Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
CTD-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(7/2/1)-(2/7/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTD-4   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-5   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(7/3/8)-(2/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-6   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
CTD-7   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
CTD-8   WIN (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/4)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4)-(2/8/3/5)-(1/7/10/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-9   WIN (2/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/3/5)-(1/7/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTD-10   WIN (1/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/10/6)-(1/7/10/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/10/6)-(1/7/10/5/6)-(1/7/10/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THRILL OF THE NITE Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 Jun02 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  PRANCE May02 Apr10 Mar14 Feb26 Jan18 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 5.00 14% 6.40    
3  BABS DELIGHT Sep01 Jul09 Jun09 May12 Nov05 (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.50    
4  CAPA BELLA Aug18 Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 15% 5.60    
5  TAKE CHARGE GWEN Sep10 Aug19 Aug13 Jul29 Jun30 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
6  NO BAKK TALK Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 (smith k)BRYAN D 125 6.00    
 
CTD-2   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSCZECH Aug26 Aug04 Jun16 Jun02 May06 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 2.00    
2  SINGING BELL Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 May26 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEAUTIFUL MESS Sep01 Aug19 Jul07 Jun09 Apr18 (wyness ja)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 59% 0.70    
4  MI REYNA Aug26 Jul09 Jun16 May26 May12 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.20    
5  DAMN THE TORPEDOES Aug30 Aug02 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 125 2.50    
 
CTD-3   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Fall Classic Distaff Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY CINDERELLA Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 115 20.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CINDERELLA BRITE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
2  PLUM BLUE Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 1.20 23% 3.40    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
3  JELLI Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 122 5.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of TYPICAL TILLY by KISSIN KRIS)
4  GRACEFUL SPIRIT Aug11 Jul28 Sep23 Sep10 Aug12 (pozzo jack)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 116 20.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WAIF by BUCKHAR)
5  DANCE SHOES Sep03 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May06 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 1.00 51% 1.00    
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
 
CTD-4   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Premier's Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUDDENLY FAMOUS Aug04 Jul21       (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
  (by CAR TALK out of SUDDEN by SPEED JARO (FR))
2  CAPE'S LEGACY Sep01 Aug04 Jul21     (fre)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 6.00 12% 7.60    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
3  HOLY JOE         (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 124 20.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of JIM N PEG'S GAL by ROYAL ACADEMY)
4  J J'S CAPER         (nicholson david)BRYAN D 124 15.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of THREE JACKS by KAHUNA JACK)
5  JAKOBS ROCKET BOY Aug05 Jul21       (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of JAKOBS ROCKET GIRL by KANTHAROS)
6  SAWCHUK Sep01         (davies deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 10.00    
  (by EDISON out of THE CAT'S AFFAIR by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  ITSALLGOODMAN Aug25 Aug05 Jul21     (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 0.40 59% 0.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CTD-5   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sturgeon River Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE MY LADY         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
2  MISS MIEZIE Aug25 Jul21       (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 0.60 48% 1.10    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
3  KULSUM Sep01 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21   (brown jim)ZENTENO JR 122 20.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
4  MORNING RAIN Sep01         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
  (by GAYEGO out of CALL ME CHARM by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  PARZANNI Sep04 Aug21       (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 20.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ACARPIAN by REPENT)
6  BROKEN PROMISES Sep01 Aug19       (kingston karl)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00    
  (by MATT'S BROKEN VOW out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
7  JODEYS LIL PAIN Aug25 Aug04 Jul21     (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TEEMANS KID by TEEMAN)
8  DESTIN TO BE GREAT Sep01         (kingston c)BRYAN D 122 30.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
CTD-6   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SAID QUIET Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul09   (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 20.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of GONE IN A WHISPER by PENTELICUS)
2  SMOKIN JOY Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul09 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 124 30.00    
  (by ON BOARD AGAIN out of REDWATER WHAMMY by TIGER TRAP)
3  SKIP'S ROCK Aug19 Aug05 Jul28 Jul07   (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LESTER by DANSKI)
4  ECHO CREEK Aug26 Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 May26 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SMOKE EM ALL by NIIGON)
5  FASTESTGIRLINTOWN Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May26 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 8.00 ★    
  (by ILIAD out of FASTOLOGY by ASTROLOGY)
6  LILLY'S OF LONDON Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jul07 Jun16 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 124 20.00    
  (by MARINE LANDING out of LEMEL by POINT GIVEN)
7  BIG HUG Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 Jun20 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 1.20 42% 1.40    
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
8  BRYNN'S DREAM Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 Jun09 May26 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
 
