Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTD-3   EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5-2 $4.50 $0.50 13%
CTD-5   TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-7-4 $7.10 $1.10 18%
CTD-6   EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-8 $36.70 $18.70 104%
CTD-8   EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-6 $27.40 $9.40 52%
CTD-10   WIN (1/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $18.30 $10.30 129%
    EXA (1/7/10/6)-(1/7/10/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-10 $160.90 $128.90 403%

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-1   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :45       1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE GWEN 5 6 4 3   5 1nk (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 2.80  
BABS DELIGHT 3 3 56 4   2 2nk (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 125 3.50 7.85 DQ↓4
THRILL OF THE NITE 1 1 11 2½   3 3.2 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 125 1.60 40% 1.50 1.40 DQ↓5
NO BAKK TALK 6 2 21 1½   1 4¾ (smith k)BRYAN D 125 6.00 8.60  
PRANCE 2 5 67 5   42 5 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 5.00 14% 6.40 5.15 S
CAPA BELLA 4 4 35 6   6 63 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 15% 5.60 7.45  
 
CTD-2   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:223 :45 :57     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSCZECH 1 2 11 1   13 1 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 1.10  
SINGING BELL 2 3 21 2   23 2 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.75 P
BEAUTIFUL MESS 3 5 57 5   4 3 (wyness ja)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 59% 0.70 9.30 S
MI REYNA 4 1 3 3   3 4 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.20 2.65  
DAMN THE TORPEDOES 5 4 42 4   513½ 518 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 125 2.50 2.75  
 
CTD-3   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Fall Classic Distaff Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:141 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE SHOES 5 3 3 21 1½ 12 13 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 1.00 51% 1.00 0.55 W
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
PLUM BLUE 2 4 43 5 43 33 23 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 1.20 23% 3.40 1.85 P
  (by IMPERIALISM out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
JELLI 3 5 54 31 2½ 22 3 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 122 5.00 9.20  
  (by SINGING SAINT out of TYPICAL TILLY by KISSIN KRIS)
SASSY CINDERELLA 1 1 2 4 55 413 416¼ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 115 20.00 18.20  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CINDERELLA BRITE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
GRACEFUL SPIRIT 4 2 1 11 32 523 526½ (pozzo)GASKIN ZAVIER 116 20.00 29.20  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WAIF by BUCKHAR)
 
CTD-4   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Premier's Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSALLGOODMAN 7 6 4 11   1 1 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 0.40 59% 0.70 0.05 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
J J'S CAPER 4 3 1½ 21   2 2 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 124 15.00 30.70  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of THREE JACKS by KAHUNA JACK)
SAWCHUK 6 5 5 5   4 311½ (davies deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 10.00 27.05  
  (by EDISON out of THE CAT'S AFFAIR by TALE OF THE CAT)
SUDDENLY FAMOUS 1 1 31 4   3 411½ (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 8.00 8% 12.00 14.55  
  (by CAR TALK out of SUDDEN by SPEED JARO (FR))
CAPE'S LEGACY 2 2 6 6   513½ 517¾ (fre)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 6.00 12% 7.60 38.30  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
JAKOBS ROCKET BOY 5 4 2½ 33   616 621¾ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00 39.45  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of JAKOBS ROCKET GIRL by KANTHAROS)
HOLY JOE 3 7 7 7   723 733½ (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 124 20.00 33.80  
  (by SINGING SAINT out of JIM N PEG'S GAL by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 
CTD-5   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sturgeon River Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MIEZIE 2 1 1 11   12 1 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 0.60 48% 1.10 0.30 W
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
JODEYS LIL PAIN 6 5 32 21   22 2 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 4.50 19% 4.20 2.90 P
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TEEMANS KID by TEEMAN)
MORNING RAIN 4 4 2 3   33 34 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 10% 9.30 14.35 S
  (by GAYEGO out of CALL ME CHARM by TRIBAL RULE)
SADIE MY LADY 1 3 55 4   48 4 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 26.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
BROKEN PROMISES 5 6 6 611½   510½ 5 (kingston karl)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 17.65  
  (by MATT'S BROKEN VOW out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
KULSUM 3 2 44 510½   614½ 615¾ (brown jim)ZENTENO JR 122 20.00 ######  
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
DESTIN TO BE GREAT 7 7 78 714½   722½ 729¼ (kingston c)BRYAN D 122 30.00 ######  
  (by DESTIN out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  PARZANNI               (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 20.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ACARPIAN by REPENT)
 
CTD-6   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:37   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG HUG 7 5 3 3 3½ 15 15 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 1.20 42% 1.40 0.65 W
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
BRYNN'S DREAM 8 2 43 54 4 25 25 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 35.95 P
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
ECHO CREEK 4 6 66 66 55 5 3 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 8.25  
  (by UNKNOWN out of SMOKE EM ALL by NIIGON)
LILLY'S OF LONDON 6 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 35 48 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 124 20.00 17.15  
  (by MARINE LANDING out of LEMEL by POINT GIVEN)
SKIP'S ROCK 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 46 515¾ (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 35% 1.80 3.35  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LESTER by DANSKI)
I SAID QUIET 1 8 810 811½ 713 611½ 616½ (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 20.00 39.15  
  (by GAYEGO out of GONE IN A WHISPER by PENTELICUS)
SMOKIN JOY 2 3 77 710 818 715½ 722¼ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 124 30.00 38.15  
  (by ON BOARD AGAIN out of REDWATER WHAMMY by TIGER TRAP)
FASTESTGIRLINTOWN 5 7 5 4 68 816 825 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 8.00 8.90  
  (by ILIAD out of FASTOLOGY by ASTROLOGY)
 
