The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTD-1   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $7.60 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $65.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-6-2 3 0 $154.85 -6.00
CTD-2   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $4.20 -4.00
    Exacta (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1-2 2 0 $70.90 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 1-2-3 3 0 $90.15 0.00
    Daily Double (1/4/2)-(3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-1 2 0 $27.80 -12.00
CTD-3   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.10 $3.10 -0.90
    Exacta (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5-2 2 1 $4.50 $4.50 0.50
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 5-2-3 3 0 $3.35 0.00
CTD-4   Win (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.10 $2.10 -3.90
    Exacta (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-4 2 0 $13.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-4-6 3 0 $37.20 -6.00
CTD-5   Win (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
    Exacta (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-7 2 1 $4.80 $4.80 -7.20
    Trifecta (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-7-4 3 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
    Daily Double (7/2/1)-(2/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 7-2 2 1 $3.60 $3.60 -14.40
    Pick Three (5/2)-(7/2/1)-(2/7/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 5-7-2/5 3 1 $2.45 $2.45 -15.55
CTD-6   Win (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.30 $3.30 -2.70
    Exacta (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 7-8 2 1 $36.70 $36.70 18.70
    Trifecta (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 7-8-4 3 0 $65.90 -18.00
CTD-7   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $41.60 -6.00
    Exacta (2/5/3)-(2/5/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-2 2 0 $75.20 -18.00
    Trifecta (2/5/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 6-2-7 3 0 $169.45 -18.00
    Pick Three (2/7/4)-(7/3/8)-(2/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 2/5-7-6 3 0 $38.65 -27.00
CTD-8   Win (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
    Exacta (5/8/4)-(5/8/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 5-6 2 1 $27.40 $27.40 9.40
    Trifecta (5/8/4)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 5-6-2 3 0 $54.10 -18.00
CTD-9   Win (2/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $34.20 -8.00
    Exacta (2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 9-3 2 0 $248.20 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 9-3-8 3 0 $848.75 -24.00
CTD-10   Win (1/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $18.30 $18.30 10.30
    Exacta (1/7/10/6)-(1/7/10/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 6-10 2 1 $160.90 $160.90 128.90
    Trifecta (1/7/10/6)-(1/7/10/5/6)-(1/7/10/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 6-10-8 3 0 $1858.45 -48.00
    Daily Double (2/8/3/5)-(1/7/10/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 9-6 2 0 $674.80 -32.00
    Pick Three (5/8/4)-(2/8/3/5)-(1/7/10/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 5-9-6 3 0 $435.95 -48.00

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-1   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
:221 :45       1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE GWEN 5 6 4 3   51nk (robertson jerr)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 2.80  
BABS DELIGHT 3 3 56 4   22nk (grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 125 3.50 7.85 DQ↓4
THRILL OF THE NITE 1 1 11 2½   33.2 (kingston karline)NELSON DANE 125 1.60 40% 1.50 1.40 DQ↓5
NO BAKK TALK 6 2 21 1½   14¾ (smith k)BRYAN D 125 6.00 8.60  
PRANCE 2 5 67 5   42 5(brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 5.00 14% 6.40 5.15 S
CAPA BELLA 4 4 35 6   663 (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 15% 5.60 7.45  
 
CTD-2   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
:223 :45 :57     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSCZECH 1 2 11 1   13 1(anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 1.10  
SINGING BELL 2 3 21 2   23 2(humbke chery)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.75 P
BEAUTIFUL MESS 3 5 57 5   43(wyness jame)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 59% 0.70 9.30 S
MI REYNA 4 1 3 3   34(anderson gonza)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.20 2.65  
DAMN THE TORPEDOES 5 4 42 4   513½ 518 (anderson wendy)BYNOE DAMARIO 125 2.50 2.75  
 
CTD-3   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alberta Fall Classic Distaff Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
:24 :492 1:141 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE SHOES 5 3 3 21 1½ 12 13 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 1.00 51% 1.00 0.55 W
PLUM BLUE 2 4 43 5 43 33 23 (hedge ri)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 1.20 23% 3.40 1.85 P
JELLI 3 5 54 31 2½ 22 3(nicholson david)BRYAN D 122 5.00 9.20  
SASSY CINDERELLA 1 1 2 4 55 413 416¼ (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 115 20.00 18.20  
GRACEFUL SPIRIT 4 2 1 11 32 523 526½ (pozzo j)GASKIN ZAVIER 116 20.00 29.20  
 
CTD-4   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alberta Premier's Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
:222 :453 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSALLGOODMAN 7 6 4 11   11(anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 124 0.40 59% 0.70 0.05 W
J J'S CAPER 4 3 1½ 21   22(nicholson david)BRYAN D 124 15.00 30.70  
SAWCHUK 6 5 5 5   4311½ (davies deanne)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 10.00 27.05  
SUDDENLY FAMOUS 1 1 31 4   3411½ (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 124 8.00 8% 12.00 14.55  
CAPE'S LEGACY 2 2 6 6   513½ 517¾ (frey )GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 6.00 12% 7.60 38.30  
JAKOBS ROCKET BOY 5 4 2½ 33   616 621¾ (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00 39.45  
HOLY JOE 3 7 7 7   723 733½ (o'hagan c)CHASE RICHARD 124 20.00 33.80  
 
