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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

BAQ-2			WIN	(1/3/2)						3	$2.00	$6.00	3		$7.30			$1.30				22%
			EXA	(1/3/2)-(1/3/2)						6	$1.00	$6.00	3-2		$23.60			$17.60				293%
			TRI	(1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2)						6	$0.50	$3.00	3-2-1		$52.87			$49.87				1662%
BAQ-4			WIN	(8/6/1/2/5)						5	$2.00	$10.00	8		$13.40			$3.40				34%
			EXA	(8/6/1/2/5)-(8/6/1/2/5)						20	$1.00	$20.00	8-2		$29.25			$9.25				46%
BAQ-5			WIN	(1/8/5/2)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1		$13.80			$5.80				73%
			DD	(8/6/1/2/5)-(1/8/5/2)						20	$1.00	$20.00	8-1		$27.75			$7.75				39%
BAQ-6			WIN	(10/5/2/8/3)						5	$2.00	$10.00	3		$35.80			$25.80				258%
			EXA	(10/5/2/8/3)-(10/5/2/8/3)						20	$1.00	$20.00	3-5		$70.75			$50.75				254%
			TRI	(10/5/2/8/3)-(10/5/2/8/3)-(10/5/2/8/3)						60	$0.50	$30.00	3-5-2		$123.50			$93.50				312%
			SFT	(10/5/2/8/3)-(10/5/2/8/3)-(10/5/2/8/3)-(10/5/2/8/3)						120	$0.10	$12.00	3-5-2-8		$86.40			$74.40				620%
			DD	(1/8/5/2)-(10/5/2/8/3)						20	$1.00	$20.00	1-3		$104.75			$84.75				424%
			PK3	(8/6/1/2/5)-(1/8/5/2)-(10/5/2/8/3)						100	$1.00	$100	8-1-3		$847.00			$747.00				747%
BAQ-7			TRI	(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)						24	$0.50	$12.00	6-4-3		$13.37			$1.37				11%
			SFT	(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)						24	$0.10	$2.40	6-4-3-1		$5.22			$2.82				118%
			DD	(10/5/2/8/3)-(6/3/4/1)						20	$1.00	$20.00	3-6		$46.75			$26.75				134%
			PK3	(1/8/5/2)-(10/5/2/8/3)-(6/3/4/1)						80	$1.00	$80.00	1-3-6		$274.50			$194.50				243%
BAQ-8			PK3	(10/5/2/8/3)-(6/3/4/1)-(2/1/7/8)						80	$1.00	$80.00	3-6-2		$95.75			$15.75				20%
BAQ-9			PK4	(10/5/2/8/3)-(6/3/4/1)-(2/1/7/8)-(7/2/8/4)						320	$0.50	$160	3-5/6-2/3-2		$475.50			$315.50				197%
			PK5	(1/8/5/2)-(10/5/2/8/3)-(6/3/4/1)-(2/1/7/8)-(7/2/8/4)						1280	$0.50	$640	1-3-5/6-2/3-2		$3244			$2604				407%
			PK6	(8/6/1/2/5)-(1/8/5/2)-(10/5/2/8/3)-(6/3/4/1)-(2/1/7/8)-(7/2/8/4)						6400	$1.00	$6400	8-1-3-5/6-2/3-2		$7553			$1153				18%
			PK6	(8/6/1/2/5)-(1/8/5/2)-(10/5/2/8/3)-(6/3/4/1)-(2/1/7/8)-(7/2/8/4)						6400	$1.00	$6400	8-1-3-5/6-2/3-2		$80238			$73838				1154%

