Handicappers' Race Results
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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $7.30  
BAQ-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.30 $7.30 1.30
BAQ-3   Win (8/2/7/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $13.20  
BAQ-4   Win (8/6/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 3.40
BAQ-5   Win (1/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
BAQ-6   Win (10/5/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $35.80 $35.80 25.80
BAQ-7   Win (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
BAQ-8   Win (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
BAQ-9   Win (7/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/27/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:142 1:381   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DOMESTIC PRODUCT 4 1 21 21 1½ 15½ 14½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 ★ 2.65  
1A  STURDY 8 7 75 65 41½ 36 24½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 0.60 75% 0.30 0.40  
1  ELIMINATE 1 4 32 32 3½ 25½ 36 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 0.60 ★ 0.40 S
3  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) 2 3 11 11 2½ 412 413¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
4  DANGEROUS DRIVER 3 5 52½ 53½ 75½ 516½ 519¼ (jimenez l)SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00 68.00  
5  SHAMROCK SHAKE 5 2 42½ 42½ 52½ 617 619¼ (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 18.50  
2B  MIDDLE MARKET 7 6 64 76½ 88½ 721 720 (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 ★ 2.65  
7  GOLDEN PLATE 6 8 86½ 87 65 821½ 828½ (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 12.60  
SCR  CLASSY MISCHIEF               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 116 15.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:231 :462 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EVERYONELOVESLINDA 2 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 1hd (barker edwar)RIVERA R 118 3.50 19% 4.30 2.65 W
2  ROYAL MEGHAN 1 3 31 41¾   31½ 2hd (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 18% 4.70 5.20 P
1A  DAME CINCO 3 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 31½ (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 27% 2.70 3.65 S
5  I'M BUZZY 5 6 61¾ 53¾   53½ 42¾ (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 10.70  
4  TO A T 4 5 51½ 64¼   43½ 53¼ (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 6.30  
6  HYDRA 6 4 41 31½   64 67½ (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 2.05  
SCR  GOOD PENNY               (camejo m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:241 :502 1:151 1:392   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SNOWY EVENING 3 3 52½ 62¾ 52 4¾ 11¾ (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 5.60  
8  OVERACTING 8 6 41½ 41½ 3½ 2nk 21¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 37% 1.70 0.85 P
6  BERNT AGAIN 6 7 84¼ 73¼ 73¼ 62¼ 32¼ (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 S
2  SMOKIE EYES 2 2 31½ 31½ 41½ 3½ 43 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 22% 3.50 5.80  
7  SALS DREAM GIRL 7 9 105¼ 105¾ 105¼ 93¾ 54 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 13% 6.40 28.75  
9  STELLA MARS 9 10 95¼ 84¾ 84¼ 82¾ 64 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00 13.40  
5  LADY JASMINE 5 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 74¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 45.00  
4  MONROE 4 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 51¼ 87 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 47.50  
10  CRIMSON PRINCESS 10 8 62¾ 52½ 62¼ 72¾ 97¾ (englehart jere)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 9.40  
1  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA 1 5 73¾ 94¾ 94¼ 104¾ 108¼ (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 51.00  
SCR  BOARDWALK FRIES               (allard t)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/27/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:222 :451 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FLUID SITUATION 6 1 1nk 12   1½ 1hd (terranova p)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 39% 1.50 5.70 W
2  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 5 3 2nk 22   2½ 2hd (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 5% 18.20 3.60 P
11  VACATION DANCE 9 2 54 56   33½ 31¾ (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 8.10  
1  RUN CURTIS RUN 4 6 65 68   44½ 42¼ (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 15% 5.90 8.70  
9  CHEWING GUM 7 8 107½ 811½   77 55¼ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 2.95  
5  COMEDY TOWN 2 7 43 44½   55 66¼ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
4  NOLO CONTESTO 1 10 86½ 1013½   98½ 76¼ (abreu fern)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 50.25  
6  CHESS MASTER 3 5 32½ 34   66 86½ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 15% 5.50 11.10  
3  CAZADERO 10 9 97 912½   109 97 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 26.75  
10  SOUZAK (FR) 8 4 76 711   88 107½ (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 4.70  
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY               (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
SCR  CLEM LABINE               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM               (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
SCR  OXYMORE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
SCR  SENBEI               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00    
SCR  SOUPER ENERGIZER               (hogan j)CANCEL ERIC 125 30.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BUSTIN BAY 8 1 21 21½ 1½ 14 12½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 32% 2.10 1.80 DQ↓7