CTD-5   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Sturgeon River Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:55
:223 :462 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MIEZIE 2 1 1 11   12 1(rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 0.60 48% 1.10 0.30 W
JODEYS LIL PAIN 6 5 32 21   22 2(anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 122 4.50 19% 4.20 2.90 P
MORNING RAIN 4 4 2 3   33 34 (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 10% 9.30 14.35 S
SADIE MY LADY 1 3 55 4   48 4(rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 26.60  
BROKEN PROMISES 5 6 6 611½   510½ 5(kingston karlin)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 17.65  
KULSUM 3 2 44 510½   614½ 615¾ (brown r)ZENTENO JR 122 20.00 ######  
DESTIN TO BE GREAT 7 7 78 714½   722½ 729¼ (kingston c)BRYAN D 122 30.00 ######  
SCR  PARZANNI               (anderson wendy)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 20.00    
 
CTD-6   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alberta Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:25
:234 :472 1:114 1:37   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG HUG 7 5 3 3 3½ 15 15 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 124 1.20 42% 1.40 0.65 W
BRYNN'S DREAM 8 2 43 54 4 25 25 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 35.95 P
ECHO CREEK 4 6 66 66 55 53(robertso)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 8.25  
LILLY'S OF LONDON 6 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 35 48 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 124 20.00 17.15  
SKIP'S ROCK 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 46 515¾ (smith craig)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 35% 1.80 3.35  
I SAID QUIET 1 8 810 811½ 713 611½ 616½ (coney)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 20.00 39.15  
SMOKIN JOY 2 3 77 710 818 715½ 722¼ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 124 30.00 38.15  
FASTESTGIRLINTOWN 5 7 5 4 68 816 825 (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 124 8.00 8.90  
 
CTD-7   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:233 :463 1:111 1:361   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKTILLYOUDROP 6 3 21 2nk 11 1½ 1¼ (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 123 20.00 19.80  
DECOY 2 7 4 31 21 2½ 2¼ (kettleson a)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.40 56% 0.80 0.40 P
CREDIBILITY 7 1 5 4 31 33(rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00 10.90  
COUNTRIFIED 1 6 8 7 6 54(kingston ro)ZENTENO JR 123 6.00 19.30  
VIATURE 8 8 6 6 5 46 5(robertson jerr)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00 30.25  
EL NOBLE 3 4 7 8 7 6612¼ (baker tama)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
DRINKING AGAIN 5 2 31 5 8 712½ 718 (frey carson)BRYAN D 123 3.00 22% 3.60 8.95  
RAILWAY 4 5 11 1nk 44 815½ 822¼ (baker)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 8.65  
 
CTD-8   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Red Diamond Express Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
:214 :442 1:083     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEFF FA FA 5 3 12 15   17 1(anderson wendy)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 1.60 59% 0.70 1.80 W
RUMOHR REIGNS 6 8 7 57   32(smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 5.50 P
BARE BACK JACK 2 4 33 35   27 3(anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 117 15.00 4.30  
SOLO RING 8 5 5 68   513½ 4(walper deann)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 126 2.00 17% 5.00 2.30  
BACKSTREET BOBBY 3 7 8 710   614 510¼ (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 121 20.00 16.90  
DANCING WILLIE 1 2 22 25   412½ 610½ (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 119 12.00 20.75  
SMARTY RIVER PANTS 7 6 66 810½   717 713¾ (kettleson a)ZENTENO JR 118 20.00 34.60  
AMUSING WAY 4 1 43 46   825 826½ (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
 
CTD-9   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alberta Breeders' Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
:234 :463 1:11 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART PLAY 9 2 3.2 2nk 1½ 14 1(robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 120 10.00 16.10  
FLASHFORDANI 3 6 6 6 65 42(kingston ka)ZENTENO JR 123 6.00 10% 8.60 7.30 P
ZICATELA 8 3 5 4 32 24 3(baker)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 3.50 17% 5.00 4.40 S
ESCROW STYLE 7 7 7 7 5 64(smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 117 12.00 24.30  
THESHACK 2 8 4 3 43 55(nicholson david)BRYAN D 125 1.60 46% 1.20 1.10  
SILVERFOOT 4 9 8 8 78 76(nicholson david)NELSON DANE 118 8.00 7.40  
PUMP THE BRAKES 6 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 34 710¼ (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 116 10.00 11.75  
REMARKABLE ELI 1 4 2nk 5 8 8810½ (gilkyson ashley)BYNOE DAMARIO 116 20.00 37.70  
TUCKER TIME 5 5 95 9 910½ 9912¼ (coney ja)ASENCIO MARIANO 118 8.00 6% 17.20 12.65  
 
CTD-10   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Beaufort Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
:23 :463 1:124 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H K RAPPER 6 8 8 5 3 11(coney ja)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.15 W
10  ROUGH CUSTOMER 10 2 3 31 1½ 22(scott ronald)MARTIN ANDRE 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.15 P
OUR SUNSHINE 8 10 108 6 43 46 38 (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 124 20.00 53.15  
PACHECO 3 9 9 710¾ 77 59 49 (kettleson a)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.50 3.10  
PADDYS ROCKET 5 3 2½ 2nk 2½ 3512 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 8.00 9.75  
COUNTY WINDS 2 11 1113 1013¼ 810 614 618 (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 124 30.00 63.75  
ALBERTA BERBON 4 12 1217 1117¼ 1016 715½ 718¼ (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 124 20.00 39.95  
BIG BAD INTAGLIO 7 1 54 911¾ 914 816 820 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 20% 4.10 6.70  
MUDINATOR 1 6 1½ 1nk 6 916½ 921¼ (russe)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 3.00 50% 1.00 2.95  
BRODY'S PAL 9 7 7 44 55 1019 1024½ (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 124 30.00 12.20  
11  VANTASTICCANAVERAL 11 4 43 811¾ 1120 1134 1155½ (russell)GASKIN ZAVIER 124 15.00 17.60  
12  SMART DECISION 12 5 65 1222¼ 12100 12100 12100 (robertson r)NELSON DANE 124 10.00 24.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.