Handicappers' Racing Form
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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (8/2/7/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-4   Win (8/6/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-5   Win (1/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (10/5/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (7/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
BAQ-1   10/27/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELIMINATE Aug12         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 0.60 ★    
1A  STURDY Sep01         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 0.60 75% 0.30    
2  DOMESTIC PRODUCT Aug05         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 ★    
2B  MIDDLE MARKET Aug19         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 ★    
3  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Sep16         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DANGEROUS DRIVER Sep22 Sep02 Aug19 Jul09 Jun22 (jimenez l)SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00    
5  SHAMROCK SHAKE Sep02 Jul29       (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  CLASSY MISCHIEF Sep28 Aug20 Jul30 Jul13   (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 116 15.00    
7  GOLDEN PLATE Oct13 Sep01       (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DAME CINCO Apr06 Mar25 Mar10 Feb24 Jan28 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  GOOD PENNY Oct15 Jul20 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 (camejo m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.00    
2  ROYAL MEGHAN May07 Mar10 Jan27 Dec31 Oct28 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 18% 4.70    
3  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Oct13 Aug29 Jul28 May28 Dec02 (barker edwar)RIVERA R 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
4  TO A T Aug24 Jul22 Jun23 Apr30 Apr22 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00    
5  I'M BUZZY Jul28 Jul04 Jun18 May07 Apr16 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
6  HYDRA Aug25 Jul28 Jun24 May12 Apr07 (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA Oct07 Aug31 Jul04 Jun21 Mar30 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
2  SMOKIE EYES Sep04 Aug16 May29 May04 Nov27 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  SNOWY EVENING Sep04 Aug16 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
4  MONROE Sep24 May14 Mar17 Feb11   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
5  LADY JASMINE Oct12 Aug12 Jul27 Jul15 Jun25 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BERNT AGAIN Aug16 Jul19 Jul02 May28 May06 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SALS DREAM GIRL Sep04 Jul15 Jun25 May29 Mar26 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 13% 6.40    
8  OVERACTING Sep04 Jul29       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
9  STELLA MARS Oct13 Sep14 Aug12 Jul09 Jun18 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00    
10  CRIMSON PRINCESS Sep04 Feb01 Jan04 Nov13 Oct05 (englehart jere)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
SCR  BOARDWALK FRIES Oct07 Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 May05 (allard t)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/27/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN CURTIS RUN Nov25 Oct23 Sep10 Jul17 Jun05 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 15% 5.90    
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug17 Jul29 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
SCR  OXYMORE Aug24 Nov04 Sep17 Aug19 Jul01 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
2  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE Sep24 Mar04 Jan14 Dec22 Oct23 (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  SENBEI Aug24 Jul07 May29 Nov12 Sep30 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00    
3  CAZADERO Oct01 Sep21 Aug23 Jul04 Jun16 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
SCR  CLEM LABINE Sep09 Aug11 May13 Apr08 Mar11 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
4  NOLO CONTESTO Oct06 Sep22 Aug24 Jul22 Jun21 (abreu fern)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
5  COMEDY TOWN Aug17 Jul28 Jun01 Apr13 Sep24 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHESS MASTER Sep02 Aug02 Jul21 Jun24 May27 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  SOUPER ENERGIZER Sep02 Aug13 Jul28 Jul01 Jun11 (hogan j)CANCEL ERIC 125 30.00    
8  FLUID SITUATION Aug24 Jul28 May04 Feb18 Jan20 (terranova p)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 39% 1.50    
9  CHEWING GUM Sep03 Jul26 Nov25 Oct01 Sep10 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00    
10  SOUZAK (FR) Feb04 Jan07       (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
11  VACATION DANCE Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 May20 (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY Oct08 Sep21 Aug25 Jul01 May27 (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET WILLEMINA Sep20 Sep04 Aug29 Jul18 Jul01 (lake a)ORTIZ L 126 6.00 35% 1.80    
2  FROSTY O TOOLE Oct04 Aug12 Jun09 Apr08 Mar08 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY Sep03 Aug04 Jun11 Apr14 Mar11 (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00    
4  MISSY GREER Jun15 Dec30 Dec01 Oct02 Aug25 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
