Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (9/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/5)-(9/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/5)-(9/6/5)-(9/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/6/5)-(3/4/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/6/5)-(3/4/5/8)-(7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/8)-(7/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/8)-(7/6)-(8/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/6)-(8/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(8/4/6)-(10/2/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/6)-(8/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6)-(8/4/6)-(8/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/6)-(10/2/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6)-(10/2/7/8)-(5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (10/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/7/8)-(10/2/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/2/7/8)-(10/2/7/8)-(10/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/7/8)-(5/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/2/7/8)-(5/4/3)-(2/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/6/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/6/8)-(5/8/11/12/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(5/8/11/12/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/8/11/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/11/12/6)-(5/8/11/12/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/8/11/12/6)-(5/8/11/12/6)-(5/8/11/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPTY MY POUCH Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul18 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
SCR  FREEDOM LIVES Sep06 Aug02 May23     (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 110 20.00    
3  TALE OF THE DRAGON Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul18   (ruberto loui)AYALA J 120 8.00    
4  POLIE Sep27 Aug25 Aug09     (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
5  SWEET TRAVELS         (trombetta michael )SPIETH S 120 10.00 18% 4.50    
6  LOVE IS FOREVER         (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  FIGHT IN THE DOG         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 117 10.00    
SCR  DOUBLE DRIBBLE Sep06 Aug27       (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
9  BLOODHOUND Sep25 Sep08 Aug23     (potts ro)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
10  SO CLOSE SO FAR Sep20 Sep04 Aug07 Jul18   (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00    
 
PID-2   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTER NOON KISSES Oct04 Sep20 Aug15 Jul17 Jul04 (spanabel r)WALES GARY 121 6.00    
2  LT. LYDIA Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Jul18 (ruberto louis)DELGADO DAVID 121 6.00    
3  JAZZ TIME GIRL Sep27 Aug15 Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 (morrell r)SPIETH S 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  SHEER ALICE (GB) Jul31 Jun21 May29 May15 Oct18 (walsh d)WALKER M 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
5  LITTLE MISS MOFFAT         (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 124 5.00 8% 10.90    
6  TRAJEC HOLIDAY Sep22 Aug23 Aug08 Jul07 Jun16 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00    
7  IRISH EMPRESS Sep30 Sep13 Aug08 Jul16 Jun26 (lucas bo)GALLARDO A 121 6.00    
8  GIO'S MY DAD Sep12 Aug09 Jul26 Jul18 Jul04 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-3   10/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY YELLEN Sep26 Sep19 Aug28 Aug10 Aug01 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
2  LA PANDA Oct03 Sep06 Aug28 Aug10 Aug01 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 119 2.00    
3  CHALCOLITHIC Sep21 Sep05 Aug22 Aug10 Jul21 (spanabel r)WALES GARY 119 12.00    
SCR  ANA L Sep21 Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 Jul10 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00    
SCR  DREAM WARRIOR Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 Jul25 Jun19 (bourke john)STANLEY O 121 2.50    
6  SIGN AND SEAL Sep26 Aug28 Jul04 Jun14 Apr26 (hamm timothy)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
7  IZZY'S MONSTER Sep21 Aug02 Jul09 Jun22 May25 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 121 4.00 27% 2.80    
 
PID-4   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANEFIELD Sep12 Aug28 Aug02 Jul05 Jun02 (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 2.50    
2  WROTE IN STONE Aug23 Aug09 Jul17 Jun05 May29 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
3  GRAINGER COUNTY Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 Jul19 Jun26 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
4  COURT AND SPARK Sep20 Aug30 Jul03 Jun05 May15 (moreno-b)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Oct07 Sep20 Sep07 Aug11 Aug03 (farrior anthony)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
6  CALL ME LATER Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 Oct26 Oct10 (grace john)AYALA J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIVE FIRE Oct07 Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 Jul03 (mcclella)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
8  ENJOY THE MUSIC Sep20 Jun26 Jun05 May15 Feb23 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 64% 0.60    
 
