Handicappers' Race Results
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Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ASD-1   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
ASD-2   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
ASD-3   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
ASD-4   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $23.50 $23.50 17.50
ASD-5   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
ASD-6   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:232 :464 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MIGHTY FRISKY 2 4 32 41¾   2nk 11 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 2.50 27% 2.70 0.60 W
4  SUGAR DADDY JACK 3 2 42¼ 31½   3.2 21 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00 4.05  
2  DOT AND DASH 1 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 33½ (rowe micha)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 15.00 4.90  
5  GET UP EARLY 4 1 1nk 1nk   4¼ 44¼ (miller blai)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 6% 14.50 4.50  
SCR  BEARLY REGAL               (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 0.60 43% 1.30    
 
ASD-2   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CYCLONE SORORITY 4 3 45½ 34   21½ 11¾ (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 2.50 27% 2.60 0.60 W
3  LIA'S ON TUNE 2 1 1½ 11   11½ 21¾ (taphorn mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.00 42% 1.40 1.75 P
4  ARTISAN DANCER 3 2 2½ 21   32 34 (anderson wendy)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00 9.40  
1  SAYITALL 1 5 34 45½   44 45½ (mooney bill)CHOW CHAVION 123 10.00 17.65  
6  INSPIRATUS 5 4 58½ 58½   510 515½ (desjarlais ryan)AEBLY FRASER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.30  
SCR  ZIPPORAH               (gourneau je)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 5.00    
 
ASD-3   07/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:144     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FAVORITE 2 4 58½ 57   33½ 11 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 112 5.00 21% 3.70 3.50 W
1  BEAR ME A MOMENT 1 1 42 21   21 21 (brown alle)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 12.00 21% 3.80 8.80 P
5  WHITEROSE SPIRIT 4 2 11½ 11   11 32¼ (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 20.00 18.20  
4  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN 3 6 611½ 68½   59½ 48 (desjarlais ryan)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00 4.80  
6  ARMAVEER 5 3 21½ 31   48 59¾ (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 2.00 3.90  
7  UNCLE MO'S CAT 6 5 31½ 41½   69½ 612½ (duncan murr)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.00 28% 2.50 1.35  
SCR  PIONEER TOWN               (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 3.00    
 
ASD-4   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY NYLA 1 2 21½ 52¼   2½ 1nk (senebald donald)BELLE SHAVON 121 10.00 9% 10.00 10.75 W
5  GIDDY UP ZOEY 4 1 11½ 2nk   1½ 2nk (desjarlais )CHADEE JR 121 8.00 5% 17.60 3.10 P
6  TUFFENOUGHTOSTART 5 3 43 3.2   4¾ 2nk (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 116 25.00 20.45 DH
7  LIPSTICK LADY 6 5 54½ 41¼   5¾ 4½ (wise richar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 1.50 63% 0.60 0.95  
2  SECRET AVENGER 2 4 32½ 1nk   3½ 51½ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 4.00 3.00  
4  HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) 3 6 67 68¼   67¼ 69¼ (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 20.00 24.90  
SCR  SATURDAY SERVICE               (gourneau jerry)CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.00    
 
ASD-5   07/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:224 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHOOTIN MONEY 3 5 1nk 1½   2nk 1¾ (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 119 2.00 18% 4.50 1.70 W
1  DAZZL'N MISCHIEF 1 6 2nk 2½   1nk 2¾ (brown jared)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 32% 2.10 3.45 P
2  BITETHEBULLETBRO 2 3 42½ 42   32½ 33½ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 4.00 17% 4.90 2.00 S
4  DRIZZY 4 1 31½ 31   45 45½ (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 5.00 8.95  
7  WILL KNOWS 6 4 65½ 55½   57½ 57 (gardipy to)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00 7.35  
5  HE'S A LADY TAMER 5 2 53 66   615½ 624½ (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 30.00 33.80  
SCR  FELLER               (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00    
 
ASD-6   07/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Canada Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124 1:261   1:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BURROW DOWN 2 3 42½ 21   12½ 11¼ (duncan murr)CHADEE JR 123 2.00 28% 2.50 1.20 W
6  BIG STRETCH 4 5 57 56½   22½ 21¼ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 118 5.00 6.35  
2  MELISANDRE 1 1 32 41½   34 37½ (pruitt lise)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.50 26% 2.80 3.00 S
7  TEXAS RAIN 5 4 21 31   45½ 48¼ (duncan murray)CARRENO J 118 25.00 20% 3.90 9.95  
5  DAMN THE TORPEDOES 3 2 11 11   57½ 510¾ (anderson wendy)CUMBERBATCH R 118 4.00 3.00  
SCR  MISSION BELLE               (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00    
SCR  RUN WITT RUN               (gourneau j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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