5  FIRST TO ACT Sep16 Jul22 Nov04 Oct09 Aug19 (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 8% 11.80    
6  PRETTI XTREME Aug30 Jul20 Apr07 Mar05 Jan28 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
7  TONED UP Oct05 Sep04 Jul30 May18 Apr21 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
8  BUSTIN BAY Sep24 Aug24 Jul13 Jun01 May04 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
BAQ-6   10/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Chelsey Flower Purse ($135K) 2 F PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED BURGUNDY Oct12 Sep04 Aug09     (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
2  GOLD LIGHTNING Oct04 Aug31       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 13% 7.00    
3  LIVING MAGIC Sep25 Aug20 Jul15 Jun11 May01 (schoenthal phil)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 6% 16.80    
4  AWESOME CZECH Sep15 Aug24 Jul14     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
5  OZARA (IRE) Sep16 Aug06       (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 18% 4.40    
6  TRICKY TEMPER Oct08 Aug27 Aug09     (englehart jeremia)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
7  CYNANE Sep10 May11       (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
8  LATTE LIZZIE Sep10 Aug13       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 11% 8.50    
9  FLOWERS FOR ME Sep30 Aug17 Jul19     (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
10  GAVEA (GER) Sep29         (stall m)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Sep25 Aug30 Jul17     (kintz matth)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
SCR  BEING BETTY Sep15 Jul26       (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
SCR  DAY AWAY Oct01 Aug31 Aug13     (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Athenia Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARKLE BLUE Sep09 Jul15 May27 May05 Dec26 (motion graha)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 7% 14.00    
2  EIGHT DANZAS Sep16 Sep02 Aug21 Aug04 Jul15 (bedard alan)DAVIS KATIE 122 50.00    
3  FLUFFY SOCKS Aug24 Jul15 May06 Oct08 Aug27 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR) Sep02 Jul27 May26     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  MISS DRACARYS Sep09 Aug20 Nov20 Oct20 Jun10 (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00    
6  TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) Aug24 Aug02 Jul02 Oct08 Aug27 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
7  EVIDENCIAS (BRZ)         (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
8  FAVOR Sep17 Aug19 Jul19 Dec09 Jul14 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
9  UNCORKED (AUS) Sep09 Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 (russell brittany)RENDON JAIRO 124 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Bold Ruler Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAGE LEFT Sep16 Sep03 Jul19 May29 May13 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
2  DURANTE Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Aug02 Jun23 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  PIRATE RICK Oct07 Sep09 May04 Apr15 Mar18 (ginter raymon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
4  PROVOCATEUR Oct14 Sep15 Aug11 Oct22 Sep24 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00    
5  COWAN Oct14 Oct01 Sep22 May30 May06 (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
6  TWISTED RIDE Oct14 Sep03 Aug21 Jul01 May13 (moore m)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
7  FIVE DREAMS Sep23 Jun26 Jun06 May25 May02 (rodriguez migu)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00 14% 6.10    
8  JEFF FA FA Sep16 Aug07 Jul17 Jul05 Jun21 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00 13% 6.60    
9  HIGH OAK Oct01 Aug26 Jul29 Jun09 May06 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUGSY FURY Sep04 Aug09 Jul07 Jun09   (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
2  FAKE CELEBRITY Sep04         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
3  DOLLY'S BANK Sep04 Aug23       (coffey mariali)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
4  EGYPTIAN QUEST Oct12 Jul14       (crook-demasi ka)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DOMINATION         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 ★    
6  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD May11         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
7  CLEVER FOREVER Aug27 Nov26       (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
8  SLAPINTHEFACE Aug23 Jun01 Nov11     (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 13% 6.80    
9  KID KREESA Sep04 Aug09 Jul14     (dixon k)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
10  TONY O Aug23 Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 May06 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
SCR  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Sep21 Aug30 Jul30 Jun03 May06 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  CHARMING JIM Sep21 Jul14       (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  HARI Oct05 Jun03       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF TROY Oct06 Aug11 Jul14 Jun17 Jun01 (cash russell)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SCR  BEARY FUNNY Aug27         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  REFUAH Aug27 Aug09 Jul04 Jun09 May20 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.