Simulator Race results


BAQ-1			10/27/2023		5940ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($90K)			2		ALL		PT-12:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	DOMESTIC PRODUCT									(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119						2.50		★				2.65
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOODS AND SERVICES by PAYNTER)
1A	STURDY									(weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119						0.60		75%		0.30		0.40
		(by MITOLE out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1	ELIMINATE									(pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119						0.60		★				0.40	S
		(by CURLIN out of I'M A LOOKER by HENNY HUGHES)
3	BOUNTEOUS (IRE)									(mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119						8.00		5%		19.00		13.10
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAIL by TAPIT)
4	DANGEROUS DRIVER									(jimenez jose )SILVERA RUBEN 119						30.00						68.00
		(by SUMMER FRONT out of GIGAHERTZ by SOCIETY ROAD)
5	SHAMROCK SHAKE									(morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119						15.00						18.50
		(by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of AMERICAN SUGAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2B	MIDDLE MARKET									(brown c)ORTIZ L 119						2.50		★				2.65
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DIAMOND MAKER by MINESHAFT)
7	GOLDEN PLATE									(mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119						10.00						12.60
		(by TAPIT out of SHE'S DELIGHTFUL by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
SCR	CLASSY MISCHIEF									(contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 116						15.00
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)

BAQ-2			10/27/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($70K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	EVERYONELOVESLINDA									(barker edw)RIVERA R 118						3.50		19%		4.30		2.65	W
2	ROYAL MEGHAN									(jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121						4.50		18%		4.70		5.20	P
1A	DAME CINCO									(dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 121						2.00		27%		2.70		3.65	S
5	I'M BUZZY									(reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 123						8.00						10.70
4	TO A T									(kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121						4.00						6.30
6	HYDRA									(toscano john)CASTELLANO J 123						3.50						2.05
SCR	GOOD PENNY									(camejo jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123						2.00

BAQ-3			10/27/2023		5940ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($80K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	SNOWY EVENING									(donk david)ORTIZ L 118						3.50						5.60
8	OVERACTING									(brown c)ORTIZ JR 120						2.50		37%		1.70		0.85	P
6	BERNT AGAIN									(schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 118						8.00		5%		19.00		9.40	S
2	SMOKIE EYES									(clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120						5.00		22%		3.50		5.80
7	SALS DREAM GIRL									(gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122						10.00		13%		6.40		28.75
9	STELLA MARS									(chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 124						6.00						13.40
5	LADY JASMINE									(donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120						15.00		5%		19.00		45.00
4	MONROE									(pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118						20.00						47.50
10	CRIMSON PRINCESS									(englehart je)CASTELLANO J 118						10.00						9.40
1	RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA									(atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124						15.00						51.00
SCR	BOARDWALK FRIES									(allard edward )ADORNO ABNER 118						30.00

BAQ-4			10/27/2023		3960ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K)					Purse ($102K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	FLUID SITUATION									(terranova john)ORTIZ L 123						6.00		39%		1.50		5.70	W
2	LEGENDS CAN'T DIE									(weaver geor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121						3.00		5%		18.20		3.60	P
11	VACATION DANCE									(kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 120						10.00						8.10
1	RUN CURTIS RUN									(maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121						3.50		15%		5.90		8.70
9	CHEWING GUM									(mott william )ORTIZ JR 121						4.00						2.95
5	COMEDY TOWN									(miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121						15.00		5%		19.00		19.70
4	NOLO CONTESTO									(abreu fe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123						15.00						50.25
6	CHESS MASTER									(abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 125						4.50		15%		5.50		11.10
3	CAZADERO									(jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121						8.00						26.75
10	SOUZAK (FR)									(motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 118						6.00						4.70
SCR	ALTERNATE REALITY									(englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 122						12.00
SCR	CLEM LABINE									(jacobson david)RIDER TBA 121						8.00
SCR	MY HARBORS DREAM									(dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 123						3.50
SCR	OXYMORE									(brown c)ORTIZ JR 118						3.50
SCR	SENBEI									(clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121						3.00
SCR	SOUPER ENERGIZER									(hogan j)CANCEL ERIC 125						30.00