1  SWEET WILLEMINA 1 6 31½ 32 33 24 22½ (lake a)ORTIZ L 126 6.00 35% 1.80 5.90 W
7  TONED UP 7 5 87½ 78 46½ 45½ 34¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 3.80  
2  FROSTY O TOOLE 2 7 63½ 54 68½ 58½ 45¾ (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70 S
4  MISSY GREER 4 3 11 11½ 2½ 35 58 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 8.10  
3  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY 3 4 52½ 43 57½ 69½ 610 (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 6.90  
6  PRETTI XTREME 6 2 41½ 64 79½ 714½ 716¾ (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 7.40  
5  FIRST TO ACT 5 8 76½ 88½ 839½ 8100 8100 (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 8% 11.80 13.60  
 
BAQ-6   10/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Chelsey Flower Purse ($135K) 2 F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:14 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIVING MAGIC 3 2 2½ 21 31½ 21 11¼ (schoenthal phil)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 6% 16.80 16.90 W
5  OZARA (IRE) 5 4 31½ 31½ 21½ 11 21¼ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 18% 4.40 2.35 P
2  GOLD LIGHTNING 2 3 63¼ 53 53¼ 42½ 32¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 13% 7.00 3.60 S
8  LATTE LIZZIE 8 10 106¾ 96 87¾ 74 43 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 11% 8.50 3.75  
4  AWESOME CZECH 4 7 94¾ 74½ 76¾ 53½ 54¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 20.80  
9  FLOWERS FOR ME 9 5 41½ 42½ 43 64 65¼ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 22.00  
7  CYNANE 7 6 53 63½ 63¾ 84½ 77 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 12.30  
1  RED BURGUNDY 1 1 1½ 11 11½ 31½ 87 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 31.25  
6  TRICKY TEMPER 6 8 84¾ 84½ 98¼ 97½ 98 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 25.50  
10  GAVEA (GER) 10 9 74¼ 1010 1028¼ 1032½ 1076¾ (stall m)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 31% 2.20 4.40  
SCR  BEING BETTY               (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
SCR  DAY AWAY               (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH               (kintz matth)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Athenia Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:141 1:374   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) 5 4 11½ 11 1½ 1½ 11¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 30% 2.30 1.70 W
4  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR) 4 2 31½ 32 31½ 2½ 21¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 21% 3.80 5.60 P
3  FLUFFY SOCKS 3 7 74½ 75½ 75 43 31¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 3.00 22% 3.50 2.65 S
1  SPARKLE BLUE 1 1 53 54 53½ 53½ 42 (motion graha)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 7% 14.00 2.70  
8  FAVOR 7 5 42½ 43 42½ 33 52¾ (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 25.25  
9  UNCORKED (AUS) 8 6 21½ 21 2½ 64½ 67½ (russell brittany)RENDON JAIRO 124 20.00 33.50  
7  EVIDENCIAS (BRZ) 6 8 86 87 86½ 78½ 79 (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 16.70  
2  EIGHT DANZAS 2 3 64 65 64 813½ 816 (bedard alan)DAVIS KATIE 122 50.00 89.00  
SCR  MISS DRACARYS               (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Bold Ruler Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DURANTE 2 2 1½ 11½   14 12¾ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 32% 2.10 1.20 W
9  HIGH OAK 8 1 87 65   44½ 22¾ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 2.30  
6  TWISTED RIDE 5 5 43 54½   55½ 32¾ (moore m)ORTIZ L 123 8.00 6.80  
1  STAGE LEFT 1 6 53 43   24 43¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00 15% 5.70 13.30  
5  COWAN 4 4 31 21½   34 56¼ (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 11.40  
7  FIVE DREAMS 6 7 65½ 75½   69 68 (rodriguez migu)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00 14% 6.10 51.00  
8  JEFF FA FA 7 8 76 86½   710 711¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00 13% 6.60 14.20  
4  PROVOCATEUR 3 3 2½ 32   815 828¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 12.10  
SCR  PIRATE RICK               (ginter raymon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:233 :492 1:142 1:383   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FAKE CELEBRITY 2 2 22 22½ 2½ 12½ 1¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 25% 3.00 2.70 W
6  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD 6 7 75½ 77½ 84¼ 53¾ 2¾ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5.10  
8  SLAPINTHEFACE 8 5 54½ 66 52½ 22½ 31¼ (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 13% 6.80 2.35 S
5  DOMINATION 5 10 1010 99¾ 95¾ 64¼ 43 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 ★ 10.20  
3  DOLLY'S BANK 3 3 33 34½ 31½ 42¾ 53 (coffey mariali)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00 44.75  
4  EGYPTIAN QUEST 4 4 43½ 45½ 42½ 74¼ 65 (crook-demasi ka)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
1  MUGSY FURY 1 1 12 12½ 1½ 32½ 75½ (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00 53.75  
7  CLEVER FOREVER 7 6 87 87¾ 74 85¼ 86½ (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 39% 1.60 4.20  
10  TONY O 10 8 65 55½ 63 97¼ 98¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 19.90  
9  KID KREESA 9 9 910 1017¾ 1025¾ 1037¼ 1058½ (dixon k)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 34.00  
SCR  ATLANTA'S ACUNA               (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  BEARY FUNNY               (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  CHARMING JIM               (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  HARI               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF TROY               (cash russell)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SCR  REFUAH               (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.