CTD-7   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRIFIED Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 Jun02 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 6.00 ★    
2  DECOY Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jun09 May26 (kettleson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.40 56% 0.80    
3  EL NOBLE Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 May12 Apr18 (baker ta)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  RAILWAY Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun30 Oct08 (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00    
5  DRINKING AGAIN Aug25 Aug04 Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 (frey carson)BRYAN D 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
6  ROCKTILLYOUDROP Sep09 Aug25 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 123 20.00    
7  CREDIBILITY Aug25 Aug11 May06 Sep14 Aug26 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00    
8  VIATURE Aug25 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 May26 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00    
 
CTD-8   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Red Diamond Express Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING WILLIE Jul23 Jun24 Jun09 May26 Nov05 (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 12.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of BLING IT ON by FORESTRY)
2  BARE BACK JACK Aug05 Jul16 Jul07 Jun23 Jun10 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 117 15.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of THESEFOOLISHTHINGS by CAPTAIN BODGIT)
3  BACKSTREET BOBBY Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul23 Jun30 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 121 20.00    
  (by BIG E E out of LEMEL by POINT GIVEN)
4  AMUSING WAY Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of REAL DILEMMA by SALT LAKE)
5  JEFF FA FA Aug07 Jul17 Jul05 Jun21 Jun12 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 1.60 59% 0.70    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  RUMOHR REIGNS Aug04 Jul22 Jun17 May27 Apr08 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 ★    
  (by OXBOW out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 (kettleson)ZENTENO JR 118 20.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of SMARTY JILL by SMARTY JONES)
8  SOLO RING Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun16 Sep30 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 126 2.00 17% 5.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of DRUM SOLO by DR. ADAGIO)
 
CTD-9   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Breeders' Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMARKABLE ELI Sep01 Aug06 Jul22 Oct29 Aug28 (gilkyson ashl)BYNOE DAMARIO 116 20.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of NICE REMARK by REGAL REMARK)
2  THESHACK Aug25 Jul28 Jul08 Jun16 Nov05 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 125 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of SOUTH SEA PEARL by FOREST CAMP)
3  FLASHFORDANI Aug25 Aug11 Jul23 Jun02 May12 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVE'S HALO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  SILVERFOOT Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 (nicholson david)NELSON DANE 118 8.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of SILVER SEVEN by SILVER DEPUTY)
5  TUCKER TIME Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 Jun30 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 118 8.00 6% 17.20    
  (by DECLASSIFY out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
6  PUMP THE BRAKES Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 116 10.00    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of KATY'S KITTY by OSIDY)
7  ESCROW STYLE Aug19 Aug12 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 117 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of JORDY Y by CONGRATS)
8  ZICATELA Jul23 Jun30 Jun17 May26 Nov05 (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of HARLICAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  SMART PLAY Jul28 Jun30 Jun16 May27 Oct29 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SMILE AGAIN THETA by SMILE AGAIN)
 
CTD-10   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Beaufort Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUDINATOR Aug19 Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of MY NAME'S MUD by MUD ROUTE)
2  COUNTY WINDS Sep01 Aug12 Jul23     (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 124 30.00    
  (by COUNTY RUCKUS out of SONORA WINDS by BEST MINISTER)
3  PACHECO Aug18 Aug04 Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 (kettleson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.50    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of SHE'S COPACETIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  ALBERTA BERBON Sep01 Aug12 Jul16     (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 124 20.00    
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
5  PADDYS ROCKET Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jun30 Jun10 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 8.00 ★    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of CEDAR FEVER by MINARDI)
6  H K RAPPER Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 Jun03 May06 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MIMIPAOPONCHIS by BROKEN VOW)
7  BIG BAD INTAGLIO Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jul01 Jun17 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by READY INTAGLIO out of BIG BAD JANINE by LANGFUHR)
8  OUR SUNSHINE Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 Jun10 May27 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 124 20.00    
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
9  BRODY'S PAL Aug25 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 124 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
10  ROUGH CUSTOMER Aug29 Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 (scott ronald)MARTIN ANDRE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of RUBYINTHERUFF by TRIBAL RULE)
11  VANTASTICCANAVERAL Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun30 May06 (russell monica)BRYAN D 124 15.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of DADDY'S VANY by THE DADDY)
12  SMART DECISION Sep01 Aug12 Jul23     (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 124 10.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of SMILE AGAIN THETA by SMILE AGAIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.