BAQ-5			10/27/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K)					Purse ($102K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	BUSTIN BAY									(rice linda)ORTIZ JR 126						4.00		32%		2.10		1.80	DQ↓7
1	SWEET WILLEMINA									(lake a)ORTIZ L 126						6.00		35%		1.80		5.90	W
7	TONED UP									(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122						4.50						3.80
2	FROSTY O TOOLE									(dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 122						8.00		5%		19.00		14.70	S
4	MISSY GREER									(morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 122						4.50						8.10
3	ALLAMERICANBEAUTY									(mcgaughey cla)FRANCO MANUEL 122						5.00						6.90
6	PRETTI XTREME									(falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 122						5.00						7.40
5	FIRST TO ACT									(mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122						8.00		8%		11.80		13.60

BAQ-6			10/27/2023		5610ft	TURF	RC11	FIRM	Chelsey Flower					Purse ($135K)			2		F		PT- 3:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LIVING MAGIC									(schoenthal ph)SILVERA RUBEN 122						10.00		6%		16.80		16.90	W
		(by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5	OZARA (IRE)									(clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120						4.00		18%		4.40		2.35	P
		(by LOPE DE VEGA out of CERCLE D'OR by ACCLAMATION (GB))
2	GOLD LIGHTNING									(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120						3.00		13%		7.00		3.60	S
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of ACTING CLASS by NOACTOR)
8	LATTE LIZZIE									(brown c)ORTIZ JR 118						3.50		11%		8.50		3.75
		(by CATALINA CRUISER out of EGYPTIAN MAGIC by ESKENDEREYA)
4	AWESOME CZECH									(de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120						15.00						20.80
		(by MENDELSSOHN out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
9	FLOWERS FOR ME									(ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120						10.00						22.00
		(by WEST COAST out of I DO DECLARE by DECLARATION OF WAR)
7	CYNANE									(morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120						8.00						12.30
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of BURNING ARCH by ARCH)
1	RED BURGUNDY									(de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120						20.00						31.25
		(by NOBLE MISSION out of PARC MONCEAU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6	TRICKY TEMPER									(englehart jerem)DAVIS KATIE 120						15.00						25.50
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of WINTER BOOK by RIVA RIDGE)
10	GAVEA (GER)									(stall m)ORTIZ L 122						6.00		31%		2.20		4.40
		(by GLENEAGLES out of GOIANIA by OASIS DREAM)
SCR	BEING BETTY									(serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120						20.00
		(by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of LADY JOAN by COURAGEOUS CAT)
SCR	DAY AWAY									(contessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118						30.00
		(by YOSHIDA out of DAY IS DONE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR	TAKEMETOTHEBEACH									(kintz mat)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120						30.00
		(by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of STREET DOLL by STREET CRY (IRE))

BAQ-7			10/27/2023		5940ft	TURF	RC11	FIRM	Athenia					Purse ($150K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE)									(brown c)ORTIZ L 124						1.60		30%		2.30		1.70	W
		(by UNKNOWN out of SEALIFE by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
4	BEAUTE CACHEE (FR)									(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124						4.00		21%		3.80		5.60	P
		(by UNKNOWN out of SIGN AND SEAL by BROKEN VOW)
3	FLUFFY SOCKS									(brown c)ORTIZ JR 126						3.00		22%		3.50		2.65	S
		(by UNKNOWN out of BREAKFAST TIME by KITTEN'S JOY)
1	SPARKLE BLUE									(motion gra)CASTELLANO J 124						6.00		7%		14.00		2.70
		(by HARD SPUN out of SILK N' SAPPHIRE by SMART STRIKE)
8	FAVOR									(pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 122						20.00						25.25
		(by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FAME AND FORTUNE by WESTERN FAME)
9	UNCORKED (AUS)									(russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 124						20.00						33.50
		(by PIERRO out of PIAF by PROUD BIRDIE)
7	EVIDENCIAS (BRZ)									(clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 122						15.00						16.70
		(by DROSSELMEYER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2	EIGHT DANZAS									(bedard alan)DAVIS KATIE 122						50.00						89.00
		(by DANZA out of EIGHT DANCERS by CAPITANO)
SCR	MISS DRACARYS									(drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 126						8.00
		(by MALIBU MOON out of ASK ME WHEN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)