CTD-7   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:111 1:361   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKTILLYOUDROP 6 3 21 2nk 11 1½ 1¼ (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 123 20.00 19.80  
DECOY 2 7 4 31 21 2½ 2¼ (kettleson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.40 56% 0.80 0.40 P
CREDIBILITY 7 1 5 4 31 3 3 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00 10.90  
COUNTRIFIED 1 6 8 7 6 5 4 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 6.00 19.30  
VIATURE 8 8 6 6 5 46 5 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00 30.25  
EL NOBLE 3 4 7 8 7 6 612¼ (baker ta)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
DRINKING AGAIN 5 2 31 5 8 712½ 718 (frey carson)BRYAN D 123 3.00 22% 3.60 8.95  
RAILWAY 4 5 11 1nk 44 815½ 822¼ (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 8.65  
 
CTD-8   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Red Diamond Express Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:214 :442 1:083     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEFF FA FA 5 3 12 15   17 1 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 1.60 59% 0.70 1.80 W
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
RUMOHR REIGNS 6 8 7 57   3 2 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 5.50 P
  (by OXBOW out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
BARE BACK JACK 2 4 33 35   27 3 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 117 15.00 4.30  
  (by BAKKEN out of THESEFOOLISHTHINGS by CAPTAIN BODGIT)
SOLO RING 8 5 5 68   513½ 4 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 126 2.00 17% 5.00 2.30  
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of DRUM SOLO by DR. ADAGIO)
BACKSTREET BOBBY 3 7 8 710   614 510¼ (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 121 20.00 16.90  
  (by BIG E E out of LEMEL by POINT GIVEN)
DANCING WILLIE 1 2 22 25   412½ 610½ (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 119 12.00 20.75  
  (by GIO PONTI out of BLING IT ON by FORESTRY)
SMARTY RIVER PANTS 7 6 66 810½   717 713¾ (kettleson)ZENTENO JR 118 20.00 34.60  
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of SMARTY JILL by SMARTY JONES)
AMUSING WAY 4 1 43 46   825 826½ (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of REAL DILEMMA by SALT LAKE)
 
CTD-9   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Breeders' Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:11 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART PLAY 9 2 3.2 2nk 1½ 14 1 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 120 10.00 16.10  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SMILE AGAIN THETA by SMILE AGAIN)
FLASHFORDANI 3 6 6 6 65 4 2 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 6.00 10% 8.60 7.30 P
  (by TAPITURE out of AVE'S HALO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
ZICATELA 8 3 5 4 32 24 3 (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 3.50 17% 5.00 4.40 S
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of HARLICAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
ESCROW STYLE 7 7 7 7 5 6 4 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 117 12.00 24.30  
  (by TAPITURE out of JORDY Y by CONGRATS)
THESHACK 2 8 4 3 43 5 5 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 125 1.60 46% 1.20 1.10  
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of SOUTH SEA PEARL by FOREST CAMP)
SILVERFOOT 4 9 8 8 78 7 6 (nicholson david)NELSON DANE 118 8.00 7.40  
  (by GAYEGO out of SILVER SEVEN by SILVER DEPUTY)
PUMP THE BRAKES 6 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 34 710¼ (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 116 10.00 11.75  
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of KATY'S KITTY by OSIDY)
REMARKABLE ELI 1 4 2nk 5 8 8 810½ (gilkyson ashl)BYNOE DAMARIO 116 20.00 37.70  
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of NICE REMARK by REGAL REMARK)
TUCKER TIME 5 5 95 9 910½ 9 912¼ (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 118 8.00 6% 17.20 12.65  
  (by DECLASSIFY out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
 
CTD-10   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Beaufort Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:124 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H K RAPPER 6 8 8 5 3 1 1 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.15 W
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MIMIPAOPONCHIS by BROKEN VOW)
10  ROUGH CUSTOMER 10 2 3 31 1½ 2 2 (scott ronald)MARTIN ANDRE 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.15 P
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of RUBYINTHERUFF by TRIBAL RULE)
OUR SUNSHINE 8 10 108 6 43 46 38 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 124 20.00 53.15  
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
PACHECO 3 9 9 710¾ 77 59 49 (kettleson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.50 3.10  
  (by MARK VALESKI out of SHE'S COPACETIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
PADDYS ROCKET 5 3 2½ 2nk 2½ 3 512 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 8.00 9.75  
  (by MR O'PRADO out of CEDAR FEVER by MINARDI)
COUNTY WINDS 2 11 1113 1013¼ 810 614 618 (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 124 30.00 63.75  
  (by COUNTY RUCKUS out of SONORA WINDS by BEST MINISTER)
ALBERTA BERBON 4 12 1217 1117¼ 1016 715½ 718¼ (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 124 20.00 39.95  
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
BIG BAD INTAGLIO 7 1 54 911¾ 914 816 820 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 20% 4.10 6.70  
  (by READY INTAGLIO out of BIG BAD JANINE by LANGFUHR)
MUDINATOR 1 6 1½ 1nk 6 916½ 921¼ (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 3.00 50% 1.00 2.95  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of MY NAME'S MUD by MUD ROUTE)
BRODY'S PAL 9 7 7 44 55 1019 1024½ (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 124 30.00 12.20  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
11  VANTASTICCANAVERAL 11 4 43 811¾ 1120 1134 1155½ (russe)GASKIN ZAVIER 124 15.00 17.60  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of DADDY'S VANY by THE DADDY)
12  SMART DECISION 12 5 65 1222¼ 12100 12100 12100 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 124 10.00 24.75  
  (by IMPERIALISM out of SMILE AGAIN THETA by SMILE AGAIN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.