PID-5   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY AHAVA Sep14         (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of MAHALIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  DORTH'S SOL DANCER Sep21 Aug28 Aug09     (ferraro an)AYALA J 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SECRET CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  FROLICKING LADY Aug19         (corrigan jim)SPIETH S 120 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CRUELMORE by FORESTRY)
4  I'AM TOO Aug02         (walsh d)WALKER M 120 20.00    
  (by ENTICED out of I'AM TOORIFIC by TETON FOREST)
5  MEL'S ANGEL Jul26         (giddings)MARTINEZ A 120 3.50    
  (by LEOFRIC out of ANGEL WAVE by MALIBU MOON)
6  HALEY'S HAPPY GIRL Sep06 Aug08       (hiles a)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of VIXEN'S ROAR by PULPIT)
7  DONATE LIFE Sep02 Jun11 Apr28     (schoenthal phi)ALLEN D 120 4.50 10% 8.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUARGENT by WAR FRONT)
8  VICOUNTESS         (beattie )GALLARDO A 120 10.00 8% 11.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ON THE BEACH by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
9  BANDIT QUEEN Apr26         (corrigan jim)DELGADO DAVID 120 10.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of FIGRARE by PURGE)
10  WITH FEELING (GB)         (clement chris)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
PID-6   10/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAN Sep18 Aug29 Aug09 Aug02 Jul19 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 3.00 ★    
2  NIGHT RIDE Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 119 10.00    
3  GOOSE HUNTER Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Aug15 Jul24 (ruberto louis)MORALES PABLO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Sep28 Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Aug02 (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 8.00 29% 2.50    
5  STRICTLY CONFIDENT Sep25 Jul04 Jun10 May28 May07 (corrigan)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00 42% 1.40    
6  SHY DA RUNNER Sep25 Sep05 Aug07 Jul24 Jun16 (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
SCR  DAWGMENTALITY Sep25 Sep13 Aug07 Jul24 Jun21 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 121 3.50    
8  HONOR LEO JEAN Aug10 Jul10 Apr26 Apr01 Feb17 (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 119 4.00    
9  RICHARD HOOTY Sep25 Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 Jul04 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
 
PID-7   10/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING OF KONA Sep23 Jul07 Jun05 Mar11 Feb11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 2.50    
2  WARRIOR'S PAYOFF Sep25 Sep06 Aug21 Aug02 Jul11 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  SOUPER SUCCESS Sep18 Aug24 Jul28 Jun15 Jun01 (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 8.00    
SCR  SPIRITED SOL Sep02 Aug18 Aug10 Jul25 Jul03 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 6.00    
5  GET EVEN Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 8.00    
6  EMBOLDEN Aug19 Jul15 Jun07 Nov27 Oct23 (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  GAGETOWN Mar24 Feb10 Feb04 Jan19 Jan07 (englehar)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
8  SAINT GOAR Aug10 Jul19 Jun20 Jun07 May17 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
PID-8   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORAZIO Sep11 Aug29 Aug10 Jul11 Jun27 (markgraf david)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
2  REGAL SPEAKER Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
SCR  CUZ Sep27 Aug30 Aug17 May05 Apr05 (guciardo joh)AYALA J 122 8.00    
4  INNUENDO (IRE) Sep20 Sep12 Aug24 Aug08 Jul19 (antus lawrence)FOX CHRIS 122 20.00    
5  CEDUNA Sep27 Sep12 Aug28 Jul24 Sep05 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 4.50 34% 1.90    
6  SPETTACOLI (ARG) Sep21 Sep11 Aug10 Jul31 Jul18 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  J P CORNETTA Sep09 Aug13 Apr30 Mar18 Dec28 (antus lawrenc)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
8  LORD REVELSTOKE Sep21 Sep05 Aug17 Aug05 Jul06 (corrigan jim)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  JEN'S SONG Sep18 Sep05 Aug17 Jul31 Jul05 (depasquale kimbe)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
10  GOODTIME ARTIE Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
11  SIDE TRACKED Sep27 Aug29 Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
12  PATRIOT DRIVE Sep28 Sep11 Aug23 Aug08 Jul10 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 9% 10.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.