BAQ-8			10/27/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC12	FAST	Bold Ruler					Purse ($200K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	DURANTE									(jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 121						2.50		32%		2.10		1.20	W
		(by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SEAHAWK GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9	HIGH OAK									(mott william )ORTIZ JR 121						3.00						2.30
		(by GORMLEY out of CHAMPAGNE SUE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6	TWISTED RIDE									(moore michael )ORTIZ L 123						8.00						6.80
		(by GREAT NOTION out of DIVA'S GOLD by TENPINS)
1	STAGE LEFT									(jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123						6.00		15%		5.70		13.30
		(by CONGRATS out of DIVA DELITE by REPENT)
5	COWAN									(ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121						6.00						11.40
		(by KANTHAROS out of TEMPERS FLAIR by SMART STRIKE)
7	FIVE DREAMS									(rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 121						15.00		14%		6.10		51.00
		(by CINCO CHARLIE out of TRANQUILITY DREAM by PROUD CITIZEN)
8	JEFF FA FA									(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121						20.00		13%		6.60		14.20
		(by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
4	PROVOCATEUR									(mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121						8.00						12.10
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of CAYALA by CHEROKEE RUN)
SCR	PIRATE RICK									(ginter raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121						8.00
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of DADDY LOVES GOLD by SCAT DADDY)

BAQ-9			10/27/2023		5610ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($75K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	FAKE CELEBRITY									(brown c)ORTIZ JR 120						4.50		25%		3.00		2.70	W
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RIVIERA CHIC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6	BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD									(clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120						8.00						5.10
		(by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of COMET OF LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
8	SLAPINTHEFACE									(dutrow anthon)FRANCO MANUEL 120						2.50		13%		6.80		2.35	S
		(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LOST INNOCENCE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
5	DOMINATION									(pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120						6.00		★				10.20
		(by LAOBAN out of MAY WHO by LION HEART)
3	DOLLY'S BANK									(coffey maria)CASTILLO ISAAC 120						20.00						44.75
		(by CENTRAL BANKER out of LEMON DROP DOLLY by LEMON DROP KID)
4	EGYPTIAN QUEST									(crook-demasi )SILVERA RUBEN 120						10.00		5%		19.00		13.30
		(by NYQUIST out of EGYPTIAN MAGIC by ESKENDEREYA)
1	MUGSY FURY									(davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124						30.00						53.75
		(by BIG BROWN out of MEGHAN'S FURY by KALU)
7	CLEVER FOREVER									(pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120						3.50		39%		1.60		4.20
		(by LAOBAN out of WAY SMARTER by SMART STRIKE)
10	TONY O									(donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120						10.00						19.90
		(by LAOBAN out of TOGA TIGER by HOLD THAT TIGER)
9	KID KREESA									(dixon linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120						15.00						34.00
		(by BIG BROWN out of LADY KREESA by STONESIDER)
SCR	ATLANTA'S ACUNA									(levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120						12.00
		(by CROSS TRAFFIC out of LITTLE POLKA DOT by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR	BEARY FUNNY									(donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120						3.00
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BEARS MEASURE by TIZNOW)
SCR	CHARMING JIM									(hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120						15.00
		(by UNIFIED out of VALENTINES ROMANCE by ARCH)
SCR	HARI									(mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120						20.00
		(by WAR DANCER out of DANCING BAY by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
SCR	PRINCE OF TROY									(cash russe)RIVERA R 119						10.00
		(by MUNNINGS out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
SCR	REFUAH									(walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124						6.00
		(by DAREDEVIL out of SMITTEN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.