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 64% 0.60 1.30  
SCR  CHEERS FOR KITTEN               (farrior anthony)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
SCR  LIVE FIRE               (mcclella)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
 
PID-5   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  VICOUNTESS 6 6 42 31½   1nk 15¾ (beattie )GALLARDO A 120 10.00 8% 11.00 4.30 W
  (by LORD NELSON out of ON THE BEACH by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
7  DONATE LIFE 5 2 1½ 11½   2nk 25¾ (schoenthal phi)ALLEN D 120 4.50 10% 8.90 8.10 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUARGENT by WAR FRONT)
6  HALEY'S HAPPY GIRL 4 7 54 62¾   41¾ 35¾ (hiles a)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00 27.80  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of VIXEN'S ROAR by PULPIT)
2  DORTH'S SOL DANCER 1 1 32 21½   31½ 47 (ferraro an)AYALA J 120 4.00 22% 3.50 1.50  
  (by SOLOMINI out of SECRET CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  WITH FEELING (GB) 8 4 65½ 52¾   51¾ 57½ (clement chris)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 35% 1.90 2.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  I'AM TOO 2 5 714 75¾   77¼ 612½ (walsh d)WALKER M 120 20.00 68.40  
  (by ENTICED out of I'AM TOORIFIC by TETON FOREST)
9  BANDIT QUEEN 7 3 2½ 42½   65¼ 715¾ (corrigan jim)DELGADO DAVID 120 10.00 40.70  
  (by FIRING LINE out of FIGRARE by PURGE)
5  MEL'S ANGEL 3 8 819½ 89¼   816¾ 828¼ (giddings)MARTINEZ A 120 3.50 5.10  
  (by LEOFRIC out of ANGEL WAVE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  FROLICKING LADY               (corrigan jim)SPIETH S 120 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CRUELMORE by FORESTRY)
SCR  LADY AHAVA               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of MAHALIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
PID-6   10/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:121 1:244   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAN 1 3 34 32½ 21½ 2½ 11¼ (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 3.00 ★ 4.10  
6  SHY DA RUNNER 6 6 11 11 11½ 1½ 21¼ (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 8.00 2.40  
2  NIGHT RIDE 2 2 49½ 47½ 42 32½ 31¾ (stokes lance)ALLEN D 119 10.00 17.10  
3  GOOSE HUNTER 3 1 514 513 56 44½ 46 (ruberto louis)MORALES PABLO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
4  HE'S A GOOD DANCER 4 7 717½ 714½ 66¼ 55 56¼ (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 8.00 29% 2.50 3.20  
8  HONOR LEO JEAN 7 4 21 21 31½ 65 610½ (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 119 4.00 4.70  
5  STRICTLY CONFIDENT 5 8 820 819 811¼ 89½ 711¾ (corrigan)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00 42% 1.40 10.50  
9  RICHARD HOOTY 8 5 616½ 614½ 78¾ 78½ 814 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 15.00 21.30  
SCR  DAWGMENTALITY               (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 121 3.50    
 
PID-7   10/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:091     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SAINT GOAR 6 1 65¼ 52¼   31½ 1nk (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 8.00 18% 4.60 26.60 W
1  DREAMING OF KONA 1 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2nk (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 2.50 0.60  
7  GAGETOWN 5 2 44 63¾   42 32 (englehar)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 6.70  
6  EMBOLDEN 4 6 54¼ 41¾   1nk 42¾ (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 26% 2.80 7.90  
5  GET EVEN 3 4 31½ 31½   64 59½ (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 8.00 7.50  
2  WARRIOR'S PAYOFF 2 5 1nk 1nk   53½ 611¼ (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 30% 2.40 4.20  
SCR  SOUPER SUCCESS               (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 8.00    
SCR  SPIRITED SOL               (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 6.00    
 
PID-8   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:133 1:38   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORAZIO 1 4 43 32 31 31 1¼ (markgraf david)STANLEY O 124 12.00 16.60  
5  CEDUNA 4 1 21½ 21 1½ 1½ 2¼ (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 4.50 34% 1.90 3.00 P
6  SPETTACOLI (ARG) 5 6 75½ 74 64 42 33½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.60 S
11  SIDE TRACKED 9 7 54 52½ 52 53 43¾ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 18% 4.70 4.10  
7  J P CORNETTA 6 2 32½ 42 42 63 55 (antus lawrenc)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00 47.80  
8  LORD REVELSTOKE 7 3 11½ 11 2½ 2½ 65¼ (corrigan jim)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 19% 4.40 9.50  
12  PATRIOT DRIVE 10 10 109½ 97 86½ 75½ 78¼ (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 9% 10.60 2.60  
2  REGAL SPEAKER 2 9 98½ 109 97½ 85¾ 88¼ (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 6.30  
4  INNUENDO (IRE) 3 5 65 85 76 97¼ 910¼ (antus lawrence)FOX CHRIS 122 20.00 75.50  
10  GOODTIME ARTIE 8 8 85½ 63½ 109½ 1013¾ 1022¼ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 12.00 23.30  
SCR  CUZ               (guciardo joh)AYALA J 122 8.00    
SCR  JEN'S SONG               (depasquale kimbe)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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